What this card taught
- Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.
| R | Winner | PLAY | Miss | Why | Overlay then | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | #5 RAGS ROYAL PRINZ 3.9-1 | Pass PASS — #6 ROCHESTERS FINEST is primed but is not a model overlay (edge –0.005), inside bias hurts post 6, and fig ceiling (70) barely competes; #5 is the only non-chalk overlay but has no ready flags and a pattern of folding in duels it helps create | Pass held | — | WATCH #5 RAGS ROYAL PRINZ · +2.1% | Overlay hit 2026-09-23 ASD R1 overlay_hit · winner #5 RAGS ROYAL PRINZ @ 3.85 · overlay #5 RAGS ROYAL PRINZ edge 0.021 · PLAY pass |
| R2 | #3 LT NORM 1.0-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 ASD R2 pass_ok · winner #3 LT NORM @ 1 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R3 | #2 KIKILOVE 14.0-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 ASD R3 pass_ok · winner #2 KIKILOVE @ 14 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R4 | #5 BUCK OWENS 6.3-1 | Pass PASS — chalk is the rightful winner; MR JAWS is the only model overlay but is not a price play at 3-1 in a spot where it faces zero pressure yet posted a zForm of −1.61 and gave way last at route distance; no non-chalk overlay clears the bar | Pass held | — | WATCH #2 MR JAWS · +2.2% | Overlay miss 2026-09-23 ASD R4 overlay_miss · winner #5 BUCK OWENS @ 6.25 · overlay #2 MR JAWS edge 0.022 · PLAY pass |
| R5 | #1 TACHIN UP 1.7-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 ASD R5 pass_ok · winner #1 TACHIN UP @ 1.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R6 | #4 PUMPKIN PRINCESS 41.3-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 ASD R6 pass_ok · winner #4 PUMPKIN PRINCESS @ 41.25 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R7 | #4 VALLEY VICTORY 6.0-1 | ITM #1 TIZ ROMANTIC · min 3-1 · WIN (pass if board opens shorter) | PLAY in the money | — | WATCH #1 TIZ ROMANTIC · +2.3% | Overlay miss 2026-09-23 ASD R7 overlay_miss · winner #4 VALLEY VICTORY @ 6 · overlay #1 TIZ ROMANTIC edge 0.023 · PLAY itm #1 |
| R8 | #3 KNOWN TO BE 4.7-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-23 ASD R8 pass_ok · winner #3 KNOWN TO BE @ 4.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
Built 2026-09-26 15:11Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).