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BTP · 2026-09-17

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

Official chart Equibase · parser 1.2.0 · checksum 7a73e3704159b7fc · us_mutuel_to_one

R1#5 DQ-Judge Hernandez · 4.30-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.42 · 46.78 · 58.87 · Final 1:11.50

Splits (23:36) (12:09) (12:63)

PgmHorseCalls
2We Will Conquer2 · 21 · 21/2 · 2Head · 22
1Halter Boy3 · 34 · 33 · 1/2 · 33 · 32 · 3/4
3Can of Corn4 · 44 · 1/2 · 46 · 1/2 · 44 · 1/2 · 49

JUDGE HERNANDEZ broke best from the break, was shadowed by WE WILL CONQUER from the outside, dug in under a threat from that foe in upper stretch, came out a path in deep stretch into the path of the rival but held clear to the finish. WE WILL CONQUER pressed the pace two-deep from the start, made an earnest bid for the lead approaching the quarter pole, checked when the rival came out a path in upper stretch, continued to chase to the finish but came up short. HALTER BOY broke a step slow, then settled in the second flight inside of a rival well off the pace of the top pair, separated from that one on the turn, then made a late bid up the rail to gain ground, but was too late. CAN OF CORN trailed the field to the outside of HALTER BOY well behind the other two, dropped farther behind on the turn and trailed to the wire. THERE WAS A STEWARDS INQUIRY INTO THE RUNNING LOOKING AT THE UPPER STRETCH. ALSO, THE JOCKEY ON #2 WE WILL CONQUER LODGED A CLAIM OF FOUL AGAINST #5 JUDGE HERNANDEZ ALLEGING INTERFERENCE AT THAT SAME POINT. AFTER A REVIEW, #5 JUDGE HERNANDEZ WAS DISQUALIFIED FROM 1ST AND PLACED 2ND. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 DQ-Judge Hernandez · close 4.30-1

  • WE WILL CONQUER pressed the pace two-deep from the start, made an earnest bid for the lead approaching the quarter pole, checked when the rival came out a path in upper stretch, continued to chase to the finish but came up short.
  • HALTER BOY broke a step slow, then settled in the second flight inside of a rival well off the pace of the top pair, separated from that one on the turn, then made a late bid up the rail to gain ground, but was too late.
  • CAN OF CORN trailed the field to the outside of HALTER BOY well behind the other two, dropped farther behind on the turn and trailed to the wire. THERE WAS A STEWARDS INQUIRY INTO THE RUNNING LOOKING AT THE UPPER STRETCH. ALSO, THE JOCKEY ON #2 WE WILL CONQUER LODGED A CLAIM OF FOUL AGAINST #5 JUDGE HERNANDEZ ALLEGING INTERFERENCE AT THAT SAME POINT. AFTER A REVIEW, #5 JUDGE HERNANDEZ WAS DISQUALIFIED FROM 1ST AND PLACED 2ND. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15DQ-Judge Hernandez4.30-10
22We Will Conquer5.70-132.75
31Halter Boy4-16.25
43Can of Corn0.40-19
SCR—Wilderzar——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS — the only live horse is 10-1 ML but carries no model overlay, weak speed figures, and the sheet rec is PASS; no price case clears the bar · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
JUDGE HERNANDEZ broke best from the break, was shadowed by WE WILL CONQUER from the outside, dug in under a threat from that foe in upper stretch, came out a path in deep stretch into the path of the rival but held clear to the finish. WE WILL CONQUER pressed the pace two-deep from the start, made an earnest bid for the lead approaching the quarter pole, checked when the rival came out a path in upper stretch, continued to chase to the finish but came up short. HALTER BOY broke a step slow, then settled in the second flight inside of a rival well off the pace of the top pair, separated from that one on the turn, then made a late bid up the rail to gain ground, but was too late. CAN OF CORN trailed the field to the outside of HALTER BOY well behind the other two, dropped farther behind on the turn and trailed to the wire. THERE WAS A STEWARDS INQUIRY INTO THE RUNNING LOOKING AT THE UPPER STRETCH. ALSO, THE JOCKEY ON #2 WE WILL CONQUER LODGED A CLAIM OF FOUL AGAINST #5 JUDGE HERNANDEZ ALLEGING INTERFERENCE AT THAT SAME POINT. AFTER A REVIEW, #5 JUDGE HERNANDEZ WAS DISQUALIFIED FROM 1ST AND PLACED 2ND. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — the only live horse is 10-1 ML but carries no model overlay, weak speed figures, and the sheet rec is PASS; no price case clears the bar · SHAPE Lone speed #4 WILDERZAR; closers need a duel that the map does not produce; speed/inside bias amplifies the front-runner · CHALK #3 CAN OF CORN (1.8) — opposable; stalker style in a lone-speed race, declining figs (72→64→60), no ready flags, needs pace that isn't there

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-17 BTP R1 pass_ok · winner #5 JUDGE HERNANDEZ @ 4.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2#5 Larksong · 0.30-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.76 · 48.76 · 1:12.74 · 1:26.14 · Final 1:39.76

Splits (23:00) (23:98) (13:40) (13:62)

PgmHorseCalls
5Larksong1 · 31 · 1/2 · 2Head · 11 · 1/2 · 13 · 13
2St Bernadette4 · 1Head · 1Head · 21 · 1/2 · 23 · 23
1Morning Line News3 · 2Head · 37 · 414 · 1/2 · 417 · 313 · 1/2
3Dialed Inna2 · 43 · 47 · 1/4 · 311 · 1/2 · 315 · 420

LARKSONG traded the lead with ST BERNADETTE to the quarter pole through modest fractions, then asserted dominance from that point and held clear in the stretch under intermittent urging. ST BERNADETTE showed good speed from the start, pressed the pace for three-quarters of a mile, then could not keep up with the winner through the stretch but kept on to save second well clear of the next finisher. MORNING LINE NEWS was outpaced and dropped far behind and was never a factor. DIALED INNA broke outward at the start, raced far behind the pace and was never a threat. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Larksong · close 0.30-1

  • LARKSONG traded the lead with ST BERNADETTE to the quarter pole through modest fractions, then asserted dominance from that point and held clear in the stretch under intermittent urging.
  • ST BERNADETTE showed good speed from the start, pressed the pace for three-quarters of a mile, then could not keep up with the winner through the stretch but kept on to save second well clear of the next finisher.
  • MORNING LINE NEWS was outpaced and dropped far behind and was never a factor.
  • DIALED INNA broke outward at the start, raced far behind the pace and was never a threat. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15Larksong0.30-10
22St Bernadette1.60-110.5
31Morning Line News16.6-16.5
43Dialed Inna23.8-120
SCR—Peacock Road——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
LARKSONG traded the lead with ST BERNADETTE to the quarter pole through modest fractions, then asserted dominance from that point and held clear in the stretch under intermittent urging. ST BERNADETTE showed good speed from the start, pressed the pace for three-quarters of a mile, then could not keep up with the winner through the stretch but kept on to save second well clear of the next finisher. MORNING LINE NEWS was outpaced and dropped far behind and was never a factor. DIALED INNA broke outward at the start, raced far behind the pace and was never a threat. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-EP duel (#5 vs #2) on a speed-bias track; stalker #1 best-positioned if pace empties, but carries the weakest figs · CHALK #5 LARKSONG (1.4) — solid on figs and form, rising cycle, fits the bias; #2 ST BERNADETTE (2.0) and #4 PEACOCK ROAD (2.5) also chalk; entire win pool is chalk

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-17 BTP R2 pass_ok · winner #5 LARKSONG @ 0.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3#5 Rock N Roll Bolt · 0.80-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.49 · 47.55 · 1:11.64 · 1:24.72 · Final 1:38.10

Splits (23:06) (24:09) (13:08) (13:38)

PgmHorseCalls
5Rock N Roll Bolt3 · 43 · 1/2 · 42 · 2Head · 21/2 · 11 · 3/4
3King of Kentucky1 · 21 · 1/2 · 21/2 · 1Head · 11/2 · 21 · 3/4
2Munny Town4 · 32 · 1/2 · 32 · 43 · 44 · 1/2 · 35
4Geraldraydaplegray5 · 55 · 54 · 56 · 56 · 411 · 1/2
1Uncaptured Pulse2 · 11 · 1/2 · 11/2 · 32 · 33 · 1/2 · 514

ROCK N ROLL BOLT tracked the pace four-wide to the half, was being coaxed along midway, moved up in range of the leaders heading into the turn, then dueled with KING OF KENTUCKY late through the turn and into the stretch, then edged a head in the final yards to prevail. KING OF KENTUCKY dueled three-wide down the backstretch with ROCK N ROLL BOLT, then gave way grudgingly in the final stages while holding second clear of the next horse. MUNNY TOWN stumbled at the start, raced mid-pack to the midpoint of the contest, moved up approaching the quarter pole, and chased the top two to the finish with some interest. GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY settled at the back and never offered a rally, passed a tired foe in deep stretch. UNCAPTURED PULSE dueled along the rail for the first half-mile, gave way approaching the quarter pole, had nothing left for the stretch run and faded to last. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Rock N Roll Bolt · close 0.80-1

  • ROCK N ROLL BOLT tracked the pace four-wide to the half, was being coaxed along midway, moved up in range of the leaders heading into the turn, then dueled with KING OF KENTUCKY late through the turn and into the stretch, then edged a head in the final yards to prevail.
  • KING OF KENTUCKY dueled three-wide down the backstretch with ROCK N ROLL BOLT, then gave way grudgingly in the final stages while holding second clear of the next horse.
  • MUNNY TOWN stumbled at the start, raced mid-pack to the midpoint of the contest, moved up approaching the quarter pole, and chased the top two to the finish with some interest.
  • GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY settled at the back and never offered a rally, passed a tired foe in deep stretch.
  • UNCAPTURED PULSE dueled along the rail for the first half-mile, gave way approaching the quarter pole, had nothing left for the stretch run and faded to last. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15Rock N Roll Bolt0.80-10
23King of Kentucky5.10-13.25
32Munny Town3.70-16.5
44Geraldraydaplegray2.90-12.5
51Uncaptured Pulse20.9-114

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
ROCK N ROLL BOLT tracked the pace four-wide to the half, was being coaxed along midway, moved up in range of the leaders heading into the turn, then dueled with KING OF KENTUCKY late through the turn and into the stretch, then edged a head in the final yards to prevail. KING OF KENTUCKY dueled three-wide down the backstretch with ROCK N ROLL BOLT, then gave way grudgingly in the final stages while holding second clear of the next horse. MUNNY TOWN stumbled at the start, raced mid-pack to the midpoint of the contest, moved up approaching the quarter pole, and chased the top two to the finish with some interest. GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY settled at the back and never offered a rally, passed a tired foe in deep stretch. UNCAPTURED PULSE dueled along the rail for the first half-mile, gave way approaching the quarter pole, had nothing left for the stretch run and faded to last. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of four early types (#1 #3 #5 #2) guarantees pressure extreme — bias favors early speed but a four-way duel risks implosion; #5 ROCK N ROLL BOLT is dual chalk at 1.6 ML with the strongest model signal (0.90) and best recent figs (82–86) on this surface/distance combo · CHALK #5 ROCK N ROLL BOLT (1.6 ML) — solid class hold at OC12500, top figs in the field, bias-friendly style, but the price is indefensible for a ticket

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-17 BTP R3 pass_ok · winner #5 ROCK N ROLL BOLT @ 0.8 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4#1 Split · 1.60-1play floorWATCHRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.79 · 48.28 · 1:12.20 · 1:37.51 · Final 1:43.84

Splits (24:49) (23:92) (25:31) (6:33)

PgmHorseCalls
1Split3 · 41 · 3/4 · 2Head · 11/2 · 11 · 13 · 3/4
2Una Quaedam4 · 63 · 1/4 · 62 · 3/4 · 63 · 1/2 · 31 · 23 · 3/4
5English Patience1 · 1Head · 1Head · 21/2 · 21 · 34 · 3/4
6Right and Tight5 · 31 · 1/2 · 51 · 3/4 · 53 · 42 · 1/2 · 48 · 3/4
7Boujeeonabudget2 · 2Head · 3Head · 31 · 1/2 · 53 · 1/2 · 513 · 1/4
3Mrs Chofis6 · 52 · 1/4 · 41 · 1/4 · 42 · 64 · 1/2 · 616

SPLIT tracked close up through the first turn, the moved up between the dueling leaders to join the early pace fray, continued to battle into the stretch then drew clear in the final furlong. UNA QUAEDAM settled well off the pace early, saved ground, then made a solid bid up the rail in the late stages but was unable to get to the winner. ENGLISH PATIENCE dueled inside a rival early, then was the inside horse as another lined the early fray, kept on well into the stretch but flattened out late while saving third. RIGHT AND TIGHT tracked between rivals in the second flight, was mildly gaining in the late stages but not doing enough to pose a threat. BOUJEEONABUDGET dueled outside a rival three-wide, bid four-wide into the stretch but weakened and was not a threat in the late stages. MRS CHOFIS was three-wide in the tracking group, then was outrun in the late going. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #1 Split · close 1.60-1

  • SPLIT tracked close up through the first turn, the moved up between the dueling leaders to join the early pace fray, continued to battle into the stretch then drew clear in the final furlong.
  • UNA QUAEDAM settled well off the pace early, saved ground, then made a solid bid up the rail in the late stages but was unable to get to the winner.
  • ENGLISH PATIENCE dueled inside a rival early, then was the inside horse as another lined the early fray, kept on well into the stretch but flattened out late while saving third.
  • RIGHT AND TIGHT tracked between rivals in the second flight, was mildly gaining in the late stages but not doing enough to pose a threat.
  • BOUJEEONABUDGET dueled outside a rival three-wide, bid four-wide into the stretch but weakened and was not a threat in the late stages.
  • MRS CHOFIS was three-wide in the tracking group, then was outrun in the late going. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
11Split1.60-10
22Una Quaedam6.50-11
35English Patience1.60-14
46Right and Tight2.40-14.5
57Boujeeonabudget23.2-12.75
63Mrs Chofis62.2-116
SCR—Blessed Harmony——
SCR—Missymoo Iloveyou——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
#6 RIGHT AND TIGHT · min 3-1 · WIN · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor
Price model
WATCH · #6 RIGHT AND TIGHT · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SPLIT tracked close up through the first turn, the moved up between the dueling leaders to join the early pace fray, continued to battle into the stretch then drew clear in the final furlong. UNA QUAEDAM settled well off the pace early, saved ground, then made a solid bid up the rail in the late stages but was unable to get to the winner. ENGLISH PATIENCE dueled inside a rival early, then was the inside horse as another lined the early fray, kept on well into the stretch but flattened out late while saving third. RIGHT AND TIGHT tracked between rivals in the second flight, was mildly gaining in the late stages but not doing enough to pose a threat. BOUJEEONABUDGET dueled outside a rival three-wide, bid four-wide into the stretch but weakened and was not a threat in the late stages. MRS CHOFIS was three-wide in the tracking group, then was outrun in the late going. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #6 RIGHT AND TIGHT · min 3-1 · WIN · SHAPE No pace — crawl likely; stalkers and pressers favored; closers risk no target · CHALK #1 SPLIT · short (2-1) · rising figs and inside post help, but C-style in a no-pace field is a shape mismatch

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model WATCH #6 RIGHT AND TIGHT · 2026-09-17 BTP R4 floor_miss · winner #1 SPLIT @ 1.6 · overlay #6 RIGHT AND TIGHT edge 0.030 · PLAY floor #6 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5#2 Kenwood Street · 0.20-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.06 · 47.08 · 1:11.33 · Final 1:17.65

Splits (23:02) (24:25) (6:32)

PgmHorseCalls
2Kenwood Street2 · 11 · 1/2 · 11 · 1Head · 1Neck
5Most Probable3 · 21 · 1/2 · 21 · 2Head · 2Neck
3Arrow Ghost4 · 44 · 32 · 43 · 3/4 · 39 · 1/4
1Ground Shaker1 · 32 · 1/2 · 43 · 33 · 1/2 · 410 · 3/4

KENWOOD STREET broke sharply and seized the lead, led the way by about a length while rating nicely, responded when confronted approaching the quarter pole, battled a game rival through the stretch and held on determinedly for a narrow victory. MOST PROBABLE tracked two-wide about a length off the pacesetter, moved to challenge approaching the quarter pole but met with a resilient foe, battled gamely from the quarter pole to the wire but was unable to get to the front in a good effort. ARROW GHOST got squeezed and took up after the start, spotting the rest a head start, steadily advanced down the backstretch, made a three-wide bid on the turn, but flattened out and was not doing enough to threaten the top two. GROUND SHAKER tracked close up while saving ground, then was outfinished in the stretch. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Kenwood Street · close 0.20-1

  • KENWOOD STREET broke sharply and seized the lead, led the way by about a length while rating nicely, responded when confronted approaching the quarter pole, battled a game rival through the stretch and held on determinedly for a narrow victory.
  • MOST PROBABLE tracked two-wide about a length off the pacesetter, moved to challenge approaching the quarter pole but met with a resilient foe, battled gamely from the quarter pole to the wire but was unable to get to the front in a good effort.
  • ARROW GHOST got squeezed and took up after the start, spotting the rest a head start, steadily advanced down the backstretch, made a three-wide bid on the turn, but flattened out and was not doing enough to threaten the top two.
  • GROUND SHAKER tracked close up while saving ground, then was outfinished in the stretch. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
12Kenwood Street0.20-10
25Most Probable3.50-19
33Arrow Ghost15.9-11.5
41Ground Shaker6-110.75
SCR—Creating Havoc——
SCR—Man of the Hour——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
KENWOOD STREET broke sharply and seized the lead, led the way by about a length while rating nicely, responded when confronted approaching the quarter pole, battled a game rival through the stretch and held on determinedly for a narrow victory. MOST PROBABLE tracked two-wide about a length off the pacesetter, moved to challenge approaching the quarter pole but met with a resilient foe, battled gamely from the quarter pole to the wire but was unable to get to the front in a good effort. ARROW GHOST got squeezed and took up after the start, spotting the rest a head start, steadily advanced down the backstretch, made a three-wide bid on the turn, but flattened out and was not doing enough to threaten the top two. GROUND SHAKER tracked close up while saving ground, then was outfinished in the stretch. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#1 GROUND SHAKER EP) vs five closers; speed/rail bias favors the front; Scenario A is live · CHALK #2 KENWOOD STREET (ML 2) and #5 MOST PROBABLE (ML 2.5) — #5 solid with rising figs and cycle support; #2 class drop from Md30000 but figs flat at 70 and closer style opposes the bias

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-17 BTP R5 pass_ok · winner #2 KENWOOD STREET @ 0.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6#10 Akkadian · 3.90-1play floorBETRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.66 · 47.98 · 1:11.50 · 1:36.75 · Final 1:43.06

Splits (24:32) (23:52) (25:25) (6:31)

PgmHorseCalls
10Akkadian1 · 11 · 11 · 1Head · 11 · 1/2 · 11 · 1/4
1Knickadoo6 · 64 · 1/2 · 63 · 3/4 · 63 · 1/4 · 32 · 1/2 · 21 · 1/4
3Big Tom3 · 43 · 52 · 1/4 · 51 · 3/4 · 42 · 1/2 · 32 · 1/2
9Fogg Cove2 · 21 · 21 · 2Head · 21 · 1/2 · 42 · 3/4
5Delgany Boy4 · 32 · 1/2 · 42 · 31 · 1/2 · 53 · 1/2 · 54 · 3/4
7Grand Liam5 · 53 · 31 · 41 · 3/4 · 64 · 614 · 1/2

AKKADIAN sprinted clear early, withstood some mild pressure from FOGG COVE through the middle stages, but had plenty in reserve to hold clear to the finish. KNICKADOO dropped back early, moved out to the three-path for the run down the backstretch, continued to advance through the far turn, dropped down the rail midway through that turn and rallied for second despite having some trouble changing leads. BIG TOM settled mid-pack along the rail, lacked a clear path from the half through the far turn, got clear in upper stretch, lacked a significant finish but chugged along to pick up the minor award. FOGG COVE tracked close to the pacesetter for the first half-mile, launched a bit early on the far turn, gave game chase into the stretch but could not get to the eventual winner and was overtaken in the final yards. DELGANY BOY settled in mid-pack, came out four-wide into the stretch but lacked a rally. GRAND LIAM tracked in mid-pack but four-wide down the backstretch, came under pressure near the three-furlong pole and faltered in the stretch. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #10 Akkadian · close 3.90-1

  • AKKADIAN sprinted clear early, withstood some mild pressure from FOGG COVE through the middle stages, but had plenty in reserve to hold clear to the finish.
  • KNICKADOO dropped back early, moved out to the three-path for the run down the backstretch, continued to advance through the far turn, dropped down the rail midway through that turn and rallied for second despite having some trouble changing leads.
  • BIG TOM settled mid-pack along the rail, lacked a clear path from the half through the far turn, got clear in upper stretch, lacked a significant finish but chugged along to pick up the minor award.
  • FOGG COVE tracked close to the pacesetter for the first half-mile, launched a bit early on the far turn, gave game chase into the stretch but could not get to the eventual winner and was overtaken in the final yards.
  • DELGANY BOY settled in mid-pack, came out four-wide into the stretch but lacked a rally.
  • GRAND LIAM tracked in mid-pack but four-wide down the backstretch, came under pressure near the three-furlong pole and faltered in the stretch. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
110Akkadian3.90-10
21Knickadoo2.10-11.25
33Big Tom33.1-10.3
49Fogg Cove8-12
55Delgany Boy1.30-19.75
67Grand Liam6.50-114.5
SCR—Copal——
SCR—Devils Moonlight——
SCR—Great Hunt——
SCR—Rapid Roy——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
#5 DELGANY BOY · min 3-1 · WIN · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor
Price model
BET · #5 DELGANY BOY · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
AKKADIAN sprinted clear early, withstood some mild pressure from FOGG COVE through the middle stages, but had plenty in reserve to hold clear to the finish. KNICKADOO dropped back early, moved out to the three-path for the run down the backstretch, continued to advance through the far turn, dropped down the rail midway through that turn and rallied for second despite having some trouble changing leads. BIG TOM settled mid-pack along the rail, lacked a clear path from the half through the far turn, got clear in upper stretch, lacked a significant finish but chugged along to pick up the minor award. FOGG COVE tracked close to the pacesetter for the first half-mile, launched a bit early on the far turn, gave game chase into the stretch but could not get to the eventual winner and was overtaken in the final yards. DELGANY BOY settled in mid-pack, came out four-wide into the stretch but lacked a rally. GRAND LIAM tracked in mid-pack but four-wide down the backstretch, came under pressure near the three-furlong pole and faltered in the stretch. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #5 DELGANY BOY · min 3-1 · WIN · SHAPE Crawl likely — no dedicated E, two pressers set tempo; inside rail + speed bias favors front-running styles; closers need a collapse that may never come · CHALK #10 AKKADIAN · short/opposable · weakened last, negative edge, post 10 bucks the inside bias, figs declining from 66→65→52

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model BET #5 DELGANY BOY · 2026-09-17 BTP R6 floor_miss · winner #10 AKKADIAN @ 3.9 · overlay #5 DELGANY BOY edge 0.039 · PLAY floor #5 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7#3 Patty's Girl · 1.10-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.62 · 46.33 · Final 1:05.28

Splits (23:71) (18:95)

PgmHorseCalls
3Patty's Girl5 · 42 · 41 · 21 · 11/2
2A Little Patience3 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 11 · 21/2
4Grab My Tab1 · 21/2 · 31 · 31 · 33 · 1/4
5Panic Mode2 · 32 · 21/2 · 41 · 1/4 · 44 · 1/2
1Elevated Power4 · 57 · 1/2 · 511 · 526 · 1/4 · ---

PATTY'S GIRL settled off the pace along the inside, stayed through the turn, took up sharply at the quarter pole, lost momentum, re-gathered, tipped out to the two path for the stretch run, found best stride near the eighth pole and rallied to get up in the final jumps. A LITTLE PATIENCE was hustled to the lead and paved the way with three rivals in close pursuit, had something in reserve when asked at the top of the stretch, opened a clear lead but could not hold off the winner in the final yards. GRAB MY TAB stalked the pace while being confidently handled, came under pressure when the leader opened up at the top of the stretch, responded with a steady finish but was not doing enough in the final furlong to pose a serious threat. PANIC MODE raced close up but three-wide, loomed a big threat at the head of the stretch but flattened out. ELEVATED POWER dropped far back and was eased to the finish line and walked off. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Patty's Girl · close 1.10-1

  • PATTY'S GIRL settled off the pace along the inside, stayed through the turn, took up sharply at the quarter pole, lost momentum, re-gathered, tipped out to the two path for the stretch run, found best stride near the eighth pole and rallied to get up in the final jumps.
  • A LITTLE PATIENCE was hustled to the lead and paved the way with three rivals in close pursuit, had something in reserve when asked at the top of the stretch, opened a clear lead but could not hold off the winner in the final yards.
  • GRAB MY TAB stalked the pace while being confidently handled, came under pressure when the leader opened up at the top of the stretch, responded with a steady finish but was not doing enough in the final furlong to pose a serious threat.
  • PANIC MODE raced close up but three-wide, loomed a big threat at the head of the stretch but flattened out.
  • ELEVATED POWER dropped far back and was eased to the finish line and walked off. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
13Patty's Girl1.10-10
22A Little Patience1.40-12.75
34Grab My Tab5.10-11.25
45Panic Mode7.50-14.5
51Elevated Power15.3-1—
SCR—Star Watch——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
PATTY'S GIRL settled off the pace along the inside, stayed through the turn, took up sharply at the quarter pole, lost momentum, re-gathered, tipped out to the two path for the stretch run, found best stride near the eighth pole and rallied to get up in the final jumps. A LITTLE PATIENCE was hustled to the lead and paved the way with three rivals in close pursuit, had something in reserve when asked at the top of the stretch, opened a clear lead but could not hold off the winner in the final yards. GRAB MY TAB stalked the pace while being confidently handled, came under pressure when the leader opened up at the top of the stretch, responded with a steady finish but was not doing enough in the final furlong to pose a serious threat. PANIC MODE raced close up but three-wide, loomed a big threat at the head of the stretch but flattened out. ELEVATED POWER dropped far back and was eased to the finish line and walked off. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of pressers (#6 #2 #5) forces honest duel; inside/speed bias; stalkers #3 #4 best positioned in A/B · CHALK #3 PATTYS GIRL · solid · best speed figure at distance, inside post 3, class drop from 7500, bias-friendly style

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-17 BTP R7 pass_ok · winner #3 PATTYS GIRL @ 1.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8#2 Moremi · 0.80-1play passWATCHRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.89 · 47.15 · 1:11.47 · 1:24.03 · Final 1:36.43

Splits (23:26) (24:32) (12:56) (12:40)

PgmHorseCalls
2Moremi4 · 41 · 3/4 · 32 · 22 · 21/2 · 12 · 1/4
6Lady Lyla3 · 1Head · 12 · 12 · 11/2 · 22 · 1/4
3Tectonic1 · 31 · 1/2 · 43 · 1/2 · 55 · 1/2 · 42 · 1/2 · 32 · 1/4
5Trojan Cheerleader6 · 52 · 3/4 · 53 · 3/4 · 34 · 32 · 45
7Crested7 · 63 · 1/4 · 76 · 3/4 · 77 · 1/2 · 53 · 1/2 · 56 · 1/4
8Classy Connection5 · 74 · 3/4 · 65 · 1/4 · 67 · 75 · 68
1Ariela2 · 2Head · 22 · 44 · 1/2 · 63 · 1/2 · 78 · 1/4
9Ziva9 · 85 · 3/4 · 811 · 3/4 · 813 · 1/2 · 88 · 814 · 3/4
4Marty Girl8 · 910 · 3/4 · 921 · 3/4 · 928 · 1/2 · 928 · 949 · 3/4

MOREMI saved ground while tracking the leader close up, let that one get first run into the stretch, but close determinedly through the final furlong to wear down that foe and went clear in the final yards. LADY LYLA dueled outside of a rival for the first half-mile, went clear of that foe through the far turn, carried a clear lead into the stretch, finished up well, but could not hold off the winner in the final yards. TECTONIC settled in mid-pack along the inside for the first half mile, came out to the three-path for the stretch run, and finished with interest to move up in to the third spot. TROJAN CHEERLEADER took a light bump at the start, tracked in mid-pack, loomed with a chance in upper stretch but flattened out in the final furlong. CRESTED saved ground racing near the back and finished one-paced. CLASSY CONNECTION settled well off the pace, two to three wide, and lacked a rally. ARIELA raced close up between horses, then weakened late on the far turn. ZIVA raced well behind the field and showed little. MARTY GIRL broke into the outside rival after the start, dropped far back and was distanced. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Moremi · close 0.80-1

  • MOREMI saved ground while tracking the leader close up, let that one get first run into the stretch, but close determinedly through the final furlong to wear down that foe and went clear in the final yards.
  • LADY LYLA dueled outside of a rival for the first half-mile, went clear of that foe through the far turn, carried a clear lead into the stretch, finished up well, but could not hold off the winner in the final yards.
  • TECTONIC settled in mid-pack along the inside for the first half mile, came out to the three-path for the stretch run, and finished with interest to move up in to the third spot.
  • TROJAN CHEERLEADER took a light bump at the start, tracked in mid-pack, loomed with a chance in upper stretch but flattened out in the final furlong.
  • CRESTED saved ground racing near the back and finished one-paced.
  • CLASSY CONNECTION settled well off the pace, two to three wide, and lacked a rally.
  • ARIELA raced close up between horses, then weakened late on the far turn.
  • ZIVA raced well behind the field and showed little.
  • MARTY GIRL broke into the outside rival after the start, dropped far back and was distanced. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
12Moremi0.80-10
26Lady Lyla8.10-10.05
33Tectonic7.50-12.75
45Trojan Cheerleader4.30-11.25
57Crested74.0-11.75
68Classy Connection14.1-10.3
71Ariela19.9-16.5
89Ziva7.40-135
94Marty Girl27.2-149.75
SCR—Kelly Simplified——
SCR—Secret Flame——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS — LEAN is not chalk but is 12-1 ML with a severe form concern (fig 42-68 range, all prior lead races on dirt, turf unknown); #9 ZIVA is the only overlay and is C-only from a wide post with no pace path in A or B · Pass held · pass
Price model
WATCH · #9 ZIVA · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
MOREMI saved ground while tracking the leader close up, let that one get first run into the stretch, but close determinedly through the final furlong to wear down that foe and went clear in the final yards. LADY LYLA dueled outside of a rival for the first half-mile, went clear of that foe through the far turn, carried a clear lead into the stretch, finished up well, but could not hold off the winner in the final yards. TECTONIC settled in mid-pack along the inside for the first half mile, came out to the three-path for the stretch run, and finished with interest to move up in to the third spot. TROJAN CHEERLEADER took a light bump at the start, tracked in mid-pack, loomed with a chance in upper stretch but flattened out in the final furlong. CRESTED saved ground racing near the back and finished one-paced. CLASSY CONNECTION settled well off the pace, two to three wide, and lacked a rally. ARIELA raced close up between horses, then weakened late on the far turn. ZIVA raced well behind the field and showed little. MARTY GIRL broke into the outside rival after the start, dropped far back and was distanced. This race had a timing discrepancy or malfunction and was re-timed using video technology to arrive at the most accurate time.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — LEAN is not chalk but is 12-1 ML with a severe form concern (fig 42-68 range, all prior lead races on dirt, turf unknown); #9 ZIVA is the only overlay and is C-only from a wide post with no pace path in A or B · SHAPE Lone speed (#6 LADY LYLA) into a field of closers on a speed/inside-bias track; chalk (#5) is a closer from post 5 with a pace mismatch · CHALK #5 TROJAN CHEERLEADER · opposable · style C on a 75% early-speed-wins surface, negative zPace, no overlay, last turf fig only 57

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #9 ZIVA · 2026-09-17 BTP R8 overlay_miss · winner #2 MOREMI @ 0.8 · overlay #9 ZIVA edge 0.027 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.