SA · 2026-10-10

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

chart missingCard →

Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.

R1no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #5 DECAPO · win · min odds 7/2 (4-1 preferred); if board opens shorter than 7/2, PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#6 #5 #7 #4) — extreme pressure; stalkers/closers advantaged in A and B · CHALK #7 MATT AT FIVE · short (ML 1.6) · opposable — faces a pace duel it has not survived; last dirt fig 92 likely overstates turf ceiling; negative model edge

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R2no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #4 ROAST unchallenged in scenario A; moderate pressure possible if an unknown pushes; closers need a melt that may not come · CHALK #4 ROAST 9-5 · solid · zPace 0.98, bullet 10/4, 2nd-off-layoff pattern, controls scenario A unopposed

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R3no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #9 MAGGLES MCGEE is the only overlay, ML 3-1 is borderline chalk territory for a win ticket, and the model edge (0.024) is slim; no second non-chalk overlay to anchor the play · SHAPE Lone speed (#2 A GREAT SHAKING EP) with no true presser — Scenario A favors the front; chalk is a deep closer with a punishing pace figure against this shape · CHALK #6 WILD WEST COAST · fade · style C, worst projected first-call position, zPace -2.54, needs a melt that Scenario A never delivers, works unremarkable

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R4no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #6's barn craters in sprints (-0.92 ROI), horse fades repeatedly in duel scenarios, edge is thin and the pace shape punishes it as much as helps it; no confident non-chalk win ticket · SHAPE Three-way speed duel (#6 #4 #1) sets up honest pace; closers have the pace flow, speed has the talent edge · CHALK #3 RED FLAG · solid · top fig 99, clean cycle, legitimate closer path in A/B — but 2-1 is not a price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R5no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#2 vs #5) sets up stalkers/closers; pace high, pressure likely in A and B · CHALK #6 THE LOAN EXCHANGE · short · model negative, 3rd-off-layoff key –1.29 ROI turf, zForm negative; no shape edge; fade

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R6no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #7 clears, moderate press from #2 P; closers trail with limited pace to run at in A scenario · CHALK #3 IM SMOKEN HOT · solid · top fig in field (64), rising cycle, same trip, Baze up, Brinkerhoff barn — rightful favorite

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R7no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #4 FAIR QUESTION · min 4-1 · WIN — if board drops below 7-2, PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#9 vs #3); stalkers and pressers favored · CHALK #10 SIRNAMI · solid but short · needs the pace to collapse; closer with rising figs and barn change, but 3-1 is no price in a 10-horse MSW

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R8no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — no non-chalk horse shows a positive overlay; the only model-positive horses are chalk or near-flat; PRIMED #1 fires in the right shape but the numbers do not support a win ticket at any price the board will offer · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#2 vs #7) · stalkers and closers inherit in A and B · high volatility (13-horse field, pace meltdown risk) · CHALK #13 MISCHIEVOUS BEV · short (3.5-1) · opposable — post 13 is the widest draw in a field where outside stalkers must cover extra ground, last fig dropped to 74 after a 85 sprint win, and the model shows no overlay

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R9no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #4 FLYOVER is the only overlay and the pace scenario it needs (controlling the duel without yielding) is the less likely outcome; edge is thin and the shape more likely benefits the chalk · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#4 vs #7) · pressure high · stalkers/pressers inherit in A and B · CHALK #1 LONESOME STEW 1.2 · solid but untouchable · rising figs, bullet works, shape fits, just way too short

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R10no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#2) into a stalker-heavy field; pace shape favors #2 only if unchallenged — stalkers and closers get their shot if #9 presses · CHALK #3 MUSCLED · solid · rising figs (76→86→88), won last out at this exact level and trip, Rispoli stays, best all-around profile — just short at 2.5

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.