What this card taught
- Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
- 1 floor miss — next sheet still tags FLOOR. A board shorter than the floor is a pass, not a blown horse.
- 1 PLAY out stay on the memory line. That is a notice, not a weight.
- 1 board-inside-floor. Next sheet still writes a min. Shorter than that number is a pass.
- 1 chalk-not-opposable. Fade only when shape still opposes after the chart.
- 2 misses had no tote stamp. Floor never checked live.
Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.
| R | Winner | PLAY | Miss | Why | Overlay then | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | #10 PHREDDIE MAC 0.6-1 | Out #8 TROUBLE IN MOTOWN · win · min odds 4-1 (pass if board falls below) | PLAY out | Chalk was not opposable no tote Sheet called chalk #10 opposable; chalk won. Fade needs a shape reason that holds. | BET #8 TROUBLE IN MOTOWN · +3.8% | Overlay miss 2026-09-21 TDN R1 overlay_miss · winner #10 PHREDDIE MAC @ 0.6 · overlay #8 TROUBLE IN MOTOWN edge 0.038 · PLAY out #8 |
| R2 | #7 HAVE A CIGAR 2.7-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-21 TDN R2 pass_ok · winner #7 HAVE A CIGAR @ 2.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R3 | #8 P JS BOY 1.0-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-21 TDN R3 pass_ok · winner #8 P JS BOY @ 1 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R4 | #5 DISTINCT RULER 0.3-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-21 TDN R4 pass_ok · winner #5 DISTINCT RULER @ 0.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R5 | #6 THANKS FRANK 2.6-1 | Pass PASS — the only model overlay is the chalk; no primed non-chalk horse carries an overlay; sheet rec is PASS | Pass held | — | BET #6 THANKS FRANK · +3.7% | Overlay hit 2026-09-21 TDN R5 overlay_hit · winner #6 THANKS FRANK @ 2.6 · overlay #6 THANKS FRANK edge 0.037 · PLAY pass |
| R6 | #2 KILLA CREED 0.7-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-21 TDN R6 pass_ok · winner #2 KILLA CREED @ 0.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R7 | #5 ELECTRIC EDEN 2.2-1 | Floor #5 ELECTRIC EDEN · win · min 4-1 (ML is right at floor; pass if board compresses below) | Died at the floor | Board inside the floor no tote Close was shorter than the floor (4-1). Sheet already said pass at that number. | WATCH #2 BLUE TAIL FLY · +2.5% | Floor miss 2026-09-21 TDN R7 floor_miss · winner #5 ELECTRIC EDEN @ 2.2 · overlay #2 BLUE TAIL FLY edge 0.025 · PLAY floor #5 |
| R8 | #5 MIDNIGHT GODDESS 1.3-1 | ITM #1 VALS TWINSTAR · min 3-1 · WIN (non-chalk overlay, three rising figs, inside post, EP style fits A/B path as the presser who can run down a tiring #4) | PLAY in the money | — | BET #1 VALS TWINSTAR · +4.0% | Overlay miss 2026-09-21 TDN R8 overlay_miss · winner #5 MIDNIGHT GODDESS @ 1.3 · overlay #1 VALS TWINSTAR edge 0.040 · PLAY itm #1 |
Built 2026-09-22 02:22Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).