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DEL · 2026-09-17

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

Official chart Equibase · parser 1.2.0 · checksum b2efb82026250d94 · us_mutuel_to_one

R1#7 Law School · 3.60-1play floorBETRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.41 · 45.93 · 58.87 · Final 1:11.71

Splits (23:52) (12:94) (12:84)

PgmHorseCalls
7Law School1 · 52 · 1/2 · 3Head · 1Head · 12 · 1/4
8Half a Deck2 · 21/2 · 1Head · 2Head · 22 · 1/4
3Ridgie5 · 42 · 52 · 3/4 · 55 · 1/4 · 37
5Curlene's Spirit7 · 85 · 64 · 1/4 · 65 · 3/4 · 49
2Endless Glow6 · 31 · 1/2 · 42 · 1/4 · 45 · 510
6Capricorn Belle3 · 11/2 · 2Head · 33 · 610
4Don't Fool With Me4 · 74 · 1/2 · 75 · 3/4 · 78 · 3/4 · 712 · 3/4
1Java Tales8 · 64 · 87 · 1/4 · 810 · 3/4 · 819 · 1/4

LAW SCHOOL broke out, raced close to the pace, rallied on the turn to challenge for the lead, dueled to late stretch and drew clear under steady urging to prove best. HALF A DECK was pushed out at the start, pressed the pace, challenged on the turn, dueled for the lead, was no match late and finished second best. RIDGIE stalked between horses, angled out on the turn, went widest in the drive and offered a mild bid to earn show. CURLENE'S SPIRIT broke slowly and was crowded at the start, raced towards the back and improved position in an even effort. ENDLESS GLOW raced close to the pace along the inside, shifted out at the top of the lane, bid and came up empty. CAPRICORN BELLE set a pressured pace to the turn, dropped back and gave way. DON'T FOOL WITH ME was not a factor. JAVA TALES broke in the air to be off slowly, showed brief speed inside and was outrun.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #7 Law School · close 3.60-1

  • LAW SCHOOL broke out, raced close to the pace, rallied on the turn to challenge for the lead, dueled to late stretch and drew clear under steady urging to prove best.
  • HALF A DECK was pushed out at the start, pressed the pace, challenged on the turn, dueled for the lead, was no match late and finished second best.
  • RIDGIE stalked between horses, angled out on the turn, went widest in the drive and offered a mild bid to earn show.
  • CURLENE'S SPIRIT broke slowly and was crowded at the start, raced towards the back and improved position in an even effort.
  • ENDLESS GLOW raced close to the pace along the inside, shifted out at the top of the lane, bid and came up empty.
  • CAPRICORN BELLE set a pressured pace to the turn, dropped back and gave way.
  • DON'T FOOL WITH ME was not a factor.
  • JAVA TALES broke in the air to be off slowly, showed brief speed inside and was outrun.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
17Law School3.60-10
28Half a Deck4.30-14.75
33Ridgie21.0-12
45Curlene's Spirit10.5-11
52Endless Glow4.90-10.2
66Capricorn Belle10.3-12.75
74Don't Fool With Me22.7-16.5
81Java Tales1.60-119.25

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
#1 JAVA TALES · win · minimum 3-1 (ML is 3; pass if board opens shorter) · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor
Price model
BET · #1 JAVA TALES · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
LAW SCHOOL broke out, raced close to the pace, rallied on the turn to challenge for the lead, dueled to late stretch and drew clear under steady urging to prove best. HALF A DECK was pushed out at the start, pressed the pace, challenged on the turn, dueled for the lead, was no match late and finished second best. RIDGIE stalked between horses, angled out on the turn, went widest in the drive and offered a mild bid to earn show. CURLENE'S SPIRIT broke slowly and was crowded at the start, raced towards the back and improved position in an even effort. ENDLESS GLOW raced close to the pace along the inside, shifted out at the top of the lane, bid and came up empty. CAPRICORN BELLE set a pressured pace to the turn, dropped back and gave way. DON'T FOOL WITH ME was not a factor. JAVA TALES broke in the air to be off slowly, showed brief speed inside and was outrun.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #1 JAVA TALES · win · minimum 3-1 (ML is 3; pass if board opens shorter) · SHAPE Three-way speed duel (#6 #1 #8) sets honest fractions; stalker #7 and presser #2 are the pace beneficiaries · CHALK #2 ENDLESS GLOW · short · massive class jump from $10k, negative model edge, figs don't support the tag

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model BET #1 JAVA TALES · 2026-09-17 DEL R1 floor_miss · winner #7 LAW SCHOOL @ 3.6 · overlay #1 JAVA TALES edge 0.050 · PLAY floor #1 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2#6 Collection Day · 1.40-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.16 · 47.06 · 1:13.17 · 1:40.88 · Final 1:44.97

Splits (23:90) (26:11) (27:71) (4:09)

PgmHorseCalls
6Collection Day6 · 611 · 610 · 1/2 · 57 · 1/2 · 31/2 · 1Head
1Gangly2 · 57 · 57 · 1/2 · 46 · 2Head · 2Head
4Run Happy Pappy3 · 22 · 21 · 1/2 · 22 · 1Head · 32
3Whiting Field4 · 46 · 45 · 35 · 51 · 1/2 · 42 · 1/2
2Hope's Alive1 · 12 · 11 · 1/2 · 12 · 41 · 56
5Lake Chapala5 · 32 · 32 · 67 · 1/2 · 65 · 1/2 · 612 · 1/4

COLLECTION DAY was unhurried early, raced far back, advanced to the turn, bid along the rail, got up past the eighth pole, was under pressure late and held while fully extended. GANGLY was unhurried early, advanced to the turn, angled out for the drive, bid willingly and couldn't get by the winner in a game effort. RUN HAPPY PAPPY broke in and bumped at the start, chased the pace, bid willingly to contend, hung late and settled for show. WHITING FIELD bumped and was squeezed at the start, raced mid pack towards the outside, was in range and lacked the needed late response. HOPE'S ALIVE broke out and bumped at the start, set the pace with a clear lead and gave way past the eighth pole. LAKE CHAPALA chased the pace to the second turn and stopped.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #6 Collection Day · close 1.40-1

  • COLLECTION DAY was unhurried early, raced far back, advanced to the turn, bid along the rail, got up past the eighth pole, was under pressure late and held while fully extended.
  • GANGLY was unhurried early, advanced to the turn, angled out for the drive, bid willingly and couldn't get by the winner in a game effort.
  • RUN HAPPY PAPPY broke in and bumped at the start, chased the pace, bid willingly to contend, hung late and settled for show.
  • WHITING FIELD bumped and was squeezed at the start, raced mid pack towards the outside, was in range and lacked the needed late response.
  • HOPE'S ALIVE broke out and bumped at the start, set the pace with a clear lead and gave way past the eighth pole.
  • LAKE CHAPALA chased the pace to the second turn and stopped.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
16Collection Day1.40-10
21Gangly4.50-12
34Run Happy Pappy6.40-10.5
43Whiting Field17.3-13.5
52Hope's Alive1.50-16.25
65Lake Chapala22.2-112.25

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
COLLECTION DAY was unhurried early, raced far back, advanced to the turn, bid along the rail, got up past the eighth pole, was under pressure late and held while fully extended. GANGLY was unhurried early, advanced to the turn, angled out for the drive, bid willingly and couldn't get by the winner in a game effort. RUN HAPPY PAPPY broke in and bumped at the start, chased the pace, bid willingly to contend, hung late and settled for show. WHITING FIELD bumped and was squeezed at the start, raced mid pack towards the outside, was in range and lacked the needed late response. HOPE'S ALIVE broke out and bumped at the start, set the pace with a clear lead and gave way past the eighth pole. LAKE CHAPALA chased the pace to the second turn and stopped.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early/pressers (#2 #1 #4 #3) · extreme pace pressure · stalker #5 is the shape beneficiary but figs are thin · CHALK #2 HOPES ALIVE 1.4 · solid class-returner with best speed figs and a 3rd-cycle flag, but 1.4 is unplayable · #6 COLLECTION DAY 1.5 also chalk · no price in this field

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-17 DEL R2 pass_ok · winner #6 COLLECTION DAY @ 1.4 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3#4 Derry Moon · 7.90-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.26 · 47.27 · Final 1:00.59

Splits (25:01) (13:32)

PgmHorseCalls
4Derry Moon5 · 85 · 1/2 · 97 · 3/4 · 96 · 1Nose
9Golden Faith2 · 11/2 · 11 · 11 · 1/2 · 2Nose
3Princeofpinehurst8 · 73 · 32 · 31 · 1/2 · 3Neck
8Morocco Topo3 · 21/2 · 21 · 21 · 1/2 · 41 · 1/4
1Let Em Go1 · 31 · 1/2 · 52 · 1/2 · 43 · 1/2 · 52 · 1/2
6I've Got a Notion4 · 42 · 42 · 53 · 3/4 · 62 · 1/2
2Aunt Judy9 · 96 · 1/2 · 85 · 3/4 · 86 · 73 · 1/2
10Tizoc6 · 52 · 1/2 · 62 · 3/4 · 63 · 3/4 · 73 · 1/2
11Ocala Gold7 · 63 · 73 · 3/4 · 75 · 3/4 · 98 · 1/4

DERRY MOON was slow early, swung wide entering the stretch, closed with a rush and got up at the wire. GOLDEN FAITH set a pressured pace, drew clear on the turn and was caught at the wire to just miss. PRINCEOFPINEHURST was off a step slowly, was hustled along, rallied between horses on the turn, bid off the rail, dueled late and was outfinished in a game effort. MOROCCO TOPO vied to the turn, dropped back, continued willingly to stay in range and lacked the needed late response. LET EM GO raced close to the pace in a rail trip, put in a steady bid and didn't have enough late. I'VE GOT A NOTION raced close throughout and lacked the needed late response. AUNT JUDY hit the gate and was off a step slowly and failed to menace in an even effort. TIZOC lost his footing at the start, bumped into the turn and raced evenly. OCALA GOLD bumped into the turn in an outside trip and lacked a bid.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #4 Derry Moon · close 7.90-1

  • DERRY MOON was slow early, swung wide entering the stretch, closed with a rush and got up at the wire.
  • GOLDEN FAITH set a pressured pace, drew clear on the turn and was caught at the wire to just miss.
  • PRINCEOFPINEHURST was off a step slowly, was hustled along, rallied between horses on the turn, bid off the rail, dueled late and was outfinished in a game effort.
  • MOROCCO TOPO vied to the turn, dropped back, continued willingly to stay in range and lacked the needed late response.
  • LET EM GO raced close to the pace in a rail trip, put in a steady bid and didn't have enough late.
  • I'VE GOT A NOTION raced close throughout and lacked the needed late response.
  • AUNT JUDY hit the gate and was off a step slowly and failed to menace in an even effort.
  • TIZOC lost his footing at the start, bumped into the turn and raced evenly.
  • OCALA GOLD bumped into the turn in an outside trip and lacked a bid.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
14Derry Moon7.90-10
29Golden Faith7.30-10.3
33Princeofpinehurst8.20-11
48Morocco Topo45.9-11.25
51Let Em Go11.1-10.05
66I've Got a Notion6.20-11
72Aunt Judy6-14.75
810Tizoc1.30-1—
911Ocala Gold15.8-18.25
SCR—Setting Catholic——
SCR—Williston Wizard——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
DERRY MOON was slow early, swung wide entering the stretch, closed with a rush and got up at the wire. GOLDEN FAITH set a pressured pace, drew clear on the turn and was caught at the wire to just miss. PRINCEOFPINEHURST was off a step slowly, was hustled along, rallied between horses on the turn, bid off the rail, dueled late and was outfinished in a game effort. MOROCCO TOPO vied to the turn, dropped back, continued willingly to stay in range and lacked the needed late response. LET EM GO raced close to the pace in a rail trip, put in a steady bid and didn't have enough late. I'VE GOT A NOTION raced close throughout and lacked the needed late response. AUNT JUDY hit the gate and was off a step slowly and failed to menace in an even effort. TIZOC lost his footing at the start, bumped into the turn and raced evenly. OCALA GOLD bumped into the turn in an outside trip and lacked a bid.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed (#9 GOLDEN FAITH E, zPace 1.59); pressure low; turf sprint rewards clean lead or a stalker with late energy — nine unknowns complicate the map · CHALK #9 GOLDEN FAITH · usable but short — lone speed on turf with solid early fractions, class-up from dirt claiming but meets a maiden field; shape suits it, no bounce flag, but 3.5 is a pass on price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-17 DEL R3 pass_ok · winner #4 DERRY MOON @ 7.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4#3 Kerness K · 0.90-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.17 · 45.14 · 58.06 · Final 1:10.61

Splits (22:97) (12:92) (12:55)

PgmHorseCalls
3Kerness K6 · 711 · 1/2 · 611 · 44 · 13 · 1/4
9Canuto3 · 21/2 · 21/2 · 22 · 23 · 1/4
4Paynted Warrior2 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 12 · 33 · 1/4
5Twelve Treasures7 · 69 · 1/2 · 48 · 1/2 · 34 · 44 · 1/4
6Guapo Again (ARG)1 · 31 · 1/2 · 32 · 1/2 · 54 · 1/2 · 57 · 3/4
7Backside Buzz5 · 46 · 1/2 · 59 · 66 · 1/2 · 68 · 1/2
2Charlie Mac Mac4 · 56 · 1/2 · 711 · 79 · 1/2 · 711 · 3/4

KERNESS K was void of early speed, rallied on the turn, swung wide into the stretch, closed with a rush, got up late and won going away. CANUTO pressed the pace, dropped back on the turn, continued willingly and regained place near the wire. PAYNTED WARRIOR set a pressured pace, drew off leaving the turn for a clear lead, faltered late and was caught near the wire for second. TWELVE TREASURES broke slowly, advanced on the turn to get in range and lacked the needed late rally. GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) stalked the pace, angled out for the drive, weakened and faded through the stretch. BACKSIDE BUZZ raced mid pack, lacked a bid and failed to threaten. CHARLIE MAC MAC saved ground in an even effort and was outrun.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Kerness K · close 0.90-1

  • KERNESS K was void of early speed, rallied on the turn, swung wide into the stretch, closed with a rush, got up late and won going away.
  • CANUTO pressed the pace, dropped back on the turn, continued willingly and regained place near the wire.
  • PAYNTED WARRIOR set a pressured pace, drew off leaving the turn for a clear lead, faltered late and was caught near the wire for second.
  • TWELVE TREASURES broke slowly, advanced on the turn to get in range and lacked the needed late rally.
  • GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) stalked the pace, angled out for the drive, weakened and faded through the stretch.
  • BACKSIDE BUZZ raced mid pack, lacked a bid and failed to threaten.
  • CHARLIE MAC MAC saved ground in an even effort and was outrun.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
13Kerness K0.90-10
29Canuto5.90-10.05
34Paynted Warrior5.80-11
45Twelve Treasures4.80-13.5
56Guapo Again (ARG)13.3-125.75
67Backside Buzz6.40-13.25
72Charlie Mac Mac68.8-111.75
SCR—Bouncer——
SCR—Woodline——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
KERNESS K was void of early speed, rallied on the turn, swung wide into the stretch, closed with a rush, got up late and won going away. CANUTO pressed the pace, dropped back on the turn, continued willingly and regained place near the wire. PAYNTED WARRIOR set a pressured pace, drew off leaving the turn for a clear lead, faltered late and was caught near the wire for second. TWELVE TREASURES broke slowly, advanced on the turn to get in range and lacked the needed late rally. GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) stalked the pace, angled out for the drive, weakened and faded through the stretch. BACKSIDE BUZZ raced mid pack, lacked a bid and failed to threaten. CHARLIE MAC MAC saved ground in an even effort and was outrun.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#4 #1 #6 #9) guarantees honest-to-honest pace; stalkers/pressers inherit in A and B · CHALK #3 KERNESS K · solid · proven closer, figs up to 95, pace map works in its favor, but ML 1 is unplayable

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-17 DEL R4 pass_ok · winner #3 KERNESS K @ 0.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5#5 America's Point · 2.40-1play passWATCHRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.51 · 48.98 · 1:15.48 · 1:42.68 · Final 1:49.60

Splits (25:47) (26:50) (27:20) (6:92)

PgmHorseCalls
5America's Point3 · 24 · 22 · 2Head · 15 · 18
9Tyrus1 · 46 · 1/2 · 55 · 44 · 48 · 1/2 · 28
4Farooq2 · 14 · 12 · 1Head · 25 · 38 · 1/2
15Colonial Knight4 · 35 · 33 · 1/2 · 32 · 37 · 1/2 · 413 · 1/2
3Christ Is King5 · 57 · 44 · 66 · 613 · 515 · 1/4
11Boulder Buffs6 · 69 · 1/2 · 75 · 1/4 · 55 · 1/2 · 512 · 615 · 1/4
13Power by Eight8 · 813 · 810 · 1/4 · 815 · 723 · 736 · 1/4
12Christmas Surprise7 · 710 · 65 · 711 · 835 · 858 · 1/2

AMERICA'S POINT settled off the pace, rallied on the turn, assumed command, drew off and widened while kept to task. TYRUS advanced along the rail to the second turn, angled out for the drive and offered a mild bid to get up for place while no threat to the winner. FAROOQ bobbled at the start, set the pace with a clear lead, tired on the turn, dropped back and held safely for show. COLONIAL KNIGHT bumped at the start, dropped inside on the first turn, rallied into the second turn to loom a threat, came up empty and dropped back. CHRIST IS KING was through after a half and gave way. BOULDER BUFFS broke out and failed to threaten in an even effort. POWER BY EIGHT was always outrun and was eased. CHRISTMAS SURPRISE was always outrun and was eased.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 America's Point · close 2.40-1

  • AMERICA'S POINT settled off the pace, rallied on the turn, assumed command, drew off and widened while kept to task.
  • TYRUS advanced along the rail to the second turn, angled out for the drive and offered a mild bid to get up for place while no threat to the winner.
  • FAROOQ bobbled at the start, set the pace with a clear lead, tired on the turn, dropped back and held safely for show.
  • COLONIAL KNIGHT bumped at the start, dropped inside on the first turn, rallied into the second turn to loom a threat, came up empty and dropped back.
  • CHRIST IS KING was through after a half and gave way.
  • BOULDER BUFFS broke out and failed to threaten in an even effort.
  • POWER BY EIGHT was always outrun and was eased.
  • CHRISTMAS SURPRISE was always outrun and was eased.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15America's Point2.40-10
29Tyrus3.20-10.5
34Farooq1.90-15
415Colonial Knight29.4-11.75
53Christ Is King15.1-10.2
611Boulder Buffs4.30-121
713Power by Eight59.6-122.25
812Christmas Surprise23.0-158.5
SCR—General Fanale——
SCR—Johnny Bay Goode——
SCR—Over Imagination——
SCR—Pujol——
SCR—Quamash——
SCR—Stillhouse——
SCR—The Magic Speed——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
WATCH · #11 BOULDER BUFFS · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
AMERICA'S POINT settled off the pace, rallied on the turn, assumed command, drew off and widened while kept to task. TYRUS advanced along the rail to the second turn, angled out for the drive and offered a mild bid to get up for place while no threat to the winner. FAROOQ bobbled at the start, set the pace with a clear lead, tired on the turn, dropped back and held safely for show. COLONIAL KNIGHT bumped at the start, dropped inside on the first turn, rallied into the second turn to loom a threat, came up empty and dropped back. CHRIST IS KING was through after a half and gave way. BOULDER BUFFS broke out and failed to threaten in an even effort. POWER BY EIGHT was always outrun and was eased. CHRISTMAS SURPRISE was always outrun and was eased.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#7 #6 #5 #1) projects extreme pace pressure; scenarios A and B both favor closers/stalkers; speed is hurt in all three flows · CHALK #6 THE MAGIC SPEED & #8 JOHNNY BAY GOODE · short · #6 solid on form but 1.5 ML is unplayable; #8 has no ready flags and a negative form score — usable but short

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #11 BOULDER BUFFS · 2026-09-17 DEL R5 overlay_miss · winner #5 AMERICAS POINT @ 2.4 · overlay #11 BOULDER BUFFS edge 0.026 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6#6 Eastbostonbenny · 1.80-1play passWATCHRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.02 · 44.86 · 57.99 · Final 1:11.23

Splits (22:84) (13:13) (13:24)

PgmHorseCalls
6Eastbostonbenny1 · 14 · 15 · 12 · 1Nose
7Sir George2 · 24 · 25 · 22 · 2Nose
4Cockeyed6 · 56 · 48 · 1/2 · 35 · 31 · 3/4
2Skillian4 · 45 · 1/2 · 59 · 45 · 43 · 1/2
5Paterno3 · 35 · 38 · 55 · 1/2 · 54 · 1/2
3Trust Fund7 · 78 · 710 · 68 · 1/2 · 65 · 1/2
1Overspent5 · 67 · 1/2 · 69 · 79 · 78 · 3/4

EASTBOSTONBENNY was hustled along to set the pace with a clear lead and just lasted at the wire. SIR GEORGE chased the pace, swung wide into the stretch, closed steadily, was gaining late and just missed. COCKEYED bumped at the start, lagged early in an outside trip and finished well to earn show. SKILLIAN saved ground, bid along the rail on the turn and lacked the needed late response. PATERNO was never far back, failed to rally and was outrun. TRUST FUND bumped at the start and was outrun in an even effort. OVERSPENT saved ground to the turn, lacked a bid and showed little.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #6 Eastbostonbenny · close 1.80-1

  • EASTBOSTONBENNY was hustled along to set the pace with a clear lead and just lasted at the wire.
  • SIR GEORGE chased the pace, swung wide into the stretch, closed steadily, was gaining late and just missed.
  • COCKEYED bumped at the start, lagged early in an outside trip and finished well to earn show.
  • SKILLIAN saved ground, bid along the rail on the turn and lacked the needed late response.
  • PATERNO was never far back, failed to rally and was outrun.
  • TRUST FUND bumped at the start and was outrun in an even effort.
  • OVERSPENT saved ground to the turn, lacked a bid and showed little.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
16Eastbostonbenny1.80-10
27Sir George8.10-11.75
34Cockeyed8.10-11.75
42Skillian3-11
55Paterno6.70-11
63Trust Fund7.60-13.25
71Overspent6.20-18.75

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS — SIR GEORGE's overlay is real but his path is C-only (closing into a duel from post 7 at 1320y); no non-chalk horse has a clean A/B path and a price sufficient to ticket · Pass held · pass
Price model
WATCH · #7 SIR GEORGE · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
EASTBOSTONBENNY was hustled along to set the pace with a clear lead and just lasted at the wire. SIR GEORGE chased the pace, swung wide into the stretch, closed steadily, was gaining late and just missed. COCKEYED bumped at the start, lagged early in an outside trip and finished well to earn show. SKILLIAN saved ground, bid along the rail on the turn and lacked the needed late response. PATERNO was never far back, failed to rally and was outrun. TRUST FUND bumped at the start and was outrun in an even effort. OVERSPENT saved ground to the turn, lacked a bid and showed little.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — SIR GEORGE's overlay is real but his path is C-only (closing into a duel from post 7 at 1320y); no non-chalk horse has a clean A/B path and a price sufficient to ticket · SHAPE Wall of speed (#2 #6 #5 #7); pressure extreme; sets up for the one honest stalker who can sit and kick — #1 OVERSPENT the most likely beneficiary in A/B · CHALK #6 EASTBOSTONBENNY · opposable · E-style into a four-way speed duel, has weakened in analogous pace scenarios (Jun 2026, Oct 2025), negative model edge

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #7 SIR GEORGE · 2026-09-17 DEL R6 overlay_miss · winner #6 EASTBOSTONBENNY @ 1.8 · overlay #7 SIR GEORGE edge 0.030 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7#5 Skyrayleigh · 14.6-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.56 · 47.80 · 1:13.09 · 1:39.76 · Final 1:44.01

Splits (24:24) (25:29) (26:67) (4:25)

PgmHorseCalls
5Skyrayleigh3 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 12 · 17 · 1/2 · 117 · 3/4
9On the Rox7 · 51 · 1/4 · 31 · 56 · 510 · 217 · 3/4
2Gallant Lad4 · 61 · 3/4 · 52 · 35 · 1/2 · 38 · 318 · 1/2
6Grey Bull1 · 31 · 42 · 46 · 49 · 421
8Orange Road2 · 21/2 · 21/2 · 22 · 27 · 1/2 · 521 · 3/4
4Who's Your Hattie6 · 73 · 1/4 · 74 · 1/2 · 612 · 1/2 · 616 · 623
1Chalk Talk5 · 41 · 64 · 712 · 3/4 · 718 · 735 · 3/4

SKYRAYLEIGH was sent to the front to set the pace and drew off in the drive to finish much the best. ON THE ROX stalked the pace while racing towards the outside, lacked a rally and was no match for the winner. GALLANT LAD raced close to the pace, dropped back on the turn, went evenly late and held safely for show. GREY BULL was hustled along, raced close to the pace along the inside, dropped back into the turn and gave way. ORANGE ROAD pressed the pace to the second turn, tired and stopped. WHO'S YOUR HATTIE trailed the field, raced outside and passed a tiring rival. CHALK TALK saved ground, tired, stopped and was not urged late.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Skyrayleigh · close 14.6-1

  • SKYRAYLEIGH was sent to the front to set the pace and drew off in the drive to finish much the best.
  • ON THE ROX stalked the pace while racing towards the outside, lacked a rally and was no match for the winner.
  • GALLANT LAD raced close to the pace, dropped back on the turn, went evenly late and held safely for show.
  • GREY BULL was hustled along, raced close to the pace along the inside, dropped back into the turn and gave way.
  • ORANGE ROAD pressed the pace to the second turn, tired and stopped.
  • WHO'S YOUR HATTIE trailed the field, raced outside and passed a tiring rival.
  • CHALK TALK saved ground, tired, stopped and was not urged late.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15Skyrayleigh14.6-10
29On the Rox11.4-10.75
32Gallant Lad2.20-12.5
46Grey Bull3.90-114.75
58Orange Road1.90-11.25
64Who's Your Hattie8.90-112.75
71Chalk Talk8-135.75
SCR—Putter Man——
SCR—Told (IRE)——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SKYRAYLEIGH was sent to the front to set the pace and drew off in the drive to finish much the best. ON THE ROX stalked the pace while racing towards the outside, lacked a rally and was no match for the winner. GALLANT LAD raced close to the pace, dropped back on the turn, went evenly late and held safely for show. GREY BULL was hustled along, raced close to the pace along the inside, dropped back into the turn and gave way. ORANGE ROAD pressed the pace to the second turn, tired and stopped. WHO'S YOUR HATTIE trailed the field, raced outside and passed a tiring rival. CHALK TALK saved ground, tired, stopped and was not urged late.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE No dedicated early; #6/#8 pressers set a crawl; one-run closers need chaos to fire; moderate volatility · CHALK #2 GALLANT LAD · short (3-1) · C-style needs a pace meltdown that scenario A/B does not deliver; checked last out; pace map is neutral-to-against

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-17 DEL R7 pass_ok · winner #5 SKYRAYLEIGH @ 14.6 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8#6 Re Election · 0.60-1play passWATCHRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 21.95 · 46.65 · 59.95 · Final 1:07.04

Splits (24:70) (13:30) (7:09)

PgmHorseCalls
6Re Election2 · 11/2 · 11/2 · 12 · 11 · 1/4
7Sweet Winner4 · 21/2 · 21/2 · 22 · 21 · 1/4
4Paynted Lion8 · 813 · 1/2 · 811 · 65 · 31 · 1/2
8Spurious1 · 43 · 53 · 55 · 42 · 3/4
1Opportune Notion5 · 53 · 1/2 · 43 · 33 · 53 · 1/4
3Magic Bay7 · 64 · 1/2 · 64 · 76 · 65
2Quahog Republic6 · 77 · 1/2 · 79 · 88 · 78 · 1/2
5They Call Me Sue3 · 31 · 31 · 1/2 · 44 · 89 · 1/4

RE ELECTION vied between horses, drew clear into the stretch and held under urging. SWEET WINNER vied to the turn, dropped back into the stretch, went evenly late and held for place. PAYNTED LION was crowded after the start, void of early speed, rallied on the turn, found his best stride late and earned show. SPURIOUS raced close early, raced outside, swung wide entering the stretch, closed steadily and didn't have enough left. OPPORTUNE NOTION saved ground to the turn, bid to get in range and came up empty late. MAGIC BAY lagged early, swung wide entering the stretch and failed to rally. QUAHOG REPUBLIC saved ground, showed brief speed only and did not threaten. THEY CALL ME SUE vied inside, dropped back into the turn and gave way.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #6 Re Election · close 0.60-1

  • RE ELECTION vied between horses, drew clear into the stretch and held under urging.
  • SWEET WINNER vied to the turn, dropped back into the stretch, went evenly late and held for place.
  • PAYNTED LION was crowded after the start, void of early speed, rallied on the turn, found his best stride late and earned show.
  • SPURIOUS raced close early, raced outside, swung wide entering the stretch, closed steadily and didn't have enough left.
  • OPPORTUNE NOTION saved ground to the turn, bid to get in range and came up empty late.
  • MAGIC BAY lagged early, swung wide entering the stretch and failed to rally.
  • QUAHOG REPUBLIC saved ground, showed brief speed only and did not threaten.
  • THEY CALL ME SUE vied inside, dropped back into the turn and gave way.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
16Re Election0.60-10
27Sweet Winner3.80-10.3
34Paynted Lion11.8-11.25
48Spurious17.6-10.5
51Opportune Notion23.1-11.75
63Magic Bay5.20-13.5
72Quahog Republic64.1-10.75
85They Call Me Sue20.4-19.25

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS — RE ELECTION is the only overlay and the shape asks it to be part of the duel it just lost; no stacked angles support a win ticket at any number · Pass held · pass
Price model
WATCH · #6 RE ELECTION · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
RE ELECTION vied between horses, drew clear into the stretch and held under urging. SWEET WINNER vied to the turn, dropped back into the stretch, went evenly late and held for place. PAYNTED LION was crowded after the start, void of early speed, rallied on the turn, found his best stride late and earned show. SPURIOUS raced close early, raced outside, swung wide entering the stretch, closed steadily and didn't have enough left. OPPORTUNE NOTION saved ground to the turn, bid to get in range and came up empty late. MAGIC BAY lagged early, swung wide entering the stretch and failed to rally. QUAHOG REPUBLIC saved ground, showed brief speed only and did not threaten. THEY CALL ME SUE vied inside, dropped back into the turn and gave way.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS — RE ELECTION is the only overlay and the shape asks it to be part of the duel it just lost; no stacked angles support a win ticket at any number · SHAPE Wall of speed (#6 #8 #3 #7 #1 #5) → extreme pressure → stalker #4 inherits in A/B; closer #2 only live in C · CHALK #4 PAYNTED LION · short (ML 2, model edge -0.016) · shape suits it but no overlay; solid winner call, pass on price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #6 RE ELECTION · 2026-09-17 DEL R8 overlay_hit · winner #6 RE ELECTION @ 0.6 · overlay #6 RE ELECTION edge 0.026 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.