ASD R3 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ASD R3 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #2 #6)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3RED DIRT ALLEYEP
- C2#2RUN MATTEO RUNEP
- C3#6SPUNOUTOFMYMINDEP
- C4#4KIKIS LOVE OF LIFEP
- C5#5J L COPPERP
- C6#1SHANKADOPOLOUSS
Honest pace among #3 RED DIRT ALLEY and #2 RUN MATTEO RUN and #6 SPUNOUTOFMYMIND. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 KIKIS LOVE OF LIFE, #5 J L COPPER, #1 SHANKADOPOLOUS · hurts #3 RED DIRT ALLEY, #2 RUN MATTEO RUN, #6 SPUNOUTOFMYMIND
Pressure: #3 RED DIRT ALLEY and #2 RUN MATTEO RUN and #6 SPUNOUTOFMYMIND hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 KIKIS LOVE OF LIFE, #5 J L COPPER, #1 SHANKADOPOLOUS · hurts #3 RED DIRT ALLEY, #2 RUN MATTEO RUN, #6 SPUNOUTOFMYMIND
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 SHANKADOPOLOUS).
Helps #1 SHANKADOPOLOUS · hurts #3 RED DIRT ALLEY, #2 RUN MATTEO RUN, #6 SPUNOUTOFMYMIND
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | RUN MATTEO RUNBYNOE DAMARIO | 2.0 | EP | Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip2026-07-27 ASD 4f 48.80 B MT ft 2/13; 2026-05-28 ASD 4f 50.40 B MT ft 4/7 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n3l → Clm 5000n3l | HUSBANDS TIFFANY | Favorite |
| 6 | SPUNOUTOFMYMINDWHITEHALL ANTONIO | 2.5 | EP | Rising figsTag dropTop last paceSame trip2025-11-29 RP 3f 36.80 Bg MT ft 3/29; 2025-11-13 RP 4f 48.00 H MT ft 3/40 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n3l → Clm 5000n3l | GOURNEAU LARRY JR | Favorite |
| 5 | J L COPPERCHICKENESS S | 3.0 | P | Tag dropSame trip2026-06-02 ASD 4f 49.00 H MT ft 2/10; 2026-05-11 ASD 4f 50.00 B MT ft 2/18 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n3l → Clm 5000n3l | BROWN JARED | field |
| 4 | KIKIS LOVE OF LIFETOWNSEND SHAVON | 3.5 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-07-13 CTM 4f 48.40 H D MT ft 4/21; 2026-07-04 CTM 5f 61.00 H MT ft 7/36 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n3l → Clm 5000n3l | VANOVERSCHOF ROBERT | field |
| 3 | RED DIRT ALLEYDALRYMPLE DARIO | 8.0 | EP | Tag dropSame trip2026-05-28 ASD 3f 37.80 B MT ft 3/6; 2025-12-26 HOU 3f 37.80 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n2l → Clm 5000n3l | GOURNEAU JERRY | field |
| 1 | SHANKADOPOLOUSSTEPHENSON NEVILLE | 30.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-02 ASD 3f 36.60 H MT ft 2/7; 2026-05-01 ASD 4f 52.20 H MT ft 5/5 · barn: same as last | Clm4500n1y → Clm 5000n3l | ELLIS ANDRE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEASD R3 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 5000n3l
- SHAPEWall of EP pace (#3 #2 #6) guarantees pressure; stalkers and pressers (#4 #5) inherit if speed empties; #1 is a C-only longshot with poor model signal
- CHALKFavorite#2 RUN MATTEO RUN (2-1) · solid · top fig in field, rising cycle, tag drop, inside post on a rail-bias track — opposable only because it must survive the duel it creates
- LEANWinner call#2 RUN MATTEO RUN · best fig, best post, best ready profile, survives or controls the pace
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse clears 2+ ready flags with a pace path)
- PRICEno price (only overlay is chalk #2; sheet rec is PASS)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#2 gets hooked early and collapses; #4 or #5 inherit at a fair price but neither clears the overlay bar at morning line
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition day-of, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at a cheap claiming level (Clm 5000n3l, 1320y, ASD) with a six-horse field and moderate-to-high volatility driven by a wall of three EP types all dropping from 7500 class. The pace map projects a genuine three-way pressure scenario up front, and both chalks (#2 RUN MATTEO RUN at 2-1 and #6 SPUNOUTOFMYMIND at 5-2) are early runners who will hook each other, while the model flags #2 as the lone overlay but chalk rules it unplayable as a PLAY. No horse clears two ready flags outside the chalk line, and the only non-chalk with any ready signals (#4 KIKIS LOVE OF LIFE, rising figs + tag drop) is a presser who figures to chase the duel from post 4 with a negative-ROI model edge of zero.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | RUN MATTEO RUN | 2.0 | 27.0% | 29.7% | +2.7% | 0.53 | EP | favoriteRising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | SPUNOUTOFMYMIND | 2.5 | 23.1% | 20.7% | -2.5% | -0.31 | EP | favoriteRising figsTag dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | J L COPPER | 3.0 | 20.2% | 19.9% | -0.4% | 0.07 | P | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | KIKIS LOVE OF LIFE | 3.5 | 18.0% | 17.7% | -0.3% | 0.07 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 3 | RED DIRT ALLEY | 8.0 | 9.0% | 10.1% | +1.1% | 0.60 | EP | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | SHANKADOPOLOUS | 30.0 | 2.6% | 2.0% | -0.6% | -0.95 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |