GP · 2026-09-12
Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.
Official chart Equibase · parser 1.2.0 · checksum b4d71a340830df32 · us_mutuel_to_one
R1#10 Roadsterella · 8.70-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 21.50 · 44.88 · Final 57.48
Splits (23:38) (12:60)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Roadsterella | 1 · 41 · 43/4 · 11/2 · 12 · 1/2 |
| 9 | Expectations | 3 · 31/2 · 31/2 · 21/2 · 22 · 1/2 |
| 3 | Maxymiss | 4 · 1Head · 1Head · 31/2 · 33 |
| 7 | Fib | 7 · 86 · 3/4 · 87 · 1/4 · 54 · 43 · 1/4 |
| 4 | Starship Contender | 8 · 54 · 53 · 3/4 · 43 · 1/2 · 54 |
| 11 | Jack's Honey | 6 · 64 · 1/4 · 64 · 3/4 · 76 · 68 · 1/2 |
| 8 | Aysia Princess | 5 · 74 · 3/4 · 75 · 3/4 · 65 · 79 · 1/2 |
| 6 | American Reign | 2 · 2Head · 2Head · 88 · 818 · 1/4 |
ROADSTERELLA tracked the leaders from six wide into the turn, edged closer through the bend to be prominent turning for home, took command in mid-stretch and pulled clear in the final furlong. EXPECTATIONS stalked the pace into the turn from between rivals, rallied to threaten turning for home, was no match for the winner and continued to grind to take the place. MAXYMISS sped away from the gate on the lead, herded the field down the backside moving out to the five path, angled in toward the rail maintaining the lead under pressure through rapid fractions, dug-in willingly in upper stretch and was outkicked while weakening in the final eighth. FIB slow early to be the trailer to the head of the lane and mounted a belated bid six wide to be gaining through the lane. STARSHIP CONTENDER was slow away from the gates, raced up into contention mid-pack down the backside and went evenly from there lacking a closing kick. JACK'S HONEY went evenly failing to menace. AYSIA PRINCESS was not a threat. AMERICAN REIGN pressed the rapid pace to the quarter pole and faltered.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #10 Roadsterella · close 8.70-1
- ROADSTERELLA tracked the leaders from six wide into the turn, edged closer through the bend to be prominent turning for home, took command in mid-stretch and pulled clear in the final furlong.
- EXPECTATIONS stalked the pace into the turn from between rivals, rallied to threaten turning for home, was no match for the winner and continued to grind to take the place.
- MAXYMISS sped away from the gate on the lead, herded the field down the backside moving out to the five path, angled in toward the rail maintaining the lead under pressure through rapid fractions, dug-in willingly in upper stretch and was outkicked while weakening in the final eighth.
- FIB slow early to be the trailer to the head of the lane and mounted a belated bid six wide to be gaining through the lane.
- STARSHIP CONTENDER was slow away from the gates, raced up into contention mid-pack down the backside and went evenly from there lacking a closing kick.
- JACK'S HONEY went evenly failing to menace.
- AYSIA PRINCESS was not a threat.
- AMERICAN REIGN pressed the rapid pace to the quarter pole and faltered.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Roadsterella | 8.70-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 9 | Expectations | 4.90-1 | 2.5 |
| 3 | 3 | Maxymiss | 16.1-1 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 7 | Fib | 5.20-1 | 0.75 |
| 5 | 4 | Starship Contender | 3.10-1 | 4.5 |
| 6 | 11 | Jack's Honey | 9.70-1 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | Aysia Princess | 25.6-1 | 8.75 |
| 8 | 6 | American Reign | 1.80-1 | 18.25 |
| SCR | — | Golden Grey | — | — |
| SCR | — | My Last Bucky | — | — |
| SCR | — | Winning Charm | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: ROADSTERELLA tracked the leaders from six wide into the turn, edged closer through the bend to be prominent turning for home, took command in mid-stretch and pulled clear in the final furlong. EXPECTATIONS stalked the pace into the turn from between rivals, rallied to threaten turning for home, was no match for the winner and continued to grind to take the place. MAXYMISS sped away from the gate on the lead, herded the field down the backside moving out to the five path, angled in toward the rail maintaining the lead under pressure through rapid fractions, dug-in willingly in upper stretch and was outkicked while weakening in the final eighth. FIB slow early to be the trailer to the head of the lane and mounted a belated bid six wide to be gaining through the lane. STARSHIP CONTENDER was slow away from the gates, raced up into contention mid-pack down the backside and went evenly from there lacking a closing kick. JACK'S HONEY went evenly failing to menace. AYSIA PRINCESS was not a threat. AMERICAN REIGN pressed the rapid pace to the quarter pole and faltered. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#6 E from post 6 on a speed/rail bias); chaos field — seven debut horses, shape collapses if #6 misses the break · CHALK #9 EXPECTATIONS 2.5-ML · first-time starter, all zeroes in model factors, no path readable · short and hollow CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-12 GP R1 pass_ok · winner #10 ROADSTERELLA @ 8.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2#7 Titan · 6.80-1play outWATCHRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.38 · 48.33 · 1:11.82 · 1:36.64 · Final 1:43.40
Splits (23:95) (23:49) (24:82) (6:76)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Titan | 3 · 11/2 · 1Head · 2Head · 1Head · 1Neck |
| 4 | Spy Novel | 2 · 21/2 · 2Head · 1Head · 2Head · 2Neck |
| 2 | Dimanche Gras | 1 · 31 · 1/2 · 31 · 1/2 · 33 · 1/2 · 33 · 31/2 |
| 6 | Las Olas | 5 · 63 · 62 · 3/4 · 44 · 1/2 · 45 · 44 · 1/2 |
| 5 | Blue Slide Park | 4 · 41 · 1/2 · 42 · 56 · 1/2 · 57 · 56 · 1/2 |
| 1 | Honesto | 6 · 52 · 1/2 · 52 · 1/4 · 68 · 610 · 611 · 1/4 |
TITAN took command shortly from the gate being encouraged slightly early to get the lead, set a pressured pace down the backstretch, dueled with the runner-up on the bend surrendering the lead, came on again in upper stretch to re-gain the upper hand and prevailed in a determined drive in a game effort. SPY NOVEL pressed the pace to the far turn, rallied to take the lead on the bend, was out-gamed in the lane by the resurgent winner and held on for the place willingly. DIMANCHE GRAS stalked the dueling pacesetter to the final bend, was put to an early drive as those two slipped away and continued to rally with a late gain in the final sixteenth. LAS OLAS slow early to be the trailer for the first half mile, closed the gap to midway on the turn and flattened out finishing evenly. BLUE SLIDE PARK tracked the leaders for a half mile and faded from contention on the far turn. HONESTO chased the leaders from the inside on the backstretch, failed to respond when called upon entering the final turn and dropped to the rear.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #7 Titan · close 6.80-1
- TITAN took command shortly from the gate being encouraged slightly early to get the lead, set a pressured pace down the backstretch, dueled with the runner-up on the bend surrendering the lead, came on again in upper stretch to re-gain the upper hand and prevailed in a determined drive in a game effort.
- SPY NOVEL pressed the pace to the far turn, rallied to take the lead on the bend, was out-gamed in the lane by the resurgent winner and held on for the place willingly.
- DIMANCHE GRAS stalked the dueling pacesetter to the final bend, was put to an early drive as those two slipped away and continued to rally with a late gain in the final sixteenth.
- LAS OLAS slow early to be the trailer for the first half mile, closed the gap to midway on the turn and flattened out finishing evenly.
- BLUE SLIDE PARK tracked the leaders for a half mile and faded from contention on the far turn.
- HONESTO chased the leaders from the inside on the backstretch, failed to respond when called upon entering the final turn and dropped to the rear.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Titan | 6.80-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 4 | Spy Novel | 0.70-1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2 | Dimanche Gras | 5.80-1 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | Las Olas | 30.5-1 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Slide Park | 4-1 | 4.75 |
| 6 | 1 | Honesto | 7.70-1 | 11.25 |
| SCR | — | Eton | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- #5 BLUE SLIDE PARK · min 4-1 · win · (class jump from Clm6250 is real; pass if board drifts below 4-1 at close) · PLAY out · play_out · out
- Price model
- WATCH · #5 BLUE SLIDE PARK · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: TITAN took command shortly from the gate being encouraged slightly early to get the lead, set a pressured pace down the backstretch, dueled with the runner-up on the bend surrendering the lead, came on again in upper stretch to re-gain the upper hand and prevailed in a determined drive in a game effort. SPY NOVEL pressed the pace to the far turn, rallied to take the lead on the bend, was out-gamed in the lane by the resurgent winner and held on for the place willingly. DIMANCHE GRAS stalked the dueling pacesetter to the final bend, was put to an early drive as those two slipped away and continued to rally with a late gain in the final sixteenth. LAS OLAS slow early to be the trailer for the first half mile, closed the gap to midway on the turn and flattened out finishing evenly. BLUE SLIDE PARK tracked the leaders for a half mile and faded from contention on the far turn. HONESTO chased the leaders from the inside on the backstretch, failed to respond when called upon entering the final turn and dropped to the rear. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #5 BLUE SLIDE PARK · min 4-1 · win · (class jump from Clm6250 is real; pass if board drifts below 4-1 at close) · SHAPE Lone speed (#4 E, inside post, bias-backed) vs wall of closers; honest pace unlikely, duel risk low, pace-melt scenario the main danger for closers · CHALK #4 SPY NOVEL (ML 1.2) — opposable; OC50000→Clm10000 class cliff, fig declining (85→78), "gave way" last, no ready flags; the bias and lone-speed shape keep it dangerous but not a bet CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet play_out · out · price model WATCH #5 BLUE SLIDE PARK · 2026-09-12 GP R2 overlay_miss · winner #7 TITAN @ 6.8 · overlay #5 BLUE SLIDE PARK edge 0.021 · PLAY out #5 — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3#1 Daddy's Love · 19.7-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 22.39 · 45.97 · 59.00 · Final 1:12.93
Splits (23:58) (13:03) (13:93)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daddy's Love | 5 · 32 · 3Head · 11/2 · 11 · 1/2 |
| 5 | Senta Says | 3 · 1Head · 2Head · 21/2 · 21 · 1/2 |
| 3 | Diamond's Honor | 1 · 2Head · 1Head · 31 · 33 · 1/4 |
| 2 | Cousin Pammie | 6 · 65 · 1/4 · 64 · 3/4 · 610 · 49 |
| 4 | Memory of My Life | 4 · 52 · 3/4 · 52 · 3/4 · 45 · 511 · 1/2 |
| 6 | Hurricane Opus | 2 · 42 · 1/4 · 42 · 1/4 · 57 · 615 |
DADDY'S LOVE bumped at the start, settled in a stalking position along the rail just off the dueling leaders into the turn, angled three wide to engage the pacesetters turning for home and kicked clear down the lane in a perfect trip. SENTA SAYS pressed the pace down the backside, vied for the lead on the bend to take a short lead, failed to match the winner in the drive and ran-on as second best. DIAMOND'S HONOR dueled on the lead for a half mile through rapid fractions and weakened in the lane to finish as best of the rest. COUSIN PAMMIE broke inward bumping the winner, straightened away to be the trailer, angled nine wide at the top of the lane and showed mild interest without impact. MEMORY OF MY LIFE saved ground to no avail going evenly. HURRICANE OPUS stalked the pace to the bend, chased the leaders on the turn and steadily dropped from contention.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #1 Daddy's Love · close 19.7-1
- DADDY'S LOVE bumped at the start, settled in a stalking position along the rail just off the dueling leaders into the turn, angled three wide to engage the pacesetters turning for home and kicked clear down the lane in a perfect trip.
- SENTA SAYS pressed the pace down the backside, vied for the lead on the bend to take a short lead, failed to match the winner in the drive and ran-on as second best.
- DIAMOND'S HONOR dueled on the lead for a half mile through rapid fractions and weakened in the lane to finish as best of the rest.
- COUSIN PAMMIE broke inward bumping the winner, straightened away to be the trailer, angled nine wide at the top of the lane and showed mild interest without impact.
- MEMORY OF MY LIFE saved ground to no avail going evenly.
- HURRICANE OPUS stalked the pace to the bend, chased the leaders on the turn and steadily dropped from contention.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Daddy's Love | 19.7-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 5 | Senta Says | 0.70-1 | 1.75 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond's Honor | 2-1 | 5.75 |
| 4 | 2 | Cousin Pammie | 5.80-1 | 2.5 |
| 5 | 4 | Memory of My Life | 45.9-1 | 3.5 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Opus | 8.90-1 | 15 |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: DADDY'S LOVE bumped at the start, settled in a stalking position along the rail just off the dueling leaders into the turn, angled three wide to engage the pacesetters turning for home and kicked clear down the lane in a perfect trip. SENTA SAYS pressed the pace down the backside, vied for the lead on the bend to take a short lead, failed to match the winner in the drive and ran-on as second best. DIAMOND'S HONOR dueled on the lead for a half mile through rapid fractions and weakened in the lane to finish as best of the rest. COUSIN PAMMIE broke inward bumping the winner, straightened away to be the trailer, angled nine wide at the top of the lane and showed mild interest without impact. MEMORY OF MY LIFE saved ground to no avail going evenly. HURRICANE OPUS stalked the pace to the bend, chased the leaders on the turn and steadily dropped from contention. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone EP/P up front (#3/#5), speed-and-rail bias seals the shape — stalkers and closers lack the figs to close the gap · CHALK #5 SENTA SAYS (ML 1) · solid · rising figs, 2nd-off-layoff, top pace factors, class drop, bias-aligned — rightful favorite, not a betting vehicle CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-12 GP R3 pass_ok · winner #1 DADDYS LOVE @ 19.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4#4 Alinao Forever · 6.50-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.04 · 47.07 · 1:11.37 · 1:37.94 · Final 1:42.52
Splits (23:03) (24:30) (26:57) (4:58)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alinao Forever | 6 · 11 · 11 · 1Head · 11/2 · 11 |
| 8 | Trackster | 7 · 32 · 33 · 1/2 · 33 · 32 · 21 |
| 7 | Magic Heart | 3 · 63 · 1/4 · 66 · 1/2 · 44 · 42 · 31 · 1/2 |
| 6 | Sherman Fury | 2 · 21 · 21 · 2Head · 21/2 · 42 |
| 3 | Bakers Street | 5 · 74 · 3/4 · 76 · 1/2 · 65 · 1/2 · 53 · 53 · 3/4 |
| 5 | Outta Money | 1 · 52 · 1/4 · 56 · 54 · 1/2 · 64 · 65 · 1/4 |
| 2 | Fredericksburg | 4 · 42 · 45 · 1/2 · 76 · 79 · 717 · 1/2 |
| 1 | Cryptonym | 8 · 810 · 3/4 · 811 · 1/2 · 810 · 814 · 829 · 1/2 |
ALINAO FOREVER set the pace under steady pressure to midway on the far turn, repelled the bid of SHERMAN FURY as they turned for home, battled gamely through the lane and held the closers safe in a game effort. TRACKSTER stalked the pace through the far turn in striking distance while under an early drive and put in a grinding bid four wide down the lane to take the place without seriously threatening the winner late. MAGIC HEART reserved off the pace to the far turn, rallied with a steady advance to narrow the gap and rallied between rivals in the lane to be up for the show. SHERMAN FURY pressed the pace to the far turn, rallied to threaten on the bend, bore out turning for home allowing winner to kick away and kept-on through the lane unable to overcome his failure to corner. BAKERS STREET unhurried to race near the rear of the field, saved ground on the final turn, cut the corner coming home and showed some interest without impact. OUTTA MONEY went evenly failing to menace. FREDERICKSBURG tracked the leaders for a half and gave way. CRYPTONYM was outrun.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #4 Alinao Forever · close 6.50-1
- ALINAO FOREVER set the pace under steady pressure to midway on the far turn, repelled the bid of SHERMAN FURY as they turned for home, battled gamely through the lane and held the closers safe in a game effort.
- TRACKSTER stalked the pace through the far turn in striking distance while under an early drive and put in a grinding bid four wide down the lane to take the place without seriously threatening the winner late.
- MAGIC HEART reserved off the pace to the far turn, rallied with a steady advance to narrow the gap and rallied between rivals in the lane to be up for the show.
- SHERMAN FURY pressed the pace to the far turn, rallied to threaten on the bend, bore out turning for home allowing winner to kick away and kept-on through the lane unable to overcome his failure to corner.
- BAKERS STREET unhurried to race near the rear of the field, saved ground on the final turn, cut the corner coming home and showed some interest without impact.
- OUTTA MONEY went evenly failing to menace.
- FREDERICKSBURG tracked the leaders for a half and gave way.
- CRYPTONYM was outrun.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Alinao Forever | 6.50-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 8 | Trackster | 12.0-1 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 7 | Magic Heart | 5.20-1 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 6 | Sherman Fury | 3.90-1 | 1.75 |
| 5 | 3 | Bakers Street | 1.10-1 | 1.5 |
| 6 | 5 | Outta Money | 8.20-1 | 12.25 |
| 7 | 2 | Fredericksburg | 72.3-1 | 12 |
| 8 | 1 | Cryptonym | 19.5-1 | 29.5 |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: ALINAO FOREVER set the pace under steady pressure to midway on the far turn, repelled the bid of SHERMAN FURY as they turned for home, battled gamely through the lane and held the closers safe in a game effort. TRACKSTER stalked the pace through the far turn in striking distance while under an early drive and put in a grinding bid four wide down the lane to take the place without seriously threatening the winner late. MAGIC HEART reserved off the pace to the far turn, rallied with a steady advance to narrow the gap and rallied between rivals in the lane to be up for the show. SHERMAN FURY pressed the pace to the far turn, rallied to threaten on the bend, bore out turning for home allowing winner to kick away and kept-on through the lane unable to overcome his failure to corner. BAKERS STREET unhurried to race near the rear of the field, saved ground on the final turn, cut the corner coming home and showed some interest without impact. OUTTA MONEY went evenly failing to menace. FREDERICKSBURG tracked the leaders for a half and gave way. CRYPTONYM was outrun. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE All-closer field with lone presser #8 from a wide post against a speed/rail bias; pace will be slow or chaotic, setting up a sprint home where post position and trip luck dominate · CHALK #3 BAKERS STREET · short · 1.8 ML, 2nd-off-layoff with trouble flags, best figures in the field, but definitionally chalk — no play CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-12 GP R4 pass_ok · winner #4 ALINAO FOREVER @ 6.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5#1 Mattingly · 4.50-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 20.82 · 43.66 · Final 56.37
Splits (22:84) (12:71)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mattingly | 1 · 83 · 3/4 · 86 · 1/2 · 41 · 3/4 · 1Neck |
| 8 | Thought Control | 6 · 3Head · 21 · 2Head · 2Neck |
| 3 | Esperon | 3 · 1Head · 11 · 1Head · 31 · 3/4 |
| 9 | Rouki | 8 · 51 · 1/4 · 53 · 72 · 1/2 · 42 |
| 7 | Itza Boss | 5 · 41 · 1/4 · 42 · 31 · 1/2 · 52 · 1/2 |
| 4 | Full Disclosure | 7 · 72 · 3/4 · 75 · 1/2 · 83 · 1/2 · 63 · 3/4 |
| 2 | Extendo | 2 · 62 · 1/4 · 65 · 62 · 74 |
| 5 | Sunna | 4 · 2Head · 31 · 51 · 3/4 · 89 |
MATTINGLY settled at the rear of the field while unhurried early, rallied turning for home three wide, split rivals down the lane and surged late to be up in time. THOUGHT CONTROL stalked the pace from four wide through the turn, rallied steadily five wide to collar the leader inside the final furlong and was outkicked in deep stretch to miss in a good effort. ESPERON set the fast pace under steady pressure, shook free turning for home to go clear in upper stretch and weakened in the final sixteenth to be outfinished late in a good effort. ROUKI rated in mid-pack on the outside, angled eight wide at the top of the lane and closed willingly to miss the show. ITZA BOSS tracked the leaders through the turn to be well place turning for home and lacked a closing kick. FULL DISCLOSURE unhurried early to be off the pace near the rear of the field and rallied mildly in the lane past weaker rivals. EXTENDO chased throughout never proving a factor. SUNNA pressed the early fast pace and gave way turning for home.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #1 Mattingly · close 4.50-1
- MATTINGLY settled at the rear of the field while unhurried early, rallied turning for home three wide, split rivals down the lane and surged late to be up in time.
- THOUGHT CONTROL stalked the pace from four wide through the turn, rallied steadily five wide to collar the leader inside the final furlong and was outkicked in deep stretch to miss in a good effort.
- ESPERON set the fast pace under steady pressure, shook free turning for home to go clear in upper stretch and weakened in the final sixteenth to be outfinished late in a good effort.
- ROUKI rated in mid-pack on the outside, angled eight wide at the top of the lane and closed willingly to miss the show.
- ITZA BOSS tracked the leaders through the turn to be well place turning for home and lacked a closing kick.
- FULL DISCLOSURE unhurried early to be off the pace near the rear of the field and rallied mildly in the lane past weaker rivals.
- EXTENDO chased throughout never proving a factor.
- SUNNA pressed the early fast pace and gave way turning for home.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mattingly | 4.50-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 8 | Thought Control | 1.50-1 | 1.5 |
| 3 | 3 | Esperon | 8.90-1 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 9 | Rouki | 17.7-1 | 0.5 |
| 5 | 7 | Itza Boss | 10.0-1 | 1.25 |
| 6 | 4 | Full Disclosure | 14.9-1 | 0.3 |
| 7 | 2 | Extendo | 13.1-1 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | Sunna | 2.90-1 | 9 |
| SCR | — | Rezasrolex | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: MATTINGLY settled at the rear of the field while unhurried early, rallied turning for home three wide, split rivals down the lane and surged late to be up in time. THOUGHT CONTROL stalked the pace from four wide through the turn, rallied steadily five wide to collar the leader inside the final furlong and was outkicked in deep stretch to miss in a good effort. ESPERON set the fast pace under steady pressure, shook free turning for home to go clear in upper stretch and weakened in the final sixteenth to be outfinished late in a good effort. ROUKI rated in mid-pack on the outside, angled eight wide at the top of the lane and closed willingly to miss the show. ITZA BOSS tracked the leaders through the turn to be well place turning for home and lacked a closing kick. FULL DISCLOSURE unhurried early to be off the pace near the rear of the field and rallied mildly in the lane past weaker rivals. EXTENDO chased throughout never proving a factor. SUNNA pressed the early fast pace and gave way turning for home. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Speed duel likely (E/EP wall in posts 5–9); presser/stalker sits best; inside rail bias helps post 1–3 closers in C scenario · CHALK #6 REZASROLEX · solid-but-short · class best (Troy-G2), clean pace signal, finds cover at 2.5 ML; opposable only if the duel melts and a closer inherits CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-12 GP R5 pass_ok · winner #1 MATTINGLY @ 4.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6#2 Final Payment · 1-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 21.91 · 44.64 · 57.34 · Final 1:11.04
Splits (22:73) (12:70) (13:70)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Final Payment | 5 · 42 · 1/2 · 32 · 33 · 11/2 |
| 7 | White Bullet | 1 · 11 · 1Head · 2Head · 32 |
| 1 | Built by Khozan | 2 · 32 · 1/2 · 43 · 44 · 1/2 · 42 · 1/4 |
| 6 | Lethal Speed | 6 · 55 · 53 · 1/4 · 56 · 1/2 · 55 · 3/4 |
| 4 | Redhotnotbothered | 3 · --- · --- · --- · --- |
FINAL PAYMENT stalked the pace to be well positioned off the dueling pacesetters, was put an early drive on the bend and wore the tiring leaders down through the lane to be clearing off late. SMOKE AN A PANCAKE raced with the pace angling in early down the backside across rivals path causing that one to clip heels, continued to press the pace through the turn, took the lead in upper stretch and was outfinished while tiring in the late going. WHITE BULLET broke alertly to be on the lead setting a fast pace, dueled with the runner-up through the turn to mid-stretch and weakened in the final furlong. BUILT BY KHOZAN went evenly failing to menace. LETHAL SPEED trailed as a non-factor. REDHOTNOTBOTHERED clipped the runner-up's heels on the backside when that one angled in early causing him to lose his rider and walked off after the race. THE STEWARDS POSTED AN INQUIRY INTO THE RUN DOWN THE BACKSIDE AND THE INCIDENT INVOLVING REDHOTNOTBOTHERED, UPON REVIEW THEY DISQUALIFIED THE RUNNER-UP AND PLACED HIM FIFTH.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #2 Final Payment · close 1-1
- FINAL PAYMENT stalked the pace to be well positioned off the dueling pacesetters, was put an early drive on the bend and wore the tiring leaders down through the lane to be clearing off late. SMOKE AN A PANCAKE raced with the pace angling in early down the backside across rivals path causing that one to clip heels, continued to press the pace through the turn, took the lead in upper stretch and was outfinished while tiring in the late going.
- WHITE BULLET broke alertly to be on the lead setting a fast pace, dueled with the runner-up through the turn to mid-stretch and weakened in the final furlong.
- BUILT BY KHOZAN went evenly failing to menace.
- LETHAL SPEED trailed as a non-factor.
- REDHOTNOTBOTHERED clipped the runner-up's heels on the backside when that one angled in early causing him to lose his rider and walked off after the race. THE STEWARDS POSTED AN INQUIRY INTO THE RUN DOWN THE BACKSIDE AND THE INCIDENT INVOLVING REDHOTNOTBOTHERED, UPON REVIEW THEY DISQUALIFIED THE RUNNER-UP AND PLACED HIM FIFTH.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Final Payment | 1-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 5 | DQ-Smoke an a Pancake | 5.40-1 | 1.5 |
| 3 | 7 | White Bullet | 4-1 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1 | Built by Khozan | 5.40-1 | 3.5 |
| 5 | 6 | Lethal Speed | 9.20-1 | 5.75 |
| 6 | 4 | Redhotnotbothered | 7.70-1 | — |
| SCR | — | Classic Equation | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS — the only primed horse with a path carries no model overlay and the sheet rec is PASS; no non-chalk price exists at morning line · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: FINAL PAYMENT stalked the pace to be well positioned off the dueling pacesetters, was put an early drive on the bend and wore the tiring leaders down through the lane to be clearing off late. SMOKE AN A PANCAKE raced with the pace angling in early down the backside across rivals path causing that one to clip heels, continued to press the pace through the turn, took the lead in upper stretch and was outfinished while tiring in the late going. WHITE BULLET broke alertly to be on the lead setting a fast pace, dueled with the runner-up through the turn to mid-stretch and weakened in the final furlong. BUILT BY KHOZAN went evenly failing to menace. LETHAL SPEED trailed as a non-factor. REDHOTNOTBOTHERED clipped the runner-up's heels on the backside when that one angled in early causing him to lose his rider and walked off after the race. THE STEWARDS POSTED AN INQUIRY INTO THE RUN DOWN THE BACKSIDE AND THE INCIDENT INVOLVING REDHOTNOTBOTHERED, UPON REVIEW THEY DISQUALIFIED THE RUNNER-UP AND PLACED HIM FIFTH. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS — the only primed horse with a path carries no model overlay and the sheet rec is PASS; no non-chalk price exists at morning line · SHAPE Crowded early with E/EP wall (#1 #2 #4 #5 #7); honest-to-duel pace favors a presser who clears or a stalker — speed bias extends chalk's advantage but makes the pace fragile for any who over-commit · CHALK #2 FINAL PAYMENT · short (ML 2) · 3rd-start-cycle drop from sAlw into claiming, last fig only 81 after route effort, pace duel risk softens the profile — usable but short, not a bet CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-12 GP R6 pass_ok · winner #2 FINAL PAYMENT @ 1 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7#2 Arabian Crown · 6.90-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 22.76 · 46.41 · 1:11.60 · Final 1:24.89
Splits (23:65) (25:19) (13:29)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arabian Crown | 7 · 64 · 41 · 1/2 · 21 · 1Neck |
| 1 | Tailbreezin Joke | 5 · 11 · 11 · 11 · 2Neck |
| 5 | It's On My Honor | 1 · 31 · 31 · 1/2 · 33 · 39 · 1/4 |
| 4 | Eyeway | 2 · 53 · 1/2 · 63 · 3/4 · 47 · 411 · 3/4 |
| 3 | Hard to Say No | 8 · 76 · 73 · 3/4 · 57 · 1/2 · 517 |
| 7 | Vekoma City | 3 · 42 · 1/2 · 51 · 3/4 · 68 · 618 · 3/4 |
| 8 | Earthly Delights | 4 · 21 · 21 · 78 · 721 |
| 6 | Save Our Soul | 6 · 86 · 1/2 · 84 · 3/4 · 811 · 823 |
ARABIAN CROWN reserved off the pace early, rallied four wide on the turn closing the gap and continued a steady bid to wear the pacesetter down in the final strides. TAILBREEZIN JOKE set the pace on a well measured lead squirted away turning for home to widen the advantage and was caught in deep stretch having to settle for second best. IT'S ON MY HONOR tracked the leaders through the turn, cut the corner turning for home and failed to gain on the top pair while finishing with interest to be best of the rest. EYEWAY raced mid-pack into the turn, lost position while racing on the fence in the bend and kept on evenly without impact coming home. HARD TO SAY NO was one paced failing to pose a threat. VEKOMA CITY ranged up to prominence entering the turn from four wide and flattened out fading from contention. EARTHLY DELIGHTS prompted the pace to midway on the turn, came under an early drive, failed to respond and gave way. SAVE OUR SOUL was outrun.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #2 Arabian Crown · close 6.90-1
- ARABIAN CROWN reserved off the pace early, rallied four wide on the turn closing the gap and continued a steady bid to wear the pacesetter down in the final strides.
- TAILBREEZIN JOKE set the pace on a well measured lead squirted away turning for home to widen the advantage and was caught in deep stretch having to settle for second best.
- IT'S ON MY HONOR tracked the leaders through the turn, cut the corner turning for home and failed to gain on the top pair while finishing with interest to be best of the rest.
- EYEWAY raced mid-pack into the turn, lost position while racing on the fence in the bend and kept on evenly without impact coming home.
- HARD TO SAY NO was one paced failing to pose a threat.
- VEKOMA CITY ranged up to prominence entering the turn from four wide and flattened out fading from contention.
- EARTHLY DELIGHTS prompted the pace to midway on the turn, came under an early drive, failed to respond and gave way.
- SAVE OUR SOUL was outrun.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Arabian Crown | 6.90-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 1 | Tailbreezin Joke | 6.30-1 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | It's On My Honor | 16.6-1 | 2.5 |
| 4 | 4 | Eyeway | 5.50-1 | 5.25 |
| 5 | 3 | Hard to Say No | 35.1-1 | 1.75 |
| 6 | 7 | Vekoma City | 3.50-1 | 2.25 |
| 7 | 8 | Earthly Delights | 1.10-1 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | Save Our Soul | 52.4-1 | 23 |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: ARABIAN CROWN reserved off the pace early, rallied four wide on the turn closing the gap and continued a steady bid to wear the pacesetter down in the final strides. TAILBREEZIN JOKE set the pace on a well measured lead squirted away turning for home to widen the advantage and was caught in deep stretch having to settle for second best. IT'S ON MY HONOR tracked the leaders through the turn, cut the corner turning for home and failed to gain on the top pair while finishing with interest to be best of the rest. EYEWAY raced mid-pack into the turn, lost position while racing on the fence in the bend and kept on evenly without impact coming home. HARD TO SAY NO was one paced failing to pose a threat. VEKOMA CITY ranged up to prominence entering the turn from four wide and flattened out fading from contention. EARTHLY DELIGHTS prompted the pace to midway on the turn, came under an early drive, failed to respond and gave way. SAVE OUR SOUL was outrun. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone mapped speed (#4) into a bias that favors early/inside, but five first-outs make pace unknowable; if a debut breaks on the lead the map flips instantly · CHALK #8 EARTHLY DELIGHTS · 8-5 ML · no PPs, outside post in a rail-bias meet, works unremarkable — short and structurally opposed to bias, but model is near fair value; pass, not a fade CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-12 GP R7 pass_ok · winner #2 ARABIAN CROWN @ 6.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8#9 Miss Mary Nell · 4.40-1play floorBETRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.47 · 48.73 · 1:11.92 · 1:37.21 · Final 1:41.67
Splits (24:26) (23:19) (25:29) (4:46)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Miss Mary Nell | 3 · 32 · 32 · 11 · 13 · 13/4 |
| 6 | Fantasy Performer | 2 · 53 · 63 · 1/4 · 52 · 1/4 · 33 · 23/4 |
| 10 | Defiant Lass | 8 · 74 · 1/2 · 74 · 3/4 · 62 · 1/4 · 23 · 31 |
| 2 | Lets Go Koko | 1 · 11 · 11 · 21 · 43 · 1/4 · 43 |
| 1 | City Minute | 4 · 43 · 53 · 42 · 53 · 1/4 · 54 |
| 3 | Hello Hello Hello | 7 · 63 · 1/2 · 43 · 32 · 64 · 1/4 · 65 · 1/2 |
| 5 | Spicy Princess | 6 · 85 · 85 · 1/4 · 84 · 1/2 · 76 · 1/4 · 77 · 3/4 |
| 7 | Ghosts Lil Secret | 9 · 97 · 1/2 · 98 · 1/4 · 96 · 1/2 · 810 · 1/4 · 811 · 3/4 |
| 8 | Crafty Collector | 5 · 21 · 21 · 74 · 1/4 · 911 · 1/4 · 917 · 1/2 |
MISS MARY NELL stalked the leaders for the first half mile from four wide, cruised to the lead on the far turn, kicked away in upper stretch and held well late. FANTASY PERFORMER reserved off the pace to the far turn, closed the gap on the bend and rallied willingly splitting rivals in the lane to be gaining late. DEFIANT LASS unhurried early to race near the rear, rallied six wide on the far turn to loom at the top of the stretcha and ran-on through the lane unable to quite sustain that momentum. LETS GO KOKO set the pace on a well measured lead to the far turn, had no answer when engaged by the winner and kept-on coming home to keep a place on the board. CITY MINUTE raced between rivals down the backside, raced prominently through the turn and lacked a late response. HELLO HELLO HELLO was well placed tracking the leaders on the backstretch, rallied to threaten on the turn and flattened out finishing evenly. SPICY PRINCESS was one-paced never posing a threat. GHOSTS LIL SECRET slow early to trail and was never a factor. CRAFTY COLLECTOR pressed the pace for a half and came up empty.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #9 Miss Mary Nell · close 4.40-1
- MISS MARY NELL stalked the leaders for the first half mile from four wide, cruised to the lead on the far turn, kicked away in upper stretch and held well late.
- FANTASY PERFORMER reserved off the pace to the far turn, closed the gap on the bend and rallied willingly splitting rivals in the lane to be gaining late.
- DEFIANT LASS unhurried early to race near the rear, rallied six wide on the far turn to loom at the top of the stretcha and ran-on through the lane unable to quite sustain that momentum.
- LETS GO KOKO set the pace on a well measured lead to the far turn, had no answer when engaged by the winner and kept-on coming home to keep a place on the board.
- CITY MINUTE raced between rivals down the backside, raced prominently through the turn and lacked a late response.
- HELLO HELLO HELLO was well placed tracking the leaders on the backstretch, rallied to threaten on the turn and flattened out finishing evenly.
- SPICY PRINCESS was one-paced never posing a threat.
- GHOSTS LIL SECRET slow early to trail and was never a factor.
- CRAFTY COLLECTOR pressed the pace for a half and came up empty.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Miss Mary Nell | 4.40-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 6 | Fantasy Performer | 2.20-1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 10 | Defiant Lass | 9.40-1 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | Lets Go Koko | 11.1-1 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | City Minute | 6.70-1 | 1.5 |
| 6 | 3 | Hello Hello Hello | 3.20-1 | 2.25 |
| 7 | 5 | Spicy Princess | 17.2-1 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | Ghosts Lil Secret | 62.1-1 | 5.75 |
| 9 | 8 | Crafty Collector | 9.30-1 | 17.5 |
| SCR | — | Barakah | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- #6 FANTASY PERFORMER · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if shorter at tote) · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor
- Price model
- BET · #6 FANTASY PERFORMER · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: MISS MARY NELL stalked the leaders for the first half mile from four wide, cruised to the lead on the far turn, kicked away in upper stretch and held well late. FANTASY PERFORMER reserved off the pace to the far turn, closed the gap on the bend and rallied willingly splitting rivals in the lane to be gaining late. DEFIANT LASS unhurried early to race near the rear, rallied six wide on the far turn to loom at the top of the stretcha and ran-on through the lane unable to quite sustain that momentum. LETS GO KOKO set the pace on a well measured lead to the far turn, had no answer when engaged by the winner and kept-on coming home to keep a place on the board. CITY MINUTE raced between rivals down the backside, raced prominently through the turn and lacked a late response. HELLO HELLO HELLO was well placed tracking the leaders on the backstretch, rallied to threaten on the turn and flattened out finishing evenly. SPICY PRINCESS was one-paced never posing a threat. GHOSTS LIL SECRET slow early to trail and was never a factor. CRAFTY COLLECTOR pressed the pace for a half and came up empty. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY #6 FANTASY PERFORMER · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if shorter at tote) · SHAPE Honest-to-pressured pace (EP chalk #9 from post 9 + #2 + #8 pressing); inside/early bias favors the front; sets up a stalker/mid-pack winner more than a true closer · CHALK #9 MISS MARY NELL · short/usable · sits second naturally, fig spiked 17 points last (75→92), but that spike came with a low LP (74) and she faded badly on dirt; the fig may be flattered; post 9 is outside the winners' zone per bias CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet floor_miss · floor · price model BET #6 FANTASY PERFORMER · 2026-09-12 GP R8 floor_miss · winner #9 MISS MARY NELL @ 4.4 · overlay #6 FANTASY PERFORMER edge 0.033 · PLAY floor #6 — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R9#2 Kerry's Kiss · 2.20-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 22.12 · 44.71 · 1:10.79 · Final 1:25.33
Splits (22:59) (26:08) (14:54)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kerry's Kiss | 1 · 11/2 · 11 · 1/2 · 13 · 11 · 1/2 |
| 3 | Simply Joking | 5 · 31/2 · 21 · 1/2 · 23 · 21 · 1/2 |
| 4 | Just a Philly | 6 · 65 · 67 · 1/2 · 35 · 32 · 1/2 |
| 1 | Anakarina | 4 · 21/2 · 32 · 58 · 1/2 · 410 · 3/4 |
| 5 | Indy Bay | 2 · 41 · 44 · 47 · 511 |
| 7 | No Bad Beats | 3 · 52 · 57 · 613 · 1/2 · 620 · 3/4 |
KERRY'S KISS set a quick pace on a well measured lead, kicked away in upper stretch when called upon to widen significantly and held the runner-up safe late in the drive in a well handled ride. SIMPLY JOKING stalked the pacesetter into the turn, rallied willingly on the bend, continued on determinedly after winner had slipped away and was gaining steadily late. JUST A PHILLY reserved off the speedy pace to be at the rear of the field, rallied steadily turning for home and was gaining late as best of the rest. ANAKARINA prompted the early pace down the backside, chased the leaders on the bend and weakened coming home. INDY BAY tracked the leaders through the turn and failed to respond when called upon at the quarter pole going evenly. NO BAD BEATS failed to menace proving to be no factor.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #2 Kerry's Kiss · close 2.20-1
- KERRY'S KISS set a quick pace on a well measured lead, kicked away in upper stretch when called upon to widen significantly and held the runner-up safe late in the drive in a well handled ride.
- SIMPLY JOKING stalked the pacesetter into the turn, rallied willingly on the bend, continued on determinedly after winner had slipped away and was gaining steadily late.
- JUST A PHILLY reserved off the speedy pace to be at the rear of the field, rallied steadily turning for home and was gaining late as best of the rest.
- ANAKARINA prompted the early pace down the backside, chased the leaders on the bend and weakened coming home.
- INDY BAY tracked the leaders through the turn and failed to respond when called upon at the quarter pole going evenly.
- NO BAD BEATS failed to menace proving to be no factor.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Kerry's Kiss | 2.20-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 3 | Simply Joking | 1.30-1 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | Just a Philly | 16.3-1 | 8.25 |
| 4 | 1 | Anakarina | 12.3-1 | 0.3 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Bay | 2.20-1 | 9.75 |
| 6 | 7 | No Bad Beats | 21.6-1 | 20.75 |
| SCR | — | Bombacha Veloz (CHI) | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: KERRY'S KISS set a quick pace on a well measured lead, kicked away in upper stretch when called upon to widen significantly and held the runner-up safe late in the drive in a well handled ride. SIMPLY JOKING stalked the pacesetter into the turn, rallied willingly on the bend, continued on determinedly after winner had slipped away and was gaining steadily late. JUST A PHILLY reserved off the speedy pace to be at the rear of the field, rallied steadily turning for home and was gaining late as best of the rest. ANAKARINA prompted the early pace down the backside, chased the leaders on the bend and weakened coming home. INDY BAY tracked the leaders through the turn and failed to respond when called upon at the quarter pole going evenly. NO BAD BEATS failed to menace proving to be no factor. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Speed duel (#1/#2 both E) with EP chalk pressing — honest pace collapses the front; bias favors inside/early but the duel neutralizes it · CHALK #3 SIMPLY JOKING · short · solid horse but stepping into a pace fight she didn't face in the G1; 2nd-off-layoff flag noted; at 1.6 there is no price CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-12 GP R9 pass_ok · winner #2 KERRYS KISS @ 2.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R10#4 Dune Road · 6.90-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.80 · 49.29 · 1:13.21 · 1:37.62 · Final 1:41.79
Splits (24:49) (23:92) (24:41) (4:17)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dune Road | 2 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 2Head · 11 · 1/4 |
| 5 | Rashid | 1 · 21/2 · 21/2 · 21/2 · 1Head · 21 · 1/4 |
| 1 | Seaver | 8 · 84 · 1/4 · 83 · 1/4 · 62 · 1/4 · 53 · 3/4 · 33 · 3/4 |
| 2 | Mythical Man | 5 · 42 · 41 · 1/2 · 32 · 32 · 44 · 3/4 |
| 3 | Kalik | 6 · 73 · 1/4 · 72 · 3/4 · 72 · 1/2 · 43 · 1/2 · 54 · 3/4 |
| 9 | Khopesh | 4 · 31 · 1/2 · 31 · 1/2 · 83 · 1/2 · 75 · 1/4 · 66 · 1/4 |
| 10 | Will of a Warrior | 7 · 63 · 61 · 3/4 · 52 · 1/4 · 64 · 3/4 · 78 · 1/4 |
| 6 | Never Say Never | 3 · 52 · 51 · 3/4 · 42 · 86 · 1/4 · 89 · 1/4 |
DUNE ROAD set the pace under constant pressure, battled with the runner-up in the stretch, briefly surrendered the lead and fougth back determinedly to prevail. RASHID pressed the pace for the entire trip, vied with the winner in the lane taking a short lead midway down the stretch and was outkicked late settling for second best. SEAVER unhurried to be the trailer, commenced a rally midway on the bend and finished well with a belated bid to be along for the show. MYTHICAL MAN tracked the leaders to be prominently placed on the far turn and lacked a closing punch for the stretch. KALIK reserved off the pace through the turn, closed the gap in upper stretch and could not sustain the bid late in the lane. KHOPESH stalked the pace from four wide to the far turn, dropped to the rear on the bend and rallied passed weaker in the stretch. WILL OF A WARRIOR failed to menace. NEVER SAY NEVER raced mid-pack for
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #4 Dune Road · close 6.90-1
- DUNE ROAD set the pace under constant pressure, battled with the runner-up in the stretch, briefly surrendered the lead and fougth back determinedly to prevail.
- RASHID pressed the pace for the entire trip, vied with the winner in the lane taking a short lead midway down the stretch and was outkicked late settling for second best.
- SEAVER unhurried to be the trailer, commenced a rally midway on the bend and finished well with a belated bid to be along for the show.
- MYTHICAL MAN tracked the leaders to be prominently placed on the far turn and lacked a closing punch for the stretch.
- KALIK reserved off the pace through the turn, closed the gap in upper stretch and could not sustain the bid late in the lane.
- KHOPESH stalked the pace from four wide to the far turn, dropped to the rear on the bend and rallied passed weaker in the stretch.
- WILL OF A WARRIOR failed to menace.
- NEVER SAY NEVER raced mid-pack for
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Dune Road | 6.90-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 5 | Rashid | 2.60-1 | 2.5 |
| 3 | 1 | Seaver | 13.1-1 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | Mythical Man | 1.50-1 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 3 | Kalik | 5.80-1 | 1.5 |
| 6 | 9 | Khopesh | 6.30-1 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | Will of a Warrior | 27.5-1 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | Never Say Never | 39.5-1 | 9.25 |
| SCR | — | Mister Abarrio | — | — |
| SCR | — | Sterling Harmony | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: DUNE ROAD set the pace under constant pressure, battled with the runner-up in the stretch, briefly surrendered the lead and fougth back determinedly to prevail. RASHID pressed the pace for the entire trip, vied with the winner in the lane taking a short lead midway down the stretch and was outkicked late settling for second best. SEAVER unhurried to be the trailer, commenced a rally midway on the bend and finished well with a belated bid to be along for the show. MYTHICAL MAN tracked the leaders to be prominently placed on the far turn and lacked a closing punch for the stretch. KALIK reserved off the pace through the turn, closed the gap in upper stretch and could not sustain the bid late in the lane. KHOPESH stalked the pace from four wide to the far turn, dropped to the rear on the bend and rallied passed weaker in the stretch. WILL OF A WARRIOR failed to menace. NEVER SAY NEVER raced mid-pack for SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone EP (#2) gets a soft lead inside with a wall of closers behind; speed/inside bias rewards the front end and punishes the eight post; #8 chalk is a closer from post 8 with no bias credit · CHALK #8 MISTER ABARRIO · opposable · dropping from OC50000n2x but closing style + post 8 runs directly against the speed/inside bias; last two turf efforts show no punch, and the zBias score is zero CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-12 GP R10 pass_ok · winner #4 DUNE ROAD @ 6.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.