← Results

FE · 2026-10-06

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

chart missingCard →

Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.

R1no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early/pressers, no closer — speed bias and inside rail favor the leader; duel risk is extreme with all five types wanting the front · CHALK #5 BACK TO REALITY · solid — 3rd start of cycle, real class drop (Clm10000 → Clm6250), led gate-to-wire last two, highest zPace/zForm in field, fits the speed+inside bias; is the rightful top selection but at 1.4 ML offers no price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — the only overlay is the chalk; no price horse qualifies · SHAPE Wall of speed (#3 E, #1 EP, #2 EP) — honest-to-pressured pace likely; bias heavily favors early inside; midpack/stalkers get a look only if the duel burns the front end · CHALK #2 FOUR BEACH FRIENDS · short but not a fade · top fig, rail post, rising cycle, 3rd-start fire; short at 2-1 with negative ROI patterns across every claiming key, and the only model overlay

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #1 COMMANDER JOE · minimum 3-1 · WIN — at 4-1 ML the number is there; at 5-2 or shorter, pass · SHAPE Lone speed #1 COMMANDER JOE from post 1 into speed/inside bias; stalker-heavy field with no natural presser to hook him · CHALK #4 HEAT MERCHANT (1.8-1) · short · rising fig and class drop are real, but it is a stalker relying on a duel that may never materialize; not opposable on form, just short for the price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #1 TODO FINO is also chalk (ML 1.6); no non-chalk horse clears the overlay bar; sheet rec confirms PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#5 vs #3) on a speed/inside-bias track; pressers and stalkers inherit if the duel is honest · CHALK #5 TIERNAN (ML 2) — opposable; speed-on-speed duel from post 5 with a class rise (Clm10000 → OClm12500), and the bias favors inside posts; rising figs are real but the duel threat is equally real

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — the only overlay is the chalk; no price horse has a credible A/B path · SHAPE No dedicated early speed, crawl likely, bias rewards inside stalkers; all field sits — #3 lone presser; closers may have no target · CHALK #2 LEGS LIKE FLATTER · solid · post 2, top zPace, bias-aligned, won last out at lower tag, A-scenario path is clean

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #2 GUSS GAMBLE · win · minimum 3-1 (at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · SHAPE Wall of five early/pressers (#6 #1 #3 #5 #9) in a speed-biased rail track; extreme pace pressure favors the deep-sitting stalkers #7 and #2, but the rail bias and 69% early-speed win rate create a genuine tension — pace could collapse or the lone clearest speed could steal it · CHALK #9 HALF TO RELOAD and #3 VERY DEBONAIRE (co-chalk at 2 and 2.5 ML) — both opposable on shape (post 9 worst post on a rail-bias track with 0% wins posts 8+; #3 won last but drops off a win with barn ROI -0.95 in that spot) yet #3 has the better pace path from post 3

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.