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MNR · Mountaineer · 2026-10-06

8 races · 8 expert sheets · feature-set v3

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Expert handicap

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Practice batch

Price overlays
4
no favorite
Ready
6
PP flags
BET rated
2
≥3% edge
Batch stake
$8
$2 per race
Top edge
+4.5%
R5 MORE THAN FIVE
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R1
T · 1760y · Clm 4000n1l
Play#8 TRAIN AND TRUST · min 8-1 · win — at shorter, PASS (new TJ 0-for-4, outside post on inside-bias track, dirt-to-turf switch for Vazquez barn is a -1.19 ROI angle; needs the number to justify the risk)
ShapeTwo-speed duel (#9/#4) collapses early speed; stalkers and closers with turf form hold the edge; inside-rail bias punishes post 8+
PLAY lookbatchWATCHsheet in+2.6% edge
R2
T · 1760y · OClm 15000n3x
PlayPASS
ShapeWall of early speed duel (5 E/EP types) favors stalkers and closers; inside-rail bias adds a pace-meltdown lean; volatility high
PASS3 readysheet in
R3
T · 1540y · Clm 7500b
PlayPASS
ShapeWall of speed (#9 #10 #7 #13) sets up a pace duel; stalkers/closers inherit in A and B
PASSsheet in
R4
D · 1210y · Alw 3200s
PlayPASS — #5 VERSATILE is primed but carries no model overlay; #7 MIGHTY MO has the overlay but is lone-speed facing a duel it hasn't survived (fig 77, LP 73 last), and the bias cuts against it; no non-chalk horse stacks overlay + primed + a clear path
ShapeWall of early speed (#7 #2 #6) into a closer bias — pace duel likely, midpackers and stalkers favored
batchWATCH2 readysheet in+2.6% edge
R5
D · 1760y · Clm 5000n3x
Play#6 MORE THAN FIVE · min 3.5-1 · WIN — at anything shorter, pass
ShapeLone speed (#3) into a closer-biased strip; pressure moderate; Scenario A gifts #3 an uncontested lead, but the bias and six closers/stalkers behind him compress the winner margin
PLAY lookbatchBETsheet in+4.5% edge
R6
D · 990y · Clm 4000n3x
PlayPASS
ShapeTwo-speed duel (#4 vs #6) sets up pressers/stalkers; closer bias on the 14-day sample favors #2 if the speed empties
PASSsheet in
R7
D · 1210y · OClm 15000
PlayPASS
ShapeWall of early speed (#4 #6 #3) sets up honest-to-hot pace; closer bias (50% of recent D winners) favors anyone who can sit off the carnage; stalkers #5 and #1 best positioned
PASSsheet in
R8
D · 1210y · Clm 4000n2x
PlayPASS — the only printed overlay is #8 PRINTRACK, whose pace position (lead-seeking post 8, four other early horses) contradicts the shape; shape scenario A/B actively hurts all early types; no non-chalk horse with a clear A/B path clears the overlay threshold
ShapeWall of early speed (#8 #6 #7 #9) → extreme duel likely; stalkers and closers inherit if fractions melt
batchBET1 readysheet in+3.5% edge