MNR R8 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R8 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#8 #6 #7 #9)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#8PRINTRACKE
- C2#6POPPYS PRIDEE
- C3#7COST BASISEP
- C4#9SHRINEREP
- C5#5TALKIN PHAROAHP
- C6#3CUGINEP
- C7#4ENJOY BASEBALLS
- C8#1COLD PLUNGEC
- C9#2MEAN TWEETSC
Honest pace among #8 PRINTRACK and #6 POPPYS PRIDE and #7 COST BASIS and #9 SHRINER. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 TALKIN PHAROAH, #3 CUGINE, #4 ENJOY BASEBALL · hurts #8 PRINTRACK, #6 POPPYS PRIDE, #7 COST BASIS, #9 SHRINER
Pressure: #8 PRINTRACK and #6 POPPYS PRIDE and #7 COST BASIS and #9 SHRINER hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 TALKIN PHAROAH, #3 CUGINE, #4 ENJOY BASEBALL · hurts #8 PRINTRACK, #6 POPPYS PRIDE, #7 COST BASIS, #9 SHRINER
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 ENJOY BASEBALL, #1 COLD PLUNGE, #2 MEAN TWEETS).
Helps #4 ENJOY BASEBALL, #1 COLD PLUNGE, #2 MEAN TWEETS · hurts #8 PRINTRACK, #6 POPPYS PRIDE, #7 COST BASIS, #9 SHRINER
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | TALKIN PHAROAHBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 2.0 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleTag dropLed lastSame trip2026-07-15 CT 3f 37.20 B MT ft 10/14; 2026-05-29 CT 3f 36.80 B MT ft 15/29 · barn: same as last | Clm5000b → Clm 4000n2x | JONES MICHAEL E JR | Favorite |
| 8 | PRINTRACKPARKER D L | 4.0 | E | Rising figsTag dropTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-08-12 TDN 3f 40.80 B MT ft 8/8; 2026-07-27 TDN 4f 51.80 B MT ft 12/16 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n2y → Clm 4000n2x | CCAMAQUE MARCO | overlay |
| 6 | POPPYS PRIDEVILCHEZ MAIKOL | 4.0 | E | Tag dropSharp workSame trip2026-09-29 MNR 4f 49.00 B MT ft bullet 1/8; 2026-07-03 MNR 3f 36.60 B MT ft 3/5 · barn: same as last | Clm7500b → Clm 4000n2x | SCALLAN ROBERT S | field |
| 9 | SHRINERBRACHO AUGUSTIN | 6.0 | EP | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-07-30 KEE 4f 51.20 B MT ft 48/52; 2026-04-18 KEE 4f 50.00 B MT ft 55/84 · barn: same as last | Clm5000b → Clm 4000n2x | LONDONO GENEVIEVE | field |
| 4 | ENJOY BASEBALLGARCIA F | 7.0 | S | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-07-08 MNR 4f 49.80 B MT ft 10/18; 2026-04-15 MNR 3f 35.60 B MT ft 2/21 · barn: change vs LOGSTON CHRISTOPHER | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | RAMUNNO NANCY J | field |
| 3 | CUGINEBARRIOS RICARDO | 10.0 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-27 TDN 4f 49.80 Bg MT ft 10/27; 2026-08-15 TDN 4f 49.60 Bg MT ft 10/19 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n1x → Clm 4000n2x | ROMERO JOSE A | primed |
| 2 | MEAN TWEETSGOMEZ ALEJANDRO | 12.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-10 MNR 3f 40.00 B MT ft 17/18; 2026-03-29 MNR 3f 37.60 B MT ft 4/14 · barn: same as last | ROC 15-30 → Clm 4000n2x | BAYLEY RANDY | field |
| 1 | COLD PLUNGEGILBERT KYLE | 15.0 | C | Same trip2026-04-21 MNR 4f 50.40 B MT ft 14/16; 2026-03-29 MNR 3f 37.80 B MT ft 8/14 · barn: same as last | Clm3200n4x → Clm 4000n2x | BROWN JOHN T | field |
| 7 | COST BASISWEATHERLY BAILEY | 20.0 | EP | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-04-07 MNR 4f 49.20 B MT ft 14/37; 2026-03-22 MNR 4f 52.40 B MT ft 12/17 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2x | SCALLAN ROBERT S | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R8 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1210y Clm4000n2x
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#8 #6 #7 #9) → extreme duel likely; stalkers and closers inherit if fractions melt
- CHALKFavorite#5 TALKIN PHAROAH · short · presser with the best class drop and rising figs but sitting in a pace fire; solid horse, not an opposable fade, but not a price
- LEANWinner call#5 TALKIN PHAROAH · best overall profile despite the duel risk; class drop is real, fig spiked to 77, 3rd start of cycle, won last — most likely winner
- PRIMED#3 CUGINE (rising figs +15, 2nd off layoff, won last at MNR) — path exists in A/B as a presser; model edge is negative so not a price overlay
- PRICE#8 PRINTRACK edge 0.035 (only non-chalk overlay on the sheet) — top fig 86, top E1, drop from Clm5000n2y; path in A only if it clears early, but post 8 in a four-horse duel with a 107-day gap and 0-win meet barn is a serious kill
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only printed overlay is #8 PRINTRACK, whose pace position (lead-seeking post 8, four other early horses) contradicts the shape; shape scenario A/B actively hurts all early types; no non-chalk horse with a clear A/B path clears the overlay threshold
- KILLSpeed clears early on a track that played 25% Early Speed winners; #8 steals a soft lead from post 8 and the duel never materializes; TALKIN PHAROAH sits a clean third and sprints clear
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes not on PP lines
Why
Dirt sprint at MNR, $4,000 claiming n2x, 9-horse field with a wall of early speed — volatility is high. Four horses project to the front (#8, #6, #7, #9), setting up an extreme duel that should collapse the speed and set up the stalkers/closers; chalk #5 TALKIN PHAROAH (ML 2) is the class edge here but faces the meltdown as a presser. #3 CUGINE is the flagged primed horse (rising figs +15, 2nd off layoff, won last) pressing from post 3 with a clean path into the chaos — but the model edge is negative and the ML is 10-1, not an overlay; the only price overlay the sheet prints is #8 PRINTRACK (edge 0.035, ML 4), top fig in the field at 86, top E1, but it's a lone-speed type in a duel with three other early horses at an outside post, a 107-day gap, and a barn sitting 0-for-3 at the meet.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | TALKIN PHAROAH | 2.0 | 26.1% | 27.4% | +1.3% | 0.53 | P | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycleTag dropLed lastSame trip | — |
| 8 | PRINTRACK | 4.0 | 15.6% | 19.1% | +3.5% | 1.13 | E | Rising figsTag dropTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 6 | POPPYS PRIDE | 4.0 | 15.6% | 15.3% | -0.4% | 0.23 | E | Tag dropSharp workSame trip | — |
| 9 | SHRINER | 6.0 | 11.2% | 12.1% | +0.9% | 0.65 | EP | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | ENJOY BASEBALL | 7.0 | 9.8% | 8.7% | -1.0% | -0.13 | S | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | CUGINE | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.0% | -1.1% | -0.32 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | MEAN TWEETS | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.0% | -1.0% | -0.38 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | COLD PLUNGE | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.4% | -1.5% | -1.11 | C | Same trip | — |
| 7 | COST BASIS | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.0% | -0.8% | -0.59 | EP | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |