FP · 2026-09-19

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.81 · 46.37 · 59.40 · Final 1:12.96

Splits (23:56) (13:03) (13:56)

DANG IT DAN bumped the inside foe at the start, stalked from off the inside two to three wide into and on the turn, was asked past the quarter pole, drew nearly even to the leader and inched past late under steady urging. W W NOLAN was bumped at the start then moved inside to take the lead setting the pace in the clear, was asked in upper stretch when challenged, fought on late but was outfinished. INSTANT CLASSIC settled off the pace, advanced three to four wide on the turn, was best of the rest. MIDNIGHT MASTER was encouraged at the break but lacking speed, shifted in heading into the turn saving ground early on that bend, moved off the rail at the five-sixteenths, fanned five wide into upper stretch, ran on. BLAKELY'S BOY lacked early speed racing far back into the turn, was never near enough to threaten. QUIET DEPUTY broke a step slowly and was coaxed forward chasing the leader in behind near the inside, dropped back at the five-sixteenths. BEAR RILLA stalked mid-pack, saved ground on the turn, dropped back and faded.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Dang It Dan · close 1.20-1

• DANG IT DAN bumped the inside foe at the start, stalked from off the inside two to three wide into and on the turn, was asked past the quarter pole, drew nearly even to the leader and inched past late under steady urging.
• W W NOLAN was bumped at the start then moved inside to take the lead setting the pace in the clear, was asked in upper stretch when challenged, fought on late but was outfinished.
• INSTANT CLASSIC settled off the pace, advanced three to four wide on the turn, was best of the rest.
• MIDNIGHT MASTER was encouraged at the break but lacking speed, shifted in heading into the turn saving ground early on that bend, moved off the rail at the five-sixteenths, fanned five wide into upper stretch, ran on.
• BLAKELY'S BOY lacked early speed racing far back into the turn, was never near enough to threaten.
• QUIET DEPUTY broke a step slowly and was coaxed forward chasing the leader in behind near the inside, dropped back at the five-sixteenths.
• BEAR RILLA stalked mid-pack, saved ground on the turn, dropped back and faded.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
DANG IT DAN bumped the inside foe at the start, stalked from off the inside two to three wide into and on the turn, was asked past the quarter pole, drew nearly even to the leader and inched past late under steady urging. W W NOLAN was bumped at the start then moved inside to take the lead setting the pace in the clear, was asked in upper stretch when challenged, fought on late but was outfinished. INSTANT CLASSIC settled off the pace, advanced three to four wide on the turn, was best of the rest. MIDNIGHT MASTER was encouraged at the break but lacking speed, shifted in heading into the turn saving ground early on that bend, moved off the rail at the five-sixteenths, fanned five wide into upper stretch, ran on. BLAKELY'S BOY lacked early speed racing far back into the turn, was never near enough to threaten. QUIET DEPUTY broke a step slowly and was coaxed forward chasing the leader in behind near the inside, dropped back at the five-sixteenths. BEAR RILLA stalked mid-pack, saved ground on the turn, dropped back and faded.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE All-closer field, no dedicated E/EP, crawl scenario A likely; #2 DANG IT DAN is dual chalk with #1 W W NOLAN, both overlay=false · CHALK #2 DANG IT DAN (ML 1.2) — solid on class drop from sMdSpWt and zSpeed/zPace, trouble last is a minor flag, but price is unplayable

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-19 FP R1 pass_ok · winner #2 DANG IT DAN @ 1.2 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.64 · 50.20 · 1:14.68 · 1:40.57 · Final 1:44.93

Splits (24:56) (24:48) (25:89) (4:36)

TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS exchanged a bump at the start, tucked in saving ground trailing inside, advanced to bid up the rail past the seven-sixteenths, drew clear, dropped the crop past the eighth pole, held safe. LEMON DROP SHOT had bumps inside and out at the break, was caught three to four wide early, shifted in past the half, saved ground on the far turn, kept on inside to get the place. BOOGIE BODE switched out early stalking two to three wide between foes, swung five wide into upper stretch, kept on but just missed second. LICENSE TO STEAL soon moved clear, set the pace from off the rail, was overtaken by an inside foe leaving the backstretch, fought on then weakened in the stretch. MILLARD'S SMILE was caught four to five wide stalking outside early, failed to rally. ELECTRIC CHARGE bumped with a rival at the start, lacked early speed despite encouragement, trailed and was never a threat.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 Tapinyourbluejeans · close 1.70-1

• TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS exchanged a bump at the start, tucked in saving ground trailing inside, advanced to bid up the rail past the seven-sixteenths, drew clear, dropped the crop past the eighth pole, held safe.
• LEMON DROP SHOT had bumps inside and out at the break, was caught three to four wide early, shifted in past the half, saved ground on the far turn, kept on inside to get the place.
• BOOGIE BODE switched out early stalking two to three wide between foes, swung five wide into upper stretch, kept on but just missed second.
• LICENSE TO STEAL soon moved clear, set the pace from off the rail, was overtaken by an inside foe leaving the backstretch, fought on then weakened in the stretch.
• MILLARD'S SMILE was caught four to five wide stalking outside early, failed to rally.
• ELECTRIC CHARGE bumped with a rival at the start, lacked early speed despite encouragement, trailed and was never a threat.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#3 TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS · min 3-1 · win — overlays the board, consistent late pace figures, gets the duel it needs; at 2-1 or shorter, PASS · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor

Price model

BET · #3 TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS exchanged a bump at the start, tucked in saving ground trailing inside, advanced to bid up the rail past the seven-sixteenths, drew clear, dropped the crop past the eighth pole, held safe. LEMON DROP SHOT had bumps inside and out at the break, was caught three to four wide early, shifted in past the half, saved ground on the far turn, kept on inside to get the place. BOOGIE BODE switched out early stalking two to three wide between foes, swung five wide into upper stretch, kept on but just missed second. LICENSE TO STEAL soon moved clear, set the pace from off the rail, was overtaken by an inside foe leaving the backstretch, fought on then weakened in the stretch. MILLARD'S SMILE was caught four to five wide stalking outside early, failed to rally. ELECTRIC CHARGE bumped with a rival at the start, lacked early speed despite encouragement, trailed and was never a threat.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #3 TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS · min 3-1 · win — overlays the board, consistent late pace figures, gets the duel it needs; at 2-1 or shorter, PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#6 vs #2) sets up stalker/closers; pace high, benefits #1 BOOGIE BODE and the closer cluster · CHALK #1 BOOGIE BODE · solid · rising figs (77 last vs 68 prior), fits the stalker role perfectly off the duel, but 1.5 ML is an automatic pass

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model BET #3 TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS · 2026-09-19 FP R2 floor_miss · winner #3 TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS @ 1.7 · overlay #3 TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS edge 0.034 · PLAY floor #3 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.48 · 48.23 · 1:01.29 · Final 1:08.19

Splits (24:75) (13:06) (6:90)

WHITELICK ROAD obtained a brief early lead soon after the start, was overtaken by an inside foe, dueled with that one, had a narrow lead turning for home, edged away late while kept to task. ELSIE'S LEGACY was coaxed forward early, took the lead inside a rival past the nine-sixteenths, dueled inside that one, was no match and yielded in the stretch but held second. RATHER LATE was bumped fairly hard at the start, exchanged a light brush early, chased four wide on the turn, was asked by the quarter pole, kept on in the stretch but needed more. ATRAXA chased from mid-pack racing inside foes but off the rail into the turn, went in the three then four path on that bend, fanned six wide into upper stretch, was not a threat. MAYA'S WARRIOR was forced in at the start bumping a rival, exchanged minor contact up the backstretch, was caught four to five wide on the turn, floated seven wide into upper stretch, failed to menace. LADY ARTIST broke inwardly but got away well, soon dropped back, failed to rally. LIBBY LOO moved forward and shifted in a bit stalking the dueling leaders from off the rail, flattened out in the stretch.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Whitelick Road · close 0.90-1

• WHITELICK ROAD obtained a brief early lead soon after the start, was overtaken by an inside foe, dueled with that one, had a narrow lead turning for home, edged away late while kept to task.
• ELSIE'S LEGACY was coaxed forward early, took the lead inside a rival past the nine-sixteenths, dueled inside that one, was no match and yielded in the stretch but held second.
• RATHER LATE was bumped fairly hard at the start, exchanged a light brush early, chased four wide on the turn, was asked by the quarter pole, kept on in the stretch but needed more.
• ATRAXA chased from mid-pack racing inside foes but off the rail into the turn, went in the three then four path on that bend, fanned six wide into upper stretch, was not a threat.
• MAYA'S WARRIOR was forced in at the start bumping a rival, exchanged minor contact up the backstretch, was caught four to five wide on the turn, floated seven wide into upper stretch, failed to menace.
• LADY ARTIST broke inwardly but got away well, soon dropped back, failed to rally.
• LIBBY LOO moved forward and shifted in a bit stalking the dueling leaders from off the rail, flattened out in the stretch.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
WHITELICK ROAD obtained a brief early lead soon after the start, was overtaken by an inside foe, dueled with that one, had a narrow lead turning for home, edged away late while kept to task. ELSIE'S LEGACY was coaxed forward early, took the lead inside a rival past the nine-sixteenths, dueled inside that one, was no match and yielded in the stretch but held second. RATHER LATE was bumped fairly hard at the start, exchanged a light brush early, chased four wide on the turn, was asked by the quarter pole, kept on in the stretch but needed more. ATRAXA chased from mid-pack racing inside foes but off the rail into the turn, went in the three then four path on that bend, fanned six wide into upper stretch, was not a threat. MAYA'S WARRIOR was forced in at the start bumping a rival, exchanged minor contact up the backstretch, was caught four to five wide on the turn, floated seven wide into upper stretch, failed to menace. LADY ARTIST broke inwardly but got away well, soon dropped back, failed to rally. LIBBY LOO moved forward and shifted in a bit stalking the dueling leaders from off the rail, flattened out in the stretch.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE No dedicated early — crawl likely; pressers control; one-run closers lack a target · CHALK #2 WHITELICK ROAD · solid · best speed figs in field, pace-map path in A and B, trouble last cleared

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-19 FP R3 pass_ok · winner #2 WHITELICK ROAD @ 0.9 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 25.00 · 48.86 · 1:14.75 · 1:42.82 · Final 1:49.56

Splits (23:86) (25:89) (28:07) (6:74)

RUMBLING stalked the leading pair from outside well off the rail four to five deep, moved closer heading into the far turn, bid past the five-sixteenths, met a challenger in mid-stretch and turned that rival away. TWO STEP JAKE exchanged a bump after the start, was a bit rank between foes into the first turn easing back and switching out, raced well off the inside up the backstretch, advanced turning into upper stretch, bid five wide near the furlong marker but was turned away. SOLOMON VANDY broke inwardly, exchanged a bump soon after, raced last but one off the inside, moved nearer the inside saving ground on the far turn, fanned five wide into upper stretch, ran on. CUTLASS KING went straight to the fore to set the early pace from off the rail, was kept several paths out up the backstretch as a rival came inside to force the pace, dueled on the far turn, weakened in the stretch. SMILE LIKE KYLE shifted in heading into the first turn, moved forward and forced the pace inside, dropped back and faded. ASPIRING COMEDIAN was in tight at the start, trailed, was not a threat. ONE-MILE FRACTION WAS HAND-TIMED.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #7 Rumbling · close 6.70-1

• RUMBLING stalked the leading pair from outside well off the rail four to five deep, moved closer heading into the far turn, bid past the five-sixteenths, met a challenger in mid-stretch and turned that rival away.
• TWO STEP JAKE exchanged a bump after the start, was a bit rank between foes into the first turn easing back and switching out, raced well off the inside up the backstretch, advanced turning into upper stretch, bid five wide near the furlong marker but was turned away.
• SOLOMON VANDY broke inwardly, exchanged a bump soon after, raced last but one off the inside, moved nearer the inside saving ground on the far turn, fanned five wide into upper stretch, ran on.
• CUTLASS KING went straight to the fore to set the early pace from off the rail, was kept several paths out up the backstretch as a rival came inside to force the pace, dueled on the far turn, weakened in the stretch.
• SMILE LIKE KYLE shifted in heading into the first turn, moved forward and forced the pace inside, dropped back and faded.
• ASPIRING COMEDIAN was in tight at the start, trailed, was not a threat. ONE-MILE FRACTION WAS HAND-TIMED.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
RUMBLING stalked the leading pair from outside well off the rail four to five deep, moved closer heading into the far turn, bid past the five-sixteenths, met a challenger in mid-stretch and turned that rival away. TWO STEP JAKE exchanged a bump after the start, was a bit rank between foes into the first turn easing back and switching out, raced well off the inside up the backstretch, advanced turning into upper stretch, bid five wide near the furlong marker but was turned away. SOLOMON VANDY broke inwardly, exchanged a bump soon after, raced last but one off the inside, moved nearer the inside saving ground on the far turn, fanned five wide into upper stretch, ran on. CUTLASS KING went straight to the fore to set the early pace from off the rail, was kept several paths out up the backstretch as a rival came inside to force the pace, dueled on the far turn, weakened in the stretch. SMILE LIKE KYLE shifted in heading into the first turn, moved forward and forced the pace inside, dropped back and faded. ASPIRING COMEDIAN was in tight at the start, trailed, was not a threat. ONE-MILE FRACTION WAS HAND-TIMED.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#1 vs #2) — pace pressure high; stalkers #3/#6 get the pace setup but lack the figures to beat the chalk · CHALK #1 CUTLASS KING (4-5 ML) · solid · rising fig 77, class relief from N3L, lone standout signal/speed factor; duel risk is real but #2 is deeply negatively flagged (zSpeed -1.83, two crushed last lines)

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-19 FP R4 pass_ok · winner #7 RUMBLING @ 6.7 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.33 · 46.12 · 59.06 · Final 1:06.17

Splits (23:79) (12:94) (7:11)

SUMMER OF MISCHIEF forced the pace from outside, edged clear into the turn, held sway while kept to task. ALTERNATIVE GRACE exchanged incidental contact after the start but showed brief speed between foes, dropped back and chased two to three wide, kept on in the lane but couldn't reach the winner while clearly second best. BETHY shifted in, saved ground on the turn, came out five wide in the stretch, got show honors. MISS SAIPAN attended the early pace from inside, altered outside the eventual winner leaving the backstretch, raced two then three then four wide on the turn dropping back off the leader, swung wider still for the drive coming to mid-stretch seven to eight deep, ran on but needed more. BLAZE BEAUTY exchanged a light bump after the start, chased the leading trio from off the inside in the four path on the turn, came into upper stretch eight deep, ran on. MIDNIGHT'S GIRL had light bumps after the start, settled outside at the rear, swung seven wide and passed foes. ORNERY ANGEL was off the pace going two to three wide on the turn and was never near enough to threaten. ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE trailed inside, failed to menace. STAGFLATION bobbled at the start, raced outside a foe off the pace two to three wide through the turn, swung five wide into upper stretch, falied to menace.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #7 Summer of Mischief · close 0.30-1

• SUMMER OF MISCHIEF forced the pace from outside, edged clear into the turn, held sway while kept to task.
• ALTERNATIVE GRACE exchanged incidental contact after the start but showed brief speed between foes, dropped back and chased two to three wide, kept on in the lane but couldn't reach the winner while clearly second best.
• BETHY shifted in, saved ground on the turn, came out five wide in the stretch, got show honors.
• MISS SAIPAN attended the early pace from inside, altered outside the eventual winner leaving the backstretch, raced two then three then four wide on the turn dropping back off the leader, swung wider still for the drive coming to mid-stretch seven to eight deep, ran on but needed more.
• BLAZE BEAUTY exchanged a light bump after the start, chased the leading trio from off the inside in the four path on the turn, came into upper stretch eight deep, ran on.
• MIDNIGHT'S GIRL had light bumps after the start, settled outside at the rear, swung seven wide and passed foes.
• ORNERY ANGEL was off the pace going two to three wide on the turn and was never near enough to threaten.
• ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE trailed inside, failed to menace.
• STAGFLATION bobbled at the start, raced outside a foe off the pace two to three wide through the turn, swung five wide into upper stretch, falied to menace.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF forced the pace from outside, edged clear into the turn, held sway while kept to task. ALTERNATIVE GRACE exchanged incidental contact after the start but showed brief speed between foes, dropped back and chased two to three wide, kept on in the lane but couldn't reach the winner while clearly second best. BETHY shifted in, saved ground on the turn, came out five wide in the stretch, got show honors. MISS SAIPAN attended the early pace from inside, altered outside the eventual winner leaving the backstretch, raced two then three then four wide on the turn dropping back off the leader, swung wider still for the drive coming to mid-stretch seven to eight deep, ran on but needed more. BLAZE BEAUTY exchanged a light bump after the start, chased the leading trio from off the inside in the four path on the turn, came into upper stretch eight deep, ran on. MIDNIGHT'S GIRL had light bumps after the start, settled outside at the rear, swung seven wide and passed foes. ORNERY ANGEL was off the pace going two to three wide on the turn and was never near enough to threaten. ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE trailed inside, failed to menace. STAGFLATION bobbled at the start, raced outside a foe off the pace two to three wide through the turn, swung five wide into upper stretch, falied to menace.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel risk (#7 vs #3) with a wall of pressers; stalkers and closers inherit if pace melts · CHALK #7 SUMMER OF MISCHIEF · solid · best speed figs, drops in class, 2nd off layoff — rightful favorite, just not a price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-19 FP R5 pass_ok · winner #7 SUMMER OF MISCHIEF @ 0.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.79 · 48.77 · 1:13.91 · 1:41.21 · Final 1:45.66

Splits (23:98) (25:14) (27:30) (4:45)

BOOMING was a bit fractious in the gate, broke a step slowly, settled into stride off the pace near the inside, advanced on the far turn, angled five wide leaving that bend, bid past the furlong marker, dueled outside late and just got the nod. ROUSSETTE moved to the lead and set the pace inside just off the rail, was pressured late up the backstretch, headed by the quarter pole, fought back in the stretch and just missed in a head-bobbing finish. PATCH O'BRIEN was caught four wide early stalking from outside, took closer order late up the backstretch, took a narrow lead nearing the quarter pole, was lightly bumped soon after, dueled in the stretch exchanging a light brush with the inside foe, vied between runners late and just missed. HEARTBREAK GAME bumped a rival lightly at the start, settled outside off the pace mostly in the three to four path, swung six wide into upper stretch, ran on. SPONGE BATH was coaxed forward stalking three wide, bid between foes midway on the far turn, bumped a rival lightly leaving that bend then faltered in upper stretch. CITY OF GOD lacked early speed trailing early, swung seven wide, was never near enough to threaten. AFRICAN WARRIOR was urged at the start gaining forward position, was a bit tight into the first turn, tracked the leaders up the backstretch, was done at the seven-sixteenths.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #4 Booming · close 6.80-1

• BOOMING was a bit fractious in the gate, broke a step slowly, settled into stride off the pace near the inside, advanced on the far turn, angled five wide leaving that bend, bid past the furlong marker, dueled outside late and just got the nod.
• ROUSSETTE moved to the lead and set the pace inside just off the rail, was pressured late up the backstretch, headed by the quarter pole, fought back in the stretch and just missed in a head-bobbing finish.
• PATCH O'BRIEN was caught four wide early stalking from outside, took closer order late up the backstretch, took a narrow lead nearing the quarter pole, was lightly bumped soon after, dueled in the stretch exchanging a light brush with the inside foe, vied between runners late and just missed.
• HEARTBREAK GAME bumped a rival lightly at the start, settled outside off the pace mostly in the three to four path, swung six wide into upper stretch, ran on.
• SPONGE BATH was coaxed forward stalking three wide, bid between foes midway on the far turn, bumped a rival lightly leaving that bend then faltered in upper stretch.
• CITY OF GOD lacked early speed trailing early, swung seven wide, was never near enough to threaten.
• AFRICAN WARRIOR was urged at the start gaining forward position, was a bit tight into the first turn, tracked the leaders up the backstretch, was done at the seven-sixteenths.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

PASS · Pass held · pass

Price model

WATCH · #4 BOOMING · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
BOOMING was a bit fractious in the gate, broke a step slowly, settled into stride off the pace near the inside, advanced on the far turn, angled five wide leaving that bend, bid past the furlong marker, dueled outside late and just got the nod. ROUSSETTE moved to the lead and set the pace inside just off the rail, was pressured late up the backstretch, headed by the quarter pole, fought back in the stretch and just missed in a head-bobbing finish. PATCH O'BRIEN was caught four wide early stalking from outside, took closer order late up the backstretch, took a narrow lead nearing the quarter pole, was lightly bumped soon after, dueled in the stretch exchanging a light brush with the inside foe, vied between runners late and just missed. HEARTBREAK GAME bumped a rival lightly at the start, settled outside off the pace mostly in the three to four path, swung six wide into upper stretch, ran on. SPONGE BATH was coaxed forward stalking three wide, bid between foes midway on the far turn, bumped a rival lightly leaving that bend then faltered in upper stretch. CITY OF GOD lacked early speed trailing early, swung seven wide, was never near enough to threaten. AFRICAN WARRIOR was urged at the start gaining forward position, was a bit tight into the first turn, tracked the leaders up the backstretch, was done at the seven-sixteenths.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Two-speed duel (#8 vs #1) sets honest-to-fast fractions; stalker/presser lane opens for #3 · CHALK #3 SOUND OF VICTORY (ML 2) — solid; rising figs, class drop is real, fits the pace shape, but too short to play

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #4 BOOMING · 2026-09-19 FP R6 overlay_hit · winner #4 BOOMING @ 6.8 · overlay #4 BOOMING edge 0.036 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.76 · 46.40 · 59.07 · Final 1:12.70

Splits (23:64) (12:67) (13:63)

LADY ELISE was bumped after the start, vied outside going three wide into the turn, took command near the five-sixteenths, edged clear, held sway under steady handling. BIKINI MARTINI broke a bit awkwardly and was bothered at the start, moved forward outside in pursuit of the leading trio, was in range four wide at the quarter pole, kept on but made no headway late, held second. LALY bumped with a rival at the start, advanced outside three to four wide on the turn, continued to gain mildly in the stretch. DISGUISED DEVIL veered out bumping a rival at the start, vied between foes taking a brief lead heading to the turn, weakened in the stretch. BAR MONEY settled at the rear, saved ground early on the turn, moved out later on that bend, fanned seven wide into upper stretch and passed foes. HOOTIE HOOT vied inside for the early lead, faltered and faded. BIAGODDESS bumped with a rival at the start, raced toward the back and off the rail, failed to menace.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #9 Lady Elise · close 2.50-1

• LADY ELISE was bumped after the start, vied outside going three wide into the turn, took command near the five-sixteenths, edged clear, held sway under steady handling.
• BIKINI MARTINI broke a bit awkwardly and was bothered at the start, moved forward outside in pursuit of the leading trio, was in range four wide at the quarter pole, kept on but made no headway late, held second.
• LALY bumped with a rival at the start, advanced outside three to four wide on the turn, continued to gain mildly in the stretch.
• DISGUISED DEVIL veered out bumping a rival at the start, vied between foes taking a brief lead heading to the turn, weakened in the stretch.
• BAR MONEY settled at the rear, saved ground early on the turn, moved out later on that bend, fanned seven wide into upper stretch and passed foes.
• HOOTIE HOOT vied inside for the early lead, faltered and faded.
• BIAGODDESS bumped with a rival at the start, raced toward the back and off the rail, failed to menace.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#2 BIAGODDESS · minimum 4-1 · win (if board softens below 4-1, PASS) · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor

Price model

BET · #2 BIAGODDESS · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
LADY ELISE was bumped after the start, vied outside going three wide into the turn, took command near the five-sixteenths, edged clear, held sway under steady handling. BIKINI MARTINI broke a bit awkwardly and was bothered at the start, moved forward outside in pursuit of the leading trio, was in range four wide at the quarter pole, kept on but made no headway late, held second. LALY bumped with a rival at the start, advanced outside three to four wide on the turn, continued to gain mildly in the stretch. DISGUISED DEVIL veered out bumping a rival at the start, vied between foes taking a brief lead heading to the turn, weakened in the stretch. BAR MONEY settled at the rear, saved ground early on the turn, moved out later on that bend, fanned seven wide into upper stretch and passed foes. HOOTIE HOOT vied inside for the early lead, faltered and faded. BIAGODDESS bumped with a rival at the start, raced toward the back and off the rail, failed to menace.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #2 BIAGODDESS · minimum 4-1 · win (if board softens below 4-1, PASS) · SHAPE Three-way EP duel (#2 #9 #7) projects honest-to-collapsing pace; stalkers and pressers off the speed are the structural beneficiaries · CHALK #6 DISGUISED DEVIL (ML 1.8) — soft/short; no ready flags, last start "lacked late response," negative model edge; #9 LADY ELISE (ML 2) — better form case but buried in the duel from post 9

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model BET #2 BIAGODDESS · 2026-09-19 FP R7 floor_miss · winner #9 LADY ELISE @ 2.5 · overlay #2 BIAGODDESS edge 0.034 · PLAY floor #2 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.92 · 46.87 · 59.40 · Final 1:05.99

Splits (23:95) (12:53) (6:59)

ITDONTCOMEEASY sped clear setting the pace from just off the rail, lasted. SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN chased from outside, was ridden along into the turn dropping back and moving in from four to three wide, swung six wide into upper stretch, drifted in through mid-stretch, continued to gain. CHEF RAY WILEY shifted in early settling at the rear, saved ground on the turn, rallied inside. PLAYGROUND WARRIOR chased from inside, came out a few paths in upper stretch, ran on evenly without rallying. FIGHT THE POWER chased from between foes going two to three wide on the turn, came out and exchanged a light bump in upper stretch, lacked the needed late kick. ADAM FIVE OH settled off the pace, advanced five then four wide on the turn, loomed a threat, exchanged a light bump in upper stretch, steadied slightly past the furlong marker as a rival drifted in, flattened out. BIG SKOOKUM was off the pace and racing off the inside, swung six wide, came out further in the stretch, failed to menace. TOWER GROVE PARK switched out off the rail early, came out further in the stretch, failed to menace.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Itdontcomeeasy · close 1.50-1

• ITDONTCOMEEASY sped clear setting the pace from just off the rail, lasted.
• SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN chased from outside, was ridden along into the turn dropping back and moving in from four to three wide, swung six wide into upper stretch, drifted in through mid-stretch, continued to gain.
• CHEF RAY WILEY shifted in early settling at the rear, saved ground on the turn, rallied inside.
• PLAYGROUND WARRIOR chased from inside, came out a few paths in upper stretch, ran on evenly without rallying.
• FIGHT THE POWER chased from between foes going two to three wide on the turn, came out and exchanged a light bump in upper stretch, lacked the needed late kick.
• ADAM FIVE OH settled off the pace, advanced five then four wide on the turn, loomed a threat, exchanged a light bump in upper stretch, steadied slightly past the furlong marker as a rival drifted in, flattened out.
• BIG SKOOKUM was off the pace and racing off the inside, swung six wide, came out further in the stretch, failed to menace.
• TOWER GROVE PARK switched out off the rail early, came out further in the stretch, failed to menace.

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet

#11 SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN · win · min 3-1 · if board shorter than 5-2, PASS · PLAY in the money · itm

Price model

WATCH · #11 SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use

Book

none

4. What we keep

• Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
• How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
• This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
ITDONTCOMEEASY sped clear setting the pace from just off the rail, lasted. SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN chased from outside, was ridden along into the turn dropping back and moving in from four to three wide, swung six wide into upper stretch, drifted in through mid-stretch, continued to gain. CHEF RAY WILEY shifted in early settling at the rear, saved ground on the turn, rallied inside. PLAYGROUND WARRIOR chased from inside, came out a few paths in upper stretch, ran on evenly without rallying. FIGHT THE POWER chased from between foes going two to three wide on the turn, came out and exchanged a light bump in upper stretch, lacked the needed late kick. ADAM FIVE OH settled off the pace, advanced five then four wide on the turn, loomed a threat, exchanged a light bump in upper stretch, steadied slightly past the furlong marker as a rival drifted in, flattened out. BIG SKOOKUM was off the pace and racing off the inside, swung six wide, came out further in the stretch, failed to menace. TOWER GROVE PARK switched out off the rail early, came out further in the stretch, failed to menace.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #11 SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN · win · min 3-1 · if board shorter than 5-2, PASS · SHAPE Wall of early pace (#5 #8 #10) projects an honest-to-duel scenario; stalkers and closers with figures in the 70s own scenarios A and B · CHALK #5 ITDONTCOMEEASY · short/opposable · lone E into three-way early pressure off a layoff return, faded last, shape works against it

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_itm · itm · price model WATCH #11 SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN · 2026-09-19 FP R8 overlay_miss · winner #5 ITDONTCOMEEASY @ 1.5 · overlay #11 SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN edge 0.024 · PLAY itm #11 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.