What this card taught
- Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
- 1 floor miss — next sheet still tags FLOOR. A board shorter than the floor is a pass, not a blown horse.
- 2 PLAY outs stay on the memory line. That is a notice, not a weight.
- 1 board-inside-floor. Next sheet still writes a min. Shorter than that number is a pass.
- 1 chalk-not-opposable. Fade only when shape still opposes after the chart.
- 3 misses had no tote stamp. Floor never checked live.
Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.
| R | Winner | PLAY | Miss | Why | Overlay then | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | #6 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT 0.4-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-14 TDN R1 pass_ok · winner #6 HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT @ 0.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R2 | #3 ANICETTA 2.9-1 | Pass PASS — the only overlay is undermined by a structural post-position kill against a documented inside bias; no non-chalk horse earns a play | Pass held | — | WATCH #9 PLEASURE PEARL · +2.7% | Overlay miss 2026-09-14 TDN R2 overlay_miss · winner #3 ANICETTA @ 2.9 · overlay #9 PLEASURE PEARL edge 0.027 · PLAY pass |
| R3 | #6 MICHELLE MY BELLE 1.4-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-14 TDN R3 pass_ok · winner #6 MICHELLE MY BELLE @ 1.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R4 | #5 FEELING EASY 7.3-1 | Out #7 Come On Arlene · win · minimum 5-2 (ML is 3; if board drifts shorter, pass) | PLAY out | PLAY out no tote PLAY finished out of the money. No sharper why on the stored sheet. | BET #7 COME ON ARLENE · +7.8% | Overlay miss 2026-09-14 TDN R4 overlay_miss · winner #5 FEELING EASY @ 7.3 · overlay #7 COME ON ARLENE edge 0.078 · PLAY out #7 |
| R5 | #6 SEYVAL BLANC 6.1-1 | Floor #2 RENEWED · min 3-1 · win | Died at the floor | Board inside the floor no tote Close was shorter than the floor (3-1). Sheet already said pass at that number. | BET #2 RENEWED · +6.2% | Floor miss 2026-09-14 TDN R5 floor_miss · winner #6 SEYVAL BLANC @ 6.1 · overlay #2 RENEWED edge 0.062 · PLAY floor #2 |
| R6 | #1 PATRIARCHAL 0.7-1 | Out #4 REMEMBER THE FEAR · min 3-1 · win · at 5-2 or shorter, PASS | PLAY out | Chalk was not opposable no tote Sheet called chalk #1 fade; chalk won. Fade needs a shape reason that holds. | WATCH #4 REMEMBER THE FEAR · +2.2% | Overlay miss 2026-09-14 TDN R6 overlay_miss · winner #1 PATRIARCHAL @ 0.7 · overlay #4 REMEMBER THE FEAR edge 0.022 · PLAY out #4 |
| R7 | #7 TOASTMASTER 1.7-1 | Pass PASS — the only model overlay is chalk; no non-chalk horse clears an overlay threshold | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-14 TDN R7 pass_ok · winner #7 TOASTMASTER @ 1.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R8 | #9 AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 0.4-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-14 TDN R8 pass_ok · winner #9 AUTHORITARIAN GIRL @ 0.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
Built 2026-09-16 02:29Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).