ASD · 2026-09-23

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.40 · 46.95 · 59.78 · Final 1:06.68

Splits (23:55) (12:83) (6:90)

RAGS ROYAL PRINZ had early speed between horses, opened up, good lead stretch, held on. DELVECCHIO stalked between horses, appeared to bump with OREGON COUNTING to his inside around the half-mile pole, stalked off rail, rallied outside. OREGON COUNTY stalked inside, bumped, steadied, backstretch, saved ground, rallied. SILVERCREEK KID stalked five-wide, rallied. GUN POWDER stumbled at the break, rushed up, four-wide turn, tired stretch. ROCHESTER'S FINEST chased leader three-wide, tired stretch. SHANKADOPOLOUS showed little. The rider aboard OREGON COUNTY lodged a claim of foul against the rider of DELVECCHIO for interference on the backstretch. There was no change.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Rags Royal Prinz · close 3.85-1

• RAGS ROYAL PRINZ had early speed between horses, opened up, good lead stretch, held on.
• DELVECCHIO stalked between horses, appeared to bump with OREGON COUNTING to his inside around the half-mile pole, stalked off rail, rallied outside.
• OREGON COUNTY stalked inside, bumped, steadied, backstretch, saved ground, rallied.
• SILVERCREEK KID stalked five-wide, rallied.
• GUN POWDER stumbled at the break, rushed up, four-wide turn, tired stretch.
• ROCHESTER'S FINEST chased leader three-wide, tired stretch.
• SHANKADOPOLOUS showed little. The rider aboard OREGON COUNTY lodged a claim of foul against the rider of DELVECCHIO for interference on the backstretch. There was no change.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS — #6 ROCHESTERS FINEST is primed but is not a model overlay (edge –0.005), inside bias hurts post 6, and fig ceiling (70) barely competes; #5 is the only non-chalk overlay but has no ready flags and a pattern of folding in duels it helps create · Pass held · pass

Price model

WATCH · #5 RAGS ROYAL PRINZ · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
RAGS ROYAL PRINZ had early speed between horses, opened up, good lead stretch, held on. DELVECCHIO stalked between horses, appeared to bump with OREGON COUNTING to his inside around the half-mile pole, stalked off rail, rallied outside. OREGON COUNTY stalked inside, bumped, steadied, backstretch, saved ground, rallied. SILVERCREEK KID stalked five-wide, rallied. GUN POWDER stumbled at the break, rushed up, four-wide turn, tired stretch. ROCHESTER'S FINEST chased leader three-wide, tired stretch. SHANKADOPOLOUS showed little. The rider aboard OREGON COUNTY lodged a claim of foul against the rider of DELVECCHIO for interference on the backstretch. There was no change.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #6 ROCHESTERS FINEST is primed but is not a model overlay (edge –0.005), inside bias hurts post 6, and fig ceiling (70) barely competes; #5 is the only non-chalk overlay but has no ready flags and a pattern of folding in duels it helps create · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#5 #3 #2 #6) — extreme pressure, stalkers and pressers inherit if pace collapses · CHALK #3 DELVECCHIO · opposable · must lead or duel, rising figs are real but the shape puts it in the fire every time

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #5 RAGS ROYAL PRINZ · 2026-09-23 ASD R1 overlay_hit · winner #5 RAGS ROYAL PRINZ @ 3.85 · overlay #5 RAGS ROYAL PRINZ edge 0.021 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.95 · 49.92 · 1:14.86 · 1:27.54 · Final 1:34.13

Splits (23:97) (24:94) (12:68) (6:59)

LT. NORM stalked between horses, took over three-wide late final turn, opened up, drew out. SIDE STREET DAVE forced pace outside, took over early turn, bid to late turn, second best. FREE MAKER stalked forced pace four-wide, held the show. WESTOVER trailed to stretch, passed tired rivals. SARAH'S VISION forced pace between horses, dropped back final turn, faded. RICK'S DANCER had inside speed under pressure, gave way into final turn, faded.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Lt. Norm · close 1-1

• LT. NORM stalked between horses, took over three-wide late final turn, opened up, drew out.
• SIDE STREET DAVE forced pace outside, took over early turn, bid to late turn, second best.
• FREE MAKER stalked forced pace four-wide, held the show.
• WESTOVER trailed to stretch, passed tired rivals.
• SARAH'S VISION forced pace between horses, dropped back final turn, faded.
• RICK'S DANCER had inside speed under pressure, gave way into final turn, faded.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
LT. NORM stalked between horses, took over three-wide late final turn, opened up, drew out. SIDE STREET DAVE forced pace outside, took over early turn, bid to late turn, second best. FREE MAKER stalked forced pace four-wide, held the show. WESTOVER trailed to stretch, passed tired rivals. SARAH'S VISION forced pace between horses, dropped back final turn, faded. RICK'S DANCER had inside speed under pressure, gave way into final turn, faded.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#1 RICKS DANCER, figure ceiling ~61) on the front end; #3 LT NORM sits second from post 3 in the bias sweet spot — Scenario A nearly writes itself, and even in B the presser is the one that benefits · CHALK #3 LT NORM · solid · rising figs, inside post, class drop from CLM 4500, highest model probability (0.533) in a weak field with no credible closer threat

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-23 ASD R2 pass_ok · winner #3 LT NORM @ 1 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.24 · 48.32 · 1:14.54 · Final 1:28.36

Splits (23:08) (26:22) (13:82)

KIKILOVE stalked five-wide, finished well outside, just up. SHERLYN GO GO pressed between horses, finished well inside winner, missed. GET MY DRIFT opened short clear lead off rail, increased margin stretch, gave way late. NEIGHNEIGH tracked leader inside, bid to mid stretch, tired. HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS stalked three-four-wide, rallied mildly. MAYBE SO pressed three-four-wide, tired final turn. UNKNOWN CALLER showed little.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Kikilove · close 14.0-1

• KIKILOVE stalked five-wide, finished well outside, just up.
• SHERLYN GO GO pressed between horses, finished well inside winner, missed.
• GET MY DRIFT opened short clear lead off rail, increased margin stretch, gave way late.
• NEIGHNEIGH tracked leader inside, bid to mid stretch, tired.
• HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS stalked three-four-wide, rallied mildly.
• MAYBE SO pressed three-four-wide, tired final turn.
• UNKNOWN CALLER showed little.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
KIKILOVE stalked five-wide, finished well outside, just up. SHERLYN GO GO pressed between horses, finished well inside winner, missed. GET MY DRIFT opened short clear lead off rail, increased margin stretch, gave way late. NEIGHNEIGH tracked leader inside, bid to mid stretch, tired. HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS stalked three-four-wide, rallied mildly. MAYBE SO pressed three-four-wide, tired final turn. UNKNOWN CALLER showed little.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#6 vs #3) favors mid-pack stalkers; bias leans speed/inside · CHALK #4 SHERLYN GO GO (1.4 ML) — solid; best class drop (Clm 6875→3000), top speed figs, clean pace path as P, but far too short to play

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-23 ASD R3 pass_ok · winner #2 KIKILOVE @ 14 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.09 · 49.43 · 1:14.17 · 1:41.50 · Final 1:48.75

Splits (24:34) (24:74) (27:33) (7:25)

BUCK OWENS stalked duel between horses, challenged four-wide stretch, dueled, shook duel rivals late, held on. JACKS SPRING BREAK stalked duel inside, rallied widest, missed. MR JAWS dueled inside, shook pace rivals mid stretch and sixteenth pole, gave best, gave way late. COMPLETE OVERHAUL dueled three-wide, bid to sixteenth pole, gave way. OMAHA WARRIOR dueled between horses, inside bid to mid stretch, tired. MAGIC TIGER trailed to final turn, advanced four-wide, tired stretch. DON'T FIRE JOE stalked forced pace three-wide, faded final turn.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Buck Owens · close 6.25-1

• BUCK OWENS stalked duel between horses, challenged four-wide stretch, dueled, shook duel rivals late, held on.
• JACKS SPRING BREAK stalked duel inside, rallied widest, missed.
• MR JAWS dueled inside, shook pace rivals mid stretch and sixteenth pole, gave best, gave way late.
• COMPLETE OVERHAUL dueled three-wide, bid to sixteenth pole, gave way.
• OMAHA WARRIOR dueled between horses, inside bid to mid stretch, tired.
• MAGIC TIGER trailed to final turn, advanced four-wide, tired stretch.
• DON'T FIRE JOE stalked forced pace three-wide, faded final turn.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS — chalk is the rightful winner; MR JAWS is the only model overlay but is not a price play at 3-1 in a spot where it faces zero pressure yet posted a zForm of −1.61 and gave way last at route distance; no non-chalk overlay clears the bar · Pass held · pass

Price model

WATCH · #2 MR JAWS · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
BUCK OWENS stalked duel between horses, challenged four-wide stretch, dueled, shook duel rivals late, held on. JACKS SPRING BREAK stalked duel inside, rallied widest, missed. MR JAWS dueled inside, shook pace rivals mid stretch and sixteenth pole, gave best, gave way late. COMPLETE OVERHAUL dueled three-wide, bid to sixteenth pole, gave way. OMAHA WARRIOR dueled between horses, inside bid to mid stretch, tired. MAGIC TIGER trailed to final turn, advanced four-wide, tired stretch. DON'T FIRE JOE stalked forced pace three-wide, faded final turn.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — chalk is the rightful winner; MR JAWS is the only model overlay but is not a price play at 3-1 in a spot where it faces zero pressure yet posted a zForm of −1.61 and gave way last at route distance; no non-chalk overlay clears the bar · SHAPE Lone speed (#2) with a wall of closers; rail stalker (#1) is the only presser and gets the cleanest trip in A or B · CHALK #1 JACKS SPRING BREAK · solid · rising figs, post 1, two wins in a row at this class, inside bias confirmed—no shape reason to fade

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #2 MR JAWS · 2026-09-23 ASD R4 overlay_miss · winner #5 BUCK OWENS @ 6.25 · overlay #2 MR JAWS edge 0.022 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.15 · 47.90 · 1:00.79 · Final 1:13.93

Splits (23:75) (12:89) (13:14)

TACHIN UP, well placed inside, took over between horses late turn, opened up stretch, drew out. CORTEX stalked four wide, bid late turn, second best. MOR FAMOUS, well placed between horses, steadied late turn, kept coming. VERTICALNTEGRATION broke slow, stalked five-six-wide, rallied. HILITEOFTHENITE stalked off rail, dropped back turn, faded. PEACEBREAKER opened short clear lead early, maintained lead to late turn, gave way. FROSTED MUG dwelt at the start, showed little.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #1 Tachin Up · close 1.70-1

• TACHIN UP , well placed inside, took over between horses late turn, opened up stretch, drew out.
• CORTEX stalked four wide, bid late turn, second best.
• MOR FAMOUS , well placed between horses, steadied late turn, kept coming.
• VERTICALNTEGRATION broke slow, stalked five-six-wide, rallied.
• HILITEOFTHENITE stalked off rail, dropped back turn, faded.
• PEACEBREAKER opened short clear lead early, maintained lead to late turn, gave way.
• FROSTED MUG dwelt at the start, showed little.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
TACHIN UP, well placed inside, took over between horses late turn, opened up stretch, drew out. CORTEX stalked four wide, bid late turn, second best. MOR FAMOUS, well placed between horses, steadied late turn, kept coming. VERTICALNTEGRATION broke slow, stalked five-six-wide, rallied. HILITEOFTHENITE stalked off rail, dropped back turn, faded. PEACEBREAKER opened short clear lead early, maintained lead to late turn, gave way. FROSTED MUG dwelt at the start, showed little.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #5 PEACEBREAKER; speed/inside bias favors the front; closers need a duel that the map does not guarantee · CHALK #1 TACHIN UP (2-1) · usable but short · post 1 inside, 3rd-start-cycle, but closer style risks getting stuck behind a solo lead it cannot catch; #7 CORTEX (5-2) · usable but short · best late fig (LP 93) and posted a figure-place last out, but post 7 on an inside-bias track and no ready flags

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-23 ASD R5 pass_ok · winner #1 TACHIN UP @ 1.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.70 · 47.39 · 1:00.79 · Final 1:14.67

Splits (23:69) (13:40) (13:88)

PUMPKIN PRINCESS trailed early, advanced off rail turn, rallied widest, up late. ZIBIBBO advanced inside to take a short lead in early turn, dueled turn, dueled stretch, late bid, missed. SENECAIT dueled outside, gave best stretch, gave way late. RISE AGAIN stalked forced pace four-six-wide, rallied between horses. BEE A BALI stalked four-wide, finished evenly. MY LITTLE TOOTSIE stalked forced pace inside, lacked rally. FLINTLOCK passed tired rivals. HOLD MY EARRINGS had outside speed under pressure, dueled three-wide turn, gave way late turn. DRESS ME UP pressed three-four-wide, bore out late turn and was eased.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #4 Pumpkin Princess · close 41.3-1

• PUMPKIN PRINCESS trailed early, advanced off rail turn, rallied widest, up late.
• ZIBIBBO advanced inside to take a short lead in early turn, dueled turn, dueled stretch, late bid, missed.
• SENECAIT dueled outside, gave best stretch, gave way late.
• RISE AGAIN stalked forced pace four-six-wide, rallied between horses.
• BEE A BALI stalked four-wide, finished evenly.
• MY LITTLE TOOTSIE stalked forced pace inside, lacked rally.
• FLINTLOCK passed tired rivals.
• HOLD MY EARRINGS had outside speed under pressure, dueled three-wide turn, gave way late turn.
• DRESS ME UP pressed three-four-wide, bore out late turn and was eased.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
PUMPKIN PRINCESS trailed early, advanced off rail turn, rallied widest, up late. ZIBIBBO advanced inside to take a short lead in early turn, dueled turn, dueled stretch, late bid, missed. SENECAIT dueled outside, gave best stretch, gave way late. RISE AGAIN stalked forced pace four-six-wide, rallied between horses. BEE A BALI stalked four-wide, finished evenly. MY LITTLE TOOTSIE stalked forced pace inside, lacked rally. FLINTLOCK passed tired rivals. HOLD MY EARRINGS had outside speed under pressure, dueled three-wide turn, gave way late turn. DRESS ME UP pressed three-four-wide, bore out late turn and was eased.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#2 #9 #6 #7) sets up a duel/meltdown; stalkers and closers benefit in A and B, but no price horse among them has figures to capitalize · CHALK #8 RISE AGAIN 1.8 · opposable — consistent figures (63–72) and good form, but post 8 is 0-for in the 30-day bias window and a presser style into a speed wall is a pace mismatch

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-23 ASD R6 pass_ok · winner #4 PUMPKIN PRINCESS @ 41.25 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.68 · 46.28 · 59.28 · Final 1:12.57

Splits (22:60) (13:00) (13:29)

VALLEY VICTORY stalked duel off rail, rallied outside, took over sixteenth pole, held well. MR. DAZZLE stalked duel four-wide, finished well. TIZ ROMANTIC stalked duel inside, bid stretch, gave way sixteenth pole. NORTHVALE ROAD dueled three-four-wide, bid to mid stretch, gave way. GHOST COWBOY dueled between horses, dropped back mid turn, finished evenly. BALI ROLLING TIDE stalked five-six-wide, rallied belatedly. MR. SPLASH dueled three-wide between horses, dropped back into turn, tired. SWITZLER JAMMIN dueled inside, gave way passing eighth pole. GALLANT OAK showed little.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #4 Valley Victory · close 6-1

• VALLEY VICTORY stalked duel off rail, rallied outside, took over sixteenth pole, held well.
• MR. DAZZLE stalked duel four-wide, finished well.
• TIZ ROMANTIC stalked duel inside, bid stretch, gave way sixteenth pole.
• NORTHVALE ROAD dueled three-four-wide, bid to mid stretch, gave way.
• GHOST COWBOY dueled between horses, dropped back mid turn, finished evenly.
• BALI ROLLING TIDE stalked five-six-wide, rallied belatedly.
• MR. SPLASH dueled three-wide between horses, dropped back into turn, tired.
• SWITZLER JAMMIN dueled inside, gave way passing eighth pole.
• GALLANT OAK showed little.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#1 TIZ ROMANTIC · min 3-1 · WIN (pass if board opens shorter) · PLAY in the money · itm

Price model

WATCH · #1 TIZ ROMANTIC · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
VALLEY VICTORY stalked duel off rail, rallied outside, took over sixteenth pole, held well. MR. DAZZLE stalked duel four-wide, finished well. TIZ ROMANTIC stalked duel inside, bid stretch, gave way sixteenth pole. NORTHVALE ROAD dueled three-four-wide, bid to mid stretch, gave way. GHOST COWBOY dueled between horses, dropped back mid turn, finished evenly. BALI ROLLING TIDE stalked five-six-wide, rallied belatedly. MR. SPLASH dueled three-wide between horses, dropped back into turn, tired. SWITZLER JAMMIN dueled inside, gave way passing eighth pole. GALLANT OAK showed little.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #1 TIZ ROMANTIC · min 3-1 · WIN (pass if board opens shorter) · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#2 vs #7); speed bias + rail bias helps inside stalkers; closers improve in B/C · CHALK #6 GHOST COWBOY · solid but short (2.5 ML, negative model edge, S-style from post 6)

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_itm · itm · price model WATCH #1 TIZ ROMANTIC · 2026-09-23 ASD R7 overlay_miss · winner #4 VALLEY VICTORY @ 6 · overlay #1 TIZ ROMANTIC edge 0.023 · PLAY itm #1 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.55 · 47.26 · 1:00.21 · Final 1:13.64

Splits (23:71) (12:95) (13:43)

KNOWN TO BE broke slow, four-wide early, advanced off rail turn, took over outside passing eighth pole, drew out. MOONSHINE BOOGIE stalked duel off rail, three-wide bid late turn, no match for winner. WITT'S DUBAI GAL, five-six-wide early, advanced four-wide late turn, place bid. OFF THE PAYROLL dueled outside, opened up mid turn, gave way inside eighth pole. MS NELLIE moved out very wide backstretch, advanced five-wide turn. WHEN I SAW YOU dueled inside, gave way early turn, faded. IMASWEETPOTATOPIE, well placed between horses early, dropped back turn, faded. Total Attendance: 0 Handle: $2,196,656

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Known to Be · close 4.70-1

• KNOWN TO BE broke slow, four-wide early, advanced off rail turn, took over outside passing eighth pole, drew out.
• MOONSHINE BOOGIE stalked duel off rail, three-wide bid late turn, no match for winner.
• WITT'S DUBAI GAL , five-six-wide early, advanced four-wide late turn, place bid.
• OFF THE PAYROLL dueled outside, opened up mid turn, gave way inside eighth pole.
• MS NELLIE moved out very wide backstretch, advanced five-wide turn.
• WHEN I SAW YOU dueled inside, gave way early turn, faded.
• IMASWEETPOTATOPIE , well placed between horses early, dropped back turn, faded. Total Attendance: 0 Handle: $2,196,656

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
KNOWN TO BE broke slow, four-wide early, advanced off rail turn, took over outside passing eighth pole, drew out. MOONSHINE BOOGIE stalked duel off rail, three-wide bid late turn, no match for winner. WITT'S DUBAI GAL, five-six-wide early, advanced four-wide late turn, place bid. OFF THE PAYROLL dueled outside, opened up mid turn, gave way inside eighth pole. MS NELLIE moved out very wide backstretch, advanced five-wide turn. WHEN I SAW YOU dueled inside, gave way early turn, faded. IMASWEETPOTATOPIE, well placed between horses early, dropped back turn, faded.

 Total Attendance: 0 Handle: $2,196,656

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early/pressers (#5 #1 #8 #2) — pressure extreme; Scenario B/C favors closers #4 and #6, but neither carries a ready signal or an overlay · CHALK #1 WHEN I SAW YOU · 2.5 ML · usable but short — last fig collapsed to 40, class drop is real, but price leaves no margin

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-23 ASD R8 pass_ok · winner #3 KNOWN TO BE @ 4.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.