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TDN · 2026-09-16

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

Official chart Equibase · parser 1.2.0 · checksum c8b3f5fe17ac2fba · us_mutuel_to_one

R1#5 Runwithheart · 1-1play floorWATCHRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.08 · 47.80 · 1:12.50 · Final 1:37.98

Splits (23:72) (24:70) (25:48)

PgmHorseCalls
5Runwithheart2 · 21 · 1/2 · 21 · 13 · 16 · 15 · 1/4
2Oliverio4 · 32 · 1/2 · 31 · 1/2 · 34 · 1/2 · 36 · 1/2 · 25 · 1/4
1Puff'smagicdragon3 · 59 · 510 · 45 · 26 · 35 · 1/4
4Dr Schuster1 · 11 · 1/2 · 11 · 23 · 47 · 1/2 · 411
7Accona5 · 43 · 42 · 55 · 59 · 1/2 · 512
3Gut Instinct6 · 649 · 650 · 645 · 649 · 1/2 · 649 · 1/2

RUNWITHHEART chased the pace two wide, made the lead midway on the second bend, set the balance of the pace while picking up the fractions and won as much the best under a strong hand ride. OLIVERIO stumbled at the start, stalked the pace along the inside, dug in late and got up for second. PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON allowed to settle, moved close outside rivals entering the stretch then was outfinished for second. DR SCHUSTER set the pace along the inside for five and one half furlongs then weakened in the lane. ACCONA well placed, had no rally. GUT INSTINCT reared then came down with his head over the side off the stall in the gate, spotted the field a sixteenth of a mile and was never close. THE STEWARDS POSTED THE INQUIRY SIGN BUT TOOK NO ACTION.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Runwithheart · close 1-1

  • RUNWITHHEART chased the pace two wide, made the lead midway on the second bend, set the balance of the pace while picking up the fractions and won as much the best under a strong hand ride.
  • OLIVERIO stumbled at the start, stalked the pace along the inside, dug in late and got up for second.
  • PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON allowed to settle, moved close outside rivals entering the stretch then was outfinished for second.
  • DR SCHUSTER set the pace along the inside for five and one half furlongs then weakened in the lane.
  • ACCONA well placed, had no rally.
  • GUT INSTINCT reared then came down with his head over the side off the stall in the gate, spotted the field a sixteenth of a mile and was never close. THE STEWARDS POSTED THE INQUIRY SIGN BUT TOOK NO ACTION.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15Runwithheart1-10
22Oliverio1.40-10.2
31Puff'smagicdragon4.50-15.75
44Dr Schuster19.0-11
57Accona31.1-137.5
63Gut Instinct15.8-149.5
SCR—Rock the Red——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
#5 RUNWITHHEART · win · min 4-1 · brief has it at 4 ML with the highest edge overlay (0.041) and a dominant last effort; if board drifts shorter than 4-1, PASS · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor
Price model
WATCH · #5 RUNWITHHEART · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
RUNWITHHEART chased the pace two wide, made the lead midway on the second bend, set the balance of the pace while picking up the fractions and won as much the best under a strong hand ride. OLIVERIO stumbled at the start, stalked the pace along the inside, dug in late and got up for second. PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON allowed to settle, moved close outside rivals entering the stretch then was outfinished for second. DR SCHUSTER set the pace along the inside for five and one half furlongs then weakened in the lane. ACCONA well placed, had no rally. GUT INSTINCT reared then came down with his head over the side off the stall in the gate, spotted the field a sixteenth of a mile and was never close. THE STEWARDS POSTED THE INQUIRY SIGN BUT TOOK NO ACTION.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #5 RUNWITHHEART · win · min 4-1 · brief has it at 4 ML with the highest edge overlay (0.041) and a dominant last effort; if board drifts shorter than 4-1, PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#5 #4 #2) sets up for closers/stalkers; track closer bias reinforces · CHALK #2 OLIVERIO · usable but short · 3rd-cycle class drop is real, but zPace -1.10 and 2-1 ML leaves no price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model WATCH #5 RUNWITHHEART · 2026-09-16 TDN R1 floor_miss · winner #5 RUNWITHHEART @ 1 · overlay #5 RUNWITHHEART edge 0.041 · PLAY floor #5 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2#3 Dream Boy · 0.20-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.94 · 46.82 · 59.80 · Final 1:13.04

Splits (23:88) (12:98) (13:24)

PgmHorseCalls
3Dream Boy7 · 79 · 1/4 · 69 · 1/2 · 34 · 11
5Candyman Andy2 · 2Head · 12 · 14 · 21
1Spring River3 · 42 · 1/4 · 44 · 24 · 38 · 1/2
6Bay Ja Blue5 · 32 · 22 · 44 · 1/2 · 411 · 1/2
4Tap Dancing Dan6 · 64 · 1/4 · 59 · 610 · 1/2 · 518
2Lucy's First Song4 · 1Head · 33 · 1/2 · 58 · 1/2 · 621 · 3/4
7Delightful Appeal1 · 53 · 3/4 · 713 · 715 · 1/2 · 725

DREAM BOY steadied a few strides out of the gate as inside rivals drifted outward, trailed down the backstretch, swung outside nearing the top of the stretch, circled his field through the stretch rapidly under left handed urging and got up in the final strides. CANDYMAN ANDY bumped at the start, dueled for the early lead two wide, took command after a quarter mile, shook clear on the turn, widened into the stretch then couldn't handle the late charge of the winner and finished well clear for second. SPRING RIVER bumped then drifted out at the start, offered a mild bid two wide into the stretch then leveled off. BAY JA BLUE stalked the early pace, improved position three wide nearing the top of the stretch then came up empty. TAP DANCING DAN bumped at the start and was no factor. LUCY'S FIRST SONG bumped then was forced outward at the start, matched strides for the lead past the half mile pole, had speed into the turn then weakened. DELIGHTFUL APPEAL had brief speed outside.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Dream Boy · close 0.20-1

  • DREAM BOY steadied a few strides out of the gate as inside rivals drifted outward, trailed down the backstretch, swung outside nearing the top of the stretch, circled his field through the stretch rapidly under left handed urging and got up in the final strides.
  • CANDYMAN ANDY bumped at the start, dueled for the early lead two wide, took command after a quarter mile, shook clear on the turn, widened into the stretch then couldn't handle the late charge of the winner and finished well clear for second.
  • SPRING RIVER bumped then drifted out at the start, offered a mild bid two wide into the stretch then leveled off.
  • BAY JA BLUE stalked the early pace, improved position three wide nearing the top of the stretch then came up empty.
  • TAP DANCING DAN bumped at the start and was no factor.
  • LUCY'S FIRST SONG bumped then was forced outward at the start, matched strides for the lead past the half mile pole, had speed into the turn then weakened.
  • DELIGHTFUL APPEAL had brief speed outside.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
13Dream Boy0.20-10
25Candyman Andy7.50-17.5
31Spring River20.2-13
46Bay Ja Blue6.80-16.5
54Tap Dancing Dan40.4-13.75
62Lucy's First Song19.1-13.25
77Delightful Appeal40.5-125
SCR—Paul Ralph——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
DREAM BOY steadied a few strides out of the gate as inside rivals drifted outward, trailed down the backstretch, swung outside nearing the top of the stretch, circled his field through the stretch rapidly under left handed urging and got up in the final strides. CANDYMAN ANDY bumped at the start, dueled for the early lead two wide, took command after a quarter mile, shook clear on the turn, widened into the stretch then couldn't handle the late charge of the winner and finished well clear for second. SPRING RIVER bumped then drifted out at the start, offered a mild bid two wide into the stretch then leveled off. BAY JA BLUE stalked the early pace, improved position three wide nearing the top of the stretch then came up empty. TAP DANCING DAN bumped at the start and was no factor. LUCY'S FIRST SONG bumped then was forced outward at the start, matched strides for the lead past the half mile pole, had speed into the turn then weakened. DELIGHTFUL APPEAL had brief speed outside.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE No dedicated early — crawl likely; closer-bias track; presser #7 has the only clean A/B path but is a thin resume at 20-1 · CHALK #8 PAUL RALPH (2-1) no PPs — unreadable; #3 DREAM BOY (5-2) rising fig but negative zPace in a no-pace shape and class/surface switch fog

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-16 TDN R2 pass_ok · winner #3 DREAM BOY @ 0.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3#4 Markaway · 0.60-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.60 · 47.66 · 1:00.68 · Final 1:07.20

Splits (25:06) (13:02) (6:52)

PgmHorseCalls
4Markaway4 · 34 · 1/2 · 35 · 11 · 1/2 · 11
3Cleatus6 · 57 · 1/2 · 58 · 31 · 1/2 · 21
2Classic David2 · 67 · 1/2 · 69 · 1/2 · 67 · 1/2 · 39 · 1/4
6Jace1 · 14 · 15 · 21 · 1/2 · 49 · 3/4
5Ultissimo5 · 45 · 46 · 55 · 1/2 · 510
1Watch Dust Fly3 · 24 · 25 · 43 · 1/2 · 611 · 1/4

MARKAWAY was bounced around between rivals at the start, stalked the pace two wide, rallied two wide in upper stretch while lugging in, was well handled to make the lead nearing the furlong marker and won under left handed urging. CLEATUS also bumped between rivals at the start, was allowed to settle then found his best stride late two wide. CLASSIC DAVID bore out bumping the rival to his outside at the start, trailed until deep stretch then improved position while three wide. JACE sprinted to a clear lead soon after the start, set the pace along the inside into the stretch then weakened. ULTISSIMO broke inward, bumping MARKAWAY at the start, was well placed then had no rally. WATCH DUST FLY chased the pace along the inside into the stretch then weakened.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #4 Markaway · close 0.60-1

  • MARKAWAY was bounced around between rivals at the start, stalked the pace two wide, rallied two wide in upper stretch while lugging in, was well handled to make the lead nearing the furlong marker and won under left handed urging.
  • CLEATUS also bumped between rivals at the start, was allowed to settle then found his best stride late two wide.
  • CLASSIC DAVID bore out bumping the rival to his outside at the start, trailed until deep stretch then improved position while three wide.
  • JACE sprinted to a clear lead soon after the start, set the pace along the inside into the stretch then weakened.
  • ULTISSIMO broke inward, bumping MARKAWAY at the start, was well placed then had no rally.
  • WATCH DUST FLY chased the pace along the inside into the stretch then weakened.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
14Markaway0.60-10
23Cleatus4.90-18.25
32Classic David38.4-10.5
46Jace2.50-10.3
55Ultissimo9.40-11.25
61Watch Dust Fly23.6-111.25

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
MARKAWAY was bounced around between rivals at the start, stalked the pace two wide, rallied two wide in upper stretch while lugging in, was well handled to make the lead nearing the furlong marker and won under left handed urging. CLEATUS also bumped between rivals at the start, was allowed to settle then found his best stride late two wide. CLASSIC DAVID bore out bumping the rival to his outside at the start, trailed until deep stretch then improved position while three wide. JACE sprinted to a clear lead soon after the start, set the pace along the inside into the stretch then weakened. ULTISSIMO broke inward, bumping MARKAWAY at the start, was well placed then had no rally. WATCH DUST FLY chased the pace along the inside into the stretch then weakened.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#4 vs #6) on a closer-biased track; speed burns, midfield and closers inherit in B/C · CHALK #4 MARKAWAY · short (1-1) · best fig and rising cycle, but lone model overlay is chalk — automatic pass on price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-16 TDN R3 pass_ok · winner #4 MARKAWAY @ 0.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4#1 Questionable Event · 10.6-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.86 · 46.52 · 59.52 · Final 1:13.38

Splits (23:66) (13:00) (13:86)

PgmHorseCalls
1Questionable Event6 · 11/2 · 12 · 1/2 · 14 · 11 · 1/4
2Lowells Legacy4 · 21/2 · 22 · 1/2 · 36 · 21 · 1/4
7Everynowandthen1 · 41 · 32 · 1/2 · 46 · 1/2 · 32 · 1/4
6Rivers Run Fast2 · 52 · 1/2 · 42 · 3/4 · 24 · 43
3Remix From Phoenix5 · 79 · 1/2 · 713 · 1/4 · 713 · 58 · 3/4
4Son of a G Q3 · 64 · 1/2 · 68 · 1/4 · 511 · 1/2 · 610 · 1/4
5Watch and Wager7 · 31/2 · 53 · 1/4 · 612 · 1/2 · 713 · 1/2

QUESTIONABLE EVENT sprinted up the inside to make the lead soon after the start, set all the pace, widened into the stretch and lasted under strong handling. LOWELLS LEGACY pressed the pace two then three wide, dropped back in upper stretch then came on again late. EVERYNOWANDTHEN chased the pace four wide and went evenly. RIVERS RUN FAST had good early speed four wide, checked nearing the seven sixteenths pole, shifted outside, dropped inside on the turn, improved position along the rail in upper stretch then was outfinished, suffered and injury past the wire, fell past the fifteen sixteenths pole and was removed from the racetrack via equine ambulance. REMIX FROM PHOENIX failed to menace. SON OF A G Q was no threat. WATCH AND WAGER unruly loading, broke las, rushed to contention outside before a quarter mile, had speed through the turn then was used up.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #1 Questionable Event · close 10.6-1

  • QUESTIONABLE EVENT sprinted up the inside to make the lead soon after the start, set all the pace, widened into the stretch and lasted under strong handling.
  • LOWELLS LEGACY pressed the pace two then three wide, dropped back in upper stretch then came on again late.
  • EVERYNOWANDTHEN chased the pace four wide and went evenly.
  • RIVERS RUN FAST had good early speed four wide, checked nearing the seven sixteenths pole, shifted outside, dropped inside on the turn, improved position along the rail in upper stretch then was outfinished, suffered and injury past the wire, fell past the fifteen sixteenths pole and was removed from the racetrack via equine ambulance.
  • REMIX FROM PHOENIX failed to menace.
  • SON OF A G Q was no threat.
  • WATCH AND WAGER unruly loading, broke las, rushed to contention outside before a quarter mile, had speed through the turn then was used up.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
11Questionable Event10.6-10
22Lowells Legacy3.80-11
37Everynowandthen4.90-10.75
46Rivers Run Fast1.40-15.75
53Remix From Phoenix13.4-11.5
64Son of a G Q14.8-13.25
75Watch and Wager3.50-113.5

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
QUESTIONABLE EVENT sprinted up the inside to make the lead soon after the start, set all the pace, widened into the stretch and lasted under strong handling. LOWELLS LEGACY pressed the pace two then three wide, dropped back in upper stretch then came on again late. EVERYNOWANDTHEN chased the pace four wide and went evenly. RIVERS RUN FAST had good early speed four wide, checked nearing the seven sixteenths pole, shifted outside, dropped inside on the turn, improved position along the rail in upper stretch then was outfinished, suffered and injury past the wire, fell past the fifteen sixteenths pole and was removed from the racetrack via equine ambulance. REMIX FROM PHOENIX failed to menace. SON OF A G Q was no threat. WATCH AND WAGER unruly loading, broke las, rushed to contention outside before a quarter mile, had speed through the turn then was used up.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE No early speed — crawl likely; closer bias favors stalkers/closers but no pace target; moderate pressure, high volatility (two first-timers, no overlays) · CHALK #6 RIVERS RUN FAST · usable but short · best signal/zSpeed in field, pace path in A/B; declining figs last two starts are a caution but not a fade trigger

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-16 TDN R4 pass_ok · winner #1 QUESTIONABLE EVENT @ 10.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5#3 Without Objection · 0.90-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.72 · 45.90 · 58.20 · Final 1:10.98

Splits (23:18) (12:30) (12:78)

PgmHorseCalls
3Without Objection3 · 12 · 11 · 13 · 1/2 · 12
2Win Me Over5 · 43 · 1/2 · 34 · 55 · 1/2 · 22
4Startdfromdabottom2 · 22 · 21 · 23 · 1/2 · 32
5Vodka N Gingerale4 · 54 · 1/2 · 44 · 1/2 · 45 · 42 · 1/2
1Mellifluous6 · 65 · 1/2 · 54 · 1/2 · 35 · 53
6My Brother Cam1 · 32 · 66 · 1/2 · 612 · 1/2 · 616 · 3/4

WITHOUT OBJECTION was bumped from his outside at the start, quickly place the lead, set all the pace, widened into the stretch and won under left handed urging. WIN ME OVER never far back, rallied through deep stretch two wide and got up for second. STARTDFROMDABOTTOM drifted inward bumping the winner at the start, chased that one and was outfinished while four wide. VODKA N GINGERALE unhurried early, raced outside and finished determinedly. MELLIFLUOUS trailed early, offered a mild bid along the inside into the stretch then leveled off. MY BROTHER CAM chased the winner three wide and gave way on the turn.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Without Objection · close 0.90-1

  • WITHOUT OBJECTION was bumped from his outside at the start, quickly place the lead, set all the pace, widened into the stretch and won under left handed urging.
  • WIN ME OVER never far back, rallied through deep stretch two wide and got up for second.
  • STARTDFROMDABOTTOM drifted inward bumping the winner at the start, chased that one and was outfinished while four wide.
  • VODKA N GINGERALE unhurried early, raced outside and finished determinedly.
  • MELLIFLUOUS trailed early, offered a mild bid along the inside into the stretch then leveled off.
  • MY BROTHER CAM chased the winner three wide and gave way on the turn.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
13Without Objection0.90-10
22Win Me Over3.70-10.2
34Startdfromdabottom14.0-10.5
45Vodka N Gingerale2.50-12.5
51Mellifluous8-113.75
66My Brother Cam35.5-116.75

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
WITHOUT OBJECTION was bumped from his outside at the start, quickly place the lead, set all the pace, widened into the stretch and won under left handed urging. WIN ME OVER never far back, rallied through deep stretch two wide and got up for second. STARTDFROMDABOTTOM drifted inward bumping the winner at the start, chased that one and was outfinished while four wide. VODKA N GINGERALE unhurried early, raced outside and finished determinedly. MELLIFLUOUS trailed early, offered a mild bid along the inside into the stretch then leveled off. MY BROTHER CAM chased the winner three wide and gave way on the turn.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#3 vs #4) lifts stalker/closer in A and B; closer bias confirmed; pressure high · CHALK #3 WITHOUT OBJECTION (ML 2) — opposable; lone-speed type running into a duel, class-up from Clm25000, flat figs 85-87 with no ready flags, pace burn risk is real

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-16 TDN R5 pass_ok · winner #3 WITHOUT OBJECTION @ 0.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6#5 High Summer · 6.40-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.66 · 46.28 · 58.78 · Final 1:05.20

Splits (23:62) (12:50) (6:42)

PgmHorseCalls
5High Summer2 · 22 · 1/2 · 21/2 · 11/2 · 11 · 1/2
6Chess Not Checkers1 · 33 · 31 · 1/2 · 42 · 21 · 1/2
4Gracie Dance3 · 69 · 1/2 · 69 · 1/2 · 56 · 34
2Calisue5 · 55 · 1/2 · 56 · 1/2 · 67 · 1/2 · 45 · 1/4
3Absolute Miracle6 · 45 · 42 · 1/2 · 31/2 · 56 · 1/2
1We'll Do It Live4 · 12 · 1/2 · 11/2 · 21/2 · 66 · 3/4

HIGH SUMMER pressed the pace two wide into the stretch, rallied three wide to make the lead before the furlong marker and won under strong handling. CHESS NOT CHECKERS stalked the pace into the stretch and finished with good courage four wide. GRACIE DANCE raced outside and improved position late. CALISUE failed to menace. ABSOLUTE MIRACLE settled, rallied along the rail into the stretch, was bumped by the tiring pacesetter near the furlong marker, struck the rail and lost her action momentarily.. WE'LL DO IT LIVE sped to a clear lead soon after the start, set the pace under a firm hold, began to tire in upper stretch, leaned in when struck right handed bumping ABSOLUTE MIRACLE at the furlong marker, her rider straightened her out then weakened. THE STEWARDS POSTED THE INQUIRY SIGN BUT TOOK NO ACTION.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 High Summer · close 6.40-1

  • HIGH SUMMER pressed the pace two wide into the stretch, rallied three wide to make the lead before the furlong marker and won under strong handling.
  • CHESS NOT CHECKERS stalked the pace into the stretch and finished with good courage four wide.
  • GRACIE DANCE raced outside and improved position late.
  • CALISUE failed to menace.
  • ABSOLUTE MIRACLE settled, rallied along the rail into the stretch, was bumped by the tiring pacesetter near the furlong marker, struck the rail and lost her action momentarily..
  • WE'LL DO IT LIVE sped to a clear lead soon after the start, set the pace under a firm hold, began to tire in upper stretch, leaned in when struck right handed bumping ABSOLUTE MIRACLE at the furlong marker, her rider straightened her out then weakened. THE STEWARDS POSTED THE INQUIRY SIGN BUT TOOK NO ACTION.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15High Summer6.40-10
26Chess Not Checkers2.80-12.5
34Gracie Dance29.8-11.25
42Calisue12.2-11.25
53Absolute Miracle0.90-10.3
61We'll Do It Live4-16.75

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
HIGH SUMMER pressed the pace two wide into the stretch, rallied three wide to make the lead before the furlong marker and won under strong handling. CHESS NOT CHECKERS stalked the pace into the stretch and finished with good courage four wide. GRACIE DANCE raced outside and improved position late. CALISUE failed to menace. ABSOLUTE MIRACLE settled, rallied along the rail into the stretch, was bumped by the tiring pacesetter near the furlong marker, struck the rail and lost her action momentarily.. WE'LL DO IT LIVE sped to a clear lead soon after the start, set the pace under a firm hold, began to tire in upper stretch, leaned in when struck right handed bumping ABSOLUTE MIRACLE at the furlong marker, her rider straightened her out then weakened. THE STEWARDS POSTED THE INQUIRY SIGN BUT TOOK NO ACTION.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#1) into a closer-biased track; duel unlikely but if #1 softens at the turn, the stalker/closer cluster benefits · CHALK #3 ABSOLUTE MIRACLE (1.8 ML) — solid; rising figs, top LP, class drop from fOC12500 is a send not a dump, pace path exists in A and B

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-16 TDN R6 pass_ok · winner #5 HIGH SUMMER @ 6.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7#3 Tyson's Lil' Star · 0.60-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.46 · 45.74 · 58.10 · Final 1:10.70

Splits (23:28) (12:36) (12:60)

PgmHorseCalls
3Tyson's Lil' Star3 · 21/2 · 1Head · 13 · 14 · 1/4
5Rich On the River2 · 44 · 32 · 23 · 24 · 1/4
6Vertisalute1 · 66 · 1/2 · 54 · 58 · 1/2 · 39 · 3/4
1Sound City5 · 11/2 · 2Head · 35 · 411
4Rascal Flash4 · 32 · 42 · 1/2 · 47 · 1/2 · 511 · 1/4
2Tough Cat6 · 56 · 68 · 614 · 1/2 · 619

TYSON'S LIL' STAR bobbled the brushed with TOUGHT CAT at the start, dueled for the lead two wide down the backstretch, took command entering the turn, set the balance of the pace and drew off under right handed urging to win as much the best. RICH ON THE RIVER with the second flight, rallied three wide into the stretch and finished well clear for second. VERTISALUTE trailed early and improved position late outside. SOUND CITY was fractious in the gate, contested the lead with the winner to the three eighths pole, kept on into the stretch then weakened. RASCAL FLASH was through after a half. TOUGH CAT brushed at the start and was no threat.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Tyson's Lil' Star · close 0.60-1

  • TYSON'S LIL' STAR bobbled the brushed with TOUGHT CAT at the start, dueled for the lead two wide down the backstretch, took command entering the turn, set the balance of the pace and drew off under right handed urging to win as much the best.
  • RICH ON THE RIVER with the second flight, rallied three wide into the stretch and finished well clear for second.
  • VERTISALUTE trailed early and improved position late outside.
  • SOUND CITY was fractious in the gate, contested the lead with the winner to the three eighths pole, kept on into the stretch then weakened.
  • RASCAL FLASH was through after a half.
  • TOUGH CAT brushed at the start and was no threat.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
13Tyson's Lil' Star0.60-10
25Rich On the River6.70-15.5
36Vertisalute45.9-11.25
41Sound City1.70-10.3
54Rascal Flash27.8-17.75
62Tough Cat13.3-119

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS — #5 is the logical beneficiary but carries no model overlay; sheet rec is PASS; no price horse clears the bar · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
TYSON'S LIL' STAR bobbled the brushed with TOUGHT CAT at the start, dueled for the lead two wide down the backstretch, took command entering the turn, set the balance of the pace and drew off under right handed urging to win as much the best. RICH ON THE RIVER with the second flight, rallied three wide into the stretch and finished well clear for second. VERTISALUTE trailed early and improved position late outside. SOUND CITY was fractious in the gate, contested the lead with the winner to the three eighths pole, kept on into the stretch then weakened. RASCAL FLASH was through after a half. TOUGH CAT brushed at the start and was no threat.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #5 is the logical beneficiary but carries no model overlay; sheet rec is PASS; no price horse clears the bar · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#1 vs #3) on a closer-biased track; pressure high, stalker/closer path opens · CHALK #1 SOUND CITY (1.8) and #3 TYSONS LIL STAR (2.0) — both opposable; neither can sit, both need the lead, duel collapses them in A and B

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-16 TDN R7 pass_ok · winner #3 TYSONS LIL STAR @ 0.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8#3 Big Bucksalot · 1.10-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.02 · 49.28 · 1:13.94 · Final 1:39.18

Splits (24:26) (24:66) (25:24)

PgmHorseCalls
3Big Bucksalot2 · 21/2 · 31/2 · 31 · 14 · 13 · 1/2
4Coalminer's Kitten3 · 78 · 1/2 · 79 · 1/2 · 67 · 47 · 23 · 1/2
2Broadway Sky4 · 43 · 42 · 21 · 35 · 35 · 1/2
6Sundaeswithsandy6 · 31 · 21/2 · 11 · 24 · 45 · 1/2
7Vladislav5 · 68 · 66 · 1/2 · 56 · 1/2 · 58 · 58 · 1/2
1Majestic Frontier7 · 57 · 55 · 1/2 · 79 · 613 · 614 · 1/2
5Bucket List1 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 45 · 717 · 724 · 1/2

BIG BUCKSALOT pressed the early pace along the inside, dropped back on the far turn, shifted outside the leader, was carried out to the six path by that one entering the stretch, quickly made the lead and drew off under left handed urging then jumped tracks nearing the wire. COALMINER'S KITTEN trailed into the far turn, rallied through the stretch in the five path and finished clear for second. BROADWAY SKY offered a mild bid outside three wide entering the stretch near the middle of the racetrack then was outfinished. SUNDAESWITHSANDY pressed the pace two wide for five furlongs, made the lead, drifted out to the five path entering the stretch and weakened late. VLADISLAV no threat. MAJESTIC FRONTIER was no factor. BUCKET LIST set a pressured pace two wide for five furlongs then stopped.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Big Bucksalot · close 1.10-1

  • BIG BUCKSALOT pressed the early pace along the inside, dropped back on the far turn, shifted outside the leader, was carried out to the six path by that one entering the stretch, quickly made the lead and drew off under left handed urging then jumped tracks nearing the wire.
  • COALMINER'S KITTEN trailed into the far turn, rallied through the stretch in the five path and finished clear for second.
  • BROADWAY SKY offered a mild bid outside three wide entering the stretch near the middle of the racetrack then was outfinished.
  • SUNDAESWITHSANDY pressed the pace two wide for five furlongs, made the lead, drifted out to the five path entering the stretch and weakened late.
  • VLADISLAV no threat.
  • MAJESTIC FRONTIER was no factor.
  • BUCKET LIST set a pressured pace two wide for five furlongs then stopped.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
13Big Bucksalot1.10-10
24Coalminer's Kitten27.0-12
32Broadway Sky26.4-10.2
46Sundaeswithsandy1.40-13
57Vladislav13.1-16
61Majestic Frontier5-110
75Bucket List27.2-124.5

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS — only overlay is chalk; #2 BROADWAY SKY is primed but model shows her as under the market (edge -0.034); no non-chalk overlay clears the bar · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
BIG BUCKSALOT pressed the early pace along the inside, dropped back on the far turn, shifted outside the leader, was carried out to the six path by that one entering the stretch, quickly made the lead and drew off under left handed urging then jumped tracks nearing the wire. COALMINER'S KITTEN trailed into the far turn, rallied through the stretch in the five path and finished clear for second. BROADWAY SKY offered a mild bid outside three wide entering the stretch near the middle of the racetrack then was outfinished. SUNDAESWITHSANDY pressed the pace two wide for five furlongs, made the lead, drifted out to the five path entering the stretch and weakened late. VLADISLAV no threat. MAJESTIC FRONTIER was no factor. BUCKET LIST set a pressured pace two wide for five furlongs then stopped.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — only overlay is chalk; #2 BROADWAY SKY is primed but model shows her as under the market (edge -0.034); no non-chalk overlay clears the bar · SHAPE Lone speed #5 EP with six stalkers/closers behind; closer bias track; if #5 controls uncontested the chalk's late kick is the default; any pressure flips to stalkers · CHALK #6 SUNDAESWITHSANDY · solid · class drop is real (12500 → 5000), figs climbing (62→82→84), best signal in field; opposable only on price, not shape

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-16 TDN R8 pass_ok · winner #3 BIG BUCKSALOT @ 1.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.