ASD · 2026-09-14

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.77 · 49.00 · 1:14.49 · Final 1:28.29

Splits (23:23) (25:49) (13:80)

HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS stalked duel five-wide, forced issue three-wide final turn, dueled into stretch, took over eighth pole, drew out. PLAY FREE BIRD moved to short pressured lead outside backstretch, turned back inside pace rival late final turn as the winner was challenging outside, couldn't stay with the winner passing the eighth pole, held the place. NORMA NO trailed to stretch, rallied belatedly inside. PRINCESS ALESKA led early under pressure, forced pace inside backstretch and final turn, made a bid to late turn, gave way. KIKILOVE stalked three-four-wide, back of bid battle final turn, faded.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Hardly Mischievous · close 1.80-1

• HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS stalked duel five-wide, forced issue three-wide final turn, dueled into stretch, took over eighth pole, drew out.
• PLAY FREE BIRD moved to short pressured lead outside backstretch, turned back inside pace rival late final turn as the winner was challenging outside, couldn't stay with the winner passing the eighth pole, held the place.
• NORMA NO trailed to stretch, rallied belatedly inside.
• PRINCESS ALESKA led early under pressure, forced pace inside backstretch and final turn, made a bid to late turn, gave way.
• KIKILOVE stalked three-four-wide, back of bid battle final turn, faded.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS stalked duel five-wide, forced issue three-wide final turn, dueled into stretch, took over eighth pole, drew out. PLAY FREE BIRD moved to short pressured lead outside backstretch, turned back inside pace rival late final turn as the winner was challenging outside, couldn't stay with the winner passing the eighth pole, held the place. NORMA NO trailed to stretch, rallied belatedly inside. PRINCESS ALESKA led early under pressure, forced pace inside backstretch and final turn, made a bid to late turn, gave way. KIKILOVE stalked three-four-wide, back of bid battle final turn, faded.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone E inside (#1) into three pressers; speed bias track favors that rail speed, but #1's form is cratering (fig 65 last out, LP 51) and chalk wall makes every legitimate price unplayable · CHALK #5 HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS (1.8) · solid short · rising figs, class drop, best LP, closers can fire at this distance; #2 NORMA NO (2.0) and #3 KIKILOVE (2.5) also chalk

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 ASD R1 pass_ok · winner #5 HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS @ 1.8 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.30 · 47.44 · 1:00.88 · Final 1:07.93

Splits (24:14) (13:44) (7:05)

SHE'S A MANEATER had inside speed under pressure, opened up stretch, held on. HONOURABLE MENTION forced pace outside, turned back into stretch, kept coming, was gaining good ground late. ONEMORSTEPTOHEAVEN, five-wide early, advanced three-wide turn, rallied for show. MAXIMUM UPROAR had early speed, stalked forced pace inside, finished evenly. AZ SILENCER saved ground. RINGIT stalked three-wide, faded.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 She's a Maneater · close 1.15-1

• SHE'S A MANEATER had inside speed under pressure, opened up stretch, held on.
• HONOURABLE MENTION forced pace outside, turned back into stretch, kept coming, was gaining good ground late.
• ONEMORSTEPTOHEAVEN , five-wide early, advanced three-wide turn, rallied for show.
• MAXIMUM UPROAR had early speed, stalked forced pace inside, finished evenly.
• AZ SILENCER saved ground.
• RINGIT stalked three-wide, faded.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SHE'S A MANEATER had inside speed under pressure, opened up stretch, held on. HONOURABLE MENTION forced pace outside, turned back into stretch, kept coming, was gaining good ground late. ONEMORSTEPTOHEAVEN, five-wide early, advanced three-wide turn, rallied for show. MAXIMUM UPROAR had early speed, stalked forced pace inside, finished evenly. AZ SILENCER saved ground. RINGIT stalked three-wide, faded.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Speed-biased rail track; lone identified pace horse (#1) is chalk; shape is unknowable with four debut runners whose break tendencies are a blank · CHALK #2 SHES A MANEATER (1.8) and #1 MAXIMUM UPROAR (2.5) — both chalk, both non-playable; #2 is a closer on a speed/rail track, opposable on shape; #1 is short and already showed a break problem

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 ASD R2 pass_ok · winner #2 SHES A MANEATER @ 1.15 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.90 · 49.13 · 1:14.80 · Final 1:28.81

Splits (23:23) (25:67) (14:01)

GALLANT OAK pressed outside, challenged final turn, dueled to eighth pole, drew out from mid stretch. OREGON COUNTY had inside speed under increasing pressure, dueled inside final turn, gave way eighth pole, held the place. SARAH'S VISION stalked pressured pace inside, rallied mildly. SHAMAYIM stalked four-wide, back of bid battle final turn, rallied mildly. CAPTIVE KITTEN saved ground, rallied belatedly. FREE MAKER stalked four-five-wide, faded.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Gallant Oak · close 2.25-1

• GALLANT OAK pressed outside, challenged final turn, dueled to eighth pole, drew out from mid stretch.
• OREGON COUNTY had inside speed under increasing pressure, dueled inside final turn, gave way eighth pole, held the place.
• SARAH'S VISION stalked pressured pace inside, rallied mildly.
• SHAMAYIM stalked four-wide, back of bid battle final turn, rallied mildly.
• CAPTIVE KITTEN saved ground, rallied belatedly.
• FREE MAKER stalked four-five-wide, faded.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
GALLANT OAK pressed outside, challenged final turn, dueled to eighth pole, drew out from mid stretch. OREGON COUNTY had inside speed under increasing pressure, dueled inside final turn, gave way eighth pole, held the place. SARAH'S VISION stalked pressured pace inside, rallied mildly. SHAMAYIM stalked four-wide, back of bid battle final turn, rallied mildly. CAPTIVE KITTEN saved ground, rallied belatedly. FREE MAKER stalked four-five-wide, faded.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone EP (#5) over five closers on a speed/rail-biased track — clean wire scenario, shape squarely favors the chalk · CHALK #6 SHAMAYIM (1.8) and #5 OREGON COUNTY (2.5) — both chalk; #5 is the overlay on the model but still chalk by ML; no non-chalk price exists

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 ASD R3 pass_ok · winner #2 GALLANT OAK @ 2.25 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.53 · 47.00 · 1:00.45 · Final 1:13.96

Splits (23:47) (13:45) (13:51)

SILVER SPICED, six-wide early, stalked duel four-wide turn, finished well widest, took over late, drew out. SGT. FILKOW forced pace outside, dueled through the turn and into the stretch, shook pace rival sixteenth pole, tired after giving his best. SHOCKING MALICE stalked duel between horses, rallied for show. RALPH'S GIFT stalked duel outside, finished evenly. RED DIRT ALLEY had inside speed under pressure, dueled through the turn and into the stretch, gave way sixteenth pole. SATURDAYS BABE passed a tired rival. LIAM'S STARRY NITE stalked five-wide early, dropped back turn, faded.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #7 Silver Spiced · close 6.35-1

• SILVER SPICED , six-wide early, stalked duel four-wide turn, finished well widest, took over late, drew out.
• SGT. FILKOW forced pace outside, dueled through the turn and into the stretch, shook pace rival sixteenth pole, tired after giving his best.
• SHOCKING MALICE stalked duel between horses, rallied for show.
• RALPH'S GIFT stalked duel outside, finished evenly.
• RED DIRT ALLEY had inside speed under pressure, dueled through the turn and into the stretch, gave way sixteenth pole.
• SATURDAYS BABE passed a tired rival.
• LIAM'S STARRY NITE stalked five-wide early, dropped back turn, faded.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS — #3 RALPHS GIFT is the lone overlay but ML 3 is marginal for a horse that has to duel the chalk from inside and has not won; chalk owns the shape and the bias; no confident non-chalk price at a number that justifies the risk · Pass held · pass

Price model

BET · #3 RALPHS GIFT · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SILVER SPICED, six-wide early, stalked duel four-wide turn, finished well widest, took over late, drew out. SGT. FILKOW forced pace outside, dueled through the turn and into the stretch, shook pace rival sixteenth pole, tired after giving his best. SHOCKING MALICE stalked duel between horses, rallied for show. RALPH'S GIFT stalked duel outside, finished evenly. RED DIRT ALLEY had inside speed under pressure, dueled through the turn and into the stretch, gave way sixteenth pole. SATURDAYS BABE passed a tired rival. LIAM'S STARRY NITE stalked five-wide early, dropped back turn, faded.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #3 RALPHS GIFT is the lone overlay but ML 3 is marginal for a horse that has to duel the chalk from inside and has not won; chalk owns the shape and the bias; no confident non-chalk price at a number that justifies the risk · SHAPE Lone speed (#5) with one EP presser (#3) from the inside; speed bias strongly favors the leader; closers face a steep hill · CHALK #5 SGT FILKOW — solid; lead every start, class drop into ideal conditions, bias behind it — pass, not fade

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model BET #3 RALPHS GIFT · 2026-09-14 ASD R4 overlay_miss · winner #7 SILVER SPICED @ 6.35 · overlay #3 RALPHS GIFT edge 0.044 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.24 · 47.35 · Final 1:00.80

Splits (24:11) (13:45)

SHORT SPEECH stalked off rail, finished well outside, took over late. LOW EURO CAT, well placed inside, rallied, took short lead along the mid stretch, gave best, couldn't hold late. MO TA had inside speed under mild pressure, opened up stretch, collared mid stretch, headed, gave best to wire. UNKNOWN CALLER saved ground, rallied, lost path briefly inside in mid stretch when LOW EURO CAT rallied just ahead of her and took the rail, moved outside, kept coming. VALERIE VALESKI pressed outside, couldn't gain stretch, tired. MISS Z stalked back between horses, lacked rally. MAIBELLA stalked widest, faded.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Short Speech · close 10.3-1

• SHORT SPEECH stalked off rail, finished well outside, took over late.
• LOW EURO CAT , well placed inside, rallied, took short lead along the mid stretch, gave best, couldn't hold late.
• MO TA had inside speed under mild pressure, opened up stretch, collared mid stretch, headed, gave best to wire.
• UNKNOWN CALLER saved ground, rallied, lost path briefly inside in mid stretch when LOW EURO CAT rallied just ahead of her and took the rail, moved outside, kept coming.
• VALERIE VALESKI pressed outside, couldn't gain stretch, tired.
• MISS Z stalked back between horses, lacked rally.
• MAIBELLA stalked widest, faded.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SHORT SPEECH stalked off rail, finished well outside, took over late. LOW EURO CAT, well placed inside, rallied, took short lead along the mid stretch, gave best, couldn't hold late. MO TA had inside speed under mild pressure, opened up stretch, collared mid stretch, headed, gave best to wire. UNKNOWN CALLER saved ground, rallied, lost path briefly inside in mid stretch when LOW EURO CAT rallied just ahead of her and took the rail, moved outside, kept coming. VALERIE VALESKI pressed outside, couldn't gain stretch, tired. MISS Z stalked back between horses, lacked rally. MAIBELLA stalked widest, faded.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two E types (#4, #2) + two EP types (#1, #5) set up a probable pace duel; lone-speed chalk scenario dissolves in a contentious pace, which opens a slim door for a presser or closer — but the bias still heavily favors early speed, creating a contradictory map · CHALK #4 MO TA · fade — dropping from OC7500 into a duel it may not survive, rising figs are real but the pace map hooks it directly with #2 at the bell, and at 1.4 ML there is no price regardless

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 ASD R5 pass_ok · winner #2 SHORT SPEECH @ 10.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.63 · 48.20 · 1:01.76 · Final 1:09.12

Splits (24:57) (13:56) (7:36)

DRESS ME UP opened up inside backstretch, short clear lead turn, opened up stretch, drew out. WITT'S DUBAI GAL, four-wide early, advanced off rail turn, rallied between horses for place. MOONSHINE BOOGIE, six-wide early, five-wide turn, rallied outside, place bid. CLASSY TIGER, back early, advanced inside, rallied, place bid. SUM UP THE SILVER stalked off rail, well placed three-wide late turn, finished evenly. CLOUDSINMYCOFFEE, seven-wide backstretch, five-wide turn, rallied belatedly. OFF THE PAYROLL, well placed inside early, moved outside turn, tired stretch. FAST MOVIN TRAIN forced pace outside briefly, checked between horses early turn, faded. WHEN I SAW YOU, full of run early between horses, pressed outside turn, faded stretch.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Dress Me Up · close 1.45-1

• DRESS ME UP opened up inside backstretch, short clear lead turn, opened up stretch, drew out.
• WITT'S DUBAI GAL , four-wide early, advanced off rail turn, rallied between horses for place.
• MOONSHINE BOOGIE , six-wide early, five-wide turn, rallied outside, place bid.
• CLASSY TIGER , back early, advanced inside, rallied, place bid.
• SUM UP THE SILVER stalked off rail, well placed three-wide late turn, finished evenly.
• CLOUDSINMYCOFFEE , seven-wide backstretch, five-wide turn, rallied belatedly.
• OFF THE PAYROLL , well placed inside early, moved outside turn, tired stretch.
• FAST MOVIN TRAIN forced pace outside briefly, checked between horses early turn, faded.
• WHEN I SAW YOU , full of run early between horses, pressed outside turn, faded stretch.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
DRESS ME UP opened up inside backstretch, short clear lead turn, opened up stretch, drew out. WITT'S DUBAI GAL, four-wide early, advanced off rail turn, rallied between horses for place. MOONSHINE BOOGIE, six-wide early, five-wide turn, rallied outside, place bid. CLASSY TIGER, back early, advanced inside, rallied, place bid. SUM UP THE SILVER stalked off rail, well placed three-wide late turn, finished evenly. CLOUDSINMYCOFFEE, seven-wide backstretch, five-wide turn, rallied belatedly. OFF THE PAYROLL, well placed inside early, moved outside turn, tired stretch. FAST MOVIN TRAIN forced pace outside briefly, checked between horses early turn, faded. WHEN I SAW YOU, full of run early between horses, pressed outside turn, faded stretch.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Multi-E speed duel likely; stalkers and closers get a setup, but inside rail bias cuts against wide runners · CHALK #4 WHEN I SAW YOU · short/opposable · EP dropping from fMdSpWt, rising figs, but faces a probable pace duel it hasn't survived; ML 2 is too short to play regardless

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 ASD R6 pass_ok · winner #2 DRESS ME UP @ 1.45 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.77 · 48.01 · 1:14.42 · 1:27.93 · Final 1:34.82

Splits (23:24) (26:41) (13:51) (6:89)

FROSTY BLUE stalked forced pace inside, waited final turn, got through into stretch, opened up, drew out. PAY MY WAY trailed to final turn, advanced between horses, rallied for place. JUDO stalked forced pace four-wide, made a five-wide bid on the final turn, made a place bid in the drive after the winner opened up, tired. FALSELY ACCUSED forced pace between horses, gave way into stretch. NU SOUP FOR BABY stalked forced pace five-wide, lacked rally. FOOTHILLS BLVD. forced pace inside, short lead final turn, gave way into stretch. CHIEF BRADY had outside speed under pressure, forced issue three-wide into final turn, gave way late turn. Total Attendance: 0 Handle: $1,257,676

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Frosty Blue · close 16.4-1

• FROSTY BLUE stalked forced pace inside, waited final turn, got through into stretch, opened up, drew out.
• PAY MY WAY trailed to final turn, advanced between horses, rallied for place.
• JUDO stalked forced pace four-wide, made a five-wide bid on the final turn, made a place bid in the drive after the winner opened up, tired.
• FALSELY ACCUSED forced pace between horses, gave way into stretch.
• NU SOUP FOR BABY stalked forced pace five-wide, lacked rally.
• FOOTHILLS BLVD. forced pace inside, short lead final turn, gave way into stretch.
• CHIEF BRADY had outside speed under pressure, forced issue three-wide into final turn, gave way late turn. Total Attendance: 0 Handle: $1,257,676

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
FROSTY BLUE stalked forced pace inside, waited final turn, got through into stretch, opened up, drew out. PAY MY WAY trailed to final turn, advanced between horses, rallied for place. JUDO stalked forced pace four-wide, made a five-wide bid on the final turn, made a place bid in the drive after the winner opened up, tired. FALSELY ACCUSED forced pace between horses, gave way into stretch. NU SOUP FOR BABY stalked forced pace five-wide, lacked rally. FOOTHILLS BLVD. forced pace inside, short lead final turn, gave way into stretch. CHIEF BRADY had outside speed under pressure, forced issue three-wide into final turn, gave way late turn.

 Total Attendance: 0 Handle: $1,257,676

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of EP speed (posts 1/3/4/7) into a speed/rail-bias track; duel or meltdown likely, but closers (#5/#6) have no pace model support and are deep from the start · CHALK #7 CHIEF BRADY (ML 1.6) / #1 JUDO (ML 2.0) · both chalk · EP types that figure to hook each other; neither is opposable on shape alone since one may clear, but neither is a bet

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 ASD R7 pass_ok · winner #2 FROSTY BLUE @ 16.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.