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IND · 2026-09-21

Card review · then-active v3 · as of 2026-08-07 · INCONCLUSIVE

What this card taught

  • Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
  • 3 floor misses — next sheet still tags FLOOR. A board shorter than the floor is a pass, not a blown horse.
  • 3 board-inside-floor. Next sheet still writes a min. Shorter than that number is a pass.
  • 3 misses had no tote stamp. Floor never checked live.

Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.

RWinnerPLAYMissWhyOverlay thenReview
R1
#6 MI PICARO
1.2-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-21 IND R1 pass_ok · winner #6 MI PICARO @ 1.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R2
#7 SPIRITED ANNE
1.5-1
Pass
PASS — no non-chalk overlay clears; the only model overlay is the chalk
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-21 IND R2 pass_ok · winner #7 SPIRITED ANNE @ 1.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R3
#1 AUSTRIAN PAINTER
3.5-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-21 IND R3 pass_ok · winner #1 AUSTRIAN PAINTER @ 3.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R4
#2 FLATWATER
5.9-1
Pass
PASS — only overlay is chalk; no price horse with a path
Pass held—BET
#8 OFFICER GAMBILL · +4.0%
Overlay miss
2026-09-21 IND R4 overlay_miss · winner #2 FLATWATER @ 5.9 · overlay #8 OFFICER GAMBILL edge 0.040 · PLAY pass
R5
#5 EL PAYASITO
0.5-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—BET
#5 EL PAYASITO · +7.1%
Overlay hit
2026-09-21 IND R5 overlay_hit · winner #5 EL PAYASITO @ 0.5 · overlay #5 EL PAYASITO edge 0.071 · PLAY pass
R6
#7 NIGHT WATCHER
3.7-1
Floor
#3 JR BARTHOLOMEW · min odds 4-1 · WIN (ML 4, confirmed overlay, primed, pace path in A/B, inside post on a rail-biased track)
Died at the floor
Board inside the floor
no tote
Close was shorter than the floor (4-1). Sheet already said pass at that number.
WATCH
#6 GENTLEMAN JIM · +2.4%
Floor miss
2026-09-21 IND R6 floor_miss · winner #7 NIGHT WATCHER @ 3.7 · overlay #6 GENTLEMAN JIM edge 0.024 · PLAY floor #3
R7
#8 DONT CROSS ALEXIS
1.6-1
Floor
#3 EYE SHADOW · min 3.5-1 · WIN — if morning line holds or drifts; at 5-2 or shorter, pass
Died at the floor
Board inside the floor
no tote
Close was shorter than the floor (3.5-1). Sheet already said pass at that number.
PASS
Floor miss
2026-09-21 IND R7 floor_miss · winner #8 DONT CROSS ALEXIS @ 1.6 · overlay none · PLAY floor #3
R8
#3 ILLEGAL CONTACT
5.3-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-21 IND R8 pass_ok · winner #3 ILLEGAL CONTACT @ 5.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R9
#4 CIGARONTHEBEACH
24.7-1
Floor
#8 BANDITA · min 10-1 · WIN — if board opens shorter than 10-1, PASS
Died at the floor
Board inside the floor
no tote
Close was shorter than the floor (10-1). Sheet already said pass at that number.
WATCH
#8 BANDITA · +2.2%
Floor miss
2026-09-21 IND R9 floor_miss · winner #4 CIGARONTHEBEACH @ 24.7 · overlay #8 BANDITA edge 0.022 · PLAY floor #8

Built 2026-09-22 02:14Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).

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