LAD · 2026-09-14
Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.
Official chart Equibase · parser 1.2.0 · checksum 46d7dddce585d8e0 · us_mutuel_to_one
R1#2 Bayou Time · 7.20-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.75 · 48.68 · 1:12.76 · 1:25.01 · Final 1:31.12
Splits (23:93) (24:08) (12:25) (6:11)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayou Time | 4 · 55 · 33 · 31 · 1/2 · 1Head |
| 1 | Berndt Marshmallow | 1 · 22 · 21 · 1Head · 2Head |
| 5 | Gary P | 2 · 12 · 11 · 2Head · 3Neck |
| 6 | Alotlikechocolate | 7 · 76 · 3/4 · 76 · 54 · 43 |
| 4 | Recovery Man | 5 · 66 · 1/2 · 65 · 1/2 · 42 · 1/2 · 54 · 1/4 |
| 3 | Guitar Man | 3 · 34 · 44 · 66 · 610 · 1/4 |
| 7 | Sailor Slew | 6 · 45 · 54 · 76 · 1/4 · 711 · 1/2 |
BAYOU TIME off the pace while saving ground, crept a bit closer into the final turn, steered out three wide turning for home when under a drive, late burst to nail the two leaders at the wire. BERNDT MARSHMALLOW closest to the leader in the two path first turn, continued to chase up the backstretch, advanced and engaged that same foe midway on the final bend, long duel to the wire, held a narrow advantage late, missed while between horses at the wire. GARY P broke in, was straightened to show the way into the first turn, rated in the run up the backstretch inside, continued to hold the advantage into the far turn, responded when challenged soon after, dueled into the stretch, headed nearing the furlong grounds, continued on with good determination and proved stubborn to the end to miss. ALOTLIKECHOCOLATE broke in the air, raced back early as a result while three wide through the first turn, continued back, angled in a bit to be in the two path into the lane, improved position to the wire with some mild interest, no real threat to the top trio. RECOVERY MAN brushed the gate at the start, raced back and between horses outside the winner first turn, continued one paced the middle half while dropping to the rail second turn, continued evenly through the straight. GUITAR MAN behind the pace off the inside, continued three wide second turn, had little left for the drive. SAILOR SLEW broke a half beat slow, raced four wide through both turns when back off the pace, tired through the stretch.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #2 Bayou Time · close 7.20-1
- BAYOU TIME off the pace while saving ground, crept a bit closer into the final turn, steered out three wide turning for home when under a drive, late burst to nail the two leaders at the wire.
- BERNDT MARSHMALLOW closest to the leader in the two path first turn, continued to chase up the backstretch, advanced and engaged that same foe midway on the final bend, long duel to the wire, held a narrow advantage late, missed while between horses at the wire.
- GARY P broke in, was straightened to show the way into the first turn, rated in the run up the backstretch inside, continued to hold the advantage into the far turn, responded when challenged soon after, dueled into the stretch, headed nearing the furlong grounds, continued on with good determination and proved stubborn to the end to miss.
- ALOTLIKECHOCOLATE broke in the air, raced back early as a result while three wide through the first turn, continued back, angled in a bit to be in the two path into the lane, improved position to the wire with some mild interest, no real threat to the top trio.
- RECOVERY MAN brushed the gate at the start, raced back and between horses outside the winner first turn, continued one paced the middle half while dropping to the rail second turn, continued evenly through the straight.
- GUITAR MAN behind the pace off the inside, continued three wide second turn, had little left for the drive.
- SAILOR SLEW broke a half beat slow, raced four wide through both turns when back off the pace, tired through the stretch.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Bayou Time | 7.20-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 1 | Berndt Marshmallow | 2.50-1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 5 | Gary P | 1.40-1 | 2.75 |
| 4 | 6 | Alotlikechocolate | 8.70-1 | 1.25 |
| 5 | 4 | Recovery Man | 3.60-1 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | Guitar Man | 18.7-1 | 1.25 |
| 7 | 7 | Sailor Slew | 34.8-1 | 11.5 |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: BAYOU TIME off the pace while saving ground, crept a bit closer into the final turn, steered out three wide turning for home when under a drive, late burst to nail the two leaders at the wire. BERNDT MARSHMALLOW closest to the leader in the two path first turn, continued to chase up the backstretch, advanced and engaged that same foe midway on the final bend, long duel to the wire, held a narrow advantage late, missed while between horses at the wire. GARY P broke in, was straightened to show the way into the first turn, rated in the run up the backstretch inside, continued to hold the advantage into the far turn, responded when challenged soon after, dueled into the stretch, headed nearing the furlong grounds, continued on with good determination and proved stubborn to the end to miss. ALOTLIKECHOCOLATE broke in the air, raced back early as a result while three wide through the first turn, continued back, angled in a bit to be in the two path into the lane, improved position to the wire with some mild interest, no real threat to the top trio. RECOVERY MAN brushed the gate at the start, raced back and between horses outside the winner first turn, continued one paced the middle half while dropping to the rail second turn, continued evenly through the straight. GUITAR MAN behind the pace off the inside, continued three wide second turn, had little left for the drive. SAILOR SLEW broke a half beat slow, raced four wide through both turns when back off the pace, tired through the stretch. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Thin pace — two pressers, five closers, lone-speed duel unlikely; chalk #5 gets a soft stalking trip · CHALK #5 GARY P · solid-to-short · cleanest pace path, best recent turf fig, no overlay needed CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 LAD R1 pass_ok · winner #2 BAYOU TIME @ 7.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2#5 Paired · 0.20-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 23.06 · 46.88 · 1:13.63 · Final 1:20.05
Splits (23:82) (26:75) (6:42)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paired | 6 · 69 · 56 · 1/2 · 32 · 11 · 3/4 |
| 4 | Expect Victory | 4 · 46 · 1/2 · 34 · 11 · 1/2 · 21 · 3/4 |
| 6 | Does Not Compute | 1 · 58 · 66 · 1/2 · 42 · 33 · 1/2 |
| 3 | Triple | 2 · 35 · 45 · 1/2 · 63 · 1/2 · 49 |
| 1 | Hay Lover Boy | 5 · 13 · 12 · 21 · 1/2 · 512 · 1/2 |
| 2 | Midnight Supercell | 3 · 23 · 22 · 53 · 613 |
PAIRED fell back after the start, continued unhurried in the run up the backstretch and into the turn inside, steered out three wide late in the turn, came into the stretch between horses, set down for the drive and closed with good resolve to kick down the leader late. EXPECT VICTORY back off the pace and the inside, moved closer three wide late in the turn, took over from the outside in upper stretch, shook clear past the furlong marker, could not contain the winner. DOES NOT COMPUTE lacked speed outside, raced four wide through the bend, rallied mildly while remaining out in the strip to prove well best of the others. TRIPLE one paced while off the inside, came in the two path when falling back a bit into the lane, picked off a couple of tiring rivals late without making an impact. HAY LOVER BOY broke back, moved up quickly up the chute to show the way onto the main track, well clear before a quarter, set the pace into and through the turn, gave way when headed by the runner up when straightened for home. MIDNIGHT SUPERCELL chased the leader for a half in the two path and began to fade.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #5 Paired · close 0.20-1
- PAIRED fell back after the start, continued unhurried in the run up the backstretch and into the turn inside, steered out three wide late in the turn, came into the stretch between horses, set down for the drive and closed with good resolve to kick down the leader late.
- EXPECT VICTORY back off the pace and the inside, moved closer three wide late in the turn, took over from the outside in upper stretch, shook clear past the furlong marker, could not contain the winner.
- DOES NOT COMPUTE lacked speed outside, raced four wide through the bend, rallied mildly while remaining out in the strip to prove well best of the others.
- TRIPLE one paced while off the inside, came in the two path when falling back a bit into the lane, picked off a couple of tiring rivals late without making an impact.
- HAY LOVER BOY broke back, moved up quickly up the chute to show the way onto the main track, well clear before a quarter, set the pace into and through the turn, gave way when headed by the runner up when straightened for home.
- MIDNIGHT SUPERCELL chased the leader for a half in the two path and began to fade.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Paired | 0.20-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 4 | Expect Victory | 38.8-1 | 1.75 |
| 3 | 6 | Does Not Compute | 6.70-1 | 5.5 |
| 4 | 3 | Triple | 33.0-1 | 3.5 |
| 5 | 1 | Hay Lover Boy | 5-1 | 0.5 |
| 6 | 2 | Midnight Supercell | 12.2-1 | 13 |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: PAIRED fell back after the start, continued unhurried in the run up the backstretch and into the turn inside, steered out three wide late in the turn, came into the stretch between horses, set down for the drive and closed with good resolve to kick down the leader late. EXPECT VICTORY back off the pace and the inside, moved closer three wide late in the turn, took over from the outside in upper stretch, shook clear past the furlong marker, could not contain the winner. DOES NOT COMPUTE lacked speed outside, raced four wide through the bend, rallied mildly while remaining out in the strip to prove well best of the others. TRIPLE one paced while off the inside, came in the two path when falling back a bit into the lane, picked off a couple of tiring rivals late without making an impact. HAY LOVER BOY broke back, moved up quickly up the chute to show the way onto the main track, well clear before a quarter, set the pace into and through the turn, gave way when headed by the runner up when straightened for home. MIDNIGHT SUPERCELL chased the leader for a half in the two path and began to fade. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE One E (#1) vs five off-pace types; lone-speed map with collapse risk if #1 clears — favors a stalker, but no non-chalk stalker has a real number · CHALK #5 PAIRED · fade · dropping from Md10000 with figs 69→55→55→42, zForm -2.09, no ready flags, model slightly short of mkt CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 LAD R2 pass_ok · winner #5 PAIRED @ 0.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3#3 Dude Drop Kid · 3.70-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.71 · 48.12 · 1:12.19 · 1:24.54 · Final 1:36.84
Splits (23:41) (24:07) (12:35) (12:30)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dude Drop Kid | 3 · 31 · 42 · 1/2 · 42 · 21 · 1/2 · 13/4 |
| 1 | Wise Verdict | 1 · 11 · 11/2 · 11 · 1/2 · 11 · 1/2 · 23/4 |
| 6 | Razor Crest | 5 · 51 · 3/4 · 54 · 53 · 1/2 · 54 · 35 · 1/4 |
| 2 | Muffin Nuts | 2 · 21 · 21/2 · 32 · 42 · 1/2 · 45 · 1/2 |
| 4 | Big Tap Baby | 4 · 41 · 1/4 · 31/2 · 21 · 1/2 · 32 · 55 · 1/2 |
DUDE DROP KID fell back from between horses in the first flight early in the first bend, one paced in the run up the backstretch off the inside, dropped to the rail when beginning to advance midway on the second turn, shifted out slightly for the drive, challenged inside the drifting leader with a sixteenth to run and was edging away at the end. WISE VERDICT broke up front, wide past the wire the first time, angled in entering the first turn, showed the way up the backstretch and into the far turn while under pressure, shook clear late in that bend and into the stretch, drifted out past the furlong marker then was unable to withstand the winner the final sixteenth, clearly second best. RAZOR CREST hesitated at the break to be away slowly, raced back and inside, moved out, came four wide for the drive, rallied out in the course to be up for the show. MUFFIN NUTS forwardly placed, pressed the pace while between horses up the backstretch and into the far turn, fell back off the runner up late in that bend, continued to gradually weaken to miss the show. BIG TAP BABY five wide into the first turn when with the first group, angled in a bit to prompt the issue three wide onto the backstretch, continued forwardly before also weakening for the stretch run.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #3 Dude Drop Kid · close 3.70-1
- DUDE DROP KID fell back from between horses in the first flight early in the first bend, one paced in the run up the backstretch off the inside, dropped to the rail when beginning to advance midway on the second turn, shifted out slightly for the drive, challenged inside the drifting leader with a sixteenth to run and was edging away at the end.
- WISE VERDICT broke up front, wide past the wire the first time, angled in entering the first turn, showed the way up the backstretch and into the far turn while under pressure, shook clear late in that bend and into the stretch, drifted out past the furlong marker then was unable to withstand the winner the final sixteenth, clearly second best.
- RAZOR CREST hesitated at the break to be away slowly, raced back and inside, moved out, came four wide for the drive, rallied out in the course to be up for the show.
- MUFFIN NUTS forwardly placed, pressed the pace while between horses up the backstretch and into the far turn, fell back off the runner up late in that bend, continued to gradually weaken to miss the show.
- BIG TAP BABY five wide into the first turn when with the first group, angled in a bit to prompt the issue three wide onto the backstretch, continued forwardly before also weakening for the stretch run.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Dude Drop Kid | 3.70-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 1 | Wise Verdict | 0.30-1 | 4.5 |
| 3 | 6 | Razor Crest | 22.0-1 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2 | Muffin Nuts | 9-1 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 4 | Big Tap Baby | 6.50-1 | 5.5 |
| SCR | — | Oceola | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: DUDE DROP KID fell back from between horses in the first flight early in the first bend, one paced in the run up the backstretch off the inside, dropped to the rail when beginning to advance midway on the second turn, shifted out slightly for the drive, challenged inside the drifting leader with a sixteenth to run and was edging away at the end. WISE VERDICT broke up front, wide past the wire the first time, angled in entering the first turn, showed the way up the backstretch and into the far turn while under pressure, shook clear late in that bend and into the stretch, drifted out past the furlong marker then was unable to withstand the winner the final sixteenth, clearly second best. RAZOR CREST hesitated at the break to be away slowly, raced back and inside, moved out, came four wide for the drive, rallied out in the course to be up for the show. MUFFIN NUTS forwardly placed, pressed the pace while between horses up the backstretch and into the far turn, fell back off the runner up late in that bend, continued to gradually weaken to miss the show. BIG TAP BABY five wide into the first turn when with the first group, angled in a bit to prompt the issue three wide onto the backstretch, continued forwardly before also weakening for the stretch run. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone-speed map — #1 leads unchallenged, closers chase; lone-speed chalk is solid but unplayable at ML 0.8 · CHALK #1 WISE VERDICT · solid · lone presser in a field of closers, best model and pace figures, ML 0.8 is automatic pass CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 LAD R3 pass_ok · winner #3 DUDE DROP KID @ 3.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4#3 Chupapi Munyayo · 1.10-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 23.30 · 46.60 · 1:11.46 · Final 1:18.12
Splits (23:30) (24:86) (6:66)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chupapi Munyayo | 6 · 44 · 21 · 13 · 15 · 1/2 |
| 2 | Dan d'Oro | 5 · 56 · 54 · 55 · 25 · 1/2 |
| 6 | Malibu Rain | 3 · 11/2 · 11 · 43 · 1/2 · 36 · 1/2 |
| 1 | Peso in My Pocket | 1 · 32 · 1/2 · 42 · 1/2 · 23 · 47 |
| 7 | Our Bucky Charm | 4 · 21/2 · 31 · 33 · 511 · 1/2 |
| 4 | Order Up | 2 · --- · --- · --- · --- |
CHUPAPI MUNYAYO off a step slow, raced back early while off the inside, made a steady gain three to four wide through the turn, took over into the stretch, shook clear when straightened for home and steadily increased that advantage while being kept to pressure. DAN D'ORO off a step slow, bothered early by a rival pulling up, continued back into the turn, steered out and came four wide for the drive, rallied for the runner up position while not a threat to the winner. MALIBU RAIN broke forwardly, chased the leader out of the chute, took over from the outside before a quarter, showed the way into and through the turn, headed by the winner while in the two path entering the stretch, fell back, regained the third spot while unable to contain the runner up while between horses at the wire. PESO IN MY POCKET in mid pack along the inside, bothered early by a foe who was pulling up, saved ground turn, cut the corner to improved, closest to the winner a furlong out, weakened in the late going to lose a couple of positions. OUR BUCKY CHARM showed the way out of the chute, relinquished the advantage before a quarter, pressed the new leader through much of the turn while moving out three wide, faded through the stretch. ORDER UP broke with the field, appeared to take a bad step onto the main track, pulled up and left the track via the equine ambulance.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #3 Chupapi Munyayo · close 1.10-1
- CHUPAPI MUNYAYO off a step slow, raced back early while off the inside, made a steady gain three to four wide through the turn, took over into the stretch, shook clear when straightened for home and steadily increased that advantage while being kept to pressure.
- DAN D'ORO off a step slow, bothered early by a rival pulling up, continued back into the turn, steered out and came four wide for the drive, rallied for the runner up position while not a threat to the winner.
- MALIBU RAIN broke forwardly, chased the leader out of the chute, took over from the outside before a quarter, showed the way into and through the turn, headed by the winner while in the two path entering the stretch, fell back, regained the third spot while unable to contain the runner up while between horses at the wire.
- PESO IN MY POCKET in mid pack along the inside, bothered early by a foe who was pulling up, saved ground turn, cut the corner to improved, closest to the winner a furlong out, weakened in the late going to lose a couple of positions.
- OUR BUCKY CHARM showed the way out of the chute, relinquished the advantage before a quarter, pressed the new leader through much of the turn while moving out three wide, faded through the stretch.
- ORDER UP broke with the field, appeared to take a bad step onto the main track, pulled up and left the track via the equine ambulance.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Chupapi Munyayo | 1.10-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 2 | Dan d'Oro | 18.1-1 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | Malibu Rain | 30.3-1 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 1 | Peso in My Pocket | 11.1-1 | 4.5 |
| 5 | 7 | Our Bucky Charm | 0.80-1 | 11.5 |
| 6 | 4 | Order Up | 18.0-1 | — |
| SCR | — | Clements Ride | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: CHUPAPI MUNYAYO off a step slow, raced back early while off the inside, made a steady gain three to four wide through the turn, took over into the stretch, shook clear when straightened for home and steadily increased that advantage while being kept to pressure. DAN D'ORO off a step slow, bothered early by a rival pulling up, continued back into the turn, steered out and came four wide for the drive, rallied for the runner up position while not a threat to the winner. MALIBU RAIN broke forwardly, chased the leader out of the chute, took over from the outside before a quarter, showed the way into and through the turn, headed by the winner while in the two path entering the stretch, fell back, regained the third spot while unable to contain the runner up while between horses at the wire. PESO IN MY POCKET in mid pack along the inside, bothered early by a foe who was pulling up, saved ground turn, cut the corner to improved, closest to the winner a furlong out, weakened in the late going to lose a couple of positions. OUR BUCKY CHARM showed the way out of the chute, relinquished the advantage before a quarter, pressed the new leader through much of the turn while moving out three wide, faded through the stretch. ORDER UP broke with the field, appeared to take a bad step onto the main track, pulled up and left the track via the equine ambulance. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Mild early pace from #2/#6, two Wong co-favorites (EP + C) dominate model and market, no non-chalk horse fires in A or B · CHALK #7 Our Bucky Charm (ML 1) and #3 Chupapi Munyayo (ML 1.5) — both solid on shape and model, both chalk, both pass CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 LAD R4 pass_ok · winner #3 CHUPAPI MUNYAYO @ 1.1 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5#3 Eagle in the Air · 4.60-1play passWATCHRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.99 · 49.19 · 1:12.92 · 1:25.08 · Final 1:31.59
Splits (24:20) (23:73) (12:16) (6:51)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Eagle in the Air | 1 · 11 · 1/2 · 1Head · 13 · 16 · 3/4 |
| 5 | Bernardo | 3 · 32 · 1/2 · 3Head · 23 · 26 · 3/4 |
| 8 | Riddick | 4 · 57 · 66 · 3/4 · 59 · 38 · 1/2 |
| 4 | Hank Ridge | 2 · 21 · 1/2 · 2Head · 36 · 49 |
| 1 | Tito | 5 · 46 · 1/2 · 43 · 1/4 · 47 · 511 |
| 2 | Sweet Present | 6 · 611 · 56 · 1/4 · 611 · 616 · 3/4 |
EAGLE IN THE AIR broke well, showed the way into the first turn toward the inside, rated through a soft set of early fractions, quickened a bit into the far turn when under pressure from the outside, shrugged off a mild bid from the runner up midway on that bend, kicked well clear through the lane under steady handling. BERNARDO prompted the pace while three wide, came under a ride far turn, lodged a mild bid outside the winner midway on that bend, proved no match in the drive, remained clear for the place. RIDDICK lacked any early speed, steadied when in a bit tight far turn, moved out to the two path, roused for the drive, staged a steady rally to be getting to the runner up late, no threat to the winner. HANK RIDGE closest to the winner through the first turn, pressed that one while between horses up the backstretch, faltered while still between the top two in the final turn, continued to weaken through the stretch. TITO broke out, was rank soon after and again in the first turn, went one paced toward the inside in lacking a closing response. SWEET PRESENT bothered at the start to be away slowly, continued back off the pace, never menaced while racing toward the inside.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #3 Eagle in the Air · close 4.60-1
- EAGLE IN THE AIR broke well, showed the way into the first turn toward the inside, rated through a soft set of early fractions, quickened a bit into the far turn when under pressure from the outside, shrugged off a mild bid from the runner up midway on that bend, kicked well clear through the lane under steady handling.
- BERNARDO prompted the pace while three wide, came under a ride far turn, lodged a mild bid outside the winner midway on that bend, proved no match in the drive, remained clear for the place.
- RIDDICK lacked any early speed, steadied when in a bit tight far turn, moved out to the two path, roused for the drive, staged a steady rally to be getting to the runner up late, no threat to the winner.
- HANK RIDGE closest to the winner through the first turn, pressed that one while between horses up the backstretch, faltered while still between the top two in the final turn, continued to weaken through the stretch.
- TITO broke out, was rank soon after and again in the first turn, went one paced toward the inside in lacking a closing response.
- SWEET PRESENT bothered at the start to be away slowly, continued back off the pace, never menaced while racing toward the inside.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Eagle in the Air | 4.60-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 5 | Bernardo | 0.20-1 | 1.75 |
| 3 | 8 | Riddick | 5-1 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 4 | Hank Ridge | 55.1-1 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | Tito | 31.6-1 | 5.75 |
| 6 | 2 | Sweet Present | 73.2-1 | 16.75 |
| SCR | — | Caribbean Son | — | — |
| SCR | — | Keokuk Kid | — | — |
| SCR | — | Two Weeks Notice | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS — #3's edge (0.024) is the sheet's only non-chalk overlay but carries zero ready flags, a stop in its only 1650y turf try (EVD, e1 97, tired/stopped), and the minimum odds case does not clear enough to bet a horse with a distance question and no primed signal; #6 is primed but underwater on model · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- WATCH · #3 EAGLE IN THE AIR · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: EAGLE IN THE AIR broke well, showed the way into the first turn toward the inside, rated through a soft set of early fractions, quickened a bit into the far turn when under pressure from the outside, shrugged off a mild bid from the runner up midway on that bend, kicked well clear through the lane under steady handling. BERNARDO prompted the pace while three wide, came under a ride far turn, lodged a mild bid outside the winner midway on that bend, proved no match in the drive, remained clear for the place. RIDDICK lacked any early speed, steadied when in a bit tight far turn, moved out to the two path, roused for the drive, staged a steady rally to be getting to the runner up late, no threat to the winner. HANK RIDGE closest to the winner through the first turn, pressed that one while between horses up the backstretch, faltered while still between the top two in the final turn, continued to weaken through the stretch. TITO broke out, was rank soon after and again in the first turn, went one paced toward the inside in lacking a closing response. SWEET PRESENT bothered at the start to be away slowly, continued back off the pace, never menaced while racing toward the inside. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS — #3's edge (0.024) is the sheet's only non-chalk overlay but carries zero ready flags, a stop in its only 1650y turf try (EVD, e1 97, tired/stopped), and the minimum odds case does not clear enough to bet a horse with a distance question and no primed signal; #6 is primed but underwater on model · SHAPE Lone speed chalk on a clean turf sprint; closers have no pace to chase and no proven kick in this class · CHALK #5 BERNARDO · solid but short · lone speed, rising figs, 3rd-cycle, figure spike — rightful favorite, automatic pass CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #3 EAGLE IN THE AIR · 2026-09-14 LAD R5 overlay_hit · winner #3 EAGLE IN THE AIR @ 4.6 · overlay #3 EAGLE IN THE AIR edge 0.024 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6#3 Mo'z Star Sailor · 1-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 23.25 · 46.56 · 1:11.53 · Final 1:25.25
Splits (23:31) (24:97) (13:72)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mo'z Star Sailor | 3 · 32 · 1/2 · 2Head · 12 · 18 · 3/4 |
| 4 | Gallabye | 4 · 57 · 43 · 1/4 · 43 · 1/2 · 28 · 3/4 |
| 5 | J T Twenty Two | 2 · 21/2 · 3Head · 32 · 38 · 3/4 |
| 6 | Mr Payroll | 1 · 11/2 · 1Head · 22 · 412 |
| 2 | Coleccion de Gatos | 5 · 44 · 57 · 1/4 · 58 · 1/2 · 518 · 1/2 |
MO'Z STAR SAILOR allowed the pace to go early, continued to clock that pair up the backstretch and into the turn, advanced in the three path, collared the leaders from the outside turning for home, quickly got clear and extended that advantage to the wire to win ridden out. GALLABYE off a step slow, raced back, three to four wide late in the turn, rallied out in the strip to be in time for the place, no threat to the winner. J T TWENTY TWO pressed the leader out of the chute, continued to battle that one through the turn, won that battle inside the furlong while proving no threat to the winner nor could he contain the runner up. MR PAYROLL broke alertly, showed the way out of the chute, set a pressured pace backstretch in the two path, dueled turn, weakened through the lane. COLECCION DE GATOS off a step slow, remained back in lacking a rally.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #3 Mo'z Star Sailor · close 1-1
- MO'Z STAR SAILOR allowed the pace to go early, continued to clock that pair up the backstretch and into the turn, advanced in the three path, collared the leaders from the outside turning for home, quickly got clear and extended that advantage to the wire to win ridden out.
- GALLABYE off a step slow, raced back, three to four wide late in the turn, rallied out in the strip to be in time for the place, no threat to the winner.
- J T TWENTY TWO pressed the leader out of the chute, continued to battle that one through the turn, won that battle inside the furlong while proving no threat to the winner nor could he contain the runner up.
- MR PAYROLL broke alertly, showed the way out of the chute, set a pressured pace backstretch in the two path, dueled turn, weakened through the lane.
- COLECCION DE GATOS off a step slow, remained back in lacking a rally.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Mo'z Star Sailor | 1-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 4 | Gallabye | 5.80-1 | 0.05 |
| 3 | 5 | J T Twenty Two | 2.20-1 | 3.25 |
| 4 | 6 | Mr Payroll | 4.80-1 | 6.5 |
| 5 | 2 | Coleccion de Gatos | 11.8-1 | 18.5 |
| SCR | — | Driftin Daddy | — | — |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: MO'Z STAR SAILOR allowed the pace to go early, continued to clock that pair up the backstretch and into the turn, advanced in the three path, collared the leaders from the outside turning for home, quickly got clear and extended that advantage to the wire to win ridden out. GALLABYE off a step slow, raced back, three to four wide late in the turn, rallied out in the strip to be in time for the place, no threat to the winner. J T TWENTY TWO pressed the leader out of the chute, continued to battle that one through the turn, won that battle inside the furlong while proving no threat to the winner nor could he contain the runner up. MR PAYROLL broke alertly, showed the way out of the chute, set a pressured pace backstretch in the two path, dueled turn, weakened through the lane. COLECCION DE GATOS off a step slow, remained back in lacking a rally. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Dual EP pace (#5, #6) sets up for closers; chalk is the best closer but unplayable at 7-5 · CHALK #3 Moz Star Sailor · solid but short · rising figs, class fits, best closer in the field — no price CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 LAD R6 pass_ok · winner #3 MOZ STAR SAILOR @ 1 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7#7 Increase · 2.40-1play passPASSRace →
1. How it ran
Equibase, not Closebeat.
Fractions 24.75 · 49.33 · 1:13.53 · 1:25.42 · Final 1:31.67
Splits (24:58) (24:20) (11:89) (6:25)
| Pgm | Horse | Calls |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Increase | 2 · 42 · 21 · 1/2 · 22 · 11/2 |
| 5 | Aloha Tracy | 7 · 21/2 · 11 · 1/2 · 12 · 21/2 |
| 2 | Tensas Union Girl | 4 · 32 · 42 · 1/2 · 34 · 1/2 · 35 · 1/4 |
| 6 | Tres Jolie | 8 · 77 · 1/2 · 74 · 1/2 · 67 · 1/2 · 48 · 3/4 |
| 3 | Grey Strat | 5 · 55 · 53 · 57 · 1/2 · 59 · 3/4 |
| 9 | I'm a Pound | 3 · 66 · 63 · 45 · 1/2 · 610 · 1/2 |
| 1 | Lady Calypso | 9 · 913 · 1/2 · 910 · 1/2 · 810 · 712 · 1/2 |
| 4 | American Candy | 1 · 11/2 · 32 · 78 · 812 · 3/4 |
| 8 | Queen's Guitar | 6 · 88 · 1/2 · 87 · 1/2 · 912 · 917 · 1/2 |
INCREASE forwardly placed with the first flight while three wide into the first turn, settled behind the two leaders midway on that bend, remained in the second flight up the backstretch in the three path, asked along second turn, stalled and lost contact with the runner up when straightened for home, shaken up, late surge to get to that foe in the final strides. ALOHA TRACY broke out to bump TRES JOLIE, was straightened and pressured the leader from the outside, took over from that one second turn, well clear when straightened for home, shortened stride a bit late to be caught at the wire, remained well clear of the others. TENSAS UNION GIRL in the second ground behind the leaders and inside the winner, attempted to go with that while in the two path second turn, could not keep up with that same foe or the winner stretch, clearly best of the others. TRES JOLIE bumped to be off slowly, lacked speed while just off the inside first turn, continued in the two path into and through the second bend, improved position without proving a serious threat. GREY STRAT went one paced off the inside throughout in lacking a closing response. I'M A POUND off the pace and the inside, raced three wide through the first turn, continued outside, moved closer four wide with a mild middle move in the second bend then flattened out through the stretch. LADY CALYPSO hesitated to be off a couple of lengths slow, raced well back inside, steered three wide turning for home, picked off a couple of tiring rivals after the issue had been decided. AMERICAN CANDY broke on top, set the pace inside, gave way when headed. QUEEN'S GUITAR remained always back and was never a factor.
2. How it was won / lost
Facts from the chart. No second story.
Winner #7 Increase · close 2.40-1
- INCREASE forwardly placed with the first flight while three wide into the first turn, settled behind the two leaders midway on that bend, remained in the second flight up the backstretch in the three path, asked along second turn, stalled and lost contact with the runner up when straightened for home, shaken up, late surge to get to that foe in the final strides.
- ALOHA TRACY broke out to bump TRES JOLIE, was straightened and pressured the leader from the outside, took over from that one second turn, well clear when straightened for home, shortened stride a bit late to be caught at the wire, remained well clear of the others.
- TENSAS UNION GIRL in the second ground behind the leaders and inside the winner, attempted to go with that while in the two path second turn, could not keep up with that same foe or the winner stretch, clearly best of the others.
- TRES JOLIE bumped to be off slowly, lacked speed while just off the inside first turn, continued in the two path into and through the second bend, improved position without proving a serious threat.
- GREY STRAT went one paced off the inside throughout in lacking a closing response.
- I'M A POUND off the pace and the inside, raced three wide through the first turn, continued outside, moved closer four wide with a mild middle move in the second bend then flattened out through the stretch.
- LADY CALYPSO hesitated to be off a couple of lengths slow, raced well back inside, steered three wide turning for home, picked off a couple of tiring rivals after the issue had been decided.
- AMERICAN CANDY broke on top, set the pace inside, gave way when headed.
- QUEEN'S GUITAR remained always back and was never a factor.
| Fin | Pgm | Horse | Close | BL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Increase | 2.40-1 | 0 |
| 2 | 5 | Aloha Tracy | 4.30-1 | 4.75 |
| 3 | 2 | Tensas Union Girl | 3.10-1 | 3.5 |
| 4 | 6 | Tres Jolie | 17.6-1 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | Grey Strat | 9.30-1 | 9.75 |
| 6 | 9 | I'm a Pound | 26.4-1 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | Lady Calypso | 28.9-1 | 0.3 |
| 8 | 4 | American Candy | 4.20-1 | 4.75 |
| 9 | 8 | Queen's Guitar | 11.1-1 | 17.5 |
3. How this system treated it
Card review. Isolated. No authority.
- Sheet
- PASS · Pass held · pass
- Price model
- PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
- Book
- none
4. What we keep
- Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
- How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
- This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.
5. Chart note
Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.
CHART — Equibase footnotes: INCREASE forwardly placed with the first flight while three wide into the first turn, settled behind the two leaders midway on that bend, remained in the second flight up the backstretch in the three path, asked along second turn, stalled and lost contact with the runner up when straightened for home, shaken up, late surge to get to that foe in the final strides. ALOHA TRACY broke out to bump TRES JOLIE, was straightened and pressured the leader from the outside, took over from that one second turn, well clear when straightened for home, shortened stride a bit late to be caught at the wire, remained well clear of the others. TENSAS UNION GIRL in the second ground behind the leaders and inside the winner, attempted to go with that while in the two path second turn, could not keep up with that same foe or the winner stretch, clearly best of the others. TRES JOLIE bumped to be off slowly, lacked speed while just off the inside first turn, continued in the two path into and through the second bend, improved position without proving a serious threat. GREY STRAT went one paced off the inside throughout in lacking a closing response. I'M A POUND off the pace and the inside, raced three wide through the first turn, continued outside, moved closer four wide with a mild middle move in the second bend then flattened out through the stretch. LADY CALYPSO hesitated to be off a couple of lengths slow, raced well back inside, steered three wide turning for home, picked off a couple of tiring rivals after the issue had been decided. AMERICAN CANDY broke on top, set the pace inside, gave way when headed. QUEEN'S GUITAR remained always back and was never a factor. SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK: PLAY PASS · SHAPE Pace unknown — majority first-timers, two mild dirt closers, no lone speed identified; extreme volatility · CHALK #2 TENSAS UNION GIRL · fade · one dull dirt fig (42), all factor scores deeply negative, no ready flags, turf debut CARD REVIEW — then-active notice: sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-14 LAD R7 pass_ok · winner #7 INCREASE @ 2.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.