What this card taught
- Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
- 1 floor miss — next sheet still tags FLOOR. A board shorter than the floor is a pass, not a blown horse.
- 5 PLAY outs stay on the memory line. That is a notice, not a weight.
- 1 board-inside-floor. Next sheet still writes a min. Shorter than that number is a pass.
- 3 chalk-not-opposable. Fade only when shape still opposes after the chart.
- 6 misses had no tote stamp. Floor never checked live.
Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.
| R | Winner | PLAY | Miss | Why | Overlay then | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | #3 JIMMYS DANCE 2.1-1 | Out #4 PEARLOFGREATPRICE · win · min odds 3-1 (at shorter, pass) | PLAY out | Chalk was not opposable no tote Sheet called chalk #3 opposable; chalk won. Fade needs a shape reason that holds. | BET #4 PEARLOFGREATPRICE · +4.2% | Overlay miss 2026-09-20 SWF R1 overlay_miss · winner #3 JIMMYS DANCE @ 2.1 · overlay #4 PEARLOFGREATPRICE edge 0.042 · PLAY out #4 |
| R2 | #1 GHOSTLY SPIRIT 0.7-1 | Out #3 CIELITOS WISH · minimum 3.5-1 · win · if board softens shorter, PASS | PLAY out | PLAY out no tote PLAY finished out of the money. No sharper why on the stored sheet. | BET #3 CIELITOS WISH · +3.3% | Overlay miss 2026-09-20 SWF R2 overlay_miss · winner #1 GHOSTLY SPIRIT @ 0.7 · overlay #3 CIELITOS WISH edge 0.033 · PLAY out #3 |
| R3 | #6 MY SUMMER DREAM 3.3-1 | Out #7 SHACKLEFORD STRONG · min 5-1 · WIN | PLAY out | Chalk was not opposable no tote Sheet called chalk #6 fade; chalk won. Fade needs a shape reason that holds. | WATCH #7 SHACKLEFORD STRONG · +2.2% | Overlay miss 2026-09-20 SWF R3 overlay_miss · winner #6 MY SUMMER DREAM @ 3.3 · overlay #7 SHACKLEFORD STRONG edge 0.022 · PLAY out #7 |
| R4 | #2 ROKI 9.7-1 | Floor #1 WAR SPIRIT · min 4-1 · WIN (pass if board opens shorter) | Died at the floor | Board inside the floor no tote Close was shorter than the floor (4-1). Sheet already said pass at that number. | BET #1 WAR SPIRIT · +3.4% | Floor miss 2026-09-20 SWF R4 floor_miss · winner #2 ROKI @ 9.7 · overlay #1 WAR SPIRIT edge 0.034 · PLAY floor #1 |
| R5 | #3 LOTSA STEEL 6.0-1 | Scratch #5 STANFORD HOLIDAY · min 4-1 · WIN | Scratched | — | BET #6 ADIOS MUCHACHAS · +3.2% | Scratch 2026-09-20 SWF R5 scratch · winner #3 LOTSA STEEL @ 6 · overlay #6 ADIOS MUCHACHAS edge 0.032 · PLAY scratch #5 |
| R6 | #6 BOBBY CHANCELOT 3.6-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 SWF R6 pass_ok · winner #6 BOBBY CHANCELOT @ 3.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R7 | #9 TIPSY ON KOLTISKA 4.3-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 SWF R7 pass_ok · winner #9 TIPSY ON KOLTISKA @ 4.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R8 | #9 NOTRE DAME 11.1-1 | Out #6 MG PRIVATE RELATIONS · win · min 7-2 (at 5-2 or shorter, pass) | PLAY out | PLAY out no tote PLAY finished out of the money. No sharper why on the stored sheet. | WATCH #6 MG PRIVATE RELATIONS · +2.5% | Overlay miss 2026-09-20 SWF R8 overlay_miss · winner #9 NOTRE DAME @ 11.1 · overlay #6 MG PRIVATE RELATIONS edge 0.025 · PLAY out #6 |
| R9 | #3 WESTERN DYNASTY 5.2-1 | Pass PASS — sheet rec PASS; no non-chalk overlay; #2 is the most interesting primed horse but negative model edge and no price confirmation; post 8 kills #8 on the bias | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 SWF R9 pass_ok · winner #3 WESTERN DYNASTY @ 5.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R10 | #10 JKH ALMOST A DYNASTY 6.2-1 | Pass PASS — only overlay is the chalk; no price horse qualifies | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 SWF R10 pass_ok · winner #10 JKH ALMOST A DYNASTY @ 6.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R11 | #10 PINK KISS 0.9-1 | Out #3 YO FIFTY HOT ROD · min 4-1 · WIN — class jump from claiming is the kill switch; at 3-1 or shorter, PASS | PLAY out | Chalk was not opposable no tote Sheet called chalk #10 fade; chalk won. Fade needs a shape reason that holds. | WATCH #3 YO FIFTY HOT ROD · +2.5% | Overlay miss 2026-09-20 SWF R11 overlay_miss · winner #10 PINK KISS @ 0.9 · overlay #3 YO FIFTY HOT ROD edge 0.025 · PLAY out #3 |
Built 2026-09-21 03:02Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).