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CBY · 2026-09-19

Card review · then-active v3 · as of 2026-08-07 · INCONCLUSIVE

What this card taught

  • Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
  • 2 floor misses — next sheet still tags FLOOR. A board shorter than the floor is a pass, not a blown horse.
  • 2 board-inside-floor. Next sheet still writes a min. Shorter than that number is a pass.
  • 2 misses had no tote stamp. Floor never checked live.

Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.

RWinnerPLAYMissWhyOverlay thenReview
R1
#4 HRAY FOR BOMBAY
0.4-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—BET
#7 AVOS ROSE · +3.3%
Overlay miss
2026-09-19 CBY R1 overlay_miss · winner #4 HRAY FOR BOMBAY @ 0.4 · overlay #7 AVOS ROSE edge 0.033 · PLAY pass
R2
#3 GOLDEN STRIDE
2.1-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-19 CBY R2 pass_ok · winner #3 GOLDEN STRIDE @ 2.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R3
#9 KAITSKATE
0.9-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—WATCH
#4 HEAVENLY DESTINY · +2.0%
Overlay miss
2026-09-19 CBY R3 overlay_miss · winner #9 KAITSKATE @ 0.9 · overlay #4 HEAVENLY DESTINY edge 0.020 · PLAY pass
R4
#7 EXTREMELY PROBABLE
4.6-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—WATCH
#6 HEY BABY MIKKO · +2.9%
Overlay miss
2026-09-19 CBY R4 overlay_miss · winner #7 EXTREMELY PROBABLE @ 4.6 · overlay #6 HEY BABY MIKKO edge 0.029 · PLAY pass
R5
#1 CAUGHT OFF GUARD
0.5-1
Floor
#1 CAUGHT OFF GUARD · min 4-1 · WIN — below 4-1 pass
Died at the floor
Board inside the floor
no tote
Close was shorter than the floor (4-1). Sheet already said pass at that number.
PASS
Floor miss
2026-09-19 CBY R5 floor_miss · winner #1 CAUGHT OFF GUARD @ 0.5 · overlay none · PLAY floor #1
R6
#11 LONG GONE SALLY
0.9-1
Pass
PASS — the one overlay (#11) is directly contradicted by the post-position bias (posts 8+ 0-for in 60-day CBY turf sprint sample); LEAN (#1) is not chalk but is not a price overlay; no non-chalk horse clears both the pace path and the bias filter cleanly
Pass held—WATCH
#11 LONG GONE SALLY · +2.7%
Overlay hit
2026-09-19 CBY R6 overlay_hit · winner #11 LONG GONE SALLY @ 0.9 · overlay #11 LONG GONE SALLY edge 0.027 · PLAY pass
R7
#7 STRIKE ONE MORE
6.9-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-19 CBY R7 pass_ok · winner #7 STRIKE ONE MORE @ 6.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R8
#7 VESPER CHICKS
2.3-1
Floor
#7 VESPER CHICKS · min 4-1 · WIN — if pressed at 4-1 or longer; at 3-1 or shorter, PASS
Died at the floor
Board inside the floor
no tote
Close was shorter than the floor (4-1). Sheet already said pass at that number.
WATCH
#7 VESPER CHICKS · +2.6%
Floor miss
2026-09-19 CBY R8 floor_miss · winner #7 VESPER CHICKS @ 2.3 · overlay #7 VESPER CHICKS edge 0.026 · PLAY floor #7
R9
#7 THAT TYPE OFA DEAL
3.8-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-19 CBY R9 pass_ok · winner #7 THAT TYPE OFA DEAL @ 3.8 · overlay none · PLAY pass

Built 2026-09-20 03:07Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).

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