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TDN · 2026-09-15

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

Official chart Equibase · parser 1.2.0 · checksum d44935f21a8e5a9b · us_mutuel_to_one

R1#3 Tipsy Tulip · 0.70-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.64 · 46.54 · 58.76 · Final 1:11.06

Splits (23:90) (12:22) (12:30)

PgmHorseCalls
3Tipsy Tulip3 · 24 · 2Head · 15 · 17
4Jilly Runs Deep4 · 410 · 44 · 1/2 · 45 · 1/2 · 27
6Lil Sharpie2 · 37 · 1/2 · 33 · 1/2 · 35 · 37
7Victoria Command5 · 512 · 57 · 1/2 · 58 · 1/2 · 412 · 3/4
5Salute the Ghost1 · 14 · 1Head · 25 · 516
1Just Runnin7 · 615 · 1/2 · 612 · 1/2 · 614 · 1/2 · 618 · 1/4
2Biondettisnitemare6 · --- · --- · --- · ---

TIPSY TULIP chased the early pace, rallied in hand three wide through the turn to make the lead just past the quarter pole then widened the balance of the trip to win as much the best. JILLY RUNS DEEP allowed to settle, rallied through deep stretch four wide and got up for second. LIL SHARPIE well placed, finished determinedly three wide. VICTORIA COMMAND was no factor. SALUTE THE GHOST opened a daylight lead shortly after the start, set the pace under a firm hold past the quarter pole then gave way in the final furlong. JUST RUNNIN was no threat. BIONDETTISNITEMARE raced without her best action, pulled up on the backstretch and was walked off.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Tipsy Tulip · close 0.70-1

  • TIPSY TULIP chased the early pace, rallied in hand three wide through the turn to make the lead just past the quarter pole then widened the balance of the trip to win as much the best.
  • JILLY RUNS DEEP allowed to settle, rallied through deep stretch four wide and got up for second.
  • LIL SHARPIE well placed, finished determinedly three wide.
  • VICTORIA COMMAND was no factor.
  • SALUTE THE GHOST opened a daylight lead shortly after the start, set the pace under a firm hold past the quarter pole then gave way in the final furlong.
  • JUST RUNNIN was no threat.
  • BIONDETTISNITEMARE raced without her best action, pulled up on the backstretch and was walked off.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
13Tipsy Tulip0.70-10
24Jilly Runs Deep4.40-10.05
36Lil Sharpie10.7-15.75
47Victoria Command55.8-13.25
55Salute the Ghost4.40-12.25
61Just Runnin21.1-118.25
72Biondettisnitemare7.30-1—

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
TIPSY TULIP chased the early pace, rallied in hand three wide through the turn to make the lead just past the quarter pole then widened the balance of the trip to win as much the best. JILLY RUNS DEEP allowed to settle, rallied through deep stretch four wide and got up for second. LIL SHARPIE well placed, finished determinedly three wide. VICTORIA COMMAND was no factor. SALUTE THE GHOST opened a daylight lead shortly after the start, set the pace under a firm hold past the quarter pole then gave way in the final furlong. JUST RUNNIN was no threat. BIONDETTISNITEMARE raced without her best action, pulled up on the backstretch and was walked off.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #2, speed/inside bias, stalkers and closers need a duel that may not come · CHALK #3 TIPSY TULIP · short / solid · real class drop, best fig in field, bias-neutral post, no pace path issues — this is the rightful winner at 1.8

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 TDN R1 pass_ok · winner #3 TIPSY TULIP @ 0.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2#9 Hello Evelyn · 13.6-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.50 · 47.68 · 1:14.04 · Final 1:42.40

Splits (24:18) (26:36) (28:36)

PgmHorseCalls
9Hello Evelyn6 · 811 · 3/4 · 69 · 22 · 1/2 · 1Head · 11 · 1/4
7Stacy Ellen8 · 69 · 3/4 · 57 · 1/2 · 46 · 1/2 · 32 · 1/2 · 21 · 1/4
3Loco Coco1 · 17 · 15 · 12 · 1/2 · 2Head · 31 · 1/4
10Sweet Vivian10 · 1018 · 1/4 · 1017 · 1/2 · 914 · 67 · 3/4 · 43 · 3/4
1Jac's Cocoabella9 · 915 · 3/4 · 912 · 1/2 · 712 · 1/2 · 57 · 1/2 · 54 · 1/2
5Rivers Angel3 · 48 · 36 · 1/2 · 36 · 1/2 · 46 · 66 · 3/4
6Gabadost2 · 58 · 1/4 · 47 · 611 · 1/2 · 711 · 1/4 · 714 · 1/4
2Chardu7 · 37 · 25 · 510 · 1/2 · 814 · 3/4 · 825 · 1/4
8Trustthefact5 · 710 · 3/4 · 811 · 1016 · 1020 · 3/4 · 931 · 1/4
4Bionic Saint4 · 27 · 79 · 813 · 918 · 3/4 · 1034 · 1/2

HELLO EVELYN was hung six wide into the clubhouse turn, dropped inside early on the backstretch, altered course five wide nearing the far turn, rallied four then two wide to make the lead in mid stretch and won under left handed urging. STACY ELLEN allowed to settle, closed willingly three wide through deep stretch and got up for second. LOCO COCO drifted in at the start, quickly opened a large lead, set the pace until mid stretch then was outfinished. SWEET VIVIAN void of early speed, found her best stride late six wide. JAC'S COCOABELLA failed to menace. RIVERS ANGEL settled three wide and faded in the stretch. GABADOST well placed, failed to respond. CHARDU was in tight at the start, chased the pace for a half mile, stopped on the far turn and jogged to the wire. TRUSTTHEFACT was never involved, stopped in the lane and also jogged to the wire. BIONIC SAINT flashed speed, stopped and jogged to the wire.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #9 Hello Evelyn · close 13.6-1

  • HELLO EVELYN was hung six wide into the clubhouse turn, dropped inside early on the backstretch, altered course five wide nearing the far turn, rallied four then two wide to make the lead in mid stretch and won under left handed urging.
  • STACY ELLEN allowed to settle, closed willingly three wide through deep stretch and got up for second.
  • LOCO COCO drifted in at the start, quickly opened a large lead, set the pace until mid stretch then was outfinished.
  • SWEET VIVIAN void of early speed, found her best stride late six wide.
  • JAC'S COCOABELLA failed to menace.
  • RIVERS ANGEL settled three wide and faded in the stretch.
  • GABADOST well placed, failed to respond.
  • CHARDU was in tight at the start, chased the pace for a half mile, stopped on the far turn and jogged to the wire.
  • TRUSTTHEFACT was never involved, stopped in the lane and also jogged to the wire.
  • BIONIC SAINT flashed speed, stopped and jogged to the wire.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
19Hello Evelyn13.6-10
27Stacy Ellen5.60-10.05
33Loco Coco8.50-12.5
410Sweet Vivian8-10.75
51Jac's Cocoabella1.20-12.25
65Rivers Angel4-17.5
76Gabadost17.3-111
82Chardu46.7-16
98Trustthefact55.3-13.25
104Bionic Saint19.0-134.5

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
HELLO EVELYN was hung six wide into the clubhouse turn, dropped inside early on the backstretch, altered course five wide nearing the far turn, rallied four then two wide to make the lead in mid stretch and won under left handed urging. STACY ELLEN allowed to settle, closed willingly three wide through deep stretch and got up for second. LOCO COCO drifted in at the start, quickly opened a large lead, set the pace until mid stretch then was outfinished. SWEET VIVIAN void of early speed, found her best stride late six wide. JAC'S COCOABELLA failed to menace. RIVERS ANGEL settled three wide and faded in the stretch. GABADOST well placed, failed to respond. CHARDU was in tight at the start, chased the pace for a half mile, stopped on the far turn and jogged to the wire. TRUSTTHEFACT was never involved, stopped in the lane and also jogged to the wire. BIONIC SAINT flashed speed, stopped and jogged to the wire.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#5 EP vs #3 E) on a speed-biased rail track; if the duel fires, closers cycling up get a window in the lane · CHALK #5 RIVERS ANGEL · usable-but-short · rising figs and 3rd-cycle are real, but 2.5 ML leaves no price even if it fires; duel risk is genuine

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 TDN R2 pass_ok · winner #9 HELLO EVELYN @ 13.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3#5 Sassy Walker · 2.10-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.10 · 44.86 · 57.50 · Final 1:10.82

Splits (22:76) (12:64) (13:32)

PgmHorseCalls
5Sassy Walker1 · 2Head · 13 · 16 · 11
2Illuminate4 · 57 · 1/4 · 511 · 1/2 · 410 · 21
4Small Town Gossip2 · 44 · 1/4 · 37 · 36 · 34
3My Kinda Party5 · 3Head · 23 · 26 · 44 · 3/4
1Dynamic Vision3 · 1Head · 47 · 512 · 515 · 1/2

SASSY WALKER pressed the early pace from the outside, dueled with MY KINDA PARTY past the half mile pole into the turn, shook clear before the quarter poled, widened into the stretch under left handed urging while getting quick fractions and lasted under confident handling. ILLUMINATE trailed into the stretch, swung wide, closed fast near the middle of the racetrack, was too late and finished clear for second. SMALL TOWN GOSSIP allowed to settle, closed a gap late three wide. MY KINDA PARTY dueled for the lead two wide into the turn then faded. DYNAMIC VISION battled for the lead along the inside past the half mile marker and gave way on the turn.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Sassy Walker · close 2.10-1

  • SASSY WALKER pressed the early pace from the outside, dueled with MY KINDA PARTY past the half mile pole into the turn, shook clear before the quarter poled, widened into the stretch under left handed urging while getting quick fractions and lasted under confident handling.
  • ILLUMINATE trailed into the stretch, swung wide, closed fast near the middle of the racetrack, was too late and finished clear for second.
  • SMALL TOWN GOSSIP allowed to settle, closed a gap late three wide.
  • MY KINDA PARTY dueled for the lead two wide into the turn then faded.
  • DYNAMIC VISION battled for the lead along the inside past the half mile marker and gave way on the turn.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15Sassy Walker2.10-10
22Illuminate1.20-13
34Small Town Gossip5.20-143.75
43My Kinda Party3-110.75
51Dynamic Vision18.6-115.5
SCR—Salute the Kid——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SASSY WALKER pressed the early pace from the outside, dueled with MY KINDA PARTY past the half mile pole into the turn, shook clear before the quarter poled, widened into the stretch under left handed urging while getting quick fractions and lasted under confident handling. ILLUMINATE trailed into the stretch, swung wide, closed fast near the middle of the racetrack, was too late and finished clear for second. SMALL TOWN GOSSIP allowed to settle, closed a gap late three wide. MY KINDA PARTY dueled for the lead two wide into the turn then faded. DYNAMIC VISION battled for the lead along the inside past the half mile marker and gave way on the turn.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of speed (#3 #1 #5 #6) projects an honest-to-pressured pace; · CHALK #5 SASSY WALKER (ML 2) · usable but short · rising figs (87, 3rd

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 TDN R3 pass_ok · winner #5 SASSY WALKER @ 2.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4#5 John Fitzgerald · 5-1play winBETRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.78 · 46.50 · 58.80 · Final 1:05.26

Splits (23:72) (12:30) (6:46)

PgmHorseCalls
5John Fitzgerald7 · 52 · 1/4 · 41 · 1/4 · 1Head · 1Head
3May Mayhem3 · 63 · 1/4 · 63 · 1/4 · 33 · 2Head
2Red Chili Pepper4 · 2Head · 2Head · 2Head · 31 · 1/2
7Pecks Not Bad1 · 3Head · 3Head · 43 · 1/2 · 43 · 1/2
4Drill City6 · 711 · 1/4 · 712 · 1/4 · 611 · 58 · 3/4
6Thedayofthegrey2 · 1Head · 1Head · 56 · 614 · 1/4
1So That's That5 · 4Neck · 53 · 1/4 · 715 · 722 · 1/4

JOHN FITZGERALD hit the gate coming out, shifted outside quickly, circled his field steadily to engage the leader in upper stretch, drifted inward when coaxed with a right handed crop bumping RED CHILLI PEPPER before the furlong marker and proved best under strong handling. MAY MAYHEM allowed to settle, rallied through deep stretch five wide and just missed. RED CHILI PEPPER pressed the pace two wide into the turn, made the lead nearing the top of the stretch, was bumped by the winner before the furlong marker, dug in gamely but was outfinished in the late stages. PECKS NOT BAD pressed the pace four then three wide and faded in the lane. DRILL CITY hopped at the start and was no threat. THEDAYOFTHEGREY set a pressured pace three wide until late on the turn then was used up. SO THAT'S THAT pressed the pace along the inside into the turn then flattened out.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 John Fitzgerald · close 5-1

  • JOHN FITZGERALD hit the gate coming out, shifted outside quickly, circled his field steadily to engage the leader in upper stretch, drifted inward when coaxed with a right handed crop bumping RED CHILLI PEPPER before the furlong marker and proved best under strong handling.
  • MAY MAYHEM allowed to settle, rallied through deep stretch five wide and just missed.
  • RED CHILI PEPPER pressed the pace two wide into the turn, made the lead nearing the top of the stretch, was bumped by the winner before the furlong marker, dug in gamely but was outfinished in the late stages.
  • PECKS NOT BAD pressed the pace four then three wide and faded in the lane.
  • DRILL CITY hopped at the start and was no threat.
  • THEDAYOFTHEGREY set a pressured pace three wide until late on the turn then was used up.
  • SO THAT'S THAT pressed the pace along the inside into the turn then flattened out.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15John Fitzgerald5-10
23May Mayhem3.30-11.5
32Red Chili Pepper1.10-12
47Pecks Not Bad6-15.25
54Drill City17.7-15.5
66Thedayofthegrey8.60-18
71So That's That17.6-122.25

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
#5 JOHN FITZGERALD · min 3-1 win · at 5-2 or shorter, PASS · PLAY hit · win
Price model
BET · #5 JOHN FITZGERALD · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
JOHN FITZGERALD hit the gate coming out, shifted outside quickly, circled his field steadily to engage the leader in upper stretch, drifted inward when coaxed with a right handed crop bumping RED CHILLI PEPPER before the furlong marker and proved best under strong handling. MAY MAYHEM allowed to settle, rallied through deep stretch five wide and just missed. RED CHILI PEPPER pressed the pace two wide into the turn, made the lead nearing the top of the stretch, was bumped by the winner before the furlong marker, dug in gamely but was outfinished in the late stages. PECKS NOT BAD pressed the pace four then three wide and faded in the lane. DRILL CITY hopped at the start and was no threat. THEDAYOFTHEGREY set a pressured pace three wide until late on the turn then was used up. SO THAT'S THAT pressed the pace along the inside into the turn then flattened out.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #5 JOHN FITZGERALD · min 3-1 win · at 5-2 or shorter, PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#7 #6 #1 #2) projects a pace duel or meltdown; stalkers and closers get a free shot if fractions honest · CHALK #2 RED CHILI PEPPER · short · rising figs and best form score but priced at ML 2 into a pace war it must survive

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_hit · win · price model BET #5 JOHN FITZGERALD · 2026-09-15 TDN R4 play_hit · winner #5 JOHN FITZGERALD @ 5 · overlay #5 JOHN FITZGERALD edge 0.038 · PLAY win #5 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5#9 Live a Little · 1.80-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.48 · 45.82 · 58.48 · Final 1:11.60

Splits (23:34) (12:66) (13:12)

PgmHorseCalls
9Live a Little1 · 11 · 1/2 · 1Head · 12 · 12
8Red Head Kid2 · 33 · 1/2 · 33 · 1/2 · 34 · 22
7Social History3 · 64 · 1/2 · 56 · 65 · 1/2 · 32 · 3/4
1Sammy and Shorty6 · 54 · 66 · 1/2 · 55 · 1/2 · 42 · 3/4
5Radio Silent4 · 21 · 1/2 · 2Head · 22 · 53 · 1/4
2Dr. Zarnett5 · 43 · 1/2 · 45 · 1/2 · 44 · 1/2 · 64
3Nambiti7 · 77 · 77 · 1/2 · 79 · 1/2 · 76 · 3/4

LIVE A LITTLE away alertly, set all the pace, drifted to the five path entering the stretch brushing with RADIO SILENT then drew clear under right handed urging after angled in along the rail. RED HEAD KID stalked the pace into the stretch, had a mild late rally five wide and got up for second. SOCIAL HISTORY unhurried early, swung wide and was steadily gaining ground late in the middle of the racetrack. SAMMY AND SHORTY unhurried early, improved position late two wide. RADIO SILENT chased the winner early, loomed boldly two wide nearing the quarter pole, was carried out to the six path and brushed by that one entering the stretch then faded. DR. ZARNETT inside, went evenly. NAMBITI trailed. THE STEWARDS POSTED THE INQUIRY SIGN BUT TOOK NO ACTION.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #9 Live a Little · close 1.80-1

  • LIVE A LITTLE away alertly, set all the pace, drifted to the five path entering the stretch brushing with RADIO SILENT then drew clear under right handed urging after angled in along the rail.
  • RED HEAD KID stalked the pace into the stretch, had a mild late rally five wide and got up for second.
  • SOCIAL HISTORY unhurried early, swung wide and was steadily gaining ground late in the middle of the racetrack.
  • SAMMY AND SHORTY unhurried early, improved position late two wide.
  • RADIO SILENT chased the winner early, loomed boldly two wide nearing the quarter pole, was carried out to the six path and brushed by that one entering the stretch then faded.
  • DR. ZARNETT inside, went evenly.
  • NAMBITI trailed. THE STEWARDS POSTED THE INQUIRY SIGN BUT TOOK NO ACTION.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
19Live a Little1.80-10
28Red Head Kid1.30-10.75
37Social History5.40-10.2
41Sammy and Shorty11.1-10.5
55Radio Silent25.7-10.75
62Dr. Zarnett5.50-12.75
73Nambiti71.0-16.75
SCR—Mister Mobil——
SCR—Smokin Joe——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS — primed horses exist but neither carries a positive overlay; no non-chalk price clears the threshold · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
LIVE A LITTLE away alertly, set all the pace, drifted to the five path entering the stretch brushing with RADIO SILENT then drew clear under right handed urging after angled in along the rail. RED HEAD KID stalked the pace into the stretch, had a mild late rally five wide and got up for second. SOCIAL HISTORY unhurried early, swung wide and was steadily gaining ground late in the middle of the racetrack. SAMMY AND SHORTY unhurried early, improved position late two wide. RADIO SILENT chased the winner early, loomed boldly two wide nearing the quarter pole, was carried out to the six path and brushed by that one entering the stretch then faded. DR. ZARNETT inside, went evenly. NAMBITI trailed. THE STEWARDS POSTED THE INQUIRY SIGN BUT TOOK NO ACTION.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — primed horses exist but neither carries a positive overlay; no non-chalk price clears the threshold · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#5 vs #9) · stalkers and pressers inherit · speed bias slightly cuts both ways · CHALK #9 LIVE A LITTLE · opposable · outside post, sole-pace last fig (74) built behind a clear lead, drawn wide into a probable hook; gets pressured today when it couldn't handle pressure at MVR

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 TDN R5 pass_ok · winner #9 LIVE A LITTLE @ 1.8 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6#6 Tierney · 0.40-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.96 · 46.78 · 59.56 · Final 1:12.58

Splits (23:82) (12:78) (13:02)

PgmHorseCalls
6Tierney2 · 43 · 2Head · 12 · 14 · 1/2
3Kat Trax5 · 1Head · 1Head · 22 · 24 · 1/2
5Tale of the Lyon1 · 2Head · 3Head · 33 · 1/2 · 35 · 1/4
2Dolce Marie3 · 31/2 · 41 · 1/4 · 43 · 1/2 · 45 · 3/4
4Angel Wings4 · 53 · 1/4 · 51 · 3/4 · 58 · 512
1Spice Ice6 · 69 · 3/4 · 67 · 3/4 · 611 · 1/2 · 614 · 1/4

TIERNEY always within striking distance, rallied three wide through the turn to make the lead at the top of the stretch then drew off under a hand ride. KAT TRAX set a pressured pace two wide then along the inside past the quarter pole then was no match for the winner and held on for second. TALE OF THE LYON pressed the pace three then two wide and finished with good courage. DOLCE MARIE had good early speed along the rail, dropped back a bit before the turn, altered course four wide entering the stretch and finished determinedly. ANGEL WINGS failed to menace. SPICE ICE trailed.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #6 Tierney · close 0.40-1

  • TIERNEY always within striking distance, rallied three wide through the turn to make the lead at the top of the stretch then drew off under a hand ride.
  • KAT TRAX set a pressured pace two wide then along the inside past the quarter pole then was no match for the winner and held on for second.
  • TALE OF THE LYON pressed the pace three then two wide and finished with good courage.
  • DOLCE MARIE had good early speed along the rail, dropped back a bit before the turn, altered course four wide entering the stretch and finished determinedly.
  • ANGEL WINGS failed to menace.
  • SPICE ICE trailed.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
16Tierney0.40-10
23Kat Trax3.60-10.75
35Tale of the Lyon9.40-15.25
42Dolce Marie31.8-16.25
54Angel Wings5.90-12.25
61Spice Ice32.3-114.25

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
TIERNEY always within striking distance, rallied three wide through the turn to make the lead at the top of the stretch then drew off under a hand ride. KAT TRAX set a pressured pace two wide then along the inside past the quarter pole then was no match for the winner and held on for second. TALE OF THE LYON pressed the pace three then two wide and finished with good courage. DOLCE MARIE had good early speed along the rail, dropped back a bit before the turn, altered course four wide entering the stretch and finished determinedly. ANGEL WINGS failed to menace. SPICE ICE trailed.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #5 TALE OF THE LYON, speed/inside bias; scenario A favors the speed; closers need a melt that the map does not project · CHALK #6 TIERNEY (1.8) and #3 KAT TRAX (2.0) co-chalk; KAT TRAX is the stronger lean — rising figs (65→70), same surface/distance, model edge +0.028, solid for the winner call; TIERNEY is a class drop but negative edge and no ready flags, short

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 TDN R6 pass_ok · winner #6 TIERNEY @ 0.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7#6 Wisley · 17.9-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.60 · 46.16 · 58.96 · Final 1:11.92

Splits (23:56) (12:80) (12:96)

PgmHorseCalls
6Wisley2 · 52 · 43 · 33 · 1/2 · 11 · 3/4
5Bukele4 · 21 · 2Head · 1Head · 21 · 3/4
4Quick Ship3 · 11 · 1Head · 2Head · 32
1Estoico6 · 75 · 1/2 · 78 · 78 · 3/4 · 46 · 1/2
2Curious Corn7 · 41 · 1/2 · 54 · 1/2 · 57 · 1/4 · 56 · 1/2
3Lemon Drop Hero5 · 63 · 1/2 · 67 · 1/2 · 67 · 1/4 · 68
7My Paisan1 · 31 · 1/2 · 32 · 47 · 711 · 1/2

WISLEY was bumped from his outside into BUKELE at the start, settled, rallied four then three wide under left handed urging to make the lead nearing the sixteenth pole and won under a hand ride. BUKELE was bumped at the start, pressed the pace two wide into the stretch, gained a narrow lead nearing the furlong marker then couldn't handle the winner. QUICK SHIP set a pressured pace along the inside until mid stretch then was outfinished. ESTOICO trailed into the stretch and improved position late three wide. CURIOUS CORN wouldn't load in the gate, had good early speed along the inside then faded. LEMON DROP HERO failed to menace. MY PAISAN drifted in bumping the winner at the start, vied for the lead four then three wide through the turn then flattened out.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #6 Wisley · close 17.9-1

  • WISLEY was bumped from his outside into BUKELE at the start, settled, rallied four then three wide under left handed urging to make the lead nearing the sixteenth pole and won under a hand ride.
  • BUKELE was bumped at the start, pressed the pace two wide into the stretch, gained a narrow lead nearing the furlong marker then couldn't handle the winner.
  • QUICK SHIP set a pressured pace along the inside until mid stretch then was outfinished.
  • ESTOICO trailed into the stretch and improved position late three wide.
  • CURIOUS CORN wouldn't load in the gate, had good early speed along the inside then faded.
  • LEMON DROP HERO failed to menace.
  • MY PAISAN drifted in bumping the winner at the start, vied for the lead four then three wide through the turn then flattened out.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
16Wisley17.9-10
25Bukele3.60-10.3
34Quick Ship0.90-14.5
41Estoico8.20-10.2
52Curious Corn2.90-11.5
63Lemon Drop Hero18.4-13.5
77My Paisan49.6-111.5

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
WISLEY was bumped from his outside into BUKELE at the start, settled, rallied four then three wide under left handed urging to make the lead nearing the sixteenth pole and won under a hand ride. BUKELE was bumped at the start, pressed the pace two wide into the stretch, gained a narrow lead nearing the furlong marker then couldn't handle the winner. QUICK SHIP set a pressured pace along the inside until mid stretch then was outfinished. ESTOICO trailed into the stretch and improved position late three wide. CURIOUS CORN wouldn't load in the gate, had good early speed along the inside then faded. LEMON DROP HERO failed to menace. MY PAISAN drifted in bumping the winner at the start, vied for the lead four then three wide through the turn then flattened out.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Three-way speed duel (#4 #7 #3) sets honest-to-hot fractions; stalkers sit in range, pace benefits them in A and B · CHALK #2 CURIOUS CORN · solid · best speed/form profile, class drop from n1x is real, inside post suits rail bias; #4 QUICK SHIP · usable but short · high signal/pace score but faces a hook and finished second twice at this level

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 TDN R7 pass_ok · winner #6 WISLEY @ 17.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8#7 Full Spectrum · 0.60-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.36 · 46.50 · 59.10 · Final 1:05.64

Splits (24:14) (12:60) (6:54)

PgmHorseCalls
7Full Spectrum1 · 41 · 21/2 · 1Head · 11 · 3/4
5Hip Hip Hooray4 · 52 · 31 · 1/2 · 2Head · 21 · 3/4
1Counting On Clyde3 · 31 · 41 · 1/2 · 46 · 35 · 1/2
3Party Pooper5 · 21/2 · 51 · 3/4 · 33 · 1/2 · 47 · 1/4
4Gift of Oak7 · 718 · 715 · 3/4 · 713 · 1/2 · 511 · 1/2
6Unbridled O'Brien2 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 57 · 1/2 · 616 · 1/2
2Fact Not Fiction6 · 66 · 66 · 3/4 · 612 · 1/2 · 724

FULL SPECTRUM stalked the pace five then four wide into the turn, rallied to make the lead nearing the quarter pole, set the balance of the pace, turned back a strong bid from the runner up in upper stretch under left handed urging and edged clear late. HIP HIP HOORAY stalked the pace three wide, shifted outside on the turn, moved to the winner in upper stretch and was denied. COUNTING ON CLYDE vied for the lead along the rail, lacked room late on the turn, checked then shifted out three wide entering the stretch and came on again late. PARTY POOPER pressed the pace two wide into the turn then faded. GIFT OF OAK broke in a tangle then veered in at the start and had no impact. UNBRIDLED O'BRIEN set a pressured pace four then three then two wide until late on the turn then was used up. FACT NOT FICTION was no threat.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #7 Full Spectrum · close 0.60-1

  • FULL SPECTRUM stalked the pace five then four wide into the turn, rallied to make the lead nearing the quarter pole, set the balance of the pace, turned back a strong bid from the runner up in upper stretch under left handed urging and edged clear late.
  • HIP HIP HOORAY stalked the pace three wide, shifted outside on the turn, moved to the winner in upper stretch and was denied.
  • COUNTING ON CLYDE vied for the lead along the rail, lacked room late on the turn, checked then shifted out three wide entering the stretch and came on again late.
  • PARTY POOPER pressed the pace two wide into the turn then faded.
  • GIFT OF OAK broke in a tangle then veered in at the start and had no impact.
  • UNBRIDLED O'BRIEN set a pressured pace four then three then two wide until late on the turn then was used up.
  • FACT NOT FICTION was no threat.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
17Full Spectrum0.60-10
25Hip Hip Hooray3.50-13.75
31Counting On Clyde14.9-11.75
43Party Pooper6.60-14.25
54Gift of Oak104.8-15
66Unbridled O'Brien12.6-17.5
72Fact Not Fiction6.90-124

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
FULL SPECTRUM stalked the pace five then four wide into the turn, rallied to make the lead nearing the quarter pole, set the balance of the pace, turned back a strong bid from the runner up in upper stretch under left handed urging and edged clear late. HIP HIP HOORAY stalked the pace three wide, shifted outside on the turn, moved to the winner in upper stretch and was denied. COUNTING ON CLYDE vied for the lead along the rail, lacked room late on the turn, checked then shifted out three wide entering the stretch and came on again late. PARTY POOPER pressed the pace two wide into the turn then faded. GIFT OF OAK broke in a tangle then veered in at the start and had no impact. UNBRIDLED O'BRIEN set a pressured pace four then three then two wide until late on the turn then was used up. FACT NOT FICTION was no threat.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of speed (#3 #6 #1) projects a duel; stalkers/pressers inherit A and B but no non-chalk carries an overlay · CHALK #7 FULL SPECTRUM · short (ML 2) · class drop is real but figs declining and model edge is negative

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 TDN R8 pass_ok · winner #7 FULL SPECTRUM @ 0.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.