TDN R7 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R7 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#7 #1 #5 #6 #2)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7SADIES SILVER KIDEP
- C2#1CORFU FIGHTINGEP
- C3#5HEZA PISTOLEP
- C4#6OLLIES FOLLYEP
- C5#2BISCUITS N GRAVYEP
- C6#4BLAZING TONYS
- C7#3KICKSTARTS
Honest pace among #7 SADIES SILVER KID and #1 CORFU FIGHTING and #5 HEZA PISTOL and #6 OLLIES FOLLY and #2 BISCUITS N GRAVY. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 BLAZING TONY, #3 KICKSTART · hurts #7 SADIES SILVER KID, #1 CORFU FIGHTING, #5 HEZA PISTOL, #6 OLLIES FOLLY, #2 BISCUITS N GRAVY
Pressure: #7 SADIES SILVER KID and #1 CORFU FIGHTING and #5 HEZA PISTOL and #6 OLLIES FOLLY and #2 BISCUITS N GRAVY hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 BLAZING TONY, #3 KICKSTART · hurts #7 SADIES SILVER KID, #1 CORFU FIGHTING, #5 HEZA PISTOL, #6 OLLIES FOLLY, #2 BISCUITS N GRAVY
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 BLAZING TONY, #3 KICKSTART).
Helps #4 BLAZING TONY, #3 KICKSTART · hurts #7 SADIES SILVER KID, #1 CORFU FIGHTING, #5 HEZA PISTOL, #6 OLLIES FOLLY, #2 BISCUITS N GRAVY
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | OLLIES FOLLYPARKER D L | 2.0 | EP | Same trip2026-09-02 TDN 4f 49.20 B MT ft 6/19; 2025-12-24 MVR 5f 61.60 B MT my bullet 1/11 · barn: same as last | sClm16000n2x → Alw 38400n2x | URIETA JOHANNA | Favorite |
| 5 | HEZA PISTOLCEDILLO MAURO | 3.0 | EP | Same trip2026-06-11 TDN 5f 63.00 B MT ft 4/9; 2026-06-04 TDN 5f 61.20 B MT ft 1/3 · barn: same as last | sClm50000n4l → Alw 38400n2x | CLINE ROBERT C | field |
| 1 | CORFU FIGHTINGKEISER CHELSEY | 3.5 | EP | Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-23 TDN 4f 51.80 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-05-20 TDN 4f 47.80 B MT my bullet 1/7 · barn: same as last | sClm50000n4l → Alw 38400n2x | FADLOVICH MEGAN | field |
| 2 | BISCUITS N GRAVYHOUGHTON T D | 4.5 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-21 TDN 4f 52.40 B MT ft 20/21; 2026-09-03 TDN 3f 38.80 B MT ft 6/10 · barn: same as last | sAlw38400n3l → Alw 38400n2x | JACKSON JAMES R | field |
| 4 | BLAZING TONYSIMPSON JASON | 6.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-05-05 TDN 4f 51.80 B MT gd 17/18; 2025-08-28 BTP 4f 48.40 B MT ft bullet 1/10 · barn: same as last | sAlw35800n1x → Alw 38400n2x | GONZALEZ RICARDO | field |
| 7 | SADIES SILVER KIDTAPARA BRANDON | 15.0 | EP | Led lastTop last paceSame trip2026-09-22 TDN 4f 51.60 B MT ft 3/3; 2026-09-09 TDN 3f 37.80 B MT ft 2/6 · barn: same as last | Alw37000n1x → Alw 38400n2x | HUEPENBECKER LOREN | field |
| 3 | KICKSTARTSALAZAR BECERRA FERNANDO | 15.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-13 TDN 3f 39.00 B MT ft 4/5; 2026-09-05 TDN 4f 50.40 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | sClm16000n3l → Alw 38400n2x | GORHAM ROBERT M | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACETDN R7 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1320y Alw38400n2x
- SHAPEWall of five EP types guarantees a pace duel; stalkers #4 BLAZING TONY and #3 KICKSTART inherit in A/B/C — but #6 OLLIES FOLLY's class edge and prior 88 fig keep it the likeliest individual winner despite the speed-war shape; chalk is usable but short
- CHALKFavorite#6 OLLIES FOLLY · usable but short · two sprint wins at TDN, 88 fig on Aug 19, now stepping into first ALW off a claim ladder; model edge exists (0.029) but chalk status kills it as a play
- LEANWinner call#6 OLLIES FOLLY · best class and highest peak fig, rail bias mitigates wide post, capable of rating off a pace duel
- PRIMEDnone (no horse clears two-flag threshold)
- PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlay clears the bar; #4 BLAZING TONY and #3 KICKSTART have paths in A/B/C but both are model underdogs at negative edge; sheet rec is PASS)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLPace duel melts faster than the two stalkers can get to them — still needs a horse capable of finishing, and neither #4 nor #3 shows a fig that beats a fresh OLLIES FOLLY in full flight
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant day-of, rider changes after ingest
Why
Dirt sprint ALW38400n2x at TDN, seven starters, inside-rail/speed bias, moderate-to-high volatility from a wall of five early/presser types crushing each other. #6 OLLIES FOLLY (ML 2) is chalk and the clear class-and-form improver stepping up from claims, but five EP horses filling the front creates an extreme pace scenario where the chalks's last honest fig (79, two back 88) and rail bias give the stalkers a live path. No horse reaches the two-flag primed threshold per the sheet.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | OLLIES FOLLY | 2.0 | 26.6% | 29.5% | +2.9% | 0.71 | EP | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 5 | HEZA PISTOL | 3.0 | 19.9% | 20.9% | +1.0% | 0.49 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 1 | CORFU FIGHTING | 3.5 | 17.7% | 19.3% | +1.6% | 0.64 | EP | Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | BISCUITS N GRAVY | 4.5 | 14.5% | 12.9% | -1.5% | -0.16 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | BLAZING TONY | 6.0 | 11.4% | 9.1% | -2.2% | -0.59 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | SADIES SILVER KID | 15.0 | 5.0% | 4.6% | -0.4% | -0.02 | EP | Led lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 3 | KICKSTART | 15.0 | 5.0% | 3.6% | -1.4% | -1.06 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |