ASD R1 · 2026-10-07

WATCHD1320y1 price overlay(s)1 readyPLAY lookRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ASD R1 · 2026-10-07 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#3 vs #5)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#3CASHFLOWE
C2#5AREUNOTENTERTAINEDE
C3#4LITTLE TRIBUNEP
C4#1SILVER SPICEDP
C5#2JET SET REBELC

A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #3 CASHFLOW and #5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #4 LITTLE TRIBUNE, #1 SILVER SPICED · hurts #3 CASHFLOW, #5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #3 CASHFLOW and #5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #4 LITTLE TRIBUNE, #1 SILVER SPICED · hurts #3 CASHFLOW, #5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 JET SET REBEL).

Helps #2 JET SET REBEL · hurts #3 CASHFLOW, #5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
5	AREUNOTENTERTAINEDKHELAWAN KERRON	1.0	E	Class dropLed lastSame trip2026-08-03 ASD 4f 48.00 H MT ft 2/10; 2026-05-05 ASD 4f 50.40 B MT ft 5/43 · barn: same as last	Alw14752n2l → Clm 5000n2l	BROWN JARED	Favorite
1	SILVER SPICEDTOWNSEND SHAVON	3.0	P	Tag dropTop last figSame trip2026-08-03 ASD 4f 49.00 H MT ft 5/10; 2026-07-09 ASD 4f 48.60 B MT ft 2/3 · barn: same as last	Clm7500n2l → Clm 5000n2l	PRUITT LISE	overlay
2	JET SET REBELBALROOP SVEN	4.0	C	Tag dropBarn change2026-06-26 CBY 5f 63.20 B MT ft 2/4; 2026-06-14 CBY 4f 51.40 Bg MT ft 19/23 · barn: change vs RARICK LYNN	Clm7500b → Clm 5000n2l	PRUITT LISE	field
3	CASHFLOWMUNOZ LARRY	5.0	E	Rising figs2nd off layoffTag dropLed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-09-14 ASD 3f 35.80 H MT ft 1/2; 2026-09-09 ASD 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/11 · barn: same as last	Clm7500n2l → Clm 5000n2l	STANFORD MARIA	primed
4	LITTLE TRIBUNEWHITEHALL ANTONIO	10.0	P	Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-06-02 ASD 5f 63.00 B MT ft 5/8; 2026-05-26 ASD 5f 62.60 B MT ft 9/13 · barn: same as last	Clm7500n2l → Clm 5000n2l	MAYBIN ROBERT	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY lookLook — stamp tote to make this an action grade

RACEASD R1 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1320y Clm 5000n2l
SHAPETwo-speed duel (#3 vs #5) on a speed/inside bias track; stalkers #1 and #4 inherit if the duel burns both
CHALKFavorite#5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED · opposable · drops sharply from Alw14752 but is the outer speed (post 5) on an inside-rail bias card, last fig cratered to 61 after a 82 best, and hooks #3 in a likely duel it may not survive
LEANWinner call#1 SILVER SPICED · stalking style from post 1 on an inside-rail bias, best recent fig in the field (75), class drop from Clm7500, LP 92 last out, clear path in A and B
PRIMED#3 CASHFLOW (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, tag drop, led last, top e1) — pace flags real but trainer claiming ROI -1.58 / win% 3.17% caps confidence
PRICE#1 SILVER SPICED · model edge 0.023 · non-chalk overlay at ML 3
PLAYPrice ticket#1 SILVER SPICED · min 5-2 win · PASS if board opens shorter than 5-2
KILL#5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED clears cleanly from the outside and the duel never materializes; live tote collapses #1 below floor; late scratch changes the pace map
MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, track condition at post time, rider changes

Why

Dirt sprint for $5,000 claimers with two early-speed types and a speed/inside bias that sets up a pace duel, moderate-to-high volatility in a small field where the duel can scramble the outcome. Chalk #5 AREUNOTENTERTAINED (ML 1) drops sharply from allowance and led last but faces a two-way speed duel from post 5 on a track where inside speed wins and early fractions are punishing — opposable on shape despite the class edge. #3 CASHFLOW is primed (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, tag drop, led last, top e1 in the field) but trainer STANFORD MARIA's claiming win rate is 3% and negative ROI at every key split, gutting the path even if the pace scenario is right.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#1 SILVER SPICED+2.3%ML 3.0Tag dropTop last figSame trip

Ready, not overlaid

#3 CASHFLOWML 5.0Rising figs2nd off layoffTag dropLed lastTop last paceSame trip

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
5	AREUNOTENTERTAINED	1.0	41.4%	43.2%	+1.8%	0.29	E	favoriteClass dropLed lastSame trip	—
1	SILVER SPICED	3.0	20.7%	23.0%	+2.3%	0.55	P	Tag dropTop last figSame trip	—
2	JET SET REBEL	4.0	16.6%	13.8%	-2.8%	-0.62	C	Tag dropBarn change	—
3	CASHFLOW	5.0	13.8%	12.8%	-1.0%	-0.19	E	Rising figs2nd off layoffTag dropLed lastTop last paceSame trip	—
4	LITTLE TRIBUNE	10.0	7.5%	7.2%	-0.3%	-0.03	P	Rising figsTag dropSame trip	—