GP · 2026-09-27
Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.
Official chart Equibase · parser 1.3.0 · checksum 6cf7bd109752f76b · us_mutuel_to_one
R1#1 Braveness · 2.10-1play floorWATCHRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 22.85 · 45.62 · 57.27 · Final 1:03.55
Splits (22:77) (11:65) (6:28)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Braveness | 5 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 12 · 1/2 · 13 · 1/2 |
| 2 | Wheelhouse | 6 · 32 · 33 · 22 · 1/2 · 23 · 1/2 |
| 8 | Activity | 1 · 21/2 · 21/2 · 32 · 1/2 · 38 · 1/4 |
| 5 | Eminent Power | 3 · 64 · 55 · 1/2 · 58 · 1/2 · 411 · 1/2 |
| 7 | Case Law | 8 · 87 · 1/2 · 78 · 1/2 · 612 · 1/2 · 512 · 1/4 |
| 9 | Shadidelbas | 4 · 42 · 1/2 · 43 · 47 · 1/2 · 614 · 3/4 |
| 6 | Numinous | 2 · 52 · 1/2 · 66 · 713 · 718 · 3/4 |
| 3 | Flying Ash | 7 · 76 · 89 · 1/2 · 816 · 827 · 1/2 |
BRAVENESS set the pace under steady pressure to the quarter pole, shook clear in upper stretch and was unthreatened in the lane. WHEELHOUSE stalked the dueling pacesetters from the fence to be well placed, rallied up the rail turning for home, failed to close the gap on the winner and finished willingly as second best. ACTIVITY pressed the pace from three wide to the top of the stretch, was no match for the leader in the lane and kept-on while weaking to be best of the rest. EMINENT POWER reserved off the pace in mid-pack and rallied mildly coming home without impact. CASE LAW broke well but retreated to the rear in the first few strides, trailed to midway on the turn and showed some late interest. SHADIDELBAS tracked the leaders to mid-stretch and faded in the final furlong. NUMINOUS failed to menace proving no threeat at any point. FLYING ASH was a non-factor having been outrun.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #1 Braveness · close 2.10-1
- BRAVENESS set the pace under steady pressure to the quarter pole, shook clear in upper stretch and was unthreatened in the lane.
- WHEELHOUSE stalked the dueling pacesetters from the fence to be well placed, rallied up the rail turning for home, failed to close the gap on the winner and finished willingly as second best.
- ACTIVITY pressed the pace from three wide to the top of the stretch, was no match for the leader in the lane and kept-on while weaking to be best of the rest.
- EMINENT POWER reserved off the pace in mid-pack and rallied mildly coming home without impact.
- CASE LAW broke well but retreated to the rear in the first few strides, trailed to midway on the turn and showed some late interest.
- SHADIDELBAS tracked the leaders to mid-stretch and faded in the final furlong.
- NUMINOUS failed to menace proving no threeat at any point.
- FLYING ASH was a non-factor having been outrun.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Braveness | 2.10-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 2 | Wheelhouse | 2-1 | 4.75 |
| 3 | 8 | Activity | 2.50-1 | 3.25 |
| 4 | 5 | Eminent Power | 8.30-1 | 0.75 |
| 5 | 7 | Case Law | 13.8-1 | 2.5 |
| 6 | 9 | Shadidelbas | 16.1-1 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | Numinous | 42.0-1 | 8.75 |
| 8 | 3 | Flying Ash | 46.9-1 | 27.5 |
| SCR | — | Cousin Vinny | — | — |
| SCR | — | Jalmod | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- #1 BRAVENESS · min 3-1 · WIN · if board drifts to 5-2 or shorter, PASS · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor
- Price model
- WATCH · #1 BRAVENESS · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: BRAVENESS set the pace under steady pressure to the quarter pole, shook clear in upper stretch and was unthreatened in the lane. WHEELHOUSE stalked the dueling pacesetters from the fence to be well placed, rallied up the rail turning for home, failed to close the gap on the winner and finished willingly as second best. ACTIVITY pressed the pace from three wide to the top of the stretch, was no match for the leader in the lane and kept-on while weaking to be best of the rest. EMINENT POWER reserved off the pace in mid-pack and rallied mildly coming home without impact. CASE LAW broke well but retreated to the rear in the first few strides, trailed to midway on the turn and showed some late interest. SHADIDELBAS tracked the leaders to mid-stretch and faded in the final furlong. NUMINOUS failed to menace proving no threeat at any point. FLYING ASH was a non-factor having been outrun. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #1 BRAVENESS · min 3-1 · WIN · if board drifts to 5-2 or shorter, PASS · SHAPE No lone early speed; crawl likely; pressers/stalkers own posts 1-3; outside rail a graveyard (0 wins posts 8+ in 62-run sample) · CHALK #2 WHEELHOUSE · usable but short · post 2, inside rail, 3rd start of cycle, rising figs (65→72), signal 0.79 — shape fits, price does not CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model WATCH #1 BRAVENESS · 2026-09-27 GP R1 floor_miss · winner #1 BRAVENESS @ 2.1 · overlay #1 BRAVENESS edge 0.028 · PLAY floor #1 — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2#8 Megaplumb · 3.10-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 23.51 · 47.86 · 1:12.22 · 1:24.69 · Final 1:37.41
Splits (24:35) (24:36) (12:47) (12:72)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Megaplumb | 6 · 52 · 1/4 · 52 · 1/2 · 52 · 1/4 · 21 · 11 · 1/4 |
| 1 | Bandari | 1 · 11 · 1/2 · 11/2 · 11 · 11 · 21 · 1/4 |
| 6 | Tulio | 2 · 42 · 31 · 21 · 31 · 33 |
| 5 | Save Our Soul | 4 · 32 · 42 · 32 · 41 · 1/4 · 44 · 1/4 |
| 7 | Eh Han | 5 · 63 · 3/4 · 63 · 62 · 1/4 · 54 · 1/4 · 56 · 1/4 |
| 4 | Power Royal | 3 · 21 · 1/2 · 21/2 · 42 · 66 · 1/4 · 612 · 1/2 |
| 3 | Bro | 7 · 73 · 3/4 · 74 · 74 · 1/4 · 711 · 1/4 · 722 |
MEGAPLUMB broke slow to give the field several lengths, angled in rushing to contention into the first turn, was hard held to be kept off heels while racing between rivals through the turn, remained between in traffic to the far turn, angled out five wide at the top of the lane and rallied well when in the clear to be up in the final sixteenth while showing signs of greeness in the lane. BANDARI set the pace on a well measured lead for three-quarters, responded when called upon turning for home to maintain the advantage to deep stretch and was overtaken late in a good effort. TULIO stalked the pace from four wide in the clear to midway on the final turn, rallied to loom at the top of the lane and failedto get passed the pacesetter through the lane. SAVE OUR SOUL tracked the leaders from the fence to be well placed in a prominent position when cutting the corner turning for home and flattened out in the final furlong. EH HAN chased the leaders from four wide in the second flight to midway on the far turn and faded. POWER ROYAL pressed the pace from between rivals to early on the final bend and gave way lacking a response when called on in the turn. BRO broke slow to give the field a few lengths and never recovered trailing throughout.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #8 Megaplumb · close 3.10-1
- MEGAPLUMB broke slow to give the field several lengths, angled in rushing to contention into the first turn, was hard held to be kept off heels while racing between rivals through the turn, remained between in traffic to the far turn, angled out five wide at the top of the lane and rallied well when in the clear to be up in the final sixteenth while showing signs of greeness in the lane.
- BANDARI set the pace on a well measured lead for three-quarters, responded when called upon turning for home to maintain the advantage to deep stretch and was overtaken late in a good effort.
- TULIO stalked the pace from four wide in the clear to midway on the final turn, rallied to loom at the top of the lane and failedto get passed the pacesetter through the lane.
- SAVE OUR SOUL tracked the leaders from the fence to be well placed in a prominent position when cutting the corner turning for home and flattened out in the final furlong.
- EH HAN chased the leaders from four wide in the second flight to midway on the far turn and faded.
- POWER ROYAL pressed the pace from between rivals to early on the final bend and gave way lacking a response when called on in the turn.
- BRO broke slow to give the field a few lengths and never recovered trailing throughout.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Megaplumb | 3.10-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 1 | Bandari | 2.30-1 | 1.75 |
| 3 | 6 | Tulio | 3.10-1 | 1.25 |
| 4 | 5 | Save Our Soul | 19.6-1 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | Eh Han | 3.80-1 | 6.25 |
| 6 | 4 | Power Royal | 23.8-1 | 9.5 |
| 7 | 3 | Bro | 6.60-1 | 22 |
| SCR | — | Hidden Danger | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: MEGAPLUMB broke slow to give the field several lengths, angled in rushing to contention into the first turn, was hard held to be kept off heels while racing between rivals through the turn, remained between in traffic to the far turn, angled out five wide at the top of the lane and rallied well when in the clear to be up in the final sixteenth while showing signs of greeness in the lane. BANDARI set the pace on a well measured lead for three-quarters, responded when called upon turning for home to maintain the advantage to deep stretch and was overtaken late in a good effort. TULIO stalked the pace from four wide in the clear to midway on the final turn, rallied to loom at the top of the lane and failedto get passed the pacesetter through the lane. SAVE OUR SOUL tracked the leaders from the fence to be well placed in a prominent position when cutting the corner turning for home and flattened out in the final furlong. EH HAN chased the leaders from four wide in the second flight to midway on the far turn and faded. POWER ROYAL pressed the pace from between rivals to early on the final bend and gave way lacking a response when called on in the turn. BRO broke slow to give the field a few lengths and never recovered trailing throughout. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE No dedicated early speed; crawl likely; one-run closers starved for a target; pace-unknown field, moderate volatility · CHALK #2 HIDDEN DANGER · opposable · dirt-to-turf + first-at-route key stats both negative ROI; style unknown; single route PP on dirt CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-27 GP R2 pass_ok · winner #8 MEGAPLUMB @ 3.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3#3 Imperia Blue · 0.30-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.49 · 49.27 · 1:14.06 · 1:39.28 · Final 1:46.08
Splits (24:78) (24:79) (25:22) (6:80)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Imperia Blue | 2 · 21 · 1/2 · 21/2 · 1Head · 11/2 · 11/2 |
| 4 | Thunder Princess | 4 · 11 · 1/2 · 11/2 · 2Head · 21/2 · 21/2 |
| 6 | Anna Jean | 3 · 43 · 44 · 1/2 · 46 · 49 · 1/2 · 39 |
| 1 | Bomb Squad | 1 · 32 · 33 · 1/2 · 34 · 38 · 1/2 · 411 · 1/4 |
IMPERIA BLUE pressed the pacesetter from three wide the entire trip to the far turn, rallied to take a short lead on the bend, kicked away turning for home and prevailed over the pesky runner-up down the lane. THUNDER PRINCESS set a well rated pace under constant pressure from the winner in their private match race, was overtaken on the final bend and stubbornly re-bid up the rail to be outfinished in a game effort. ANNA JEAN tracked the leaders from the back of the field racing four wide and showed some late interest without impact. BOMB SQUAD was one-paced never proving a threat.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #3 Imperia Blue · close 0.30-1
- IMPERIA BLUE pressed the pacesetter from three wide the entire trip to the far turn, rallied to take a short lead on the bend, kicked away turning for home and prevailed over the pesky runner-up down the lane.
- THUNDER PRINCESS set a well rated pace under constant pressure from the winner in their private match race, was overtaken on the final bend and stubbornly re-bid up the rail to be outfinished in a game effort.
- ANNA JEAN tracked the leaders from the back of the field racing four wide and showed some late interest without impact.
- BOMB SQUAD was one-paced never proving a threat.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Imperia Blue | 0.30-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 4 | Thunder Princess | 2.30-1 | 8.5 |
| 3 | 6 | Anna Jean | 8.10-1 | 2.25 |
| 4 | 1 | Bomb Squad | 16.0-1 | 11.25 |
| SCR | — | Mary Marguerite | — | — |
| SCR | — | Oxar | — | — |
| SCR | — | Slewty Princess | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: IMPERIA BLUE pressed the pacesetter from three wide the entire trip to the far turn, rallied to take a short lead on the bend, kicked away turning for home and prevailed over the pesky runner-up down the lane. THUNDER PRINCESS set a well rated pace under constant pressure from the winner in their private match race, was overtaken on the final bend and stubbornly re-bid up the rail to be outfinished in a game effort. ANNA JEAN tracked the leaders from the back of the field racing four wide and showed some late interest without impact. BOMB SQUAD was one-paced never proving a threat. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE No early speed; crawl likely; pressers and closers cycle; inside-rail and early-speed bias favors whoever controls a slow pace — helps #7 and #3, hurts one-run closers · CHALK #7 OXAR (1.8) and #3 IMPERIA BLUE (2.0) — both solid at the ML; OXAR has the stronger ready cycle (rising fig, trouble trip, barn change, route repeat) but 1.8 is unplayable price; IMPERIA BLUE is fair value at 2 but no model edge CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-27 GP R3 pass_ok · winner #3 IMPERIA BLUE @ 0.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4#6 Kip the Distance · 10.8-1play passWATCHRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 22.39 · 45.39 · 57.75 · Final 1:10.85
Splits (23:00) (12:36) (13:10)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kip the Distance | 3 · 21/2 · 11 · 12 · 12 · 1/4 |
| 2 | Sweet Agenda | 5 · 31 · 1/2 · 32 · 1/2 · 22 · 22 · 1/4 |
| 7 | Fully Entitled | 4 · 67 · 57 · 42 · 1/2 · 34 |
| 4 | Evanora | 6 · 53 · 44 · 54 · 45 |
| 1 | Girvin Star | 1 · 11/2 · 21 · 32 · 1/2 · 56 · 1/2 |
| 3 | Mo Hijinx | 2 · 41 · 1/2 · --- · --- · --- |
KIP THE DISTANCE pressed the pace to midway on the turn, assumed command nearing the quarter pole, kicked away in upper stretch and held well through the lane. SWEET AGENDA stalked the pace to be perfectly positioned in striking distance turning for home and lacked a closing kick, grinding down the lane as second best. FULLY ENTITLED slow early to be the trailer well off the pack down the backside and rallied steadily from midway on the turn to be along for the show. EVANORA checked back a step away from the gate when slow into stride, raced up to contention on the backstretch and went evenly from there home. GIRVIN STAR set the pace under pressure from the rail to nearly the quarter pole and weakened giving way in the lane. MO HIJINX was tracking the leader to the five-sixteenths pole when something went amiss, was pulled up on the bend, suffered a catastrophic injury and was humanely euthanized.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #6 Kip the Distance · close 10.8-1
- KIP THE DISTANCE pressed the pace to midway on the turn, assumed command nearing the quarter pole, kicked away in upper stretch and held well through the lane.
- SWEET AGENDA stalked the pace to be perfectly positioned in striking distance turning for home and lacked a closing kick, grinding down the lane as second best.
- FULLY ENTITLED slow early to be the trailer well off the pack down the backside and rallied steadily from midway on the turn to be along for the show.
- EVANORA checked back a step away from the gate when slow into stride, raced up to contention on the backstretch and went evenly from there home.
- GIRVIN STAR set the pace under pressure from the rail to nearly the quarter pole and weakened giving way in the lane.
- MO HIJINX was tracking the leader to the five-sixteenths pole when something went amiss, was pulled up on the bend, suffered a catastrophic injury and was humanely euthanized.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Kip the Distance | 10.8-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Agenda | 0.90-1 | 1.75 |
| 3 | 7 | Fully Entitled | 9.10-1 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | Evanora | 4.40-1 | 1.5 |
| 5 | 1 | Girvin Star | 3-1 | 6.5 |
| 6 | 3 | Mo Hijinx | 10.7-1 | — |
| SCR | — | It's Only Words | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · #1 GIRVIN STAR is the only non-chalk overlay and 3-1 lone speed that flattened last out in a weaker spot does not clear the price bar; no primed horse has a positive edge; no ticket · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- WATCH · #1 GIRVIN STAR · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: KIP THE DISTANCE pressed the pace to midway on the turn, assumed command nearing the quarter pole, kicked away in upper stretch and held well through the lane. SWEET AGENDA stalked the pace to be perfectly positioned in striking distance turning for home and lacked a closing kick, grinding down the lane as second best. FULLY ENTITLED slow early to be the trailer well off the pack down the backside and rallied steadily from midway on the turn to be along for the show. EVANORA checked back a step away from the gate when slow into stride, raced up to contention on the backstretch and went evenly from there home. GIRVIN STAR set the pace under pressure from the rail to nearly the quarter pole and weakened giving way in the lane. MO HIJINX was tracking the leader to the five-sixteenths pole when something went amiss, was pulled up on the bend, suffered a catastrophic injury and was humanely euthanized. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · #1 GIRVIN STAR is the only non-chalk overlay and 3-1 lone speed that flattened last out in a weaker spot does not clear the price bar; no primed horse has a positive edge; no ticket · SHAPE Lone speed (#1 GIRVIN STAR) with moderate pressure from pressers; inside rail + speed bias favors front-runners; closers need a pace melt · CHALK #2 SWEET AGENDA 1.4 · short · class drop is real (fClm30000bc → OClm 12500) and she has sprint form, but 1.4-1 is not a ticket in any frame CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #1 GIRVIN STAR · 2026-09-27 GP R4 overlay_miss · winner #6 KIP THE DISTANCE @ 10.8 · overlay #1 GIRVIN STAR edge 0.022 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5#6 Come On Teesha · 11.0-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 20.49 · 42.98 · Final 55.13
Splits (22:49) (12:15)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Come On Teesha | 1 · 33 · 33 · 22 · 1/2 · 12 |
| 9 | Flowko | 4 · 64 · 1/2 · 45 · 1/2 · 55 · 22 |
| 1 | Neodera | 3 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 12 · 1/2 · 32 |
| 3 | Laila Bella Girl | 9 · 54 · 55 · 1/2 · 45 · 42 · 1/4 |
| 5 | Ninia | 2 · 21/2 · 21/2 · 33 · 1/2 · 53 · 3/4 |
| 10 | Cryingintherain (GB) | 6 · 98 · 910 · 1/2 · 66 · 1/2 · 64 |
| 2 | Amasia | 7 · 43 · 1/2 · 67 · 1/2 · 78 · 1/2 · 78 · 1/4 |
| 8 | Champagne Brunch | 5 · 86 · 1/2 · 89 · 1/2 · 99 · 3/4 · 89 · 1/4 |
| 7 | Dominant Diva | 8 · 75 · 78 · 89 · 1/2 · 99 · 3/4 |
COME ON TEESHA stalked the leaders in a clear pocket through the turn, rallied in upper stretch to overtake the tiring pacesetter in deep stretch and kicked clear late. FLOWKO reserved in mid-pack four wide on the outside into the turn, rallied five wide turning for home and mounted a good bid to be up for the place. NEODERA set a fast pace under mild pressure through the turn, pulled away in upper stretch and tired late in the lane paying the price for the early effort. LAILA BELLA GIRL rated in mid-field on the bend, rallied in tandem with the runner-up in the lane and came up short. NINIA pressed the rapid pace to the head of the stretch and steadily weakened down the lane. CRYINGINTHERAIN (GB) was slow early to be the trailer and rallied with a belated bid in the stretch. AMASIA was well placed early tracking the leaders and faded from contention. CHAMPAGNE BRUNCH went evenly posing no threat. DOMINANT DIVA failed to menace dropping to the rear in the stretch.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #6 Come On Teesha · close 11.0-1
- COME ON TEESHA stalked the leaders in a clear pocket through the turn, rallied in upper stretch to overtake the tiring pacesetter in deep stretch and kicked clear late.
- FLOWKO reserved in mid-pack four wide on the outside into the turn, rallied five wide turning for home and mounted a good bid to be up for the place.
- NEODERA set a fast pace under mild pressure through the turn, pulled away in upper stretch and tired late in the lane paying the price for the early effort.
- LAILA BELLA GIRL rated in mid-field on the bend, rallied in tandem with the runner-up in the lane and came up short.
- NINIA pressed the rapid pace to the head of the stretch and steadily weakened down the lane.
- CRYINGINTHERAIN (GB) was slow early to be the trailer and rallied with a belated bid in the stretch.
- AMASIA was well placed early tracking the leaders and faded from contention.
- CHAMPAGNE BRUNCH went evenly posing no threat.
- DOMINANT DIVA failed to menace dropping to the rear in the stretch.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Come On Teesha | 11.0-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 9 | Flowko | 17.9-1 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1 | Neodera | 1-1 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 3 | Laila Bella Girl | 6.60-1 | 1.5 |
| 5 | 5 | Ninia | 3.20-1 | 0.05 |
| 6 | 10 | Cryingintherain (GB) | 11.0-1 | 4.25 |
| 7 | 2 | Amasia | 16.0-1 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Brunch | 28.9-1 | 0.5 |
| 9 | 7 | Dominant Diva | 18.8-1 | 9.75 |
| SCR | — | Denver's Alley | — | — |
| SCR | — | Miss Beethoven (FR) | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: COME ON TEESHA stalked the leaders in a clear pocket through the turn, rallied in upper stretch to overtake the tiring pacesetter in deep stretch and kicked clear late. FLOWKO reserved in mid-pack four wide on the outside into the turn, rallied five wide turning for home and mounted a good bid to be up for the place. NEODERA set a fast pace under mild pressure through the turn, pulled away in upper stretch and tired late in the lane paying the price for the early effort. LAILA BELLA GIRL rated in mid-field on the bend, rallied in tandem with the runner-up in the lane and came up short. NINIA pressed the rapid pace to the head of the stretch and steadily weakened down the lane. CRYINGINTHERAIN (GB) was slow early to be the trailer and rallied with a belated bid in the stretch. AMASIA was well placed early tracking the leaders and faded from contention. CHAMPAGNE BRUNCH went evenly posing no threat. DOMINANT DIVA failed to menace dropping to the rear in the stretch. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of speed (6 E/EP types); extreme pace pressure favors the lone presser or deep stalker; chalk #1 is the class of the field but unplayable at 3-1 · CHALK #1 NEODERA · solid · back-to-back 86 figs at this exact trip, led wire-to-wire twice, but 3-1 ML is no price CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-27 GP R5 pass_ok · winner #6 COME ON TEESHA @ 11 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6#2 David Pepperman · 9-1play floorBETRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 22.61 · 46.68 · 1:12.06 · 1:37.50 · Final 1:44.33
Splits (24:07) (25:38) (25:44) (6:83)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | David Pepperman | 7 · 915 · 1/2 · 810 · 64 · 3/4 · 11 · 14 · 1/2 |
| 9 | Sky Masterson | 5 · 49 · 1/2 · 34 · 1/2 · 21 · 1/2 · 21 · 24 · 1/2 |
| 6 | Sponge Time | 4 · 510 · 67 · 1/2 · 54 · 1/2 · 45 · 1/2 · 35 · 1/2 |
| 4 | Pardo | 2 · 37 · 56 · 75 · 1/4 · 56 · 1/2 · 46 |
| 3 | Smooth an Easy | 6 · 814 · 912 · 1/2 · 99 · 3/4 · 89 · 58 · 1/2 |
| 1 | Tonytone | 8 · 611 · 46 · 33 · 1/2 · 35 · 68 · 1/2 |
| 7 | My Foolish Notion | 9 · 714 · 79 · 1/2 · 86 · 3/4 · 68 · 78 · 3/4 |
| 5 | Chalky White | 1 · 13 · 14 · 11 · 1/2 · 78 · 1/2 · 825 · 3/4 |
| 8 | Rockazo | 3 · 23 · 24 · 43 · 1/2 · 913 · 928 · 3/4 |
DAVID PEPPERMAN was slow early to race at the rear of the field, picked up momentum down the backstretch, circled with an early, strong bid on the far turn to take command turning for home and kicked away in the lane unthreatened. SKY MASTERSON stalked the pace to the far turn, rallied to engage the leader midway on the bend, was no match for the winner turning for home and ran-on willingly to hold the place. SPONGE TIME rated in mid-pack down the backside, continued to track through the turn, rallied in upper stretch and was grinding in the lane to slowly be gaining for the place. PARDO tracked the leaders through the first turn, lost position fading to near the rear for the next half mile and re-bid coming hme to be along late. SMOOTH AN EASY trailed most of the way and showed some late interest passing weaker. TONYTONE made a middle move down the backside to be prominently placed turning for home and failed to sustain the bid in the stretch. MY FOOLISH NOTION went evenly failing to menace. CHALKY WHITE set a fast pace on a clear lead, widened the advantage down the backstretch while still going quickly and gave way turning for home. ROCKAZO prompted the fast pace in the first turn, settled to stalk off the run away pacesetter on the backstretch and was through early.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #2 David Pepperman · close 9-1
- DAVID PEPPERMAN was slow early to race at the rear of the field, picked up momentum down the backstretch, circled with an early, strong bid on the far turn to take command turning for home and kicked away in the lane unthreatened.
- SKY MASTERSON stalked the pace to the far turn, rallied to engage the leader midway on the bend, was no match for the winner turning for home and ran-on willingly to hold the place.
- SPONGE TIME rated in mid-pack down the backside, continued to track through the turn, rallied in upper stretch and was grinding in the lane to slowly be gaining for the place.
- PARDO tracked the leaders through the first turn, lost position fading to near the rear for the next half mile and re-bid coming hme to be along late.
- SMOOTH AN EASY trailed most of the way and showed some late interest passing weaker.
- TONYTONE made a middle move down the backside to be prominently placed turning for home and failed to sustain the bid in the stretch.
- MY FOOLISH NOTION went evenly failing to menace.
- CHALKY WHITE set a fast pace on a clear lead, widened the advantage down the backstretch while still going quickly and gave way turning for home.
- ROCKAZO prompted the fast pace in the first turn, settled to stalk off the run away pacesetter on the backstretch and was through early.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | David Pepperman | 9-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 9 | Sky Masterson | 5.20-1 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | Sponge Time | 41.6-1 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 4 | Pardo | 2-1 | 2.5 |
| 5 | 3 | Smooth an Easy | 42.6-1 | 0.2 |
| 6 | 1 | Tonytone | 1.40-1 | 0.3 |
| 7 | 7 | My Foolish Notion | 42.0-1 | 17 |
| 8 | 5 | Chalky White | 9-1 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | Rockazo | 28.1-1 | 28.75 |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- #4 PARDO · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if shorter at the window) · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor
- Price model
- BET · #4 PARDO · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: DAVID PEPPERMAN was slow early to race at the rear of the field, picked up momentum down the backstretch, circled with an early, strong bid on the far turn to take command turning for home and kicked away in the lane unthreatened. SKY MASTERSON stalked the pace to the far turn, rallied to engage the leader midway on the bend, was no match for the winner turning for home and ran-on willingly to hold the place. SPONGE TIME rated in mid-pack down the backside, continued to track through the turn, rallied in upper stretch and was grinding in the lane to slowly be gaining for the place. PARDO tracked the leaders through the first turn, lost position fading to near the rear for the next half mile and re-bid coming hme to be along late. SMOOTH AN EASY trailed most of the way and showed some late interest passing weaker. TONYTONE made a middle move down the backside to be prominently placed turning for home and failed to sustain the bid in the stretch. MY FOOLISH NOTION went evenly failing to menace. CHALKY WHITE set a fast pace on a clear lead, widened the advantage down the backstretch while still going quickly and gave way turning for home. ROCKAZO prompted the fast pace in the first turn, settled to stalk off the run away pacesetter on the backstretch and was through early. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #4 PARDO · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if shorter at the window) · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#8/#7, outside posts, bias against) — pace high, stalkers and pressers from post 4-5 favored in A/B · CHALK #1 TONYTONE · short (2.5-1) · class dropper with ready flags but too short to price CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model BET #4 PARDO · 2026-09-27 GP R6 floor_miss · winner #2 DAVID PEPPERMAN @ 9 · overlay #4 PARDO edge 0.044 · PLAY floor #4 — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7#5 War Warrior · 9-1play floorWATCHRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 23.56 · 47.00 · 1:09.80 · 1:21.50 · Final 1:33.72
Splits (23:44) (22:80) (11:70) (12:22)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | War Warrior | 1 · 11 · 11 · 1Head · 11 · 1Neck |
| 4 | Brigade Commander | 6 · 64 · 1/2 · 63 · 1/2 · 54 · 43 · 2Neck |
| 2 | Quizler | 2 · 54 · 42 · 32 · 32 · 1/2 · 31 |
| 8 | Shinigami | 4 · 21 · 21 · 2Head · 21 · 41 |
| 6 | Navy Cross | 5 · 42 · 1/2 · 52 · 1/2 · 42 · 1/2 · 64 · 1/2 · 53 · 1/4 |
| 7 | Alinao Forever | 7 · 77 · 76 · 76 · 1/4 · 77 · 1/2 · 63 · 1/2 |
| 1 | Gold Foot | 3 · 32 · 1/2 · 32 · 64 · 1/4 · 54 · 74 · 3/4 |
WAR WARRIOR set the pace on a well rationed lead to the turn, repelled the bid of the presser at the quarter pole to kick away in mid-stretch and just held the closer safe. BRIGADE COMMANDER unhurried early to race near the rear of the pack for the first half mile, cut the corner turning for home and rallied well up the fence to be gaining late. QUIZLER rated in mid-pack in the early going, edged closer from between rivals into the turn, angled four wide rallying in upper stretch and could not get passed the top pair late in a good effort. SHINIGAMI pressed the pace into the turn, rallied to challenge the winner on the turn, was turned away at the head of the stretch and weakened in the lane. NAVY CROSS stalked the pace from five wide to be prominently placed and lacked a closing response finishing evenly. ALINAO FOREVER was not a threat. GOLD FOOT bobbled a step away from the gate, quickly recovered to track the leaders from the inside and was through early.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #5 War Warrior · close 9-1
- WAR WARRIOR set the pace on a well rationed lead to the turn, repelled the bid of the presser at the quarter pole to kick away in mid-stretch and just held the closer safe.
- BRIGADE COMMANDER unhurried early to race near the rear of the pack for the first half mile, cut the corner turning for home and rallied well up the fence to be gaining late.
- QUIZLER rated in mid-pack in the early going, edged closer from between rivals into the turn, angled four wide rallying in upper stretch and could not get passed the top pair late in a good effort.
- SHINIGAMI pressed the pace into the turn, rallied to challenge the winner on the turn, was turned away at the head of the stretch and weakened in the lane.
- NAVY CROSS stalked the pace from five wide to be prominently placed and lacked a closing response finishing evenly.
- ALINAO FOREVER was not a threat.
- GOLD FOOT bobbled a step away from the gate, quickly recovered to track the leaders from the inside and was through early.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | War Warrior | 9-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 4 | Brigade Commander | 1.90-1 | 0.75 |
| 3 | 2 | Quizler | 2.90-1 | 0.05 |
| 4 | 8 | Shinigami | 12.4-1 | 2.25 |
| 5 | 6 | Navy Cross | 10.0-1 | 0.3 |
| 6 | 7 | Alinao Forever | 27.6-1 | 1.25 |
| 7 | 1 | Gold Foot | 2.10-1 | 4.75 |
| SCR | — | Always True | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- #1 GOLD FOOT · win · minimum 3-1 (at shorter, PASS) — class drop from allowance is a send, not a dump; the barn ROI is poor on turf so fade if price slips · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor
- Price model
- WATCH · #1 GOLD FOOT · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: WAR WARRIOR set the pace on a well rationed lead to the turn, repelled the bid of the presser at the quarter pole to kick away in mid-stretch and just held the closer safe. BRIGADE COMMANDER unhurried early to race near the rear of the pack for the first half mile, cut the corner turning for home and rallied well up the fence to be gaining late. QUIZLER rated in mid-pack in the early going, edged closer from between rivals into the turn, angled four wide rallying in upper stretch and could not get passed the top pair late in a good effort. SHINIGAMI pressed the pace into the turn, rallied to challenge the winner on the turn, was turned away at the head of the stretch and weakened in the lane. NAVY CROSS stalked the pace from five wide to be prominently placed and lacked a closing response finishing evenly. ALINAO FOREVER was not a threat. GOLD FOOT bobbled a step away from the gate, quickly recovered to track the leaders from the inside and was through early. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #1 GOLD FOOT · win · minimum 3-1 (at shorter, PASS) — class drop from allowance is a send, not a dump; the barn ROI is poor on turf so fade if price slips · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#6 vs #8) collapses the front; stalkers and pressers inherit — #4 (chalk) is best-placed but priced accordingly; posts 8+ have won 0% per bias · CHALK #4 BRIGADE COMMANDER · solid · rising figs, barn change, top late pace, clean stalking path in A/B, but 2.5 ML prices the story CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model WATCH #1 GOLD FOOT · 2026-09-27 GP R7 floor_miss · winner #5 WAR WARRIOR @ 9 · overlay #1 GOLD FOOT edge 0.025 · PLAY floor #1 — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8#3 Arabia Wild · 4.10-1play outBETRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.52 · 47.02 · 1:11.40 · 1:24.15 · Final 1:37.19
Splits (22:50) (24:38) (12:75) (13:04)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Arabia Wild | 5 · 31/2 · 21/2 · 1Head · 1Head · 12 · 1/4 |
| 1 | Commendatore | 1 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 31/2 · 2Head · 22 · 1/4 |
| 2 | Nice Try Riley | 6 · 62 · 1/4 · 42 · 1/2 · 2Head · 31/2 · 34 · 1/4 |
| 4 | Rule Seventy Six | 7 · 78 · 1/4 · 79 · 1/2 · 75 · 1/2 · 44 · 1/2 · 46 · 1/4 |
| 7 | El Orejon | 2 · 43/4 · 53 · 65 · 68 · 513 · 3/4 |
| 5 | Hard Talk | 4 · 51 · 3/4 · 63 · 1/2 · 43 · 1/2 · 57 · 615 |
| 6 | Classic Equation | 3 · 21/2 · 32 · 54 · 79 · 721 · 1/4 |
ARABIA WILD pressed the pace down the backside, rallied three wide to take a short lead at the quarter pole, repelled the sustained bids of the pacesetter and the rallying show horse in mid-stretch and pulled clear late in a well handled ride. COMMENDATORE set teh pace under pressure to midway on the turn, surrendered the lead turning for home, came back stubbornly to battle in upper stretch and ran on while unable to match the winner late. NICE TRY RILEY rated in the early going to race mid-pack, rallied to prominence on the turn, took a short lead five wide in upper stretch when sweeping to engage the leaders and was turned away in mid-stretch. RULE SEVENTY SIX trailed to the top of the lane and showed some late interest passing weaker in the stretch. EL OREJON failed to menace. HARD TALK raced up from the back of the pace to close the gap on the turn and failed to sustain the bid fading from contention down the lane. CLASSIC EQUATION pressed the early pace and was through after a half mile.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #3 Arabia Wild · close 4.10-1
- ARABIA WILD pressed the pace down the backside, rallied three wide to take a short lead at the quarter pole, repelled the sustained bids of the pacesetter and the rallying show horse in mid-stretch and pulled clear late in a well handled ride.
- COMMENDATORE set teh pace under pressure to midway on the turn, surrendered the lead turning for home, came back stubbornly to battle in upper stretch and ran on while unable to match the winner late.
- NICE TRY RILEY rated in the early going to race mid-pack, rallied to prominence on the turn, took a short lead five wide in upper stretch when sweeping to engage the leaders and was turned away in mid-stretch.
- RULE SEVENTY SIX trailed to the top of the lane and showed some late interest passing weaker in the stretch.
- EL OREJON failed to menace.
- HARD TALK raced up from the back of the pace to close the gap on the turn and failed to sustain the bid fading from contention down the lane.
- CLASSIC EQUATION pressed the early pace and was through after a half mile.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Arabia Wild | 4.10-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 1 | Commendatore | 5.40-1 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | Nice Try Riley | 1.80-1 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | Rule Seventy Six | 9.40-1 | 7.5 |
| 5 | 7 | El Orejon | 3-1 | 1.25 |
| 6 | 5 | Hard Talk | 7.40-1 | 6.25 |
| 7 | 6 | Classic Equation | 24.0-1 | 21.25 |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- #7 EL OREJON · win · minimum 3-1 (ML is exactly 3; need the board to hold or go slightly over — at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · PLAY out · chalk_not_opposable · out
- Price model
- BET · #2 NICE TRY RILEY · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: ARABIA WILD pressed the pace down the backside, rallied three wide to take a short lead at the quarter pole, repelled the sustained bids of the pacesetter and the rallying show horse in mid-stretch and pulled clear late in a well handled ride. COMMENDATORE set teh pace under pressure to midway on the turn, surrendered the lead turning for home, came back stubbornly to battle in upper stretch and ran on while unable to match the winner late. NICE TRY RILEY rated in the early going to race mid-pack, rallied to prominence on the turn, took a short lead five wide in upper stretch when sweeping to engage the leaders and was turned away in mid-stretch. RULE SEVENTY SIX trailed to the top of the lane and showed some late interest passing weaker in the stretch. EL OREJON failed to menace. HARD TALK raced up from the back of the pace to close the gap on the turn and failed to sustain the bid fading from contention down the lane. CLASSIC EQUATION pressed the early pace and was through after a half mile. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #7 EL OREJON · win · minimum 3-1 (ML is exactly 3; need the board to hold or go slightly over — at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#1 E vs #2 EP) on a speed-bias/inside-rail track; duel expected to soften them late; stalkers #7 and #5 best positioned in scenarios A and B · CHALK #3 ARABIA WILD (ML 2) · fade · closing style, negative model edge (-0.034), massive class jump (OC75k → Clm35k is a dump drop after flat figures, 1st-time claiming penalty severe at 6.25% win), zForm -1.50; #1 COMMENDATORE (ML 2.5) · fade · sprinter stretching to a route it has struggled to sustain, zPace -0.73, class jump from Clm17.5k, no route win in PP lines CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet play_out · out · chalk_not_opposable · price model BET #2 NICE TRY RILEY · 2026-09-27 GP R8 overlay_miss · winner #3 ARABIA WILD @ 4.1 · overlay #2 NICE TRY RILEY edge 0.045 · PLAY out #7 — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R9#9 Nickel C · 5.30-1play outWATCHRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 23.20 · 46.65 · 1:09.80 · 1:21.79 · Final 1:34.03
Splits (23:45) (23:15) (11:99) (12:24)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nickel C | 9 · 96 · 3/4 · 86 · 74 · 42 · 1/2 · 1Head |
| 8 | Souper Attentive | 2 · 32 · 31 · 1/2 · 31 · 1/2 · 21 · 2Head |
| 3 | Aegon Targaryen | 4 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 11 · 11 · 31/2 |
| 1 | Win N Juice | 1 · 42 · 42 · 63 · 1/2 · 32 · 1/2 · 42 · 3/4 |
| 7 | Justin Smiles | 8 · 86 · 1/4 · 96 · 1/2 · 95 · 1/2 · 84 · 3/4 · 53 · 3/4 |
| 4 | Prost | 3 · 21/2 · 21/2 · 21 · 52 · 3/4 · 64 · 1/4 |
| 5 | Won for Lou | 7 · 63 · 3/4 · 64 · 42 · 63 · 1/4 · 74 · 1/2 |
| 6 | Gus Swayze | 5 · 53 · 1/2 · 53 · 1/2 · 52 · 1/2 · 74 · 3/4 · 89 |
| 2 | My Voodoo Doll | 6 · 74 · 3/4 · 75 · 1/2 · 85 · 96 · 3/4 · 914 |
NICKEL C broke a half step tardy, settled at the rear while unhurried through the first turn, raced up the rail on the backside with a steady gain, angled out through traffic on the far turn to emerge from the pack four wide at the top of the lane and finished well to be up in the nick of time. SOUPER ATTENTIVE stalked the pace for three-quarters, rallied turning for home, wore the pacesetter down inside the eighth pole to take the lead and was nailed in the final stride by the winner in a good effort. AEGON TARGARYEN set the pace on a well rationed lead having something in reserve for the drive, kicked clear turning for home and was outfinished in the final sixteenth. WIN N JUICE tracked the leaders in striking distance throughout and lacked a closing kick in the stretch. JUSTIN SMILES raced wide in the first turn dropped to the rear of the field into the final turn and found his best stride late to make a mild bid in the stretch. PROST pressed the pace for a half, was put to an early drive on the turn to keep pace and steadily weakened through the lane. WON FOR LOU raced in mid-pack and went evenly lacking a bid for the stretch. GUS SWAYZE was rank onto the backside fighting restraint from four wide, settled nearing the half mile pole and faded from contention turning for home. MY VOODOO DOLL was hard to handle through the first turn, dropped to the rear on the backstretch and was never a factor.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #9 Nickel C · close 5.30-1
- NICKEL C broke a half step tardy, settled at the rear while unhurried through the first turn, raced up the rail on the backside with a steady gain, angled out through traffic on the far turn to emerge from the pack four wide at the top of the lane and finished well to be up in the nick of time.
- SOUPER ATTENTIVE stalked the pace for three-quarters, rallied turning for home, wore the pacesetter down inside the eighth pole to take the lead and was nailed in the final stride by the winner in a good effort.
- AEGON TARGARYEN set the pace on a well rationed lead having something in reserve for the drive, kicked clear turning for home and was outfinished in the final sixteenth.
- WIN N JUICE tracked the leaders in striking distance throughout and lacked a closing kick in the stretch.
- JUSTIN SMILES raced wide in the first turn dropped to the rear of the field into the final turn and found his best stride late to make a mild bid in the stretch.
- PROST pressed the pace for a half, was put to an early drive on the turn to keep pace and steadily weakened through the lane.
- WON FOR LOU raced in mid-pack and went evenly lacking a bid for the stretch.
- GUS SWAYZE was rank onto the backside fighting restraint from four wide, settled nearing the half mile pole and faded from contention turning for home.
- MY VOODOO DOLL was hard to handle through the first turn, dropped to the rear on the backstretch and was never a factor.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Nickel C | 5.30-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 8 | Souper Attentive | 4.20-1 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3 | Aegon Targaryen | 4.80-1 | 2.25 |
| 4 | 1 | Win N Juice | 5-1 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | Justin Smiles | 6.20-1 | 0.5 |
| 6 | 4 | Prost | 8.70-1 | 0.3 |
| 7 | 5 | Won for Lou | 4.30-1 | 4.5 |
| 8 | 6 | Gus Swayze | 30.9-1 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | My Voodoo Doll | 15.0-1 | 14 |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- #1 WIN N JUICE · 8-1 minimum · WIN · at 5-1 or shorter, pass · PLAY out · play_out · out
- Price model
- WATCH · #1 WIN N JUICE · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: NICKEL C broke a half step tardy, settled at the rear while unhurried through the first turn, raced up the rail on the backside with a steady gain, angled out through traffic on the far turn to emerge from the pack four wide at the top of the lane and finished well to be up in the nick of time. SOUPER ATTENTIVE stalked the pace for three-quarters, rallied turning for home, wore the pacesetter down inside the eighth pole to take the lead and was nailed in the final stride by the winner in a good effort. AEGON TARGARYEN set the pace on a well rationed lead having something in reserve for the drive, kicked clear turning for home and was outfinished in the final sixteenth. WIN N JUICE tracked the leaders in striking distance throughout and lacked a closing kick in the stretch. JUSTIN SMILES raced wide in the first turn dropped to the rear of the field into the final turn and found his best stride late to make a mild bid in the stretch. PROST pressed the pace for a half, was put to an early drive on the turn to keep pace and steadily weakened through the lane. WON FOR LOU raced in mid-pack and went evenly lacking a bid for the stretch. GUS SWAYZE was rank onto the backside fighting restraint from four wide, settled nearing the half mile pole and faded from contention turning for home. MY VOODOO DOLL was hard to handle through the first turn, dropped to the rear on the backstretch and was never a factor. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #1 WIN N JUICE · 8-1 minimum · WIN · at 5-1 or shorter, pass · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#3 vs #8 on the front) into honest-to-fast fractions; stalkers and pressers off the pace benefit in A and B · CHALK #5 WON FOR LOU · short · model edge 0.001, essentially even money with the market; solid horse but no price CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet play_out · out · play_out · price model WATCH #1 WIN N JUICE · 2026-09-27 GP R9 overlay_miss · winner #9 NICKEL C @ 5.3 · overlay #1 WIN N JUICE edge 0.020 · PLAY out #1 — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.