FL · 2026-09-28

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

chart missingCard →

Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.

R1no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of EP speed (#2 #5 #6) · honest/pressure pace · stalker/presser tier benefits in A/B · speed + outside bias · CHALK #5 FROSTELLE (2) — solid; top fig in field, Englehart barn, zSpeed +1.93, rising cycle, but dropping from OC45k and that last SAR fig came on turf with no kick — short and model overlay belongs to chalk, not the sheet

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R2no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — no non-chalk horse with a pace path carries a price overlay; sheet rec confirms PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #7 from outside post in speed/outside-biased strip; moderate pressure only; closers need a pace melt that A-scenario says won't come · CHALK #4 JAYMES TURN · opposable · best fig in the field but C style with no A/B path against lone speed clearing from post 7 on a speed-biased track

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R3no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #1 GOOD MISSION is the only overlay and it is chalk (ML 3, shortest in field); no non-chalk horse carries a model edge · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#1 vs #6) sets up stalker/closer; bias favors early speed and outside posts — tension between the shape and the bias · CHALK #3 TENACIOUS CHILD 2.5 · fade · closer with negative model edge, cold barn (RICE at -1.68 ROI meet), last dirt fig only 56 off a route, model says 20% vs 22% market

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R4no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #2 AZ U CHASE ME · min 4-1 · win ticket (board must hold ML or better) · SHAPE Wall of four early/pressers — extreme pressure; closers inherit in B/C · CHALK #3 SEAMS LIKE DESTINY · usable but short · rising figs + class drop but EP duel risks burning out

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R5no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — no non-chalk overlay clears the threshold; BECKS DREAMER is the shape/trip play but the model does not confirm an overlay and the sheet recommendation is PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #1 THE BROWN EGG with #6 BECKS DREAMER as the only pressuring threat; speed/outside bias strongly favors an early-running style, but the lone speed has a history of weakening · CHALK #7 FAST AMENDMENT · opposable · closer (C-style) with no path in Scenario A, best fig came with trip trouble, last effort collapsed to 53, price too short for the risk

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R6no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE No early — crawl likely; pressers drift forward; stalkers/closers need collapse that may never come; speed bias favors a type that's absent · CHALK #4 WAR RUNNER · usable but short (3-1) · top fig and rising, but stalker with no pace to set up the move; bias working against style

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R7no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel risk (#7 vs #4); speed bias (75% E winners); duel may burn both, but #7 has survived it here before · CHALK #7 HEY TOBY · ML 3 · solid — top last fig (79), class drop Clm11000→7500, led both recent FL routes, speed bias aligns; short but the shape does not oppose it

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R8no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of five speed/pressers (#7 #2 #8 #4 #3) → extreme pace duel; stalkers/closers inherit only if the duel melts; outside bias marginally aids #7 and #8 clearing wide; deep closers #1 #6 #9 are C-only and price-only at this track (75% early-speed win rate) · CHALK #7 VALIANT WARRIOR · short (ML 3) · solid — top fig, 3rd-start cycle, model overlay, outside post in a speed-bias track, but must survive a five-horse pace duel

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.