WO · 2026-10-10

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

chart missingCard →

Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.

R1no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — no non-chalk overlay; sheet rec confirmed · SHAPE All-closer field, no pace, crawl likely — stalkers with tactical position hold the edge · CHALK #6 CHOCOLATECROISSANT 1.4 (co-chalk with #3 RIDEAU FALLS 1.6) · solid · class drop, same distance, clean stalking trip in A/B

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R2no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — the only model overlay (#1) carries a critical surface disqualifier (0% ITM on first grass for barn); chalk (#2) cannot be the play; no price clears the bar · SHAPE Two-EP duel (#6/#4) sets honest-to-hot pace; rail bias favors inside closer; pace collapse opens door for C horses from mid-pack · CHALK #2 LOVEUMISSUMEANIT · short · rising figs, rail post, won last two at WO, but ML 1.8 is a wallet-closer not a ticket

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R3no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Duel risk (#3 vs #1 EP-EP); bias favors early speed but a hook helps the stalker #4 · CHALK #5 REB FIVE (ML 2, shortest) · usable but short · turf-to-AW switch, model under market (edge -0.045), pace style (C) leaves her C-scenario dependent

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R4no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #2 REMARKABLY HUMAN · min 3-1 · WIN — at 3-1 ML it is right at the floor; if board slides to 5-2 or shorter, PASS · SHAPE No dedicated early speed — crawl likely, closers need the pace to collapse; stalkers #4 and #2 get the cleanest trips but no guaranteed target · CHALK #4 ACCELERANDO (2-1) and #5 STARSHIP SERENITY (5-2) — both short, both opposable on figs (68 and 74 last out vs the field's best of 77), neither is a model overlay

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R5no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Pace nearly unknowable — seven debuts, one horse with PPs (a closer); bias favors early, but no confirmed E type; crawl or surprise speed both possible · dual chalk at 2 / 2.5 · CHALK #7 I KNEW I COULD (ML 2) and #5 SWIFTY KIM (ML 2.5) — both chalk; #5 is the more informative of the two with a rising fig (68 vs 60) and top field fig, but still chalk and edge zero; #7 is a first-timer with no PPs at all, short on works alone

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R6no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-EP duel (#2 vs #6) sets up stalkers; speed bias and inside rail favor #2's post-2 early position · CHALK #2 SILVERSTEIN · short/usable — 2nd off layoff, strong zSpeed/zPace, post 2 on an inside rail bias, model shows thin overlay (+0.043), but 1.6 ML is uninvestable price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R7no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #5 VANITY · win · minimum 3-1 (ML is 3; pass if board opens shorter at post) · SHAPE Lone speed (#3 PHAROAHS AFFAIR) clear in Scenario A; closers need a melt or a press in B/C · CHALK #4 ARETHA 2-1 · usable but short · turf-to-dirt switcher, negative zForm/zPace, model below market (-0.025), needs pace that may not materialize

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R8no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE No dedicated early; crawl likely; pressers/stalkers favored; inside rail bias; posts 8+ 0% winners · CHALK #4 SECRETLY DELIGHTED · opposable · fig trend declining (80→79→69), wide last trip, outer-post drift, no pace to collapse into

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R9no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#3 vs #5) frees the stalkers; bias favors early pace, but duel risk opens the door for #6 and #4 to inherit · CHALK #1 RAIDING PARTY 1.8 and #6 DIXIE LAW 1.6 — both chalk by ML; RAIDING PARTY has the stronger model edge but is a closer from post 1 in a speed-biased surface; DIXIE LAW is the rightful shape beneficiary but edge is 0.006, essentially no overlay

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R10no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-EP duel (#1/#7) sets up pressers/stalkers; speed bias favors early position but duel risk bleeds the leaders · CHALK #3 FORTYFIVESEVENTY · solid · top fig (91), same class, stalker path benefits from the duel, no shape reason to fade

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

R11no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet: no PLAY
Price model: — — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book: none

4. What we keep

Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#7 vs #5) sets up stalker/presser path; bias favors early and late equally · CHALK #2 OUT N OUT DISGRACE (2-1) · solid but short · top fig, rising cycle, A/B path as a closer — rightful favorite, not a play

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.