← After the races

WO · 2026-09-12

Card review · then-active v3 · as of 2026-08-07 · INCONCLUSIVE

What this card taught

  • Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.

Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.

RWinnerPLAYMissWhyOverlay thenReview
R1
#6 LITTLE LOLA
5.3-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R1 pass_ok · winner #6 LITTLE LOLA @ 5.25 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R2
#4 EL ALACRAN
3.1-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R2 pass_ok · winner #4 EL ALACRAN @ 3.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R3
#2 SCOTCH SCAR
7.5-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R3 pass_ok · winner #2 SCOTCH SCAR @ 7.45 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R4
#8 BACKSTREET EMMA
2.5-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R4 pass_ok · winner #8 BACKSTREET EMMA @ 2.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R5
#4 VOYAGER
3.8-1
Pass
PASS — model shows no overlay; MO COOKIE is the one horse with a legitimate pace path and two ready flags but at 20-1 ML with edge 0.000 this is a judgment call in a G1 with no quantitative support; sheet rec is PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R5 pass_ok · winner #4 VOYAGER @ 3.75 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R6
#8 HEAVY POUR
13.7-1
Pass
PASS — sheet rec is PASS (non-chalk overlays only); no price overlay exists; MANSETTI is primed but edge=0.000 and the brief confirms no overlay; min odds for a play would need 6-1 or better on the board with confirmed live tote
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R6 pass_ok · winner #8 HEAVY POUR @ 13.65 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R7
#9 AL HUDAIBA
0.7-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R7 pass_ok · winner #9 AL HUDAIBA @ 0.65 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R8
#3 LUPA
4.3-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R8 pass_ok · winner #3 LUPA @ 4.25 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R9
#3 NOTABLE SPEECH
0.7-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R9 pass_ok · winner #3 NOTABLE SPEECH @ 0.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R10
#1 GIMME A NOTHER
3.5-1
Pass
PASS — primed horse exists but carries no price overlay; sheet rec is PASS; at 12-1 ML with edge 0.000 and no model separation, there is no certified number to stand behind
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R10 pass_ok · winner #1 GIMME A NOTHER @ 3.45 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R11
#7 NAUVOO
2.6-1
Pass
PASS — NIIGONS LAW is the most logical beneficiary of shape and bias but is priced at ML 3 with zero overlay; no non-chalk horse presents a legitimate overlay with a pace path; the sheet recommendation is PASS and the numbers confirm it
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-12 WO R11 pass_ok · winner #7 NAUVOO @ 2.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R12
#3 FILM ACADEMY
3.3-1
Pass
PASS — no price overlay cleared by the model; #3 Film Academy is the lone interest but at ML 15 with flat model edge and a class-context question (prior best figs on dirt, today turf), the brief's sheet rec of PASS holds
Pass held—BET
#5 MR PERFECT · +3.3%
Overlay miss
2026-09-12 WO R12 overlay_miss · winner #3 FILM ACADEMY @ 3.25 · overlay #5 MR PERFECT edge 0.033 · PLAY pass

Built 2026-09-13 02:42Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).

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