MTH · 2026-09-13

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.67 · 49.08 · 1:12.91 · 1:38.00 · Final 1:44.49

Splits (24:41) (23:83) (25:09) (6:49)

SMOOTH TRANSITION tracked close up early inside rivals, then vied inside for the lead, dueled with KNOWLEDGE SHARING on the far turn, battled back gamely inside of that rival in midstretch and drew clear under urging. KNOWLEDGE SHARING set the early pace between rivals, then vied outside on the backside, dueled with the winner on the far turn, led into the stretch, dug in gamely outside and came up second best. OXFORD STREET broke a step slow, raced close up early outside, stalked three wide, chased on the far turn and lacked a response.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #1 Smooth Transition · close 3.70-1

• SMOOTH TRANSITION tracked close up early inside rivals, then vied inside for the lead, dueled with KNOWLEDGE SHARING on the far turn, battled back gamely inside of that rival in midstretch and drew clear under urging.
• KNOWLEDGE SHARING set the early pace between rivals, then vied outside on the backside, dueled with the winner on the far turn, led into the stretch, dug in gamely outside and came up second best.
• OXFORD STREET broke a step slow, raced close up early outside, stalked three wide, chased on the far turn and lacked a response.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

WATCH · #9 OXFORD STREET · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SMOOTH TRANSITION tracked close up early inside rivals, then vied inside for the lead, dueled with KNOWLEDGE SHARING on the far turn, battled back gamely inside of that rival in midstretch and drew clear under urging. KNOWLEDGE SHARING set the early pace between rivals, then vied outside on the backside, dueled with the winner on the far turn, led into the stretch, dug in gamely outside and came up second best. OXFORD STREET broke a step slow, raced close up early outside, stalked three wide, chased on the far turn and lacked a response.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Thin early speed, bias toward inside rail and early types, post 10 primed horse swimming against both currents; moderate-to-high volatility with two first-timers · CHALK #3 RESOLUTE (2.5) — solid for the conditions, inside post, known turf route form at this distance, but no overlay and no fade reason from the shape

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #9 OXFORD STREET · 2026-09-13 MTH R1 overlay_miss · winner #1 SMOOTH TRANSITION @ 3.7 · overlay #9 OXFORD STREET edge 0.029 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.79 · 46.26 · 58.78 · Final 1:11.67

Splits (23:47) (12:52) (12:89)

IT'S PRIME TIME set the pace racing with a clear lead, raced off the inside into the stretch, responded when roused and held well under urging for the win. COASTAL EVACUATION broke a step slow, raced off the pace, advanced inside on the turn, rallied in the two path and finished well for second. SUN TAN MAN chased between rivals, chased on the turn, rallied three wide into the stretch, dug in and got third. EVEN UP chased three wide, chased on the turn, rallied four wide into the lane and missed for third. EPIC BLOCKAGE chased inside, chased on the turn, raced on the rail in the stretch, bid and finished evenly. CONTROL THE TIME was off a bit slow and steadied, moved up inside, steadied in tight at the nine sixteenths marker, chased, came wide into the stretch and lacked a rally outside rivals. COMMAND INTENTION raced off the pace and did not factor. SOY DOMINICANO raced off the rail, off the pace and was outrun.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #6 It's Prime Time · close 5-1

• IT'S PRIME TIME set the pace racing with a clear lead, raced off the inside into the stretch, responded when roused and held well under urging for the win.
• COASTAL EVACUATION broke a step slow, raced off the pace, advanced inside on the turn, rallied in the two path and finished well for second.
• SUN TAN MAN chased between rivals, chased on the turn, rallied three wide into the stretch, dug in and got third.
• EVEN UP chased three wide, chased on the turn, rallied four wide into the lane and missed for third.
• EPIC BLOCKAGE chased inside, chased on the turn, raced on the rail in the stretch, bid and finished evenly.
• CONTROL THE TIME was off a bit slow and steadied, moved up inside, steadied in tight at the nine sixteenths marker, chased, came wide into the stretch and lacked a rally outside rivals.
• COMMAND INTENTION raced off the pace and did not factor.
• SOY DOMINICANO raced off the rail, off the pace and was outrun.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

WATCH · #6 ITS PRIME TIME · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
IT'S PRIME TIME set the pace racing with a clear lead, raced off the inside into the stretch, responded when roused and held well under urging for the win. COASTAL EVACUATION broke a step slow, raced off the pace, advanced inside on the turn, rallied in the two path and finished well for second. SUN TAN MAN chased between rivals, chased on the turn, rallied three wide into the stretch, dug in and got third. EVEN UP chased three wide, chased on the turn, rallied four wide into the lane and missed for third. EPIC BLOCKAGE chased inside, chased on the turn, raced on the rail in the stretch, bid and finished evenly. CONTROL THE TIME was off a bit slow and steadied, moved up inside, steadied in tight at the nine sixteenths marker, chased, came wide into the stretch and lacked a rally outside rivals. COMMAND INTENTION raced off the pace and did not factor. SOY DOMINICANO raced off the rail, off the pace and was outrun.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Speed/inside bias dominates; chalk is a rail stalker who benefits but is not a bet; no duel projected, tempo likely honest with #6/#10 pressing · CHALK #1 CONTROL THE TIME · solid · rail, S style, rising figs, fits the dominant bias pattern exactly — rightful chalk, automatic pass

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #6 ITS PRIME TIME · 2026-09-13 MTH R2 overlay_hit · winner #6 ITS PRIME TIME @ 5 · overlay #6 ITS PRIME TIME edge 0.023 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.78 · 47.78 · 1:12.29 · 1:39.00 · Final 1:45.74

Splits (24:00) (24:51) (26:71) (6:74)

CUPID'S DUDE tracked close up inside, made a rail bid at the five furlong marker, took over, shook free on the far turn, led into the stretch, dug in gamely inside of DENYING, then drifted out nearing the sixteenth marker carrying out that rival, dug in gamely to the finish and held on. DENYING raced six wide early, four wide on the first turn, settled off the rail, off the pace, advanced two wide on the far turn, angled out, rallied outside of CUPID'S DUDE, was bothered and floated out wider by that rival in midstretch, dug in gamely outside to the finish and missed. BEAN MACHINE vied inside for the lead, then chased two wide, inside on the far turn, dug in through the stretch in the two path and held on for third. ATROCIOUS raced off the pace inside, came three wide into the lane, angled in, rallied mildly on the rail and missed for third. SEBASTIANTHE FIRST vied between rivals for the lead, then chased three wide, chased on the far turn and tired. SELL SOMETHING was off slowly and outrun. CONFABULATION raced five wide early, vied three wide for the lead, then chased four wide and faded. INTO IT stumbled badly at the start, raced four wide early, stalked between rivals, then chased and gave way. After a Stewards' Inquiry into the stretch run and a Jockey Objection by the runner up, CUPID'S DUDE was disqualified and placed second for interference in the stretch.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #7 DQ-Cupid's Dude · close 10.0-1

• DENYING raced six wide early, four wide on the first turn, settled off the rail, off the pace, advanced two wide on the far turn, angled out, rallied outside of CUPID'S DUDE, was bothered and floated out wider by that rival in midstretch, dug in gamely outside to the finish and missed.
• BEAN MACHINE vied inside for the lead, then chased two wide, inside on the far turn, dug in through the stretch in the two path and held on for third.
• ATROCIOUS raced off the pace inside, came three wide into the lane, angled in, rallied mildly on the rail and missed for third.
• SEBASTIANTHE FIRST vied between rivals for the lead, then chased three wide, chased on the far turn and tired.
• SELL SOMETHING was off slowly and outrun.
• CONFABULATION raced five wide early, vied three wide for the lead, then chased four wide and faded.
• INTO IT stumbled badly at the start, raced four wide early, stalked between rivals, then chased and gave way. After a Stewards' Inquiry into the stretch run and a Jockey Objection by the runner up, CUPID'S DUDE was disqualified and placed second for interference in the stretch.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

BET · #10 DENYING · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
CUPID'S DUDE tracked close up inside, made a rail bid at the five furlong marker, took over, shook free on the far turn, led into the stretch, dug in gamely inside of DENYING, then drifted out nearing the sixteenth marker carrying out that rival, dug in gamely to the finish and held on. DENYING raced six wide early, four wide on the first turn, settled off the rail, off the pace, advanced two wide on the far turn, angled out, rallied outside of CUPID'S DUDE, was bothered and floated out wider by that rival in midstretch, dug in gamely outside to the finish and missed. BEAN MACHINE vied inside for the lead, then chased two wide, inside on the far turn, dug in through the stretch in the two path and held on for third. ATROCIOUS raced off the pace inside, came three wide into the lane, angled in, rallied mildly on the rail and missed for third. SEBASTIANTHE FIRST vied between rivals for the lead, then chased three wide, chased on the far turn and tired. SELL SOMETHING was off slowly and outrun. CONFABULATION raced five wide early, vied three wide for the lead, then chased four wide and faded. INTO IT stumbled badly at the start, raced four wide early, stalked between rivals, then chased and gave way. After a Stewards' Inquiry into the stretch run and a Jockey Objection by the runner up, CUPID'S DUDE was disqualified and placed second for interference in the stretch.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Inside EP/E chalks control the shape; speed-and-rail bias suits the two favorites; closers need a hot pace that the chalks may not provide · CHALK #3 MAGICAL MARRIAGE (2) and #8 INTO IT (2.5) — both solid for the condition, but INTO IT faces a real post/bias penalty from 8; sheet says PASS (no non-chalk overlays)

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model BET #10 DENYING · 2026-09-13 MTH R3 overlay_miss · winner #7 CUPIDS DUDE @ 10 · overlay #10 DENYING edge 0.044 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.65 · 47.01 · 59.80 · Final 1:12.81

Splits (24:36) (12:79) (13:01)

THEGANGSALLHERE stalked outside, chased three wide on the turn, rallied four wide into the stretch, moved up outside of LOVELY CAUSE to challenge at the furlong marker, dug in gamely outside and wore down that rival for the win. LOVELY CAUSE was bumped and off a bit slow, then rushed up inside to set the pace, dueled past the quarter pole, responded, dug in gamely on the rail in the final furlong and battled willingly to the finish. REGAL RULES chased between rivals, then inside on the turn, made a rail bid at the quarter pole, waited for room entering the stretch, angled out and rallied mildly. BET ON BETH trailed the field, chased outside on the turn, came five wide into the lane and gained mildly outside. DYLAN ROSE stalked the pacesetter, chased on the turn, made a bid at the quarter pole and tired. RUTH LESS RUBY was bumped and steadied for a slow start, raced off the pace inside, chased on the turn and gave way. TARZAN'S NIECE raced off the pace, gave way, was pulled up in the stretch and transported off the track in the Equine Ambulance.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #4 Thegangsallhere · close 3.10-1

• THEGANGSALLHERE stalked outside, chased three wide on the turn, rallied four wide into the stretch, moved up outside of LOVELY CAUSE to challenge at the furlong marker, dug in gamely outside and wore down that rival for the win.
• LOVELY CAUSE was bumped and off a bit slow, then rushed up inside to set the pace, dueled past the quarter pole, responded, dug in gamely on the rail in the final furlong and battled willingly to the finish.
• REGAL RULES chased between rivals, then inside on the turn, made a rail bid at the quarter pole, waited for room entering the stretch, angled out and rallied mildly.
• BET ON BETH trailed the field, chased outside on the turn, came five wide into the lane and gained mildly outside.
• DYLAN ROSE stalked the pacesetter, chased on the turn, made a bid at the quarter pole and tired.
• RUTH LESS RUBY was bumped and steadied for a slow start, raced off the pace inside, chased on the turn and gave way.
• TARZAN'S NIECE raced off the pace, gave way, was pulled up in the stretch and transported off the track in the Equine Ambulance.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

WATCH · #3 REGAL RULES · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
THEGANGSALLHERE stalked outside, chased three wide on the turn, rallied four wide into the stretch, moved up outside of LOVELY CAUSE to challenge at the furlong marker, dug in gamely outside and wore down that rival for the win. LOVELY CAUSE was bumped and off a bit slow, then rushed up inside to set the pace, dueled past the quarter pole, responded, dug in gamely on the rail in the final furlong and battled willingly to the finish. REGAL RULES chased between rivals, then inside on the turn, made a rail bid at the quarter pole, waited for room entering the stretch, angled out and rallied mildly. BET ON BETH trailed the field, chased outside on the turn, came five wide into the lane and gained mildly outside. DYLAN ROSE stalked the pacesetter, chased on the turn, made a bid at the quarter pole and tired. RUTH LESS RUBY was bumped and steadied for a slow start, raced off the pace inside, chased on the turn and gave way. TARZAN'S NIECE raced off the pace, gave way, was pulled up in the stretch and transported off the track in the Equine Ambulance.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Closer-heavy field against a speed/inside bias; no true E type, pressers from posts 4 and 7, pace scenario favors whoever secures position early — duel unlikely, crawl or honest pace more probable · CHALK #2 LOVELY CAUSE · opposable · sharp class drop is real but last start was a DNF (lost iron/eased), fig history is inconsistent, and closer style works against the card bias despite the helpful inside post

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #3 REGAL RULES · 2026-09-13 MTH R4 overlay_miss · winner #4 THEGANGSALLHERE @ 3.1 · overlay #3 REGAL RULES edge 0.026 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.27 · 46.85 · 1:12.35 · 1:39.45 · Final 1:46.58

Splits (23:58) (25:50) (27:10) (7:13)

KHETAM settled off the pace, bid between rivals midway on the far turn, took over, responded when roused, drew clear at the furlong marker and was kept to the task. SON OF A SLEW tracked close up on the inside, made a rail bid on the far turn, dueled briefly, angled off the rail at the eighth pole and continued willingly to the finish. FRATELLONE stalked close up two wide, bid four wide midway on the turn, chased rivals into the stretch and finished evenly. THINGAMABOB was off a bit slow, trailed the field, chased on the far turn, angled out entering the stretch and gained mildly outside. MORE POWER showed good early speed, set the pace racing with a clear lead, dueled between rivals on the far turn and gave way.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Khetam · close 1.90-1

• KHETAM settled off the pace, bid between rivals midway on the far turn, took over, responded when roused, drew clear at the furlong marker and was kept to the task.
• SON OF A SLEW tracked close up on the inside, made a rail bid on the far turn, dueled briefly, angled off the rail at the eighth pole and continued willingly to the finish.
• FRATELLONE stalked close up two wide, bid four wide midway on the turn, chased rivals into the stretch and finished evenly.
• THINGAMABOB was off a bit slow, trailed the field, chased on the far turn, angled out entering the stretch and gained mildly outside.
• MORE POWER showed good early speed, set the pace racing with a clear lead, dueled between rivals on the far turn and gave way.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

WATCH · #5 T V MAN · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
KHETAM settled off the pace, bid between rivals midway on the far turn, took over, responded when roused, drew clear at the furlong marker and was kept to the task. SON OF A SLEW tracked close up on the inside, made a rail bid on the far turn, dueled briefly, angled off the rail at the eighth pole and continued willingly to the finish. FRATELLONE stalked close up two wide, bid four wide midway on the turn, chased rivals into the stretch and finished evenly. THINGAMABOB was off a bit slow, trailed the field, chased on the far turn, angled out entering the stretch and gained mildly outside. MORE POWER showed good early speed, set the pace racing with a clear lead, dueled between rivals on the far turn and gave way.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#10) from post 10 against speed bias favoring inside posts; presser wall behind; stalkers hold the inside advantage but no pace duel likely — tempo modest, shape mildly favors closers/stalkers inside · CHALK #2 TARAJ · fade-leaning · massive class drop (Alw110k → Clm16k) signals trainer concern, not a maneuver; closer with inside post is a pace fit but the drop screams empty, not ready

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #5 T V MAN · 2026-09-13 MTH R5 overlay_miss · winner #3 KHETAM @ 1.9 · overlay #5 T V MAN edge 0.021 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.61 · 46.10 · 58.44 · Final 1:10.94

Splits (23:49) (12:34) (12:50)

SHADYSIDE stalked close up outside, bid three wide at the quarter pole, dueled outside rivals passing the furlong marker, gained a short lead with a sixteenth to go and drew clear under urging. PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS tracked close up on the inside, bid between rivals at the quarter pole, dueled to midstretch, dug in gamely and came up second best. SOFSTER raced off the pace inside, chased on the turn, continued behind the leaders, angled off the rail near the sixteenth marker and gained mildly. RED HEAD ITALIAN set the pace, dueled inside rivals at the quarter pole, dug in along the rail in the stretch and weakened late. BEAUTIFUL BOLT broke in the air and was off slowly, raced off the pace, advanced on the turn, swung wide turning for home and tired. GLORIOUS LADY was outrun.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #7 Shadyside · close 1.50-1

• SHADYSIDE stalked close up outside, bid three wide at the quarter pole, dueled outside rivals passing the furlong marker, gained a short lead with a sixteenth to go and drew clear under urging.
• PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS tracked close up on the inside, bid between rivals at the quarter pole, dueled to midstretch, dug in gamely and came up second best.
• SOFSTER raced off the pace inside, chased on the turn, continued behind the leaders, angled off the rail near the sixteenth marker and gained mildly.
• RED HEAD ITALIAN set the pace, dueled inside rivals at the quarter pole, dug in along the rail in the stretch and weakened late.
• BEAUTIFUL BOLT broke in the air and was off slowly, raced off the pace, advanced on the turn, swung wide turning for home and tired.
• GLORIOUS LADY was outrun.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS — SHADYSIDE is the only primed horse with a path, but carries no price overlay, post 7 is a structural liability on an inside-rail track, and the model returns zero edge; no non-chalk overlay exists at any number to justify a win bet · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SHADYSIDE stalked close up outside, bid three wide at the quarter pole, dueled outside rivals passing the furlong marker, gained a short lead with a sixteenth to go and drew clear under urging. PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS tracked close up on the inside, bid between rivals at the quarter pole, dueled to midstretch, dug in gamely and came up second best. SOFSTER raced off the pace inside, chased on the turn, continued behind the leaders, angled off the rail near the sixteenth marker and gained mildly. RED HEAD ITALIAN set the pace, dueled inside rivals at the quarter pole, dug in along the rail in the stretch and weakened late. BEAUTIFUL BOLT broke in the air and was off slowly, raced off the pace, advanced on the turn, swung wide turning for home and tired. GLORIOUS LADY was outrun.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — SHADYSIDE is the only primed horse with a path, but carries no price overlay, post 7 is a structural liability on an inside-rail track, and the model returns zero edge; no non-chalk overlay exists at any number to justify a win bet · SHAPE Multi-speed duel likely; stalkers and pressers benefit if E types hook; closers zero wins in 60-day bias sample — pure pace meltdown sets up B-scenario · CHALK #2 BEAUTIFUL BOLT (ML 3) · opposable · sharp drop from fOC20000 but last fig only 66, faded from inside in that spot, and zeroed model edge; pace role puts it in the duel it got beaten in last time

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-13 MTH R6 pass_ok · winner #7 SHADYSIDE @ 1.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.52 · 47.15 · 1:11.72 · 1:38.17 · Final 1:44.91

Splits (23:63) (24:57) (26:45) (6:74)

POST COMMAND raced off the pace inside, advanced near the inside on the far turn, rallied two wide into the stretch, bid at the furlong marker, dueled with THORSNESS through the final sixteenth and gamely prevailed. THORSNESS vied inside for the lead, was pressed along on the backside, shook free on the far turn, dug in gamely on the rail in the stretch run, dueled to the finish and just missed. GROUCH stalked between rivals, chased four wide into the far turn, then three wide, rallied at the eighth pole and was outkicked. RERALLY raced four wide early, settled three wide off the pace, chased four wide on the far turn, made a mild bid and weakened. ELKO COUNTY was outrun early, came wide into the stretch and passed tired rivals. VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH raced three wide on the first turn, vied outside for the lead, chased on the far turn and faded. MY LIL FLIRT tracked close up on the inside, chased two wide on the far turn and gave way.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Post Command · close 14.2-1

• POST COMMAND raced off the pace inside, advanced near the inside on the far turn, rallied two wide into the stretch, bid at the furlong marker, dueled with THORSNESS through the final sixteenth and gamely prevailed.
• THORSNESS vied inside for the lead, was pressed along on the backside, shook free on the far turn, dug in gamely on the rail in the stretch run, dueled to the finish and just missed.
• GROUCH stalked between rivals, chased four wide into the far turn, then three wide, rallied at the eighth pole and was outkicked.
• RERALLY raced four wide early, settled three wide off the pace, chased four wide on the far turn, made a mild bid and weakened.
• ELKO COUNTY was outrun early, came wide into the stretch and passed tired rivals.
• VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH raced three wide on the first turn, vied outside for the lead, chased on the far turn and faded.
• MY LIL FLIRT tracked close up on the inside, chased two wide on the far turn and gave way.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

BET · #14 RERALLY · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
POST COMMAND raced off the pace inside, advanced near the inside on the far turn, rallied two wide into the stretch, bid at the furlong marker, dueled with THORSNESS through the final sixteenth and gamely prevailed. THORSNESS vied inside for the lead, was pressed along on the backside, shook free on the far turn, dug in gamely on the rail in the stretch run, dueled to the finish and just missed. GROUCH stalked between rivals, chased four wide into the far turn, then three wide, rallied at the eighth pole and was outkicked. RERALLY raced four wide early, settled three wide off the pace, chased four wide on the far turn, made a mild bid and weakened. ELKO COUNTY was outrun early, came wide into the stretch and passed tired rivals. VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH raced three wide on the first turn, vied outside for the lead, chased on the far turn and faded. MY LIL FLIRT tracked close up on the inside, chased two wide on the far turn and gave way.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Rail/speed bias with lone inside E (THORSNESS post 3) gifted the shape; closers from wide posts face a wall · CHALK #4 MOHS · short · stalker-closer on turf, fig range fits, but 3-1 is automatic pass

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model BET #14 RERALLY · 2026-09-13 MTH R7 overlay_miss · winner #2 POST COMMAND @ 14.2 · overlay #14 RERALLY edge 0.035 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.92 · 46.30 · 58.64 · Final 1:11.40

Splits (23:38) (12:34) (12:76)

EXCELLION stalked close up outside, bid midway on the turn, took over, drew clear in upper stretch, pulled away and was kept to the task. SHEIKH PHILIP tracked inside, chased inside on the turn, raced between horses into the stretch, angled out and rallied for second. MY LITTLE NICO G away alertly, set the pace with a clear lead, dueled nearing the quarter pole and weakened in the stretch. WHY ME LORD was off a bit slow, chased outside, chased four wide on the turn, made a mild bid at the quarter pole and weakened. PRETTY SIXXY was off slowly and outrun.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #7 Excellion · close 2.30-1

• EXCELLION stalked close up outside, bid midway on the turn, took over, drew clear in upper stretch, pulled away and was kept to the task.
• SHEIKH PHILIP tracked inside, chased inside on the turn, raced between horses into the stretch, angled out and rallied for second.
• MY LITTLE NICO G away alertly, set the pace with a clear lead, dueled nearing the quarter pole and weakened in the stretch.
• WHY ME LORD was off a bit slow, chased outside, chased four wide on the turn, made a mild bid at the quarter pole and weakened.
• PRETTY SIXXY was off slowly and outrun.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS — no priced overlay clears the bar; #2 is nearly chalk by price (ML 3) and #5 has no model edge with a post working against the bias · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
EXCELLION stalked close up outside, bid midway on the turn, took over, drew clear in upper stretch, pulled away and was kept to the task. SHEIKH PHILIP tracked inside, chased inside on the turn, raced between horses into the stretch, angled out and rallied for second. MY LITTLE NICO G away alertly, set the pace with a clear lead, dueled nearing the quarter pole and weakened in the stretch. WHY ME LORD was off a bit slow, chased outside, chased four wide on the turn, made a mild bid at the quarter pole and weakened. PRETTY SIXXY was off slowly and outrun.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — no priced overlay clears the bar; #2 is nearly chalk by price (ML 3) and #5 has no model edge with a post working against the bias · SHAPE Honest-to-light pace — one true EP (#2) pressing a rail presser (#1) with stalkers wide; inside bias strongly favors posts 1–3; closers 0% in the bias sample · CHALK #1 Rogue Prince (ML 2.5) — solid for its post and style, zero model edge, straightforward pass as a bet

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-13 MTH R8 pass_ok · winner #7 EXCELLION @ 2.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.