SWF · 2026-09-20

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

JIMMY'S DANCE well placed early, rallied 4path stretch, drew clear in hand. NORTH LAKE KATE unhurried, swung 4wide upper stretch, closed willingly for 2nd. FURIA settled inside, rail stretch rally, outkicked for 2nd, clear 3rd. WHY DOROTHY WHY off bit slow, settled inside, angled out stretch drive, moved up. KISSED BY ICE off slow, coaxed 2path upper, no late response. PEARLOFGREATPRICE broke alertly, vied for lead 3wide, dueled 3path upper, weakened. CANDOROSA vied inside early, dueled 2path to upper stretch, gave way. INVINCIBLE ANGEL settled 2nd flight, bit tight btw early, 3-4wd to stretch, empty. HAND TIMED.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Jimmy's Dance · close 2.10-1

• JIMMY'S DANCE well placed early, rallied 4path stretch, drew clear in hand.
• NORTH LAKE KATE unhurried, swung 4wide upper stretch, closed willingly for 2nd.
• FURIA settled inside, rail stretch rally, outkicked for 2nd, clear 3rd.
• WHY DOROTHY WHY off bit slow, settled inside, angled out stretch drive, moved up.
• KISSED BY ICE off slow, coaxed 2path upper, no late response.
• PEARLOFGREATPRICE broke alertly, vied for lead 3wide, dueled 3path upper, weakened.
• CANDOROSA vied inside early, dueled 2path to upper stretch, gave way.
• INVINCIBLE ANGEL settled 2nd flight, bit tight btw early, 3-4wd to stretch, empty. HAND TIMED.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#4 PEARLOFGREATPRICE · win · min odds 3-1 (at shorter, pass) · PLAY out · chalk_not_opposable · out

Price model

BET · #4 PEARLOFGREATPRICE · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
JIMMY'S DANCE well placed early, rallied 4path stretch, drew clear in hand. NORTH LAKE KATE unhurried, swung 4wide upper stretch, closed willingly for 2nd. FURIA settled inside, rail stretch rally, outkicked for 2nd, clear 3rd. WHY DOROTHY WHY off bit slow, settled inside, angled out stretch drive, moved up. KISSED BY ICE off slow, coaxed 2path upper, no late response. PEARLOFGREATPRICE broke alertly, vied for lead 3wide, dueled 3path upper, weakened. CANDOROSA vied inside early, dueled 2path to upper stretch, gave way. INVINCIBLE ANGEL settled 2nd flight, bit tight btw early, 3-4wd to stretch, empty. HAND TIMED.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #4 PEARLOFGREATPRICE · win · min odds 3-1 (at shorter, pass) · SHAPE Lone speed #4 PEARLOFGREATPRICE, speed bias, no presser who must lead — Scenario A strongly favors the front-runner · CHALK #3 JIMMYS DANCE 2.5 · opposable · closer with negative zPace in a lone-speed race with a track bias that punishes late runners

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_out · out · chalk_not_opposable · price model BET #4 PEARLOFGREATPRICE · 2026-09-20 SWF R1 overlay_miss · winner #3 JIMMYS DANCE @ 2.1 · overlay #4 PEARLOFGREATPRICE edge 0.042 · PLAY out #4 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

GHOSTLY SPIRIT took early command, set pace inside to 2nd turn, held sway drive. M ONE forward early, stalked 3-2wd to 2nd turn, chased winner, 2nd best. FLYING CYCLONE settled to backstretch, swung 5-6p upper, closed willingly. DECALAGE antsy in gate, off step slow, coaxed 4path upper, outkicked. CIELITOS WISH shuffled bit early, settled inside, tipped out, no late rally. C D LITTLE TROOPER forward early, bit tight btw on backstretch, chased inside to stretch, weakened. KALAHARI KING off slow, trailed to backstretch, wide trip to stretch, no threat. SUNTASTIC off step slow, forward early, steady retreat from 3/16, empty. HAND TIMED.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #1 Ghostly Spirit · close 0.70-1

• GHOSTLY SPIRIT took early command, set pace inside to 2nd turn, held sway drive.
• M ONE forward early, stalked 3-2wd to 2nd turn, chased winner, 2nd best.
• FLYING CYCLONE settled to backstretch, swung 5-6p upper, closed willingly.
• DECALAGE antsy in gate, off step slow, coaxed 4path upper, outkicked.
• CIELITOS WISH shuffled bit early, settled inside, tipped out, no late rally.
• C D LITTLE TROOPER forward early, bit tight btw on backstretch, chased inside to stretch, weakened.
• KALAHARI KING off slow, trailed to backstretch, wide trip to stretch, no threat.
• SUNTASTIC off step slow, forward early, steady retreat from 3/16, empty. HAND TIMED.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#3 CIELITOS WISH · minimum 3.5-1 · win · if board softens shorter, PASS · PLAY out · play_out · out

Price model

BET · #3 CIELITOS WISH · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
GHOSTLY SPIRIT took early command, set pace inside to 2nd turn, held sway drive. M ONE forward early, stalked 3-2wd to 2nd turn, chased winner, 2nd best. FLYING CYCLONE settled to backstretch, swung 5-6p upper, closed willingly. DECALAGE antsy in gate, off step slow, coaxed 4path upper, outkicked. CIELITOS WISH shuffled bit early, settled inside, tipped out, no late rally. C D LITTLE TROOPER forward early, bit tight btw on backstretch, chased inside to stretch, weakened. KALAHARI KING off slow, trailed to backstretch, wide trip to stretch, no threat. SUNTASTIC off step slow, forward early, steady retreat from 3/16, empty. HAND TIMED.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #3 CIELITOS WISH · minimum 3.5-1 · win · if board softens shorter, PASS · SHAPE No dedicated early speed; crawl likely; pressers (#3, #1) hold structural advantage over closer-heavy field · CHALK #8 KALAHARI KING — opposable; closer from post 8, zero wins from posts 8+ in 30-day bias sample, negative zPace (-1.68), stepping up in class

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_out · out · play_out · price model BET #3 CIELITOS WISH · 2026-09-20 SWF R2 overlay_miss · winner #1 GHOSTLY SPIRIT @ 0.7 · overlay #3 CIELITOS WISH edge 0.033 · PLAY out #3 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

MY SUMMER DREAM close up 3wide, bid to 2nd turn, drew away in hand stretch. WHEELER DEALER vied inside early, led to 2nd turn, no match late for winner, held for 2nd. RUNHAPPY D'ORO settled inside-2p, swung 3-4p upper, gained 3rd. PANUCO bore out 1st turn, trailed 2nd turn, saved ground to stretch, moved up. B D R BAXTER well placed inside, asked 2p upper stretch, no late rally. SHACKLEFORD STRONG tracked early pace 4wide, chased 2nd turn, swung 5-6path upper, weakened. HOT ARTIE off slow, settled early, coaxed 3path upper, no threat late. CHICKEN WING prominent early, attended pace to backstretch, faded lane. HAND TIMED.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #6 My Summer Dream · close 3.30-1

• MY SUMMER DREAM close up 3wide, bid to 2nd turn, drew away in hand stretch.
• WHEELER DEALER vied inside early, led to 2nd turn, no match late for winner, held for 2nd.
• RUNHAPPY D'ORO settled inside-2p, swung 3-4p upper, gained 3rd.
• PANUCO bore out 1st turn, trailed 2nd turn, saved ground to stretch, moved up.
• B D R BAXTER well placed inside, asked 2p upper stretch, no late rally.
• SHACKLEFORD STRONG tracked early pace 4wide, chased 2nd turn, swung 5-6path upper, weakened.
• HOT ARTIE off slow, settled early, coaxed 3path upper, no threat late.
• CHICKEN WING prominent early, attended pace to backstretch, faded lane. HAND TIMED.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#7 SHACKLEFORD STRONG · min 5-1 · WIN · PLAY out · chalk_not_opposable · out

Price model

WATCH · #7 SHACKLEFORD STRONG · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
MY SUMMER DREAM close up 3wide, bid to 2nd turn, drew away in hand stretch. WHEELER DEALER vied inside early, led to 2nd turn, no match late for winner, held for 2nd. RUNHAPPY D'ORO settled inside-2p, swung 3-4p upper, gained 3rd. PANUCO bore out 1st turn, trailed 2nd turn, saved ground to stretch, moved up. B D R BAXTER well placed inside, asked 2p upper stretch, no late rally. SHACKLEFORD STRONG tracked early pace 4wide, chased 2nd turn, swung 5-6path upper, weakened. HOT ARTIE off slow, settled early, coaxed 3path upper, no threat late. CHICKEN WING prominent early, attended pace to backstretch, faded lane. HAND TIMED.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #7 SHACKLEFORD STRONG · min 5-1 · WIN · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#2 vs #1) on a speed-favoring track; stalkers and closers inherit in A/B · CHALK #6 MY SUMMER DREAM · short/opposable · model fade (–0.052 edge), worst zPace in the field (–2.07), closing style into a speed bias, likely overbet on class optics alone

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_out · out · chalk_not_opposable · price model WATCH #7 SHACKLEFORD STRONG · 2026-09-20 SWF R3 overlay_miss · winner #6 MY SUMMER DREAM @ 3.3 · overlay #7 SHACKLEFORD STRONG edge 0.022 · PLAY out #7 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

ROKI vied inside, set pace to 2nd turn, led to 1/8, drew away late. MR. BIZ forward early, stalked 3wide, chased winner lane, held for 2nd. NOTIME FORMISCHIEF lacked early speed, swung 4-5p drive, mild rally, missed 2nd. IMPULZIVE STORM settled outside, swung widest upper stretch, passed tired ones. PADDYS FOUR ROSES settled 2nd flight, bore out 1st turn, trailed 2nd turn, kept on. MR. PIPPINS settled mid-pack, saved ground, swung 3p upper, no rally. COME NOW vied early, attended pace to backstretch, outkicked to 1/8, faded. WAR SPIRIT settled inside, well placed to 2nd turn, angled out, weakened. HAND TIMED.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Roki · close 9.70-1

• ROKI vied inside, set pace to 2nd turn, led to 1/8, drew away late.
• MR. BIZ forward early, stalked 3wide, chased winner lane, held for 2nd.
• NOTIME FORMISCHIEF lacked early speed, swung 4-5p drive, mild rally, missed 2nd.
• IMPULZIVE STORM settled outside, swung widest upper stretch, passed tired ones.
• PADDYS FOUR ROSES settled 2nd flight, bore out 1st turn, trailed 2nd turn, kept on.
• MR. PIPPINS settled mid-pack, saved ground, swung 3p upper, no rally.
• COME NOW vied early, attended pace to backstretch, outkicked to 1/8, faded.
• WAR SPIRIT settled inside, well placed to 2nd turn, angled out, weakened. HAND TIMED.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#1 WAR SPIRIT · min 4-1 · WIN (pass if board opens shorter) · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor

Price model

BET · #1 WAR SPIRIT · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
ROKI vied inside, set pace to 2nd turn, led to 1/8, drew away late. MR. BIZ forward early, stalked 3wide, chased winner lane, held for 2nd. NOTIME FORMISCHIEF lacked early speed, swung 4-5p drive, mild rally, missed 2nd. IMPULZIVE STORM settled outside, swung widest upper stretch, passed tired ones. PADDYS FOUR ROSES settled 2nd flight, bore out 1st turn, trailed 2nd turn, kept on. MR. PIPPINS settled mid-pack, saved ground, swung 3p upper, no rally. COME NOW vied early, attended pace to backstretch, outkicked to 1/8, faded. WAR SPIRIT settled inside, well placed to 2nd turn, angled out, weakened. HAND TIMED.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #1 WAR SPIRIT · min 4-1 · WIN (pass if board opens shorter) · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#5 vs #2) on a speed-biased track; stalkers and pressers get the softest trip · CHALK #5 MR BIZ · opposable · sharp class drop but fig cratered to 41 last out (zForm -1.79), and the duel map hurts its style

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model BET #1 WAR SPIRIT · 2026-09-20 SWF R4 floor_miss · winner #2 ROKI @ 9.7 · overlay #1 WAR SPIRIT edge 0.034 · PLAY floor #1 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

LOTSA STEEL crowded at start, settled outside, angled out 1/8, inhaled foes. ADIOS MUCHACHAS showed early speed, stalked inside, vied late, won nod for 2nd. IMA TROUBLE MAKER hustled, set pace 2p, led to 1/8, overtaken late, lost 2nd. PATSY MONTANA settled inside, no final kick, finished evenly. FRECKLES FOREVER off slow, lacked early speed, inside, bit tight 1/16, no rally. HAPPY CHAPPY settled 2nd flight, gain 2-3wide to upper stretch, flattened out. SHOPPING ACCIDENT shuffled start, settled outside, swung widest upper, no threat. HAND TIMED.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Lotsa Steel · close 6-1

• LOTSA STEEL crowded at start, settled outside, angled out 1/8, inhaled foes.
• ADIOS MUCHACHAS showed early speed, stalked inside, vied late, won nod for 2nd.
• IMA TROUBLE MAKER hustled, set pace 2p, led to 1/8, overtaken late, lost 2nd.
• PATSY MONTANA settled inside, no final kick, finished evenly.
• FRECKLES FOREVER off slow, lacked early speed, inside, bit tight 1/16, no rally.
• HAPPY CHAPPY settled 2nd flight, gain 2-3wide to upper stretch, flattened out.
• SHOPPING ACCIDENT shuffled start, settled outside, swung widest upper, no threat. HAND TIMED.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#5 STANFORD HOLIDAY · min 4-1 · WIN · Scratched · scratch

Price model

BET · #6 ADIOS MUCHACHAS · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
LOTSA STEEL crowded at start, settled outside, angled out 1/8, inhaled foes. ADIOS MUCHACHAS showed early speed, stalked inside, vied late, won nod for 2nd. IMA TROUBLE MAKER hustled, set pace 2p, led to 1/8, overtaken late, lost 2nd. PATSY MONTANA settled inside, no final kick, finished evenly. FRECKLES FOREVER off slow, lacked early speed, inside, bit tight 1/16, no rally. HAPPY CHAPPY settled 2nd flight, gain 2-3wide to upper stretch, flattened out. SHOPPING ACCIDENT shuffled start, settled outside, swung widest upper, no threat. HAND TIMED.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #5 STANFORD HOLIDAY · min 4-1 · WIN · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#5 #6 #8 #1) guarantees honest fractions; stalkers and pressers (slots 4, 7) inherit if the duel empties the front · CHALK #1 FRECKLES FOREVER · short/opposable · projects into the speed duel, weakened last, figs declining (80→76→72→68→69), no ready flags

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet scratch · scratch · price model BET #6 ADIOS MUCHACHAS · 2026-09-20 SWF R5 scratch · winner #3 LOTSA STEEL @ 6 · overlay #6 ADIOS MUCHACHAS edge 0.032 · PLAY scratch #5 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

BOBBY CHANCELOT prompted pace 2-3wide, dueled to 1/8, fully extended in the final sixteenth, held on. LION THRONE broke out, settled early, gain to 2nd turn, 4wide rally to the final sixteenth, missed for the win, up in time for the place. TWO STEVES sent, set contested pace inside, dueled 2p to 1/8, grudgingly yielded to the top pair in deep stretch. ALTER BOY settled mid-pack, saved ground to stretch, no final kick. VERY QUIET settled mid-pack, coaxed 2wide, angled out with a furlong remaining, found his best stride late. HIDDEN FEES squeezed start, settled inside, gained to 1/8, flattened out. MARKING BROADWAY unhurried, wide trip to backstretch, passed tired foes stretch. IT'S NOTMYPROBLEM vied early, tracked 2-3wide to 1/4, empty stretch. TMT ALL INCLUSIVE lunged, broke out at start, rushed inside, weakened stretch. T M T HIGH ROLLER settled outside, coaxed 4-5p upper, no factor stretch. HAND TIMED.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #6 Bobby Chancelot · close 3.60-1

• BOBBY CHANCELOT prompted pace 2-3wide, dueled to 1/8, fully extended in the final sixteenth, held on.
• LION THRONE broke out, settled early, gain to 2nd turn, 4wide rally to the final sixteenth, missed for the win, up in time for the place.
• TWO STEVES sent, set contested pace inside, dueled 2p to 1/8, grudgingly yielded to the top pair in deep stretch.
• ALTER BOY settled mid-pack, saved ground to stretch, no final kick.
• VERY QUIET settled mid-pack, coaxed 2wide, angled out with a furlong remaining, found his best stride late.
• HIDDEN FEES squeezed start, settled inside, gained to 1/8, flattened out.
• MARKING BROADWAY unhurried, wide trip to backstretch, passed tired foes stretch.
• IT'S NOTMYPROBLEM vied early, tracked 2-3wide to 1/4, empty stretch.
• TMT ALL INCLUSIVE lunged, broke out at start, rushed inside, weakened stretch.
• T M T HIGH ROLLER settled outside, coaxed 4-5p upper, no factor stretch. HAND TIMED.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
BOBBY CHANCELOT prompted pace 2-3wide, dueled to 1/8, fully extended in the final sixteenth, held on. LION THRONE broke out, settled early, gain to 2nd turn, 4wide rally to the final sixteenth, missed for the win, up in time for the place. TWO STEVES sent, set contested pace inside, dueled 2p to 1/8, grudgingly yielded to the top pair in deep stretch. ALTER BOY settled mid-pack, saved ground to stretch, no final kick. VERY QUIET settled mid-pack, coaxed 2wide, angled out with a furlong remaining, found his best stride late. HIDDEN FEES squeezed start, settled inside, gained to 1/8, flattened out. MARKING BROADWAY unhurried, wide trip to backstretch, passed tired foes stretch. IT'S NOTMYPROBLEM vied early, tracked 2-3wide to 1/4, empty stretch. TMT ALL INCLUSIVE lunged, broke out at start, rushed inside, weakened stretch. T M T HIGH ROLLER settled outside, coaxed 4-5p upper, no factor stretch. HAND TIMED.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#5 #3 #4 #7 #9); pace duel probable; bias favors early but posts 8+ historically dead; stalkers (P/S from posts 6 and in) get the best setup · CHALK #3 TWO STEVES · short (2.5 ML) · 2nd off layoff, best figures, ideal post 3, top zPace—solid chalk but not a price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-20 SWF R6 pass_ok · winner #6 BOBBY CHANCELOT @ 3.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

TIPSY ON KOLTISKA was away very awkwardly, then rallied to get up in the last jump. JV TOAST TO VICTORY broke sharply, got a trouble free trip and just missed. PRO MARTHA stumbled badly, recovered well to rally and gain the minor award. CHAPARRITA got a good break, clean trip, and gave a steady effort. MILL E was off a step slow, recovered nicely but was not good enough. TRES THUNDER STRUCK broke well, was in good position halfway but weakened. MIA MOONFLASH stumbled start, then lugged in late crowding the inside rivals. PROS AND CONNS bobbled after the break, lugged in and was crowded late. JESS BOBBY JO got forced in towards the rail at the start and never threatened. LADY LITTELWOLF ducked in at the start, lugged in and raced erratically.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #9 Tipsy On Koltiska · close 4.30-1

• TIPSY ON KOLTISKA was away very awkwardly, then rallied to get up in the last jump.
• JV TOAST TO VICTORY broke sharply, got a trouble free trip and just missed.
• PRO MARTHA stumbled badly, recovered well to rally and gain the minor award.
• CHAPARRITA got a good break, clean trip, and gave a steady effort.
• MILL E was off a step slow, recovered nicely but was not good enough.
• TRES THUNDER STRUCK broke well, was in good position halfway but weakened.
• MIA MOONFLASH stumbled start, then lugged in late crowding the inside rivals.
• PROS AND CONNS bobbled after the break, lugged in and was crowded late.
• JESS BOBBY JO got forced in towards the rail at the start and never threatened.
• LADY LITTELWOLF ducked in at the start, lugged in and raced erratically.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
TIPSY ON KOLTISKA was away very awkwardly, then rallied to get up in the last jump. JV TOAST TO VICTORY broke sharply, got a trouble free trip and just missed. PRO MARTHA stumbled badly, recovered well to rally and gain the minor award. CHAPARRITA got a good break, clean trip, and gave a steady effort. MILL E was off a step slow, recovered nicely but was not good enough. TRES THUNDER STRUCK broke well, was in good position halfway but weakened. MIA MOONFLASH stumbled start, then lugged in late crowding the inside rivals. PROS AND CONNS bobbled after the break, lugged in and was crowded late. JESS BOBBY JO got forced in towards the rail at the start and never threatened. LADY LITTELWOLF ducked in at the start, lugged in and raced erratically.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Pace unknown across all ten; bias strongly favors early speed from inside posts, punishes posts 8-plus hard · CHALK #10 Pro Martha · opposable · post 10 is 0-for-field in 30-day bias, no primed signal, fig 89 is real but the post kills it

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-20 SWF R7 pass_ok · winner #9 TIPSY ON KOLTISKA @ 4.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

PRO ROSA off bit slow, off pace inside to mid-stretch, no late rally. CD TEMPT DA CARTEL up close early, chased to mid-stretch, flattened out, lost 3rd. REAL MISTAKE showed speed, led mid-stretch, dug in late, outfinished, 2nd best. EB HUDSON BAY broke out, off pace to mid-stretch, no late response. OURFAVORITECHANCE pinballed at start, off pace, no factor. MG PRIVATE RELATIONS crowded, bumped at start, chased to mid-stretch, outkicked. TINY FLEETER broke in, bumped at start, off pace, no late bid. MYLLAY D off pace to mid-stretch, no menace. NOTRE DAME slight bobble at start, vied to mid-stretch, late surge, in time. SECOND TO NO OTHER off step slow, off pace to mid-stretch, gaining late, up 3rd.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #9 Notre Dame · close 11.1-1

• PRO ROSA off bit slow, off pace inside to mid-stretch, no late rally.
• CD TEMPT DA CARTEL up close early, chased to mid-stretch, flattened out, lost 3rd.
• REAL MISTAKE showed speed, led mid-stretch, dug in late, outfinished, 2nd best.
• EB HUDSON BAY broke out, off pace to mid-stretch, no late response.
• OURFAVORITECHANCE pinballed at start, off pace, no factor.
• MG PRIVATE RELATIONS crowded, bumped at start, chased to mid-stretch, outkicked.
• TINY FLEETER broke in, bumped at start, off pace, no late bid.
• MYLLAY D off pace to mid-stretch, no menace.
• NOTRE DAME slight bobble at start, vied to mid-stretch, late surge, in time.
• SECOND TO NO OTHER off step slow, off pace to mid-stretch, gaining late, up 3rd.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#6 MG PRIVATE RELATIONS · win · min 7-2 (at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · PLAY out · play_out · out

Price model

WATCH · #6 MG PRIVATE RELATIONS · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
PRO ROSA off bit slow, off pace inside to mid-stretch, no late rally. CD TEMPT DA CARTEL up close early, chased to mid-stretch, flattened out, lost 3rd. REAL MISTAKE showed speed, led mid-stretch, dug in late, outfinished, 2nd best. EB HUDSON BAY broke out, off pace to mid-stretch, no late response. OURFAVORITECHANCE pinballed at start, off pace, no factor. MG PRIVATE RELATIONS crowded, bumped at start, chased to mid-stretch, outkicked. TINY FLEETER broke in, bumped at start, off pace, no late bid. MYLLAY D off pace to mid-stretch, no menace. NOTRE DAME slight bobble at start, vied to mid-stretch, late surge, in time. SECOND TO NO OTHER off step slow, off pace to mid-stretch, gaining late, up 3rd.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #6 MG PRIVATE RELATIONS · win · min 7-2 (at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · SHAPE Pace map mostly unknown; lone declared speed (#4) has weak figs; bias strongly favors early speed and penalizes outer posts · CHALK #10 SECOND TO NO OTHER · opposable · reared last out (fig 75), declining form, negative model edge, outer post 10 in a 0%-for-posts-8+ bias

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_out · out · play_out · price model WATCH #6 MG PRIVATE RELATIONS · 2026-09-20 SWF R8 overlay_miss · winner #9 NOTRE DAME @ 11.1 · overlay #6 MG PRIVATE RELATIONS edge 0.025 · PLAY out #6 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

WESTERN DYNASTY bumped start, vied to mid-stretch, dug in late, held well to wire. FEATURE MR RABBIT up close, chased to mid-stretch, late rally, in time for 2nd. VERSION T bobbled, bumped at start, vied to mid-stretch, game, outkicked. FAMOUSHANDSOMEMAN up close, vied to mid-stretch, flattened out late. ONE SEPERATE EAGLE broke out, off step slow, needed more late, mild rally. SJ ILLUSIVE N SHADY chased early pace, in range to deep stretch, no final kick. Y O AT A GLANCE off early pace, no late rally. FAVORITE BRIDGE broke out, off pace to mid-stretch, no impact late. Y O FIFTY CONCERTS fractious in gate, stumbled, hopped start, off pace, no threat. TM LETS GO BRANDON off early pace, no factor.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Western Dynasty · close 5.20-1

• WESTERN DYNASTY bumped start, vied to mid-stretch, dug in late, held well to wire.
• FEATURE MR RABBIT up close, chased to mid-stretch, late rally, in time for 2nd.
• VERSION T bobbled, bumped at start, vied to mid-stretch, game, outkicked.
• FAMOUSHANDSOMEMAN up close, vied to mid-stretch, flattened out late.
• ONE SEPERATE EAGLE broke out, off step slow, needed more late, mild rally.
• SJ ILLUSIVE N SHADY chased early pace, in range to deep stretch, no final kick.
• Y O AT A GLANCE off early pace, no late rally.
• FAVORITE BRIDGE broke out, off pace to mid-stretch, no impact late.
• Y O FIFTY CONCERTS fractious in gate, stumbled, hopped start, off pace, no threat.
• TM LETS GO BRANDON off early pace, no factor.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS — sheet rec PASS; no non-chalk overlay; #2 is the most interesting primed horse but negative model edge and no price confirmation; post 8 kills #8 on the bias · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
WESTERN DYNASTY bumped start, vied to mid-stretch, dug in late, held well to wire. FEATURE MR RABBIT up close, chased to mid-stretch, late rally, in time for 2nd. VERSION T bobbled, bumped at start, vied to mid-stretch, game, outkicked. FAMOUSHANDSOMEMAN up close, vied to mid-stretch, flattened out late. ONE SEPERATE EAGLE broke out, off step slow, needed more late, mild rally. SJ ILLUSIVE N SHADY chased early pace, in range to deep stretch, no final kick. Y O AT A GLANCE off early pace, no late rally. FAVORITE BRIDGE broke out, off pace to mid-stretch, no impact late. Y O FIFTY CONCERTS fractious in gate, stumbled, hopped start, off pace, no threat. TM LETS GO BRANDON off early pace, no factor.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — sheet rec PASS; no non-chalk overlay; #2 is the most interesting primed horse but negative model edge and no price confirmation; post 8 kills #8 on the bias · SHAPE All-unknown pace styles; speed bias favors posts 1-3, kills posts 8+; crawl-or-chaos sprint · CHALK #9 FEATURE MR RABBIT · usable but short · trial winner with rising figs but no price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-20 SWF R9 pass_ok · winner #3 WESTERN DYNASTY @ 5.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

JKH ALMOST A DYNASTY chased to mid-stretch, sustained rally to deep stretch, in time. JESS A DASH OF CLASS chased between, vied late, outfinished, just missed win, good try. YO MORNING DELITE came out at start, vied to mid-stretch, dueled late, outkicked. ER MOUNTAIN X chased early pace between, battled to deep stretch, not enough. A DASH OF STEFFIE up close to mid-stretch, no rally deep stretch, faded late. KAWLIDGA off early pace, angled out, mild late bid. HA HA MESI off slow, off pace to mid-stretch, no threat late. KCROSS POOLBOY traffic nearing mid-stretch, shifted out, off pace, no late rally. CHASE THIS CREEK jostled, shut off at start, angled inside, no late response. FOLLOWING A STEWARDS' INQUIRY, YO MORNING DELITE WAS DISQUALIFIED FROM THIRD, AND PLACED NINTH, FOR INTERFERING WITH CHASE THIS CREEK AT THE START.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #10 Jkh Almost a Dynasty · close 6.20-1

• JKH ALMOST A DYNASTY chased to mid-stretch, sustained rally to deep stretch, in time.
• JESS A DASH OF CLASS chased between, vied late, outfinished, just missed win, good try. YO MORNING DELITE came out at start, vied to mid-stretch, dueled late, outkicked.
• ER MOUNTAIN X chased early pace between, battled to deep stretch, not enough.
• A DASH OF STEFFIE up close to mid-stretch, no rally deep stretch, faded late.
• KAWLIDGA off early pace, angled out, mild late bid.
• HA HA MESI off slow, off pace to mid-stretch, no threat late.
• KCROSS POOLBOY traffic nearing mid-stretch, shifted out, off pace, no late rally.
• CHASE THIS CREEK jostled, shut off at start, angled inside, no late response. FOLLOWING A STEWARDS' INQUIRY, YO MORNING DELITE WAS DISQUALIFIED FROM THIRD, AND PLACED NINTH, FOR INTERFERING WITH CHASE THIS CREEK AT THE START.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS — only overlay is the chalk; no price horse qualifies · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
JKH ALMOST A DYNASTY chased to mid-stretch, sustained rally to deep stretch, in time. JESS A DASH OF CLASS chased between, vied late, outfinished, just missed win, good try. YO MORNING DELITE came out at start, vied to mid-stretch, dueled late, outkicked. ER MOUNTAIN X chased early pace between, battled to deep stretch, not enough. A DASH OF STEFFIE up close to mid-stretch, no rally deep stretch, faded late. KAWLIDGA off early pace, angled out, mild late bid. HA HA MESI off slow, off pace to mid-stretch, no threat late. KCROSS POOLBOY traffic nearing mid-stretch, shifted out, off pace, no late rally. CHASE THIS CREEK jostled, shut off at start, angled inside, no late response. FOLLOWING A STEWARDS' INQUIRY, YO MORNING DELITE WAS DISQUALIFIED FROM THIRD, AND PLACED NINTH, FOR INTERFERING WITH CHASE THIS CREEK AT THE START.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — only overlay is the chalk; no price horse qualifies · SHAPE Pace unknown across all nine — likely honest scramble off the gate; bias favors early speed (36% of SWF winners) and inside posts; post 10 has zero wins in the 30-day sample · CHALK #6 JESS A DASH OF CLASS · solid · climbing figs, dominant trial win, model edge positive; short at 3-1

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-20 SWF R10 pass_ok · winner #10 JKH ALMOST A DYNASTY @ 6.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

PINK KISS chased early pace, rallied to deep stretch, proved best. FLASHY VERSION broke well, showed speed, led deep stretch, outfinished, held 2nd. MR GOODONE showed good early speed but was outkicked in the final yards. COUNTRY ROCKET FOOSE gave an even effort but lacked a finish. ONE HANDSOME DASH got put in a bit tight but was never a serious threat. BA CORONAS SILK drifted in a bit while being outrun. YO FIFTY HOT ROD stumbled at the start but gave a steady effort thereafter. DRIVE got away well and had no issues but was outfinished. MR HAVE A CORONA D checked out of a tight spot mid-stretch and dropped back.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #10 Pink Kiss · close 0.90-1

• PINK KISS chased early pace, rallied to deep stretch, proved best.
• FLASHY VERSION broke well, showed speed, led deep stretch, outfinished, held 2nd.
• MR GOODONE showed good early speed but was outkicked in the final yards.
• COUNTRY ROCKET FOOSE gave an even effort but lacked a finish.
• ONE HANDSOME DASH got put in a bit tight but was never a serious threat.
• BA CORONAS SILK drifted in a bit while being outrun.
• YO FIFTY HOT ROD stumbled at the start but gave a steady effort thereafter.
• DRIVE got away well and had no issues but was outfinished.
• MR HAVE A CORONA D checked out of a tight spot mid-stretch and dropped back.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#3 YO FIFTY HOT ROD · min 4-1 · WIN — class jump from claiming is the kill switch; at 3-1 or shorter, PASS · PLAY out · chalk_not_opposable · out

Price model

WATCH · #3 YO FIFTY HOT ROD · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
PINK KISS chased early pace, rallied to deep stretch, proved best. FLASHY VERSION broke well, showed speed, led deep stretch, outfinished, held 2nd. MR GOODONE showed good early speed but was outkicked in the final yards. COUNTRY ROCKET FOOSE gave an even effort but lacked a finish. ONE HANDSOME DASH got put in a bit tight but was never a serious threat. BA CORONAS SILK drifted in a bit while being outrun. YO FIFTY HOT ROD stumbled at the start but gave a steady effort thereafter. DRIVE got away well and had no issues but was outfinished. MR HAVE A CORONA D checked out of a tight spot mid-stretch and dropped back.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #3 YO FIFTY HOT ROD · min 4-1 · WIN — class jump from claiming is the kill switch; at 3-1 or shorter, PASS · SHAPE Pace unknown; bias strongly favors early speed and posts 1–3; outside posts 8–10 are historically cold · CHALK #10 PINK KISS · fade · post-10 death draw + negative zForm (-1.48) + fig cratering since 92 peak

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_out · out · chalk_not_opposable · price model WATCH #3 YO FIFTY HOT ROD · 2026-09-20 SWF R11 overlay_miss · winner #10 PINK KISS @ 0.9 · overlay #3 YO FIFTY HOT ROD edge 0.025 · PLAY out #3 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.