What this card taught
- Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
- 2 floor misses — next sheet still tags FLOOR. A board shorter than the floor is a pass, not a blown horse.
- 2 board-inside-floor. Next sheet still writes a min. Shorter than that number is a pass.
- 1 chalk-not-opposable. Fade only when shape still opposes after the chart.
- 2 misses had no tote stamp. Floor never checked live.
Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.
| R | Winner | PLAY | Miss | Why | Overlay then | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | #1 HODL HARD 4.3-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 CD R1 pass_ok · winner #1 HODL HARD @ 4.35 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R2 | #3 LAUGHNOWCRYLATER 0.9-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 CD R2 pass_ok · winner #3 LAUGHNOWCRYLATER @ 0.86 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R3 | #1 DOCTOR JEFF 2.7-1 | Floor #2 SOCIAL HOUR · minimum 3-1 · win | Died at the floor | Board inside the floor no tote · Chalk was not opposable Close was shorter than the floor (3-1). Sheet already said pass at that number. Chalk fade did not hold. | BET #2 SOCIAL HOUR · +4.0% | Floor miss 2026-09-23 CD R3 floor_miss · winner #1 DOCTOR JEFF @ 2.71 · overlay #2 SOCIAL HOUR edge 0.040 · PLAY floor #2 |
| R4 | #3 HALFWAY JOKING 2.9-1 | Scratch #2 REDACTED · min 5-1 · win — two ready flags, real drop (won at Clm16k, stepped up, now back), rising figs, stalker path in a crawl that rewards the front-to-mid group; at 6 ML there is price; below 5-1, pass | Scratched | — | BET #3 HALFWAY JOKING · +3.2% | Scratch 2026-09-23 CD R4 scratch · winner #3 HALFWAY JOKING @ 2.89 · overlay #3 HALFWAY JOKING edge 0.032 · PLAY scratch #2 |
| R5 | #9 SOUL OF THE NIGHT 2.3-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 CD R5 pass_ok · winner #9 SOUL OF THE NIGHT @ 2.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R6 | #2 SPECIAL SAUCE 3.6-1 | Floor #2 SPECIAL SAUCE · min 4-1 · win — at 3-1 or shorter, pass | Died at the floor | Board inside the floor no tote Close was shorter than the floor (4-1). Sheet already said pass at that number. | WATCH #2 SPECIAL SAUCE · +2.9% | Floor miss 2026-09-23 CD R6 floor_miss · winner #2 SPECIAL SAUCE @ 3.62 · overlay #2 SPECIAL SAUCE edge 0.029 · PLAY floor #2 |
| R7 | #5 MY BOY GARY 3.4-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 CD R7 pass_ok · winner #5 MY BOY GARY @ 3.38 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R8 | #3 MEMORY 6.2-1 | Pass PASS — no non-chalk overlay clears the threshold; UNIVERSE is the most interesting primed horse at 6 ML but the model does not call it an overlay, and doctrine bars copying LEAN to PLAY or playing chalk | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 CD R8 pass_ok · winner #3 MEMORY @ 6.23 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R9 | #10 PELICAN HILL 11.5-1 | Pass PASS — #3 D BIGALOW is the only overlay but all peak figs are on dirt; turf form (none visible) is unconfirmed, and the model edge is marginal (0.022); insufficient confidence to ticket at any floor | Pass held | — | WATCH #3 D BIGALOW · +3.0% | Overlay miss 2026-09-23 CD R9 overlay_miss · winner #10 PELICAN HILL @ 11.52 · overlay #3 D BIGALOW edge 0.030 · PLAY pass |
Built 2026-09-26 15:14Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).