FE · 2026-10-06
Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.
Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.
R1no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early/pressers, no closer — speed bias and inside rail favor the leader; duel risk is extreme with all five types wanting the front · CHALK #5 BACK TO REALITY · solid — 3rd start of cycle, real class drop (Clm10000 → Clm6250), led gate-to-wire last two, highest zPace/zForm in field, fits the speed+inside bias; is the rightful top selection but at 1.4 ML offers no price CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS — the only overlay is the chalk; no price horse qualifies · SHAPE Wall of speed (#3 E, #1 EP, #2 EP) — honest-to-pressured pace likely; bias heavily favors early inside; midpack/stalkers get a look only if the duel burns the front end · CHALK #2 FOUR BEACH FRIENDS · short but not a fade · top fig, rail post, rising cycle, 3rd-start fire; short at 2-1 with negative ROI patterns across every claiming key, and the only model overlay CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #1 COMMANDER JOE · minimum 3-1 · WIN — at 4-1 ML the number is there; at 5-2 or shorter, pass · SHAPE Lone speed #1 COMMANDER JOE from post 1 into speed/inside bias; stalker-heavy field with no natural presser to hook him · CHALK #4 HEAT MERCHANT (1.8-1) · short · rising fig and class drop are real, but it is a stalker relying on a duel that may never materialize; not opposable on form, just short for the price CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS — #1 TODO FINO is also chalk (ML 1.6); no non-chalk horse clears the overlay bar; sheet rec confirms PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#5 vs #3) on a speed/inside-bias track; pressers and stalkers inherit if the duel is honest · CHALK #5 TIERNAN (ML 2) — opposable; speed-on-speed duel from post 5 with a class rise (Clm10000 → OClm12500), and the bias favors inside posts; rising figs are real but the duel threat is equally real CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS — the only overlay is the chalk; no price horse has a credible A/B path · SHAPE No dedicated early speed, crawl likely, bias rewards inside stalkers; all field sits — #3 lone presser; closers may have no target · CHALK #2 LEGS LIKE FLATTER · solid · post 2, top zPace, bias-aligned, won last out at lower tag, A-scenario path is clean CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6no official finishRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
No footnotes in this official chart yet.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner — · close —
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- no PLAY
- Price model
- — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: (none on this official chart) SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #2 GUSS GAMBLE · win · minimum 3-1 (at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · SHAPE Wall of five early/pressers (#6 #1 #3 #5 #9) in a speed-biased rail track; extreme pace pressure favors the deep-sitting stalkers #7 and #2, but the rail bias and 69% early-speed win rate create a genuine tension — pace could collapse or the lone clearest speed could steal it · CHALK #9 HALF TO RELOAD and #3 VERY DEBONAIRE (co-chalk at 2 and 2.5 ML) — both opposable on shape (post 9 worst post on a rail-bias track with 0% wins posts 8+; #3 won last but drops off a win with barn ROI -0.95 in that spot) yet #3 has the better pace path from post 3 CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.