← After the races

TDN · 2026-09-15

Card review · then-active v3 · as of 2026-08-07 · INCONCLUSIVE

What this card taught

  • Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
  • 1 PLAY hit recorded. Hit rate does not move Kelly, how hard we tilt toward the model, or the scanner.

Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.

RWinnerPLAYMissWhyOverlay thenReview
R1
#3 TIPSY TULIP
0.7-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-15 TDN R1 pass_ok · winner #3 TIPSY TULIP @ 0.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R2
#9 HELLO EVELYN
13.6-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-15 TDN R2 pass_ok · winner #9 HELLO EVELYN @ 13.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R3
#5 SASSY WALKER
2.1-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-15 TDN R3 pass_ok · winner #5 SASSY WALKER @ 2.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R4
#5 JOHN FITZGERALD
5.0-1
Win
#5 JOHN FITZGERALD · min 3-1 win · at 5-2 or shorter, PASS
PLAY hit—BET
#5 JOHN FITZGERALD · +3.8%
PLAY hit
2026-09-15 TDN R4 play_hit · winner #5 JOHN FITZGERALD @ 5 · overlay #5 JOHN FITZGERALD edge 0.038 · PLAY win #5
R5
#9 LIVE A LITTLE
1.8-1
Pass
PASS — primed horses exist but neither carries a positive overlay; no non-chalk price clears the threshold
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-15 TDN R5 pass_ok · winner #9 LIVE A LITTLE @ 1.8 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R6
#6 TIERNEY
0.4-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-15 TDN R6 pass_ok · winner #6 TIERNEY @ 0.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R7
#6 WISLEY
17.9-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-15 TDN R7 pass_ok · winner #6 WISLEY @ 17.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R8
#7 FULL SPECTRUM
0.6-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-15 TDN R8 pass_ok · winner #7 FULL SPECTRUM @ 0.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass

Built 2026-09-16 02:37Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).

Card review · After the races · Closebeat · Closebeat