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BTP · 2026-10-09

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

chart missingCard →

Chart missing. This card is in the results queue until an Equibase standard chart PDF is imported. No scrape.

R1no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of five early/presser types; extreme pressure pace; speed bias and inside rail bias present — duel likely to set up any late energy, but no true closer is in the field · CHALK #2 MALEVAJE (ML 2) · opposable · steep class dump (Clm16000n2l → Clm5000n2l after form collapse, fig 59 last, negative zForm); #3 PAVED IN GOLD (ML 2.5) · solid-ish but flat line (three consecutive 61-fig efforts, no upside signal)

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #2 THE PRETTY ONE · win · min 4-1 · if board slides to 5-2 or shorter, pass · SHAPE Lone speed #2 controls from post 2 on a speed/inside-biased track; closers have no pace to chase · CHALK #4 RANSLILDREAM (2) and #3 NEW LEASE ON LIFE (2.5) co-chalk; both closers in a race with no honest pace to set them up — opposable on shape

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · no non-chalk horse combines a credible 2+ ready signal with a clean A/B path; LITTLE JUANITA's overlay is real but her pace-collapse pattern at this exact distance/class kills confidence at any price · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#3/#6) · presser/stalker tier lives · speed bias + inside rail favor posts 1-3 · CHALK #2 CONSTANT CHATTER · solid · top fig, inside post, rising cycle, speed/inside bias aligns; opposable only if duel never collapses and the board is too short to play

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #1 STOPTALKINGSARAH · win · min 3-1 (ML is exactly 3, needs to hold or drift; at 5-2 or shorter, pass) · SHAPE Two-speed duel #6/#5 · inside rail bias · stalkers live in A and B · CHALK #2 WHAT A BOMBSHELL · 9-5 debut, no PPs · usable but short · shape does not oppose her but zero evidence she fires

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #4 PATRONAGE is the only non-chalk overlay but ML 4.5 is inside the 5-1 floor on a horse with a C-only realistic path in a bias that has crushed outside closers; #9 ICE MINISTER is primed but post 9 on a dead-outside track is a structural disqualifier for a win ticket · SHAPE Three-way speed duel (#1/#2/#5) into a speed/inside-rail bias; wall of pressers sets up stalkers and closers, but outside posts are a graveyard (posts 8+ = 0 wins in sample) · CHALK #6 READY TO ROLL · solid-to-short · inside stalker, same trip winner, top zForm, pace map suits her perfectly; no fade reason beyond price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — no non-chalk overlay clears; #1 LUCKYS PRIZE has the right flags but carries a negative model edge, a barn with 0 meet starts, a sharp class jump, and a key category ROI of -1.37 on 2nd-off-layoff pattern; no live tote to confirm · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#6 vs #7) sets up A/B scenarios for mid-packers; speed bias favors inside posts but neither E sits inside · CHALK #6 SOUND CITY · short (2.5 ML) · solid on class drop from n2l sprint + speed, but duel risk is real and post 6 puts it wide of the inside bias

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #7 HEAVY HITTER · min 5-1 · win — lone declared overlay, E-style can clear from post 7 before the outside pressure arrives, TJ ROI 1.65, fig 87 two back at this exact trip; at shorter than 5-1, PASS · SHAPE Wall of speed (#7/#4/#8) projects a duel; stalkers and pressers get a gift if fractions honest; inside-rail bias punishes post 9 chalk · CHALK #9 READY TO POUNCE · opposable · post 9 dead against inside bias (0% wins posts 8+ last 60d); style S needs pace to chase but sits widest; fig 71 last out is beatable at 2-1

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8no official finishRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

No footnotes in this official chart yet.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner — · close —

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
no PLAY
Price model
— — No card review. Sheet and overlay were not snapped.
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
(none on this official chart)

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — #5 is model-flat (edge 0.000, not an overlay); #6 is C-only and the bias punishes outside closers; no non-chalk horse clears both a pace path and a price overlay · SHAPE Wall of speed (#7 #9 #2) projects honest-to-honest duel; speed bias and inside-rail favor early position but duel risk is real; stalkers from posts 4–6 get the cleanest trips · CHALK #7 BAYTOWN ANUBIS · usable but short · rising figs and consistent class level, but post 7 on a track where posts 8+ are 0-for and the duel scenario erodes his EP edge

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet none · price model none · no review line — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.