What this card taught
- Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
- 2 floor misses — next sheet still tags FLOOR. A board shorter than the floor is a pass, not a blown horse.
- 2 board-inside-floor. Next sheet still writes a min. Shorter than that number is a pass.
- 2 misses had no tote stamp. Floor never checked live.
Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.
| R | Winner | PLAY | Miss | Why | Overlay then | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | #1 LINE OF REASON 2.4-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-17 CBY R1 pass_ok · winner #1 LINE OF REASON @ 2.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R2 | #7 DAZZLEMESILVER 0.8-1 | Pass PASS — sheet rec is PASS; no non-chalk overlay clears; LEAN is not chalk but has no positive edge on the morning line | Pass held | — | WATCH #4 TOOLITTLETOOLATE · +2.6% | Overlay miss 2026-09-17 CBY R2 overlay_miss · winner #7 DAZZLEMESILVER @ 0.8 · overlay #4 TOOLITTLETOOLATE edge 0.026 · PLAY pass |
| R3 | #3 THE OTHER ONE 4.6-1 | Pass PASS — the only model overlay is MY GOLDEN CAT, whose post 6 and stalker style are disadvantaged by the inside-rail bias on a sprint where posts 8+ win 0%; a 5-1 price against the grain of the bias is not enough compensation for the path risk | Pass held | — | BET #6 MY GOLDEN CAT · +4.7% | Overlay miss 2026-09-17 CBY R3 overlay_miss · winner #3 THE OTHER ONE @ 4.6 · overlay #6 MY GOLDEN CAT edge 0.047 · PLAY pass |
| R4 | #3 EIGHTYSIXCHEVY 0.9-1 | Pass PASS | Pass held | — | PASS | Pass ok 2026-09-17 CBY R4 pass_ok · winner #3 EIGHTYSIXCHEVY @ 0.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass |
| R5 | #2 NORTHERN ANGEL 3.5-1 | ITM #5 BABY DOLL PEACH · min odds 3-1 · WIN — at ML 3 she clears the floor; if the board opens shorter than 3-1, PASS | PLAY in the money | — | BET #5 BABY DOLL PEACH · +3.4% | Overlay miss 2026-09-17 CBY R5 overlay_miss · winner #2 NORTHERN ANGEL @ 3.5 · overlay #5 BABY DOLL PEACH edge 0.034 · PLAY itm #5 |
| R6 | #5 FROSTY VIEW 0.3-1 | ITM #4 PHILO BEDDOE · min 3-1 · WIN — at 5-2 or shorter, pass | PLAY in the money | — | WATCH #4 PHILO BEDDOE · +2.9% | Overlay miss 2026-09-17 CBY R6 overlay_miss · winner #5 FROSTY VIEW @ 0.3 · overlay #4 PHILO BEDDOE edge 0.029 · PLAY itm #4 |
| R7 | #3 SIR STERLING 1.1-1 | Floor #1 ITS BOBS BUSINESS · win · minimum 5-1 | Died at the floor | Board inside the floor no tote Close was shorter than the floor (5-1). Sheet already said pass at that number. | BET #1 ITS BOBS BUSINESS · +3.5% | Floor miss 2026-09-17 CBY R7 floor_miss · winner #3 SIR STERLING @ 1.1 · overlay #1 ITS BOBS BUSINESS edge 0.035 · PLAY floor #1 |
| R8 | #4 WOODSON 2.5-1 | Floor #4 WOODSON · win · minimum 3-1 (pass if board opens shorter) | Died at the floor | Board inside the floor no tote Close was shorter than the floor (3-1). Sheet already said pass at that number. | BET #4 WOODSON · +5.0% | Floor miss 2026-09-17 CBY R8 floor_miss · winner #4 WOODSON @ 2.5 · overlay #4 WOODSON edge 0.050 · PLAY floor #4 |
Built 2026-09-20 02:46Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).