closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

TDN R3 · 2026-09-29

PASSD1320yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R3 · 2026-09-29 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Lone speed #6 SPECIAL COLLETTE

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#6SPECIAL COLLETTEE
  2. C2#5VICTORIA COMMANDS
  3. C3#3SEYVAL BLANCC
  4. C4#2THEBEESENVYMEC
  5. C5#1NANCYFROMTHEBLOCKC
  6. C6#4FAITHFUL SOLUTIONC
A · Likely — expected flow

#6 SPECIAL COLLETTE controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.

Helps #6 SPECIAL COLLETTE · hurts #5 VICTORIA COMMAND, #3 SEYVAL BLANC, #2 THEBEESENVYME, #1 NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK, #4 FAITHFUL SOLUTION

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Someone presses #6 SPECIAL COLLETTE. Soft-lead thesis dies.

Helps #5 VICTORIA COMMAND · hurts #6 SPECIAL COLLETTE

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 VICTORIA COMMAND, #3 SEYVAL BLANC, #2 THEBEESENVYME, #1 NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK, #4 FAITHFUL SOLUTION).

Helps #5 VICTORIA COMMAND, #3 SEYVAL BLANC, #2 THEBEESENVYME, #1 NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK, #4 FAITHFUL SOLUTION · hurts #6 SPECIAL COLLETTE

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
5VICTORIA COMMANDGOMEZ ALEJANDRO1.2STag dropSame trip2026-05-04 TDN 3f 37.40 B MT ft 2/9; 2026-04-13 TDN 3f 40.20 B MT ft 10/10 · barn: same as lastfsClm50000n3l → Clm 7500n3lJUAREZ-MENDOZA REYFavorite
3SEYVAL BLANCBARBARAN ERIK2.5CRising figs2nd off layoffTag dropTop last figSame trip2026-09-07 TDN 4f 50.40 B MT ft 10/12; 2026-08-06 TDN 4f 51.20 B MT gd 8/9 · barn: same as lastfsClm12500n2l → Clm 7500n3lRONE MIKEFavorite
2THEBEESENVYMEFERNANDEZ VICTOR R3.5CRising figsSame trip2026-06-06 TDN 4f 50.20 B MT ft 9/11; 2026-05-30 TDN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 8/15 · barn: same as lastfsClm7500n3l → Clm 7500n3lRADOSEVICH JUSTINfield
6SPECIAL COLLETTEBRACHO JOSE A6.0ERising figsTop last paceSame trip2026-07-28 TDN 4f 51.60 B MT ft 7/7; 2026-05-27 TDN 4f 49.20 B MT ft 7/17 · barn: same as lastfsClm7500n3l → Clm 7500n3lZIELINSKI RICHARDfield
1NANCYFROMTHEBLOCKSKERRETT JEFFERSON10.0CRising figsSame trip2026-06-13 TDN 4f 51.20 B MT ft 14/17; 2026-06-05 TDN 4f 49.60 B MT ft 5/11 · barn: same as lastfsClm7500n3l → Clm 7500n3lGENOVESE RICHARD Lfield
4FAITHFUL SOLUTIONTERRAZA GERMAN15.0CRising figsSame trip2026-07-09 TDN 4f 50.20 B MT ft 20/27; 2026-06-17 TDN 4f 50.40 B MT ft 7/10 · barn: same as lastfsClm7500n3l → Clm 7500n3lSKERRETT JEFFREYfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACETDN R3 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 7500n3l
  2. SHAPELone speed (#6 SPECIAL COLLETTE) from post 6 with a field of closers behind; inside-rail bias favors posts 1–3 but no speed sits there; closers need a melt that may not come
  3. CHALKFavorite#5 VICTORIA COMMAND (ML 1.2) and #3 SEYVAL BLANC (ML 2.5) · both chalk · VICTORIA COMMAND is a massive tag drop (50k→7.5k) with cratering figs and no overlay; SEYVAL BLANC has the model edge and stacked ready flags but is chalk at 2.5 and ineligible for PLAY
  4. LEANWinner call#3 SEYVAL BLANC · 2nd off layoff, rising figs (54→69), top fig in field, class drop, path in A and B as a closer with tactical e1
  5. PRIMEDnone eligible (SEYVAL BLANC is chalk)
  6. PRICEno non-chalk overlays
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILLSEYVAL BLANC goes off below 2-1 confirming chalk; SPECIAL COLLETTE gate speed clears and holds on a speed-biased track; live tote shifts the field
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Dirt sprint at 7,500 claiming level, six-horse field, moderate volatility given a chalk coming down massively in tag and a lone-speed setup that tilts the shape early. #6 SPECIAL COLLETTE has the lone-speed advantage but a history of pressing and weakening, while both chalks (#5 VICTORIA COMMAND and #3 SEYVAL BLANC) are marked ineligible for PLAY; SEYVAL BLANC is the only non-chalk overlay but is chalk by definition (ML 2.5). No non-chalk horse in this field carries two-plus ready flags and a price above the chalk threshold.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
5VICTORIA COMMAND1.236.1%34.4%-1.7%-0.01SfavoriteTag dropSame trip—
3SEYVAL BLANC2.522.7%27.1%+4.4%0.89CfavoriteRising figs2nd off layoffTag dropTop last figSame trip—
2THEBEESENVYME3.517.7%16.5%-1.2%-0.09CRising figsSame trip—
6SPECIAL COLLETTE6.011.3%11.5%+0.1%0.23ERising figsTop last paceSame trip—
1NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK10.07.2%6.8%-0.4%-0.04CRising figsSame trip—
4FAITHFUL SOLUTION15.05.0%3.7%-1.2%-0.97CRising figsSame trip—