What this card taught
- Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
- 1 floor miss — next sheet still tags FLOOR. A board shorter than the floor is a pass, not a blown horse.
- 1 board-inside-floor. Next sheet still writes a min. Shorter than that number is a pass.
- 1 chalk-not-opposable. Fade only when shape still opposes after the chart.
- 1 miss had no tote stamp. Floor never checked live.
Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.
| R | Winner | PLAY | Miss | Why | Overlay then | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | #4 VF WHEELY FOOSED 2.4-1 | Pass PASS — #9 is the sole overlay but ML 3.5 is inside the 4-1 minimum I'd need on a 300y sprint with a fully unknown pace map, an outside post (9) against a documented inside rail bias, and a class step up from Juv open company; the shape cannot confirm a path | Pass held | — | BET #9 UNCLE D WEIGHT · +4.3% | Overlay miss 2026-09-20 PRM R1 overlay_miss · winner #4 VF WHEELY FOOSED @ 2.4 · overlay #9 UNCLE D WEIGHT edge 0.043 · PLAY pass |
| R2 | #6 ANCHOR DOWN FOR CASH 4.3-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 PRM R2 pass_ok · winner #6 ANCHOR DOWN FOR CASH @ 4.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R3 | #3 JESS A LAST CHANCE 2.0-1 | Pass PASS — sheet rec PASS, no non-chalk overlay confirmed, and post-9 structural kill removes the one horse with the best fig cycle | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 PRM R3 pass_ok · winner #3 JESS A LAST CHANCE @ 2 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R4 | #2 EVES PAINTING 7.9-1 | Pass PASS — #6 TINY TEMPTRESS is the only non-chalk overlay but carries no ready flags, posts outside the bias band, and 4.5-1 ML is thin for a horse with one competitive edge signal in an 11-horse chaotic maiden; primed horses (#3, #4) do not clear the overlay threshold | Pass held | — | WATCH #6 TINY TEMPTRESS · +2.5% | Overlay miss 2026-09-20 PRM R4 overlay_miss · winner #2 EVES PAINTING @ 7.9 · overlay #6 TINY TEMPTRESS edge 0.025 · PLAY pass |
| R5 | #4 SHIFTY GOLD 1.4-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 PRM R5 pass_ok · winner #4 SHIFTY GOLD @ 1.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R6 | #7 OUR LAST CHANCE 2.5-1 | Floor #4 VIRTUES REWARD · win · minimum 3-1 (pass if board drops below 3-1) | Died at the floor | Board inside the floor no tote · Chalk was not opposable Close was shorter than the floor (3-1). Sheet already said pass at that number. Chalk fade did not hold. | WATCH #4 VIRTUES REWARD · +2.5% | Floor miss 2026-09-20 PRM R6 floor_miss · winner #7 OUR LAST CHANCE @ 2.5 · overlay #4 VIRTUES REWARD edge 0.025 · PLAY floor #4 |
| R7 | #2 PILOTS CREED 1.7-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | BET #2 PILOTS CREED · +3.0% | Overlay hit 2026-09-20 PRM R7 overlay_hit · winner #2 PILOTS CREED @ 1.7 · overlay #2 PILOTS CREED edge 0.030 · PLAY pass |
| R8 | #2 BAYLEYWICK 3.6-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | BET #5 MARITIME MILLIE · +3.4% | Overlay miss 2026-09-20 PRM R8 overlay_miss · winner #2 BAYLEYWICK @ 3.6 · overlay #5 MARITIME MILLIE edge 0.034 · PLAY pass |
| R9 | #1 GALVANIZER 1.8-1 | Pass PASS — sheet rec PASS, no non-chalk overlay, primed horse needs chaos to fire | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 PRM R9 pass_ok · winner #1 GALVANIZER @ 1.8 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R10 | #7 J TS IMAGINATION 5.1-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 PRM R10 pass_ok · winner #7 J TS IMAGINATION @ 5.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R11 | #5 CROOKED AS CAN BE 0.8-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-20 PRM R11 pass_ok · winner #5 CROOKED AS CAN BE @ 0.8 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
Built 2026-09-21 02:53Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).