← After the races

GP · 2026-09-11

Card review · then-active v3 · as of 2026-08-07 · INCONCLUSIVE

What this card taught

  • Next RaceDay brief reads PLAY MEMORY and CARD REVIEW from earlier dates only. Same-day races do not leak.
  • 2 floor misses — next sheet still tags FLOOR. A board shorter than the floor is a pass, not a blown horse.
  • 2 board-inside-floor. Next sheet still writes a min. Shorter than that number is a pass.
  • 2 misses had no tote stamp. Floor never checked live.

Scanner and overlay still read the frozen production file. Last test of the price model and residual stay captions.

RWinnerPLAYMissWhyOverlay thenReview
R1
#7 MY PERFECT LADY
3.7-1
ITM
#8 FIRE ON THE WIRE · minimum 5-1 on the tote · win
PLAY in the money—WATCH
#7 MY PERFECT LADY · +2.9%
Overlay hit
2026-09-11 GP R1 overlay_hit · winner #7 MY PERFECT LADY @ 3.7 · overlay #7 MY PERFECT LADY edge 0.029 · PLAY itm #8
R2
#7 SKYLINER
6.4-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-11 GP R2 pass_ok · winner #7 SKYLINER @ 6.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R3
#4 THREE ZERO
2.5-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-11 GP R3 pass_ok · winner #4 THREE ZERO @ 2.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R4
#3 CURLINA STAR
1.6-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-11 GP R4 pass_ok · winner #3 CURLINA STAR @ 1.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R5
#4 POCKET PAIR
4.9-1
Floor
#3 COMPASS RISES · WIN · min odds 3-1 · PASS at 5-2 or shorter
Died at the floor
Board inside the floor
no tote
Close was shorter than the floor (3-1). Sheet already said pass at that number.
BET
#3 COMPASS RISES · +5.8%
Floor miss
2026-09-11 GP R5 floor_miss · winner #4 POCKET PAIR @ 4.9 · overlay #3 COMPASS RISES edge 0.058 · PLAY floor #3
R6
#2 JACK KEROUAC
3.6-1
Floor
#3 PROST · win · minimum 7/2 · (at 4.5 ML, marginal; below
Died at the floor
Board inside the floor
no tote
Close was shorter than the floor (3.5-1). Sheet already said pass at that number.
BET
#7 ALL TO WIN · +5.4%
Floor miss
2026-09-11 GP R6 floor_miss · winner #2 JACK KEROUAC @ 3.6 · overlay #7 ALL TO WIN edge 0.054 · PLAY floor #3
R7
#2 HARD TALK
12.3-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-11 GP R7 pass_ok · winner #2 HARD TALK @ 12.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R8
#3 TERRIMENDOUS
11.1-1
Pass
PASS
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-11 GP R8 pass_ok · winner #3 TERRIMENDOUS @ 11.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass
R9
#2 SHINYHAPPYGROOVY
2.5-1
Pass
PASS — both chalks are the only legitimate win candidates; no non-chalk horse clears the overlay threshold on figs, surface fit, and model confirmation simultaneously
Pass held—PASS
Pass ok
2026-09-11 GP R9 pass_ok · winner #2 SHINYHAPPYGROOVY @ 2.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass

Built 2026-09-12 14:05Z · promotionAuthority false · overlay edge units are model−market (2.0% threshold then).

Card review · After the races · Closebeat · Closebeat