WO R6 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#2 vs #6)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2SILVERSTEINEP
- C2#4RAGING TIMBERC
- C3#6MISTER DUDEEP
- C4#1BALTIC SEAS
- C5#7TODO CORAZONS
- C6#5WU TANG KINGC
- C7#3MUY GRACIASC
Honest pace among #2 SILVERSTEIN and #6 MISTER DUDE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 BALTIC SEA, #7 TODO CORAZON · hurts #2 SILVERSTEIN, #6 MISTER DUDE
Pressure: #2 SILVERSTEIN and #6 MISTER DUDE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 BALTIC SEA, #7 TODO CORAZON · hurts #2 SILVERSTEIN, #6 MISTER DUDE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 RAGING TIMBER, #1 BALTIC SEA, #7 TODO CORAZON, #5 WU TANG KING, #3 MUY GRACIAS).
Helps #4 RAGING TIMBER, #1 BALTIC SEA, #7 TODO CORAZON, #5 WU TANG KING, #3 MUY GRACIAS · hurts #2 SILVERSTEIN, #6 MISTER DUDE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SILVERSTEINMORAN PIETRO | 1.6 | EP | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-22 WO 4f 49.00 B MT ft 2/5; 2026-09-16 WO 4f 48.40 B MT ft 2/14 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Moc 40000 | CARROLL JOSIE | Favorite |
| 6 | MISTER DUDEMORAN DAVID | 2.5 | EP | Rising figsLed last2026-10-04 WO 3f 37.60 B MT ft 6/14; 2026-09-26 WO 4f 47.60 B MT ft 4/70 · barn: same as last | Moc40000 → Moc 40000 | COX GAIL | Favorite |
| 1 | BALTIC SEADOUGLAS CHRISTOFF | 3.5 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-10-02 WO 4f 49.60 B MT ft 30/48; 2026-08-30 WO 4f 47.20 B TN fm bullet 1/17 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Moc 40000 | DIXON PATRICK | field |
| 3 | MUY GRACIASALDERSON JEFFREY IAN | 6.0 | C | Rising figs2026-10-03 WO 4f 49.40 B MT ft 45/73; 2026-09-26 WO 5f 62.00 B MT ft 15/22 · barn: same as last | Moc40000 → Moc 40000 | DAY-PHILLIPS CATHERI | field |
| 4 | RAGING TIMBERSAMUEL JALON L | 8.0 | C | —2026-10-02 WO 4f 49.60 B MT ft 30/48; 2026-09-25 WO 4f 50.00 B D TN fm 8/11 · barn: same as last | Moc40000 → Moc 40000 | DIXON PATRICK | field |
| 7 | TODO CORAZONMUNOZ LARRY | 20.0 | S | Barn changeTop last pace2026-10-01 WO 5f 62.00 B MT ft 5/6; 2026-08-11 ASD 4f 51.40 B MT ft 10/12 · barn: change vs TAPHORN MIKE | Md15000c → Moc 40000 | DOMINGUEZ SANDRA | field |
| 5 | WU TANG KINGFORDE XAREL | 20.0 | C | 2nd off layoffSharp work2026-10-03 WO 5f 62.20 H TT gd 1/1; 2026-08-21 WO 5f 61.80 B TT ft 4/6 · barn: same as last | Moc40000 → Moc 40000 | LAFOND RENICO E | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEWO R6 · 2026-10-10 · Turf / 1870y / MOC 40000
- SHAPETwo-EP duel (#2 vs #6) sets up stalkers; speed bias and inside rail favor #2's post-2 early position
- CHALKFavorite#2 SILVERSTEIN · short/usable — 2nd off layoff, strong zSpeed/zPace, post 2 on an inside rail bias, model shows thin overlay (+0.043), but 1.6 ML is uninvestable price
- LEANWinner call#2 SILVERSTEIN · best horse in the race; pace map, bias, and cycle all align
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price — no non-chalk overlay clears the bar
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#6 MISTER DUDE presses hard and sustains (rising-fig cycle, re-rallied last); off-turf scratch reshuffles the map entirely
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, going variant (firm vs soft changes closer/stalker equity), rider changes post-ingest
Why
Turf route at WO, MOC 40000, seven starters — moderate-to-high volatility given a two-EP duel map and a chalk priced well below fair value. Two EP types (#2 SILVERSTEIN, #6 MISTER DUDE) project to press each other on the front end, setting up stalkers #1 BALTIC SEA and #7 TODO CORAZON in scenarios A and B, but no non-chalk horse carries a two-flag primed signal with a clean overlay. No primed non-chalk horse qualifies: TODO CORAZON holds a barn change and top late pace but ships from dirt sprints into a turf route against a steep class jump, and the sheet correctly flags no PRIMED overlay.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SILVERSTEIN | 1.6 | 31.0% | 35.2% | +4.3% | 0.83 | EP | favorite2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 6 | MISTER DUDE | 2.5 | 23.0% | 20.4% | -2.6% | -0.17 | EP | favoriteRising figsLed last | — |
| 1 | BALTIC SEA | 3.5 | 17.9% | 19.2% | +1.3% | 0.60 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 3 | MUY GRACIAS | 6.0 | 11.5% | 10.2% | -1.3% | -0.18 | C | Rising figs | — |
| 4 | RAGING TIMBER | 8.0 | 8.9% | 9.1% | +0.1% | 0.37 | C | — | |
| 7 | TODO CORAZON | 20.0 | 3.8% | 3.3% | -0.6% | -0.31 | S | Barn changeTop last pace | — |
| 5 | WU TANG KING | 20.0 | 3.8% | 2.7% | -1.2% | -1.14 | C | 2nd off layoffSharp work | — |