FE R5 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FE R5 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3MY CASH FACTORP
- C2#7FRAC AMOURS
- C3#2LEGS LIKE FLATTERS
- C4#6SHAMRAS
- C5#4NIGHTSABERS
- C6#5LAST GLIMMERC
- C7#8CLARAYOUTHEBESTC
- C8#1POETIC AMYC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #3 MY CASH FACTOR, #7 FRAC AMOUR, #2 LEGS LIKE FLATTER, #6 SHAMRA, #4 NIGHTSABER · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #3 MY CASH FACTOR, #7 FRAC AMOUR, #2 LEGS LIKE FLATTER, #6 SHAMRA, #4 NIGHTSABER · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 FRAC AMOUR, #2 LEGS LIKE FLATTER, #6 SHAMRA, #4 NIGHTSABER, #5 LAST GLIMMER, #8 CLARAYOUTHEBEST, #1 POETIC AMY).
Helps #7 FRAC AMOUR, #2 LEGS LIKE FLATTER, #6 SHAMRA, #4 NIGHTSABER, #5 LAST GLIMMER, #8 CLARAYOUTHEBEST, #1 POETIC AMY · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEGS LIKE FLATTERCRAWFORD J | 2.5 | S | Same trip2026-09-14 FE 4f 52.00 B MT ft 3/3; 2026-05-21 FE 4f 49.40 B MT ft 4/10 · barn: same as last | fClm5000 → Clm 6250b | CECCATO SHARON | Favorite |
| 7 | FRAC AMOURJOHNSON KIRK | 3.0 | S | Same trip2026-05-22 MNR 3f 36.20 B MT ft bullet 1/8; 2026-04-13 MNR 3f 37.20 B MT ft 4/18 · barn: same as last | fClm5000 → Clm 6250b | ROBILLARD JULIE | field |
| 4 | NIGHTSABERBYNOE DESEAN | 4.5 | S | Rising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-07 FE 4f 48.80 B MT ft 4/13; 2026-07-21 FE 4f 48.80 H MT ft 5/14 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n3l → Clm 6250b | BAILEY BARBARA J | field |
| 3 | MY CASH FACTORSALLES LEO | 6.0 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-05-06 WO 5f 62.80 B MT ft 7/7; 2026-04-27 WO 4f 49.00 B MT ft 9/26 · barn: same as last | fClm8000b → Clm 6250b | RAGHUNATH ERIC M | field |
| 6 | SHAMRASANCHEZ ALEXIS | 8.0 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-08 FE 6f 74.20 Hg MT ft 1/1; 2026-08-27 FE 3f 36.80 B MT gd 1/1 · barn: same as last | fClm4000b → Clm 6250b | CATHCART STEVEN | field |
| 8 | CLARAYOUTHEBESTGASKIN DA-SEAN ZAVIER | 10.0 | C | 2nd off layoff2026-09-07 FE 4f 48.80 B MT ft 4/13; 2026-08-24 FE 4f 51.40 Hg MT sy 1/1 · barn: same as last | fClm4000b → Clm 6250b | HUMBER JOSEPH | field |
| 1 | POETIC AMYJADOO STEVE | 8.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffClass dropBarn change2026-09-06 WO 4f 48.40 B MT ft 21/104; 2026-08-30 WO 4f 49.00 B MT ft 42/103 · barn: change vs GITTENS DEVON | fAlw7500s → Clm 6250b | ROBILLARD JULIE | primed |
| 5 | LAST GLIMMERMOSQUEIRA ISMAEL ELUID | 12.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-06 FE 4f 48.60 B MT ft bullet 1/10; 2026-08-29 FE 4f 48.60 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | fClm6250b → Clm 6250b | CATHCART STEVEN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFE R5 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1430y Clm 6250b
- SHAPENo dedicated early speed, crawl likely, bias rewards inside stalkers; all field sits — #3 lone presser; closers may have no target
- CHALKFavorite#2 LEGS LIKE FLATTER · solid · post 2, top zPace, bias-aligned, won last out at lower tag, A-scenario path is clean
- LEANWinner call#2 LEGS LIKE FLATTER · best pace-shape fit on a speed/inside-bias track at the right post
- PRIMED#1 POETIC AMY [rising_figs, 2nd_off_layoff, class_drop, barn_change] — flags stack but pace path is C-only (post 1 closer, trailed on turf, negative model edge)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay clears
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only overlay is the chalk; no price horse has a credible A/B path
- KILLweather change softening the surface (wet form unverified for the field); a surprise E-type scratch that reshuffles the map and creates pace; #4 NIGHTSABER repeating her top-fig effort at post 4 if she finds a clean stalk trip
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/surface condition update, rider changes not on PP lines
Why
Dirt sprint at Fort Erie in a $6,250 claiming field of eight, no dedicated early speed, crawl-pace map with a heavy inside/speed bias — moderate-to-high volatility because the shape is atypical and the bias punishes the style most of the field is running. Chalk #2 LEGS LIKE FLATTER (2.5 ML) sits post 2, is the top zPace horse, won last out at a lower tag, and the bias lives in her corner — solid chalk with a clean A-scenario path despite a class step-up. PRIMED flag belongs to #1 POETIC AMY (four signals: rising figs, 2nd off layoff, class drop, barn change), but her path is brutally ugly — post 1 closer on a speed/inside-bias track, last two races trailed throughout on turf, and the model has her as a negative edge at 8 ML; signals stack but the pace path does not.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEGS LIKE FLATTER | 2.5 | 22.8% | 24.5% | +1.6% | 0.45 | S | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 7 | FRAC AMOUR | 3.0 | 20.0% | 21.6% | +1.6% | 0.48 | S | Same trip | — |
| 4 | NIGHTSABER | 4.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | +1.5% | 0.58 | S | Rising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 3 | MY CASH FACTOR | 6.0 | 11.4% | 10.1% | -1.3% | -0.31 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | SHAMRA | 8.0 | 8.9% | 8.6% | -0.3% | 0.03 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 8 | CLARAYOUTHEBEST | 10.0 | 7.3% | 7.0% | -0.3% | 0.02 | C | 2nd off layoff | — |
| 1 | POETIC AMY | 8.0 | 8.9% | 6.7% | -2.1% | -0.93 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffClass dropBarn change | — |
| 5 | LAST GLIMMER | 12.0 | 6.2% | 5.4% | -0.7% | -0.32 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |