What this card taught
- Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.
| R | Winner | PLAY | Miss | Why | Overlay then | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | #1 SMOOTH TRANSITION 3.7-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | WATCH #9 OXFORD STREET · +2.9% | Overlay miss 2026-09-13 MTH R1 overlay_miss · winner #1 SMOOTH TRANSITION @ 3.7 · overlay #9 OXFORD STREET edge 0.029 · PLAY pass |
| R2 | #6 ITS PRIME TIME 5.0-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | WATCH #6 ITS PRIME TIME · +2.3% | Overlay hit 2026-09-13 MTH R2 overlay_hit · winner #6 ITS PRIME TIME @ 5 · overlay #6 ITS PRIME TIME edge 0.023 · PLAY pass |
| R3 | #7 CUPIDS DUDE 10.0-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | BET #10 DENYING · +4.4% | Overlay miss 2026-09-13 MTH R3 overlay_miss · winner #7 CUPIDS DUDE @ 10 · overlay #10 DENYING edge 0.044 · PLAY pass |
| R4 | #4 THEGANGSALLHERE 3.1-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | WATCH #3 REGAL RULES · +2.6% | Overlay miss 2026-09-13 MTH R4 overlay_miss · winner #4 THEGANGSALLHERE @ 3.1 · overlay #3 REGAL RULES edge 0.026 · PLAY pass |
| R5 | #3 KHETAM 1.9-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | WATCH #5 T V MAN · +2.1% | Overlay miss 2026-09-13 MTH R5 overlay_miss · winner #3 KHETAM @ 1.9 · overlay #5 T V MAN edge 0.021 · PLAY pass |
| R6 | #7 SHADYSIDE 1.5-1 | Pass PASS — SHADYSIDE is the only primed horse with a path, but carries no price overlay, post 7 is a structural liability on an inside-rail track, and the model returns zero edge; no non-chalk overlay exists at any number to justify a win bet | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-13 MTH R6 pass_ok · winner #7 SHADYSIDE @ 1.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R7 | #2 POST COMMAND 14.2-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | BET #14 RERALLY · +3.5% | Overlay miss 2026-09-13 MTH R7 overlay_miss · winner #2 POST COMMAND @ 14.2 · overlay #14 RERALLY edge 0.035 · PLAY pass |
| R8 | #7 EXCELLION 2.3-1 | Pass PASS — no priced overlay clears the bar; #2 is nearly chalk by price (ML 3) and #5 has no model edge with a post working against the bias | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-13 MTH R8 pass_ok · winner #7 EXCELLION @ 2.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
Built 2026-09-14 02:18Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).