MNR R6 · 2026-10-06
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#4 vs #6)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4COASTALNESSE
- C2#6FIERY SIDEEP
- C3#1MOONLIGHT TANGOP
- C4#2DIAMOND DANCERP
- C5#3CRYSTAL WATERS
- C6#5ATHENAS GHOSTC
Honest pace among #4 COASTALNESS and #6 FIERY SIDE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 MOONLIGHT TANGO, #2 DIAMOND DANCER, #3 CRYSTAL WATER · hurts #4 COASTALNESS, #6 FIERY SIDE
Pressure: #4 COASTALNESS and #6 FIERY SIDE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 MOONLIGHT TANGO, #2 DIAMOND DANCER, #3 CRYSTAL WATER · hurts #4 COASTALNESS, #6 FIERY SIDE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 CRYSTAL WATER, #5 ATHENAS GHOST).
Helps #3 CRYSTAL WATER, #5 ATHENAS GHOST · hurts #4 COASTALNESS, #6 FIERY SIDE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | DIAMOND DANCERLEON JOSE A | 1.2 | P | Tag dropTop last figSame trip2026-09-12 MNR 4f 49.80 B MT ft 3/10; 2026-04-02 TAM 5f 63.40 B MT ft 9/9 · barn: same as last | fClm15000n2x → Clm 4000n3x | SILVA JUAN PABLO | Favorite |
| 3 | CRYSTAL WATERDIAZ R | 2.5 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-08 MNR 3f 41.20 B MT ft 3/6; 2026-06-09 PID 4f 48.00 B MT ft 10/23 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n3l → Clm 4000n3x | VALDEZ MOISES | Favorite |
| 6 | FIERY SIDEOLIVEROS CHARLE | 4.0 | EP | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-27 MNR 4f 49.80 B MT ft 6/9; 2026-09-12 MNR 4f 49.20 B MT ft 2/10 · barn: change vs SMITH JEFFERY R | fClm4000n3x → Clm 4000n3x | COX L CRAIG | field |
| 4 | COASTALNESSGONZALEZ KEVIN | 6.0 | E | Same trip2026-04-14 MNR 3f 38.80 B MT ft 15/19; 2025-04-13 MNR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 6/27 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n2x → Clm 4000n3x | STANOSZEK SARA | field |
| 5 | ATHENAS GHOSTBARRIOS RICARDO | 10.0 | C | Tag dropSame trip2026-08-26 MNR 4f 49.20 B MT ft 2/7; 2026-08-10 MNR 3f 36.60 B MT ft bullet 1/7 · barn: same as last | fClm15000n3x → Clm 4000n3x | UELMEN JASON | field |
| 1 | MOONLIGHT TANGOGILBERT KYLE | 15.0 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-09-05 MNR 3f 37.00 B D MT my 2/3; 2026-06-28 MNR 4f 51.00 B D MT hy 5/9 · barn: same as last | fClm15000n3x → Clm 4000n3x | CRAGO TERRY | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R6 · 2026-10-06 · D 990y Clm 4000n3x
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#4 vs #6) sets up pressers/stalkers; closer bias on the 14-day sample favors #2 if the speed empties
- CHALKFavorite#2 DIAMOND DANCER 1.2 · solid · top fig in the field, sharp drop from f$15K, won last at this oval, pace map gives a clean stalk trip — short but rightful
- LEANWinner call#2 DIAMOND DANCER · best horse, pace path in A and B
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse clears 2+ flags)
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays; sheet rec PASS)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#4 COASTALNESS clears uncontested and steals it on the front end; live tote opens #2 shorter than 1.2 (already a non-starter as a ticket)
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition day-of, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at a low claiming level ($4,000) with a six-horse field — moderate-to-high volatility given the pace duel risk and a heavy chalk at 1.2. Shape is a projected two-speed duel between #4 COASTALNESS (E) and #6 FIERY SIDE (EP), which sets up the pressers and stalkers and makes the chalk #2 DIAMOND DANCER the logical beneficiary from mid-pack; the second chalk #3 CRYSTAL WATER is a model underlay with cratering form and no live pace numbers. No horse clears the two-flag PRIMED threshold and the desk already returned PASS (no non-chalk overlays), so there is nothing to build a price ticket around. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | DIAMOND DANCER | 1.2 | 36.8% | 42.7% | +5.9% | 0.93 | P | favoriteTag dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | CRYSTAL WATER | 2.5 | 23.1% | 19.4% | -3.7% | -0.36 | S | favoriteTag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | FIERY SIDE | 4.0 | 16.2% | 17.7% | +1.5% | 0.68 | EP | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | COASTALNESS | 6.0 | 11.6% | 10.0% | -1.6% | -0.25 | E | Same trip | — |
| 5 | ATHENAS GHOST | 10.0 | 7.4% | 6.4% | -1.0% | -0.23 | C | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | MOONLIGHT TANGO | 15.0 | 5.1% | 3.8% | -1.2% | -0.77 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |