WO R2 · 2026-09-27
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#3 vs #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3RED SYMPHONYE
- C2#5BEAU PINKEP
- C3#2RUBICON MOMENTC
- C4#1LADY DAYRELLSS
- C5#7I LOVE PRESENTSC
- C6#6CODICIA POR VIDAC
Honest pace among #3 RED SYMPHONY and #5 BEAU PINK. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 LADY DAYRELLS · hurts #3 RED SYMPHONY, #5 BEAU PINK
Pressure: #3 RED SYMPHONY and #5 BEAU PINK hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 LADY DAYRELLS · hurts #3 RED SYMPHONY, #5 BEAU PINK
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 RUBICON MOMENT, #1 LADY DAYRELLS, #7 I LOVE PRESENTS, #6 CODICIA POR VIDA).
Helps #2 RUBICON MOMENT, #1 LADY DAYRELLS, #7 I LOVE PRESENTS, #6 CODICIA POR VIDA · hurts #3 RED SYMPHONY, #5 BEAU PINK
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | I LOVE PRESENTSHERNANDEZ RAFAEL MANUEL | 2.0 | C | Same trip2026-05-30 WO 4f 49.00 B TT ft 8/24; 2026-04-23 WO 4f 49.80 B TT ft 5/6 · barn: same as last | fMd10000 → Md 7500 | PION SYLVAIN | Favorite |
| 5 | BEAU PINKMORAN PIETRO | 2.5 | EP | Led lastSame trip2026-07-23 WO 4f 49.80 B MT ft 13/19; 2026-05-15 WO 4f 49.60 Bg MT ft 30/42 · barn: same as last | fMd10000 → Md 7500 | RITCHIE SARAH | Favorite |
| 3 | RED SYMPHONYAEBLY FRASER | 3.5 | E | Same trip2026-07-25 WO 3f 36.80 Bg MT ft 13/20; 2026-07-19 WO 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 97/192 · barn: same as last | fMoc25000 → Md 7500 | MATTINE JOHN | field |
| 6 | CODICIA POR VIDABYNOE DESEAN | 6.0 | C | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-19 WO 4f 49.80 B MT ft 37/48; 2026-09-12 WO 3f 36.00 B MT ft bullet 1/10 · barn: change vs SQUIRES NATHAN | fMd10000 → Md 7500 | BORELAND DEVON | field |
| 1 | LADY DAYRELLSNICHOLLS KEVEH | 8.0 | S | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-09-03 WO 3f 36.20 B MT ft 3/6; 2026-07-30 WO 5f 60.20 B MT ft 3/6 · barn: same as last | fMd10000 → Md 7500 | JONES RYAN A | field |
| 2 | RUBICON MOMENTNELSON DANE | 20.0 | C | Led lastTop last paceSame trip2026-09-20 WO 4f 49.40 B MT ft 42/75; 2026-09-13 WO 3f 36.80 B MT ft 12/28 · barn: same as last | fMoc25000 → Md 7500 | PALMER KERRON | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEWO R2 · 2026-09-27 · Dirt 1210y · Md 7500 · field 8
- SHAPETwo-speed duel risk (#3 vs #5); speed/inside bias but dueling front pair likely burn; stalker/closer path opens in A and B
- CHALKFavorite#7 I LOVE PRESENTS (ML 2) · short · style C from post 7, beaten-favorite history (0 for 9 as fav), stalled last start; usable but short and not opposable enough to fade confidently
- LEANWinner call#7 I LOVE PRESENTS · class drop (fMd10000 → Md7500), zForm 0.67, best model number in the field; dull cycle but no better live alternative at a price
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price (no non-chalk overlays on the board; all ML prices either chalk or negative-edge or both)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#3 and #5 settle into a clean, uncontested honest pace — chalk closes fresh and wins cold; or live tote shortens #1 further into chalk territory eliminating the only rising-fig horse
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition update, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint maiden claimer at WO, modest purse, eight-runner field with moderate-to-high volatility given raw speed figures bunched in the mid-60s and several maidens running on class drops. Speed bias and inside rail bias favor early runners, but #3 RED SYMPHONY (E, post 3) and #5 BEAU PINK (EP, post 5) project into a duel that the track historically punishes, setting up the stalker quadrant — the chalk #7 I LOVE PRESENTS (C, post 7) is outside and pace-dependent, flat signal, and a confirmed beaten favorite; best live beneficiary of pace collapse is #1 LADY DAYRELLS (S, post 1, inside rail, top last fig 66, rising-fig flag). No horse in the field clears two ready signals plus a confirmed pace path at a non-chalk price — the desk printed no primed price horses and no overlays. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | I LOVE PRESENTS | 2.0 | 29.2% | 28.6% | -0.6% | 0.15 | C | favoriteSame trip | 3 |
| 5 | BEAU PINK | 2.5 | 25.0% | 26.0% | +1.0% | 0.39 | EP | favoriteLed lastSame trip | WIN |
| 3 | RED SYMPHONY | 3.5 | 19.4% | 20.8% | +1.3% | 0.49 | E | Same trip | 5 |
| 6 | CODICIA POR VIDA | 6.0 | 12.5% | 11.8% | -0.7% | 0.00 | C | Barn changeSame trip | 4 |
| 1 | LADY DAYRELLS | 8.0 | 9.7% | 9.9% | +0.2% | 0.31 | S | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | 2 |
| 2 | RUBICON MOMENT | 20.0 | 4.2% | 2.8% | -1.4% | -1.34 | C | Led lastTop last paceSame trip | 6 |