FL R7 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FL R7 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#7 vs #4)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7HEY TOBYE
- C2#4MAKARE
- C3#5RETAIL MANS
- C4#2MAD MAGICC
- C5#6WILD BANKERC
- C6#9FIERY HEARTC
- C7#3TONY OS
- C8#1MR EINSTEINP
- C9#8TAPIZARS TEMPERC
Honest pace among #7 HEY TOBY and #4 MAKAR. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 MR EINSTEIN, #5 RETAIL MAN, #3 TONY O · hurts #7 HEY TOBY, #4 MAKAR
Pressure: #7 HEY TOBY and #4 MAKAR hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 MR EINSTEIN, #5 RETAIL MAN, #3 TONY O · hurts #7 HEY TOBY, #4 MAKAR
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 RETAIL MAN, #2 MAD MAGIC, #6 WILD BANKER, #9 FIERY HEART, #3 TONY O, #8 TAPIZARS TEMPER).
Helps #5 RETAIL MAN, #2 MAD MAGIC, #6 WILD BANKER, #9 FIERY HEART, #3 TONY O, #8 TAPIZARS TEMPER · hurts #7 HEY TOBY, #4 MAKAR
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | HEY TOBYGUTIERREZ REYLU | 3.0 | E | Tag dropLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-07-18 SAR 4f 50.00 B TT ft 30/65; 2026-07-11 SAR 3f 37.80 B TT ft 4/15 · barn: same as last | Clm11000b → Clm 7500b | CHARLERIE GREGORY E | Favorite |
| 9 | FIERY HEARTNAVARRO KEVIN | 3.5 | C | Top last paceSame trip2026-05-16 FL 5f 64.40 B MT ft 6/6; 2026-05-05 FL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 33/54 · barn: same as last | Clm5000b → Clm 7500b | BUCKLEY JONATHAN B | field |
| 2 | MAD MAGICPEREZ L E | 4.0 | C | Tag dropSharp workSame trip2026-09-20 FL 3f 36.00 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-06-28 FL 5f 62.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | Clm11000b → Clm 7500b | FERRARO MICHAEL | field |
| 6 | WILD BANKERDAVILA M A JR | 6.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-07 FL 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/8; 2026-06-25 FL 3f 35.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | Clm5000b → Clm 7500b | OYOLA DAVID | field |
| 8 | TAPIZARS TEMPERHERNANDEZ O K | 8.0 | C | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-19 FL 4f 49.40 B MT ft 10/19; 2026-04-18 BEL 4f 50.40 B TT ft 127/148 · barn: same as last | Clm11000b → Clm 7500b | SELLS RACHEL | field |
| 3 | TONY ODE DIEGO EMANUEL | 8.0 | S | 3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip2026-08-26 FL 4f 48.20 B MT ft bullet 1/17; 2026-08-19 FL 4f 48.20 B MT ft 3/32 · barn: same as last | Clm11000b → Clm 7500b | GUTTERSON KATLYNN | field |
| 5 | RETAIL MANGOMEZ O | 10.0 | S | Same trip2026-07-14 FL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 13/18; 2026-05-19 FL 5f 61.20 B MT ft 8/18 · barn: same as last | Clm5000b → Clm 7500b | CLARKE MATTHEW | field |
| 4 | MAKARRENGIFO WLADIMIR | 12.0 | E | Tag dropLed lastSame trip2026-07-04 FL 4f 48.00 B MT ft 4/25; 2026-06-25 FL 4f 48.00 B MT ft 4/14 · barn: same as last | Clm11000b → Clm 7500b | LOAIZA ILMAR | field |
| 1 | MR EINSTEINCRUZ JOEL | 20.0 | P | Tag dropSame trip2026-05-30 FL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 24/28; 2026-05-20 FL 3f 39.00 B MT ft 10/13 · barn: same as last | Clm11000b → Clm 7500b | HUERTAS NIRKA | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFL R7 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt route 1830y · Clm7500b
- SHAPETwo-speed duel risk (#7 vs #4); speed bias (75% E winners); duel may burn both, but #7 has survived it here before
- CHALKFavorite#7 HEY TOBY · ML 3 · solid — top last fig (79), class drop Clm11000→7500, led both recent FL routes, speed bias aligns; short but the shape does not oppose it
- LEANWinner call#7 HEY TOBY · best figure, right style for the bias, real class drop, same trip
- PRIMEDnone (ingested: none)
- PRICEno price — no non-chalk overlays clear; all field horses are negative or near-zero edge
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#4 MAKAR hooks and sustains a duel — if fractions melt both speed horses, any of the deep closers (#9 FIERY HEART LP 96, #6 WILD BANKER LP 93) could inherit; also #7's Aug 14 SAR blowup (fig 52) shows vulnerability when pushed off a fast pace
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition day-of, rider changes
Why
Finger Lakes R7 is a dirt route at the Clm7500b level — a noisy, low-grade nine-horse field with high volatility. Two early types (#7 HEY TOBY, #4 MAKAR) set up a likely duel that favors the pace-bias-friendly speed shape, but the track's 30-day bias screams early speed (75% winners), and the chalk #7 has the top last figure (79), a real class drop, and led both recent routes on this exact oval. No horse in the field clears the primed threshold cleanly — the ingested sheet confirms none — and every non-chalk overlay grades false (edge near zero or negative, signals weak). ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | HEY TOBY | 3.0 | 20.0% | 21.0% | +1.0% | 0.40 | E | favoriteTag dropLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 9 | FIERY HEART | 3.5 | 17.7% | 19.6% | +1.9% | 0.60 | C | Top last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | MAD MAGIC | 4.0 | 16.0% | 15.4% | -0.5% | 0.06 | C | Tag dropSharp workSame trip | — |
| 6 | WILD BANKER | 6.0 | 11.4% | 13.1% | +1.7% | 0.74 | C | Same trip | — |
| 8 | TAPIZARS TEMPER | 8.0 | 8.9% | 7.9% | -1.0% | -0.29 | C | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 3 | TONY O | 8.0 | 8.9% | 7.6% | -1.2% | -0.41 | S | 3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | RETAIL MAN | 10.0 | 7.3% | 6.7% | -0.6% | -0.12 | S | Same trip | — |
| 4 | MAKAR | 12.0 | 6.1% | 5.8% | -0.3% | -0.03 | E | Tag dropLed lastSame trip | — |
| 1 | MR EINSTEIN | 20.0 | 3.8% | 2.9% | -0.9% | -0.95 | P | Tag dropSame trip | — |