MNR · 2026-10-04

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

chart missingCard →

Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.

R1no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#6 MR BUSINESS) on a speed/inside-rail bias track; closers dominate the field but need a melt that isn't projected in Scenario A · CHALK #2 OZZY · short (ML 2) · rising figs, class drop, sharp work all point to a live horse but ROI on turf starts is -0.76 and no overlay exists

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R2no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #5 GONE BOY's overlay is real but the dirt-to-turf key (0% w, ROI -1.52, n=28) and zero turf lines in the PPs make the path too speculative to paper at any number; no primed non-chalk horse clears the bar · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#8 vs #6 from wide posts) into a speed/inside-bias track; pace collapse likely, setting up mid-pack pressers · CHALK #1 CARNIVAL ROCK · opposable · 0-for-turf with 0% win / 0% ITM on both first-grass and dirt-to-turf keys; rising dirt figs don't transfer without turf evidence

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R3no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — only overlay is compromised by a pulled-up line and a barn with a deeply negative turf record; no clean price ticket available · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#4/#5) sets up mid-pack; inside-rail bias crushes posts 8+ (0% winners); stalkers/pressers posts 7–12 best positioned in A/B · CHALK #7 HOT COCOA · solid · top fig 74 (7 above prior), pace path in A and B, post 7 clears the rail-bias kill zone, P style fits both scenarios

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R4no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-EP duel (#6 vs #2) sets up the rail; presser #5 sits · CHALK #5 ARAPAHO NATION (ML 2) · solid · top fig in field,

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R5no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #3 HOW ABOUT IT · min 4-1 · win · at shorter than 4-1, PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#4 INTERVAL) on a speed/inside-bias track; field of stalkers behind it creates soft-lead risk if any presser engages; closers only live in Scenario C · CHALK #2 CALL SIGN · short/opposable · negative model edge (-0.038), zPace -2.11 flags a pace-style mismatch, figs declining (75→72→71), and the class drop from Alw34100 looks like a demotion rather than a spot move

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R6no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #4 with wall of closers; speed-bias inside rail; chalk is a C-style at post 8 (zero post-8 wins in bias sample) · CHALK #8 NEW YORK NEW YORK · solid horse, wrong post, zero wins from post 8+ in 60-day bias sample — opposable on position alone

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R7no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #7 DR JACK FLYER · win · minimum 5-2 (at ML 3 the number is workable; shorter than 5-2 is out) · SHAPE Two-EP duel (#2 GRIMES vs #4 SUDDEN SHIFT) at honest pace; pressers/stalkers favored if speed empties; inside rail bias helps posts 1–5 · CHALK #6 HOMERUNHAPPY · usable but short · genuine class drop, honest recent figs, but 2-1 is less than fair money with negative model edge and post-6 rail-bias concern

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R8no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #8 GREYHOUND STATION · win · min 3-1 (at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#2 E vs #8 EP) on a speed/inside-rail-biased track; pace high, pressers and inside stalkers benefit, outside closers face a steep ask · CHALK #1 ROMANTIC JEWEL · usable but short · stalker with trouble last, inside post suits bias, but 2-1 offers no price for the risk

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.