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TDN · Thistledown · 2026-09-29

8 races · 8 expert sheets · feature-set v3

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Expert handicap

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Practice batch

Price overlays
2
no favorite
Ready
3
PP flags
BET rated
0
≥3% edge
Batch stake
$4
$2 per race
Top edge
+2.5%
R1 MAY MAYHEM
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Overlay picks to batch

R1
D · 1760y · Clm 16000n2x
Play#1 BLUE NOMORE · min 4-1 · WIN — at 4-1 ML the 2nd-off cycle and fig jump are priced; if board compresses below 3-1, pass
ShapeLone speed (#2 PARTY POOPER) with fading route profile; presser/stalker bias at TDN (50% wins); inside rail favors posts 1–3
PLAY lookbatchWATCH1 readysheet in+2.5% edge
R2
D · 1320y · Clm 50000n4l
PlayPASS — #3 is not a chalk but carries no overlay flag and ML 4 is not a price; #5 edge is too thin at ML 3.5; no non-chalk horse with a path clears a minimum odds threshold
ShapeTwo-speed duel (#8 vs #1) · inside rail bias · speed gets punished · presser/stalkers favored · post 8 zero wins in 60-day sample
batchWATCH2 readysheet in+2.2% edge
R3
D · 1320y · Clm 7500n3l
PlayPASS
ShapeLone speed (#6 SPECIAL COLLETTE) from post 6 with a field of closers behind; inside-rail bias favors posts 1–3 but no speed sits there; closers need a melt that may not come
PASSsheet in
R4
D · 1210y · Clm 7500n3l
PlayPASS — only overlay is the chalk; no non-chalk horse presents an actionable price
ShapeTwo-EP duel (#4 vs #5) projects honest-to-fast fractions; presser/stalker bias (50% of TDN D winners) sets up #1 and #2, but both carry weak figs and no overlay
PASSsheet in
R5
D · 1320y · Clm 16000
PlayPASS
ShapeWall of early speed (#1 #6 #5 #7) → honest duel likely; inside rail + presser-stalker bias; moderate-high volatility
PASSsheet in
R6
D · 1760y · Clm 5000n1y
PlayPASS
ShapeLone speed (#4 VERBIER EP) into stalkers/closers; speed bias + inside rail bias favor a front-runner that can clear, but VERBIER's last three lines all read "led, empty" — soft collapse risk in Scenario B if pressed
PASSsheet in
R7
D · 1320y · Alw 38400n2x
PlayPASS
ShapeWall of five EP types guarantees a pace duel; stalkers #4 BLAZING TONY and #3 KICKSTART inherit in A/B/C — but #6 OLLIES FOLLY's class edge and prior 88 fig keep it the likeliest individual winner despite the speed-war shape; chalk is usable but short
PASSsheet in
R8
D · 1320y · Md 16000
PlayPASS
ShapeDuel risk #6 E vs #4 EP · pressure high · inside rail / speed bias favors posts 1-3 · stalkers #3/#7 best placed to benefit
PASSsheet in