TDN R1 · 2026-09-16

WATCHD1760y2 price overlay(s)1 readyRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races →

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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R1 · 2026-09-16 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#5 #4 #2)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#5RUNWITHHEARTE
C2#4DR SCHUSTERE
C3#7ACCONAP
C4#2OLIVERIOEP
C5#1PUFFSMAGICDRAGONC
C6#3GUT INSTINCTS

A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #5 RUNWITHHEART and #4 DR SCHUSTER and #2 OLIVERIO. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #7 ACCONA, #3 GUT INSTINCT · hurts #5 RUNWITHHEART, #4 DR SCHUSTER, #2 OLIVERIO

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #5 RUNWITHHEART and #4 DR SCHUSTER and #2 OLIVERIO hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #7 ACCONA, #3 GUT INSTINCT · hurts #5 RUNWITHHEART, #4 DR SCHUSTER, #2 OLIVERIO

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 PUFFSMAGICDRAGON, #3 GUT INSTINCT).

Helps #1 PUFFSMAGICDRAGON, #3 GUT INSTINCT · hurts #5 RUNWITHHEART, #4 DR SCHUSTER, #2 OLIVERIO

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
2	OLIVERIOSALAZAR BECERRA FERNANDO	2.0	EP	3rd start cycleClass dropSharp workSame trip2026-09-02 HPT 4f 49.60 B MT ft bullet 1/6; 2026-08-04 HAW 4f 49.60 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last	Alw31000n1x → OClm 8000	LOPEZ ELIAS	Favorite
1	PUFFSMAGICDRAGONBARBARAN ERIK	3.5	C	Rising figsSame trip2026-05-04 TDN 4f 49.60 B MT ft 18/37; 2026-04-19 TDN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 10/14 · barn: same as last	OC8000 → OClm 8000	RADOSEVICH JEFF	overlay
5	RUNWITHHEARTCHAVEZ ALEXANDER	4.0	E	Rising figsLed lastBarn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-04-27 TDN 4f 48.00 B MT ft 2/45; 2026-04-10 HUF 4f 55.20 B MT ft 15/20 · barn: change vs RADOSEVICH JUSTIN	Clm5000n2yc → OClm 8000	VECCHIO CARYN	overlay
7	ACCONABATISTA LUIS ALBERTO	6.0	P	Rising figsSame trip2026-07-25 BTP 4f 49.60 B MT ft 15/26; 2026-05-05 BTP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 4/9 · barn: same as last	OC12500 → OClm 8000	ALVAREZ NERY	field
4	DR SCHUSTERTAPARA BRANDON	5.0	E	Same trip2025-07-26 TDN 4f 49.60 B MT ft 1/3; 2025-07-12 TDN 4f 51.60 Bg MT ft 14/17 · barn: same as last	OC8000 → OClm 8000	SCHUSTER ROBIN	field
3	GUT INSTINCTSKERRETT JEFFERSON	8.0	S	Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-07-23 TDN 4f 48.80 B MT ft bullet 1/28; 2026-06-28 TDN 4f 47.80 B MT ft 2/11 · barn: same as last	Clm7500n2y → OClm 8000	SKERRETT JEFFREY	primed

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#1 PUFFSMAGICDRAGON+2.7%ML 3.5Rising figsSame trip

#5 RUNWITHHEART+4.3%ML 4.0Rising figsLed lastBarn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip

Ready, not overlaid

#3 GUT INSTINCTML 8.0Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
2	OLIVERIO	2.0	28.3%	25.5%	-2.8%	-0.27	EP	favorite3rd start cycleClass dropSharp workSame trip	2
1	PUFFSMAGICDRAGON	3.5	18.9%	21.6%	+2.7%	0.68	C	Rising figsSame trip	3
5	RUNWITHHEART	4.0	17.0%	21.3%	+4.3%	1.04	E	Rising figsLed lastBarn changeTop last figTop last paceSame trip	WIN
7	ACCONA	6.0	12.1%	12.9%	+0.7%	0.37	P	Rising figsSame trip	5
4	DR SCHUSTER	5.0	14.2%	11.3%	-2.8%	-0.75	E	Same trip	4
3	GUT INSTINCT	8.0	9.4%	7.4%	-2.1%	-0.84	S	Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip	6