Proof
Nothing goes in use until it beats the close.
Did the price model beat the closing odds on races it had not seen? Until yes, stay on practice.
After the races → what the sheet and the price model said vs the official chart. Last test is a caption, not this gate.
Current verdict
INCONCLUSIVEPractice onlyClosing-line value
13.7%
n=162 races · CLV CI not in this freeze
Holdout WIN ROI
-7.4% [-22.7%, 11.6%] n=963
STALE artifact 2026-08-07 · 1000 races
Composite AUC
62%
better than a coin, worse than the crowd
ROI gate
LOCKED
Phase-1 freeze: CLV +13.7% n=162; WIN ROI −49.7% [−73.6%, −25.8%]. Practice only. Real money stays locked.
Phase-1 freeze: CLV +13.7% n=162; WIN ROI −49.7% [−73.6%, −25.8%]. Practice only. Real money stays locked.
Start free on practice