ASD · 2026-10-07
Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.
Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.
R1no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #1 SILVER SPICED · min 5-2 win · PASS if board opens shorter than 5-2 · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#3 vs #5) on a speed/inside bias track; stalkers #1 and #4 inherit if the duel burns both · CHALK #5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED · opposable · drops sharply from Alw14752 but is the outer speed (post 5) on an inside-rail bias card, last fig cratered to 61 after a 82 best, and hooks #3 in a likely duel it may not survive CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#5 #4 #3) into a speed-biased rail track; honest-to-hot pace likely collapses the front end and sets up closers, but no closer has a credible figure or barn profile to capitalize · CHALK #5 DELVECCHIO · solid · top fig in the field (73), top E1 (91-93), class drop that is a send not a dump, rising fig trend, and the track/surface bias favors early speed — this is the legitimate favorite CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of EP pace (#3 #2 #6) guarantees pressure; stalkers and pressers (#4 #5) inherit if speed empties; #1 is a C-only longshot with poor model signal · CHALK #2 RUN MATTEO RUN (2-1) · solid · top fig in field, rising cycle, tag drop, inside post on a rail-bias track — opposable only because it must survive the duel it creates CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS — sheet rec is PASS (non-chalk overlays only), model returns no non-chalk overlay, and the one primed horse does not clear the overlay gate · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#2 #3 #6) + speed/inside bias → honest-to-hard pace, stalkers and pressers improve; closers inherit only in chaos · CHALK #6 BLUE SPIRIT (2) and #5 NOT SO SWIFT (2.5) co-chalk; both opposable on pace grounds (front-end types into a contested shape) and zForm flags CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#7 vs #4) on a speed/rail-biased track; if they hook, the inside presser #2 HEY BIG UN is the main beneficiary in A/B, but chalk #3 CALL THE CAVALRY (closer, post 3) is the model's top horse dropping from CLM 10000 · CHALK #3 CALL THE CAVALRY (ML 0.6) — solid on class drop and figure profile, opposable only if the pace melts slowly enough that the inside closers never get a target; recent fig (70) is softer than peak (77), and the trainer ROI is negative, but nothing in the shape actively kills it CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #5 SHES MY NIECE · min odds 7-2 · WIN (at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · SHAPE #1/#5 pace duel favors stalkers; speed bias cuts both ways — front-runners get cooked but early clearers also get a free trip · CHALK #3 BARTENDER (ML 2) · opposable · figs declining, last race a non-effort off a stakes drop, pace profile (C) needs a duel to set up and the duel is the race's biggest structural problem for closers sitting wide from post 3 CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#6 MR JAWS) · speed/inside bias · closers need a melt that likely won't come · CHALK #2 JACKS SPRING BREAK 1.8 · usable but short · presser with top zSpeed, A/B path, but no overlay and negative ROI profile CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early/pressers (#6 #3 #1) invites honest-to-pressure pace; bias favors inside and early — stalker #8 TIZ ROMANTIC gets the best scenario flow but draws post 8 against a rail-favoring strip · CHALK #6 FLEET OF HOOF 2-1 · opposable · top pace figure but drew outside (post 6), drops to cheapest tag of recent cycle, just got turned back in a similar sprint duel, barn change to Keshane adds uncertainty, fig has been sliding (81→72 last) CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.