SA R2 · 2026-10-10
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find SA R2 · 2026-10-10 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #4 ROAST
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4ROASTEP
- C2#2LANKUU
- C3#3UNDER THE BIG SKYUU
- C4#5CHEEVERS
- C5#1COLLMUSS
#4 ROAST controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #4 ROAST · hurts #5 CHEEVER, #1 COLLMUS
Someone presses #4 ROAST. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #5 CHEEVER, #1 COLLMUS · hurts #4 ROAST
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 CHEEVER, #1 COLLMUS).
Helps #5 CHEEVER, #1 COLLMUS · hurts #4 ROAST
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | ROASTRISPOLI UMBERTO | 1.8 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffSharp work2026-10-04 SA 4f 45.80 H MT ft bullet 1/82; 2026-09-25 SA 5f 60.60 H MT ft 8/49 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | MCCARTHY MICHAEL W | Favorite |
| 5 | CHEEVERROSARIO JOEL | 2.0 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-10-02 SA 5f 63.60 H MT ft 25/26; 2026-09-25 SA 5f 61.40 H MT ft 30/49 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | GLATT MARK | Favorite |
| 1 | COLLMUSJARAMILLO E | 2.5 | S | Rising figsTop last fig2026-10-03 SA 5f 62.20 H MT ft 43/71; 2026-09-27 SA 5f 59.80 H MT ft 4/70 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | BAFFERT BOB | Favorite |
| 2 | LANKHERNANDEZ JUAN J | 3.5 | U | Sharp workTop last paceSame trip2026-10-02 SA 5f 59.60 Hg MT ft bullet 1/26; 2026-09-23 SA 5f 60.40 H MT ft 4/12 · barn: same as last | rMoc62500 → Md Sp Wt | BAFFERT BOB | field |
| 3 | UNDER THE BIG SKYVAN DYKE DRAYDEN | 12.0 | U | —2026-10-03 SLR 4f 49.00 H MT ft 18/30; 2026-09-19 SLR 5f 60.40 H MT ft 9/21 · barn: BALTAS RICHARD (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | BALTAS RICHARD | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACESA R2 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1540y · Md Sp Wt · field 5
- SHAPELone speed #4 ROAST unchallenged in scenario A; moderate pressure possible if an unknown pushes; closers need a melt that may not come
- CHALKFavorite#4 ROAST 9-5 · solid · zPace 0.98, bullet 10/4, 2nd-off-layoff pattern, controls scenario A unopposed
- LEANWinner call#4 ROAST · lone speed, top zPace, recent bullet, 2nd-off pattern fits — most likely winner
- PRIMEDnone (chalk horses are excluded from PRIMED play eligibility; no non-chalk horse has 2+ ready flags)
- PRICEno price — zero non-chalk overlays in the field
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLAn undetected presser from #2 LANK (high e1 of 93) pressing ROAST into a duel would flip the shape to scenario B and open the door for COLLMUS or CHEEVER; debut #3 UNDER THE BIG SKY showing unexpected early speed is the chaos variable
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition, rider changes, debut pedigree detail for #3
Why
Dirt sprint maiden special weight, five-horse field with zero non-chalk overlays and all three shortest prices clustered at 9-5 / 2-1 / 5-2, making this a high-volatility chalk scrum. Shape is lone-speed #4 ROAST controlling on the front end in scenario A, with #1 COLLMUS and #5 CHEEVER sitting off in B/C — but neither is a price horse, and the sheet flags no primed non-chalk with a clear path. No horse outside the chalk trio offers a credible win threat at a playable number: #2 LANK's only PP showed a fig of 65 against better and a year off the track, and #3 UNDER THE BIG SKY is a debut with zero past performances.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | ROAST | 1.8 | 28.0% | 31.1% | +3.1% | 0.50 | EP | favoriteRising figs2nd off layoffSharp work | — |
| 5 | CHEEVER | 2.0 | 26.1% | 24.4% | -1.7% | -0.20 | S | favorite3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 1 | COLLMUS | 2.5 | 22.4% | 23.9% | +1.5% | 0.33 | S | favoriteRising figsTop last fig | — |
| 2 | LANK | 3.5 | 17.4% | 14.6% | -2.8% | -0.63 | U | Sharp workTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 3 | UNDER THE BIG SKY | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.9% | -0.1% | -0.00 | U | — |