TDN R5 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R5 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#1 #7 #6 #5)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1PRETTY PATTYE
- C2#7COMPUTE THISEP
- C3#6THE MIRACLE KIUTE
- C4#5SUSHI QEP
- C5#4DELIGHTFUL CATP
- C6#3NUBLADAC
- C7#2CHICA CHULAS
Honest pace among #1 PRETTY PATTY and #7 COMPUTE THIS and #6 THE MIRACLE KIUT and #5 SUSHI Q. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 DELIGHTFUL CAT, #2 CHICA CHULA · hurts #1 PRETTY PATTY, #7 COMPUTE THIS, #6 THE MIRACLE KIUT, #5 SUSHI Q
Pressure: #1 PRETTY PATTY and #7 COMPUTE THIS and #6 THE MIRACLE KIUT and #5 SUSHI Q hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 DELIGHTFUL CAT, #2 CHICA CHULA · hurts #1 PRETTY PATTY, #7 COMPUTE THIS, #6 THE MIRACLE KIUT, #5 SUSHI Q
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 NUBLADA, #2 CHICA CHULA).
Helps #3 NUBLADA, #2 CHICA CHULA · hurts #1 PRETTY PATTY, #7 COMPUTE THIS, #6 THE MIRACLE KIUT, #5 SUSHI Q
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NUBLADACEDILLO MAURO | 2.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-22 TDN 3f 38.40 B MT ft 3/5; 2026-07-02 TDN 4f 52.00 B MT ft 18/22 · barn: same as last | fsClm16000b → Clm 16000 | CLINE ROBERT C | Favorite |
| 1 | PRETTY PATTYSALAZAR BECERRA FERNANDO | 2.5 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last pace2026-08-20 TDN 3f 37.00 B MT ft bullet 1/20; 2026-06-29 TDN 3f 37.00 B MT ft 5/15 · barn: same as last | fsClm16000 → Clm 16000 | MORALES SAUL M | Favorite |
| 6 | THE MIRACLE KIUTCORRALES GERARDO | 3.0 | E | —2026-03-29 MVR 5f 60.60 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-03-18 MVR 4f 51.80 B MT ft 7/7 · barn: same as last | fsClm16000 → Clm 16000 | RIVERA NESTOR R | field |
| 4 | DELIGHTFUL CATGONZALEZ SANTIAGO | 6.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-16 TP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 33/63; 2026-05-01 TP 3f 35.60 Bg MT ft bullet 1/11 · barn: same as last | fsClm15000b → Clm 16000 | JARVIS KATHY | field |
| 7 | COMPUTE THISBARBARAN ERIK | 10.0 | EP | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-08-27 TDN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 9/27; 2026-04-10 TDN 4f 49.80 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: change vs WOLOCHUK DAVID | fsClm7500c → Clm 16000 | CCAMAQUE MARCO | field |
| 5 | SUSHI QCHAVEZ ALEXANDER | 8.0 | EP | Rising figsLed last2026-08-29 TDN 3f 38.00 B MT ft 5/8; 2026-06-29 TDN 3f 37.40 B MT ft 6/15 · barn: same as last | fsClm16000b → Clm 16000 | MORALES SAUL M | field |
| 2 | CHICA CHULASKERRETT JEFFERSON | 20.0 | S | —2026-09-08 TDN 4f 52.80 B MT ft 15/15; 2025-12-27 TTC 3f 37.40 B MT ft 8/16 · barn: same as last | fsClm16000n2x → Clm 16000 | ROMERO OSCAR | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACETDN R5 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 16000
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#1 #6 #5 #7) → honest duel likely; inside rail + presser-stalker bias; moderate-high volatility
- CHALKFavorite#3 NUBLADA (2-1) · solid · last fig 80 "much best," class fits, post 3 on a rail-biased track, fig cycle rising; shape favors her
- LEANWinner call#3 NUBLADA · pace duel empties the speed and she closes from a clean stalking spot
- PRIMEDnone (sheet-confirmed; #4 has two flags but edge is negligible and ML is not overlaid)
- PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlay clears the bar)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLSpeed gets loose with no duel (#1 PRETTY PATTY clears and wire-to-wires at 2.5-1 on the rail); live tote shorter than ML on NUBLADA removes any residual case for action
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather / track variant, rider changes not in PP lines
Why
Dirt sprint claiming $16K at TDN, seven-horse field with a wall of early speed, moderate-to-high volatility from pace pressure and a class-jumping closer. Four need-the-lead types (#1, #5, #6, #7) figure to hook up early, leaving the honest-pace and stalker slots for #3 NUBLADA and #4 DELIGHTFUL CAT — both chalk NUBLADA wins the race she showed last out (fig 80, 3-wide move, "much best") if the duel empties the speed, and the bias (inside rail, presser/stalker 50% of winners) fits her closing style from post 3. No non-chalk horse clears the overlay bar — #4 DELIGHTFUL CAT has rising figs (+17 last out) and a presser path in A/B, but model edge is near zero and the sheet already issued PASS. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NUBLADA | 2.0 | 26.4% | 29.0% | +2.6% | 0.68 | C | favoriteRising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | PRETTY PATTY | 2.5 | 22.6% | 25.1% | +2.4% | 0.71 | E | favoriteRising figsLed lastTop last pace | — |
| 6 | THE MIRACLE KIUT | 3.0 | 19.8% | 16.4% | -3.4% | -0.45 | E | — | |
| 4 | DELIGHTFUL CAT | 6.0 | 11.3% | 11.6% | +0.2% | 0.38 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | COMPUTE THIS | 10.0 | 7.2% | 7.9% | +0.7% | 0.68 | EP | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 5 | SUSHI Q | 8.0 | 8.8% | 7.8% | -1.1% | -0.21 | EP | Rising figsLed last | — |
| 2 | CHICA CHULA | 20.0 | 3.8% | 2.2% | -1.5% | -1.80 | S | — |