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ASD · 2026-10-07

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

chart missingCard →

Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.

R1no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #1 SILVER SPICED · min 5-2 win · PASS if board opens shorter than 5-2 · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#3 vs #5) on a speed/inside bias track; stalkers #1 and #4 inherit if the duel burns both · CHALK #5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED · opposable · drops sharply from Alw14752 but is the outer speed (post 5) on an inside-rail bias card, last fig cratered to 61 after a 82 best, and hooks #3 in a likely duel it may not survive

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#5 #4 #3) into a speed-biased rail track; honest-to-hot pace likely collapses the front end and sets up closers, but no closer has a credible figure or barn profile to capitalize · CHALK #5 DELVECCHIO · solid · top fig in the field (73), top E1 (91-93), class drop that is a send not a dump, rising fig trend, and the track/surface bias favors early speed — this is the legitimate favorite

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of EP pace (#3 #2 #6) guarantees pressure; stalkers and pressers (#4 #5) inherit if speed empties; #1 is a C-only longshot with poor model signal · CHALK #2 RUN MATTEO RUN (2-1) · solid · top fig in field, rising cycle, tag drop, inside post on a rail-bias track — opposable only because it must survive the duel it creates

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — sheet rec is PASS (non-chalk overlays only), model returns no non-chalk overlay, and the one primed horse does not clear the overlay gate · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#2 #3 #6) + speed/inside bias → honest-to-hard pace, stalkers and pressers improve; closers inherit only in chaos · CHALK #6 BLUE SPIRIT (2) and #5 NOT SO SWIFT (2.5) co-chalk; both opposable on pace grounds (front-end types into a contested shape) and zForm flags

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#7 vs #4) on a speed/rail-biased track; if they hook, the inside presser #2 HEY BIG UN is the main beneficiary in A/B, but chalk #3 CALL THE CAVALRY (closer, post 3) is the model's top horse dropping from CLM 10000 · CHALK #3 CALL THE CAVALRY (ML 0.6) — solid on class drop and figure profile, opposable only if the pace melts slowly enough that the inside closers never get a target; recent fig (70) is softer than peak (77), and the trainer ROI is negative, but nothing in the shape actively kills it

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #5 SHES MY NIECE · min odds 7-2 · WIN (at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · SHAPE #1/#5 pace duel favors stalkers; speed bias cuts both ways — front-runners get cooked but early clearers also get a free trip · CHALK #3 BARTENDER (ML 2) · opposable · figs declining, last race a non-effort off a stakes drop, pace profile (C) needs a duel to set up and the duel is the race's biggest structural problem for closers sitting wide from post 3

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#6 MR JAWS) · speed/inside bias · closers need a melt that likely won't come · CHALK #2 JACKS SPRING BREAK 1.8 · usable but short · presser with top zSpeed, A/B path, but no overlay and negative ROI profile

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early/pressers (#6 #3 #1) invites honest-to-pressure pace; bias favors inside and early — stalker #8 TIZ ROMANTIC gets the best scenario flow but draws post 8 against a rail-favoring strip · CHALK #6 FLEET OF HOOF 2-1 · opposable · top pace figure but drew outside (post 6), drops to cheapest tag of recent cycle, just got turned back in a similar sprint duel, barn change to Keshane adds uncertainty, fig has been sliding (81→72 last)

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.