closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

ASD R2 · 2026-10-07

PASSD1320yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ASD R2 · 2026-10-07 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#5 #4 #3)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#5DELVECCHIOE
  2. C2#4RICKS DANCERE
  3. C3#3MISTER MCLEANEP
  4. C4#2ALTITUDES
  5. C5#1SHOCKING MALICEC
  6. C6#6COLONEL MUSTARDC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #5 DELVECCHIO and #4 RICKS DANCER and #3 MISTER MCLEAN. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #2 ALTITUDE · hurts #5 DELVECCHIO, #4 RICKS DANCER, #3 MISTER MCLEAN

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #5 DELVECCHIO and #4 RICKS DANCER and #3 MISTER MCLEAN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #2 ALTITUDE · hurts #5 DELVECCHIO, #4 RICKS DANCER, #3 MISTER MCLEAN

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 ALTITUDE, #1 SHOCKING MALICE, #6 COLONEL MUSTARD).

Helps #2 ALTITUDE, #1 SHOCKING MALICE, #6 COLONEL MUSTARD · hurts #5 DELVECCHIO, #4 RICKS DANCER, #3 MISTER MCLEAN

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
5DELVECCHIOPATTERSON JAVANIEL R1.0ETag dropTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-08-19 ASD 4f 51.20 B MT ft 12/16; 2026-07-30 ASD 4f 52.40 B MT ft 9/11 · barn: same as lastClm4500n1y → Clm 3000n1yGARDIPY TOM JRFavorite
3MISTER MCLEANSTEPHENSON NEVILLE2.0EPSame trip2026-09-18 ASD 3f 37.00 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-05-16 LEG 3f 36.40 B MT ft 2/3 · barn: same as lastClm2500n2y → Clm 3000n1ySANDERSON BRUCEFavorite
1SHOCKING MALICEBALROOP SVEN5.0CRising figsTag dropSame trip2026-05-19 ASD 4f 52.00 B MT ft 19/20; 2026-05-05 ASD 4f 51.00 B MT ft 19/43 · barn: same as lastClm7500n2l → Clm 3000n1yPRUITT LISEfield
2ALTITUDEHEWITT ROGER10.0S3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip2026-09-09 ASD 5f 63.80 B MT ft 3/3; 2025-09-27 CTD 5f 63.20 H MT ft 8/16 · barn: same as lastClm7500 → Clm 3000n1yJORDAN JENNIFERfield
6COLONEL MUSTARDDALRYMPLE DARIO15.0CTag dropSame trip2026-09-16 ASD 4f 49.00 H MT ft 2/9; 2026-09-09 ASD 3f 37.00 H MT ft 2/11 · barn: same as lastClm7500n3l → Clm 3000n1yGASKIN STEVENfield
4RICKS DANCERNELSON TYRONE30.0ELed lastSame trip2026-07-30 ASD 4f 49.20 H MT ft bullet 1/11; 2026-06-17 ASD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 6/14 · barn: same as lastClm3000n1y → Clm 3000n1yGARDIPY TOM JRfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEASD R2 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 3000n1y
  2. SHAPEWall of early speed (#5 #4 #3) into a speed-biased rail track; honest-to-hot pace likely collapses the front end and sets up closers, but no closer has a credible figure or barn profile to capitalize
  3. CHALKFavorite#5 DELVECCHIO · solid · top fig in the field (73), top E1 (91-93), class drop that is a send not a dump, rising fig trend, and the track/surface bias favors early speed — this is the legitimate favorite
  4. LEANWinner call#5 DELVECCHIO · pace advantage + class drop send + top fig + speed-bias rail track; even if hooked early, it has survived inside duels before and owns the best numbers here
  5. PRIMEDnone
  6. PRICEno price — zero non-chalk overlays in this field
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILL#3 MISTER MCLEAN pressing hard from post 3 and forcing a true duel that empties #5; #1 SHOCKING MALICE (rising figs, steep class drop, Pruitt claiming barn 16% w) inheriting on a price if the front collapses — but at 5-1 ML it is borderline chalk territory and the model shows no edge
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes after ingest

Why

Dirt sprint at bottom-claiming level (Clm 3000n1y, ASD, 1320y) with a six-horse field and high volatility from a wall of early speed that should set honest-to-hot fractions on a speed-biased, inside-rail track.

Three horses (#5, #4, #3) project to the early lead, creating a genuine duel that should set up the back half for any horse that can stalk — but the pace map's beneficiary (#2 ALTITUDE) has cratering form and a barn that wins 0% at this condition, gutting its overlay case; no non-chalk horse carries two ready signals with a clean pace path.

No primed price horse exists in this field — the sheet already flagged no non-chalk overlays, and working through each confirms it.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
5DELVECCHIO1.042.2%49.4%+7.3%1.16EfavoriteTag dropTop last figTop last paceSame trip—
3MISTER MCLEAN2.028.1%24.1%-4.0%-0.09EPfavoriteSame trip—
1SHOCKING MALICE5.014.1%14.0%-0.0%0.52CRising figsTag dropSame trip—
2ALTITUDE10.07.7%6.9%-0.7%0.13S3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip—
6COLONEL MUSTARD15.05.3%3.4%-1.9%-1.23CTag dropSame trip—
4RICKS DANCER30.02.7%2.1%-0.6%-0.50ELed lastSame trip—