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MNR · 2026-09-15

Chart replay. Equibase tells what happened. Card review tells what we did. Overlay stays frozen.

COMMITTEDSource text · MNR091526USA.pdfCard review →Card →

Official chart Equibase · parser 1.2.0 · checksum 1cb4b1806d22b65e · us_mutuel_to_one

R1#9 Ramesses · 2.90-1play passWATCHRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.17 · 48.49 · 1:14.46 · Final 1:42.13

Splits (24:32) (25:97) (27:67)

PgmHorseCalls
9Ramesses5 · 513 · 412 · 1/2 · 3Head · 14 · 13
2Hot Wings3 · 34 · 32 · 1/2 · 2Head · 34 · 1/2 · 23
5He's a Shooter2 · 1Head · 11/2 · 1Head · 24 · 33 · 1/2
6Krug1 · 2Head · 21/2 · 43/4 · 45 · 45 · 1/4
4Trap Line4 · 410 · 512 · 1/2 · 516 · 3/4 · 520 · 518

RAMESSES slow early surged along the inside on the far turn clearing in upper stretch holding firm to wire. HOT WINGS stalked the pace racing wide into upper stretch getting up for place. HE'S A SHOOTER set a pressured pace being overpowered to upper stretch dueling near mid track for place. KRUG pressed the pace through the far turn weakening down the lane. TRAP LINE was always outrun.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #9 Ramesses · close 2.90-1

  • RAMESSES slow early surged along the inside on the far turn clearing in upper stretch holding firm to wire.
  • HOT WINGS stalked the pace racing wide into upper stretch getting up for place.
  • HE'S A SHOOTER set a pressured pace being overpowered to upper stretch dueling near mid track for place.
  • KRUG pressed the pace through the far turn weakening down the lane.
  • TRAP LINE was always outrun.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
19Ramesses2.90-10
22Hot Wings4.60-10.5
35He's a Shooter1.80-11.75
46Krug2.60-112.75
54Trap Line5.50-118
SCR—Citizen——
SCR—If I Were You——
SCR—Legal Titan——
SCR—Valentine Bug——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · post-9 kill voids the only overlay; no non-chalk horse clears the bias and price threshold together · Pass held · pass
Price model
WATCH · #9 RAMESSES · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
RAMESSES slow early surged along the inside on the far turn clearing in upper stretch holding firm to wire. HOT WINGS stalked the pace racing wide into upper stretch getting up for place. HE'S A SHOOTER set a pressured pace being overpowered to upper stretch dueling near mid track for place. KRUG pressed the pace through the far turn weakening down the lane. TRAP LINE was always outrun.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · post-9 kill voids the only overlay; no non-chalk horse clears the bias and price threshold together · SHAPE #5 vs #6 duel likely; stalkers and closers inherit — speed bias but outside post hurts the lone overlay · CHALK #3 VALENTINE BUG · short/usable · 2nd off layoff, class drop is real, but fig 73 is unimpressive and outside posts have not won; opposable on price not form

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model WATCH #9 RAMESSES · 2026-09-15 MNR R1 overlay_hit · winner #9 RAMESSES @ 2.9 · overlay #9 RAMESSES edge 0.025 · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R2#7 Lost Bikini · 3.30-1play scratchBETRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 23.26 · 46.89 · 59.54 · Final 1:12.91

Splits (23:63) (12:65) (13:37)

PgmHorseCalls
7Lost Bikini1 · 11/2 · 12 · 15 · 15
8Kaiyas Song4 · 42 · 1/2 · 34 · 38 · 25
6Greyhound Station2 · 21/2 · 22 · 25 · 36 · 1/2
3Sicilian Style Two6 · 52 · 3/4 · 46 · 48 · 1/2 · 47
5Seems to Whisper3 · 32 · 1/2 · 57 · 59 · 511 · 1/4
10Grey Market5 · 67 · 3/4 · 619 · 629 · 635

LOST BIKINI set the pace widening in upper stretch having plenty left there. KAIYAS SONG raced evenly rallying late five wide to save place. GREYHOUND STATION chased the pace proving no match in upper stretch weakening late. SICILIAN STYLE TWO slow early gained a bit down the lane. SEEMS TO WHISPER faded on the turn. GREY MARKET struggled throughout.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #7 Lost Bikini · close 3.30-1

  • LOST BIKINI set the pace widening in upper stretch having plenty left there.
  • KAIYAS SONG raced evenly rallying late five wide to save place.
  • GREYHOUND STATION chased the pace proving no match in upper stretch weakening late.
  • SICILIAN STYLE TWO slow early gained a bit down the lane.
  • SEEMS TO WHISPER faded on the turn.
  • GREY MARKET struggled throughout.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
17Lost Bikini3.30-10
28Kaiyas Song5.60-11.5
36Greyhound Station2.30-10.5
43Sicilian Style Two6.20-14.25
55Seems to Whisper1.80-123.75
610Grey Market22.6-135
SCR—Alien Princess——
SCR—Cloudy Bay——
SCR—Machen Reigns——
SCR—Miss M M——
SCR—New Age Bad Girl——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
#1 NEW AGE BAD GIRL · min 4-1 · win · if shorter than 4-1, PASS · Scratched · scratch
Price model
BET · #1 NEW AGE BAD GIRL · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
LOST BIKINI set the pace widening in upper stretch having plenty left there. KAIYAS SONG raced evenly rallying late five wide to save place. GREYHOUND STATION chased the pace proving no match in upper stretch weakening late. SICILIAN STYLE TWO slow early gained a bit down the lane. SEEMS TO WHISPER faded on the turn. GREY MARKET struggled throughout.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #1 NEW AGE BAD GIRL · min 4-1 · win · if shorter than 4-1, PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#9 #10 #1 #7) — extreme pressure duel; stalkers and pressers mid-pack benefit in A/B; bias favors inside/early but pace cancels early advantage · CHALK #4 MISS M M · short/usable · flat figs on dirt, no turf lines, shape is nominally right but price is too short for the uncertainty

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet scratch · scratch · price model BET #1 NEW AGE BAD GIRL · 2026-09-15 MNR R2 scratch · winner #7 LOST BIKINI @ 3.3 · overlay #1 NEW AGE BAD GIRL edge 0.033 · PLAY scratch #1 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R3#3 One Annie · 1.30-1play floorWATCHRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.78 · 46.51 · 59.74 · Final 1:13.61

Splits (23:73) (13:23) (13:87)

PgmHorseCalls
3One Annie3 · 11 · 11 · 1/2 · 14 · 13
8Super Honey Timber9 · 913 · 1/4 · 710 · 1/2 · 613 · 1/2 · 23
7Photo Finish6 · 54 · 35 · 1/2 · 47 · 1/2 · 35 · 1/2
10Marmara1 · 21 · 21 · 1/2 · 24 · 46
1Myra Fleener4 · 76 · 811 · 512 · 1/2 · 57 · 1/2
2Bank Buster2 · 33 · 46 · 1/2 · 37 · 67 · 1/2
4Smiles for David7 · 86 · 1/4 · 911 · 1/2 · 919 · 715 · 1/4
9Constitutionalist8 · 65 · 56 · 1/2 · 715 · 1/2 · 818
6Bellavalencia5 · 44 · 68 · 1/2 · 818 · 1/2 · 921

ONE ANNIE sent clear set the pace saving ground while widening in upper stretch holding firm to wire. SUPER HONEY TIMBER broke slowly circling out to upper stretch giving a big finish from mid track. PHOTO FINISH raced evenly outbidding the others down the stretch. MARMARA chased through the turn to upper stretch weakening late. MYRA FLEENER played no factor. BANK BUSTER raced evenly weakening the final eighth. SMILES FOR DAVID was never involved. CONSTITUTIONALIST played no factor. BELLAVALENCIA faded on the turn.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #3 One Annie · close 1.30-1

  • ONE ANNIE sent clear set the pace saving ground while widening in upper stretch holding firm to wire.
  • SUPER HONEY TIMBER broke slowly circling out to upper stretch giving a big finish from mid track.
  • PHOTO FINISH raced evenly outbidding the others down the stretch.
  • MARMARA chased through the turn to upper stretch weakening late.
  • MYRA FLEENER played no factor.
  • BANK BUSTER raced evenly weakening the final eighth.
  • SMILES FOR DAVID was never involved.
  • CONSTITUTIONALIST played no factor.
  • BELLAVALENCIA faded on the turn.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
13One Annie1.30-10
28Super Honey Timber3.40-12.5
37Photo Finish4.10-10.5
410Marmara7.20-11.5
51Myra Fleener37.4-10.2
62Bank Buster6.50-17.75
74Smiles for David37.4-12.75
89Constitutionalist22.3-13
96Bellavalencia81.3-121
SCR—Blinging Burr——
SCR—Golden Charm——
SCR—One Violent Affair——
SCR—Prussian Blue——
SCR—Save the Flag——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
#3 ONE ANNIE · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if board drops below 4-1) · Died at the floor · board_inside_floor · floor
Price model
WATCH · #3 ONE ANNIE · edge — overlay was the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
ONE ANNIE sent clear set the pace saving ground while widening in upper stretch holding firm to wire. SUPER HONEY TIMBER broke slowly circling out to upper stretch giving a big finish from mid track. PHOTO FINISH raced evenly outbidding the others down the stretch. MARMARA chased through the turn to upper stretch weakening late. MYRA FLEENER played no factor. BANK BUSTER raced evenly weakening the final eighth. SMILES FOR DAVID was never involved. CONSTITUTIONALIST played no factor. BELLAVALENCIA faded on the turn.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #3 ONE ANNIE · win · minimum 4-1 (pass if board drops below 4-1) · SHAPE Lone speed (#2 BANK BUSTER) with fragile form; bias crushes outside closers; stalkers from inside posts hold the path · CHALK #8 SUPER HONEY TIMBER · opposable · post 8 (zero wins from posts 8+ in the bias window), closer style into a lone-speed map that favors the front, zPace -1.70

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet floor_miss · floor · board_inside_floor · price model WATCH #3 ONE ANNIE · 2026-09-15 MNR R3 floor_miss · winner #3 ONE ANNIE @ 1.3 · overlay #3 ONE ANNIE edge 0.022 · PLAY floor #3 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R4#1 Prince Jeremy · 1.30-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.48 · 46.52 · 59.57 · Final 1:13.31

Splits (24:04) (13:05) (13:74)

PgmHorseCalls
1Prince Jeremy3 · 11/2 · 11 · 11/2 · 11
5A Ok2 · 32 · 1/2 · 21 · 21/2 · 21
4Giacomo Casanova4 · 47 · 1/2 · 34 · 33 · 1/2 · 32 · 1/4
2Red Roscoe1 · 21/2 · 44 · 1/2 · 411 · 1/2 · 422 · 1/4

PRINCE JEREMY set a pressured pace digging deep along the inside through the lane. A OK chased the pace pressing abreast foe in upper stretch being denied in the end. GIACOMO CASANOVA slow early swung out in upper stretch needing more late. RED ROSCOE gave way on the inside.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #1 Prince Jeremy · close 1.30-1

  • PRINCE JEREMY set a pressured pace digging deep along the inside through the lane.
  • A OK chased the pace pressing abreast foe in upper stretch being denied in the end.
  • GIACOMO CASANOVA slow early swung out in upper stretch needing more late.
  • RED ROSCOE gave way on the inside.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
11Prince Jeremy1.30-10
25A Ok3.50-11.25
34Giacomo Casanova1-120
42Red Roscoe11.6-122.25
SCR—Blown Away——
SCR—Fernando's Gold——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
PRINCE JEREMY set a pressured pace digging deep along the inside through the lane. A OK chased the pace pressing abreast foe in upper stretch being denied in the end. GIACOMO CASANOVA slow early swung out in upper stretch needing more late. RED ROSCOE gave way on the inside.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of speed (#2 #3 #1) → honest duel likely; stalkers #5 #6 get every chance · CHALK #1 PRINCE JEREMY (2) and #3 BLOWN AWAY (2.5) · both short; #3 zSpeed −1.92 is a concern but a class drop win is plausible; #1 rising fig 72 is real — both usable but too short to ticket

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 MNR R4 pass_ok · winner #1 PRINCE JEREMY @ 1.3 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R5#2 Mr Hoover · 1.50-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 51.02 · 1:16.49 · Final 1:43.86

Splits (25:47) (27:37)

PgmHorseCalls
2Mr Hoover2 · 22 · 21/2 · 1Head · 1Head · 16 · 1/2
5King Miano1 · 12 · 11/2 · 2Head · 2Head · 26 · 1/2
3Innuendo4 · 64 · 1/2 · 69 · 1/2 · 612 · 1/2 · 610 · 1/2 · 38
6Ember5 · 54 · 56 · 1/2 · 46 · 47 · 48 · 3/4
4Drewpower6 · 33 · 1/2 · 32 · 1/2 · 32 · 36 · 510
1Cool Quartet3 · 43 · 1/2 · 46 · 1/2 · 56 · 1/2 · 57 · 1/2 · 610 · 1/4

MR HOOVER stalked the pace dueling outside of foe to upper stretch drawing off near mid track. KING MIANO set the pace dueling inside of rival to upper stretch weakening late. INNUENDO slow early gave a modest rally down the stretch. EMBER played no factor. DREWPOWER stalked the pace tiring the final eighth. COOL QUARTET was never involved.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Mr Hoover · close 1.50-1

  • MR HOOVER stalked the pace dueling outside of foe to upper stretch drawing off near mid track.
  • KING MIANO set the pace dueling inside of rival to upper stretch weakening late.
  • INNUENDO slow early gave a modest rally down the stretch.
  • EMBER played no factor.
  • DREWPOWER stalked the pace tiring the final eighth.
  • COOL QUARTET was never involved.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
12Mr Hoover1.50-10
25King Miano1.90-11.5
33Innuendo15.0-10.75
46Ember1.80-11.25
54Drewpower51.7-10.3
61Cool Quartet24.3-110.25

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
MR HOOVER stalked the pace dueling outside of foe to upper stretch drawing off near mid track. KING MIANO set the pace dueling inside of rival to upper stretch weakening late. INNUENDO slow early gave a modest rally down the stretch. EMBER played no factor. DREWPOWER stalked the pace tiring the final eighth. COOL QUARTET was never involved.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Lone speed #5 KING MIANO; five closers, no pressure; stalker #2 gets a soft setup · CHALK #2 MR HOOVER 2-1 · solid — rising figs, best figure, ideal stalking trip in scenario A; #6 EMBER 5/2 · usable but short — rising figs, deep closer, needs scenario C

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 MNR R5 pass_ok · winner #2 MR HOOVER @ 1.5 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R6#2 Gold Buckle · 14.6-1play itmBETRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.81 · 49.46 · 1:15.94 · Final 1:44.35

Splits (24:65) (26:48) (28:41)

PgmHorseCalls
2Gold Buckle4 · 55 · 52 · 1/4 · 64 · 3Head · 11/2
4Kantpaythetoll1 · 32 · 1/2 · 42 · 42 · 1/2 · 41 · 1/4 · 21/2
6Zippy Gizmo7 · 79 · 63 · 1/4 · 54 · 51 · 1/4 · 31 · 3/4
5First Citizen5 · 44 · 31 · 21/2 · 1Head · 42 · 1/2
1Hapi Hapi3 · 22 · 21 · 31 · 1/2 · 62 · 1/4 · 57 · 1/4
7Gilligan2 · 12 · 11 · 11/2 · 2Head · 610
3Sight Unseen6 · 68 · 79 · 1/4 · 720 · 720 · 1/4 · 728 · 1/4

GOLD BUCKLE gave a middle move saving ground to upper stretch wresting the lead along the rail holding under heavy pressure. KANTPAYTHETOLL stalked the pace rallying mid stretch surging abreast rival in the final yards being denied. ZIPPY GIZMO off slowly gave a middle move bidding widest down the lane finishing evenly. FIRST CITIZEN stalked the pace pressing on the turn dueling in upper stretch coming up a bit short. HAPI HAPI stalked the pace chasing on the far turn weakening in upper stretch. GILLIGAN set the pace being hooked on the far turn tiring the final eighth. SIGHT UNSEEN was always outrun.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #2 Gold Buckle · close 14.6-1

  • GOLD BUCKLE gave a middle move saving ground to upper stretch wresting the lead along the rail holding under heavy pressure.
  • KANTPAYTHETOLL stalked the pace rallying mid stretch surging abreast rival in the final yards being denied.
  • ZIPPY GIZMO off slowly gave a middle move bidding widest down the lane finishing evenly.
  • FIRST CITIZEN stalked the pace pressing on the turn dueling in upper stretch coming up a bit short.
  • HAPI HAPI stalked the pace chasing on the far turn weakening in upper stretch.
  • GILLIGAN set the pace being hooked on the far turn tiring the final eighth.
  • SIGHT UNSEEN was always outrun.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
12Gold Buckle14.6-10
24Kantpaythetoll2.20-11.25
36Zippy Gizmo3.80-10.75
45First Citizen41.1-14.75
51Hapi Hapi2.50-12.75
67Gilligan9.30-118.25
73Sight Unseen3.50-128.25

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
#4 KANTPAYTHETOLL · win · minimum 7-2 · if board slips to 5-2 or shorter, PASS · PLAY in the money · itm
Price model
BET · #4 KANTPAYTHETOLL · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
GOLD BUCKLE gave a middle move saving ground to upper stretch wresting the lead along the rail holding under heavy pressure. KANTPAYTHETOLL stalked the pace rallying mid stretch surging abreast rival in the final yards being denied. ZIPPY GIZMO off slowly gave a middle move bidding widest down the lane finishing evenly. FIRST CITIZEN stalked the pace pressing on the turn dueling in upper stretch coming up a bit short. HAPI HAPI stalked the pace chasing on the far turn weakening in upper stretch. GILLIGAN set the pace being hooked on the far turn tiring the final eighth. SIGHT UNSEEN was always outrun.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #4 KANTPAYTHETOLL · win · minimum 7-2 · if board slips to 5-2 or shorter, PASS · SHAPE All-closer field, no dedicated early — crawl likely; stalkers with pace scores hold the edge; deep closers risk no target · CHALK #6 ZIPPY GIZMO · short (2.5 ML) · rising figs but C-style needs pace to close into in a race that may not provide one

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_itm · itm · price model BET #4 KANTPAYTHETOLL · 2026-09-15 MNR R6 overlay_miss · winner #2 GOLD BUCKLE @ 14.6 · overlay #4 KANTPAYTHETOLL edge 0.060 · PLAY itm #4 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R7#1 Breezy Money · 2.50-1play itmBETRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 24.39 · 48.07 · 1:13.82 · Final 1:41.34

Splits (23:68) (25:75) (27:52)

PgmHorseCalls
1Breezy Money1 · 15 · 16 · 17 · 15 · 11
2True Connection6 · 411 · 48 · 1/2 · 27 · 25 · 21
4Arak4 · 512 · 511 · 1/2 · 49 · 310 · 37
7Big Spin7 · 622 · 618 · 1/2 · 614 · 515 · 410 · 1/2
6Only Get'n Better5 · 722 · 721 · 1/2 · 718 · 615 · 1/2 · 512
3Wiley Willard3 · 25 · 26 · 37 · 1/2 · 414 · 619 · 3/4
5Vanzzy2 · 36 · 37 · 511 · 716 · 721

BREEZY MONEY hustled off on pace saved ground to upper stretch holding on late at the rail. TRUE CONNECTION emerged off a loose leader on the far turn chasing down the lane getting to rival before running out of ground. ARAK slow early gave a mild rally to upper stretch holding off the others. BIG SPIN slow early played no factor. ONLY GET'N BETTER well back early never menaced. WILEY WILLARD stalked the pace tiring to upper stretch. VANZZY faded on the far turn.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #1 Breezy Money · close 2.50-1

  • BREEZY MONEY hustled off on pace saved ground to upper stretch holding on late at the rail.
  • TRUE CONNECTION emerged off a loose leader on the far turn chasing down the lane getting to rival before running out of ground.
  • ARAK slow early gave a mild rally to upper stretch holding off the others.
  • BIG SPIN slow early played no factor.
  • ONLY GET'N BETTER well back early never menaced.
  • WILEY WILLARD stalked the pace tiring to upper stretch.
  • VANZZY faded on the far turn.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
11Breezy Money2.50-10
22True Connection2.10-16
34Arak5.70-13.5
47Big Spin7.60-11.5
56Only Get'n Better10.9-17.75
63Wiley Willard3.70-11.25
75Vanzzy18.8-121

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
#4 ARAK · min 3-1 · win — if board drifts shorter than 3-1, PASS · PLAY in the money · itm
Price model
BET · #4 ARAK · edge — overlay was not the official winner — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
BREEZY MONEY hustled off on pace saved ground to upper stretch holding on late at the rail. TRUE CONNECTION emerged off a loose leader on the far turn chasing down the lane getting to rival before running out of ground. ARAK slow early gave a mild rally to upper stretch holding off the others. BIG SPIN slow early played no factor. ONLY GET'N BETTER well back early never menaced. WILEY WILLARD stalked the pace tiring to upper stretch. VANZZY faded on the far turn.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY #4 ARAK · min 3-1 · win — if board drifts shorter than 3-1, PASS · SHAPE Duel risk #1 vs #3 sets up closers; #2 TRUE CONNECTION best-placed stalker but short chalk · CHALK #2 TRUE CONNECTION · solid · best form, pace path in A and B, zForm 1.34, but 2.5 ML is no price

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet play_itm · itm · price model BET #4 ARAK · 2026-09-15 MNR R7 overlay_miss · winner #1 BREEZY MONEY @ 2.5 · overlay #4 ARAK edge 0.036 · PLAY itm #4 — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.
R8#5 Kozem · 1.80-1play passPASSRace →

1. How it ran

Equibase, not Closebeat.

Fractions 22.49 · 46.13 · 59.30 · Final 1:13.13

Splits (23:64) (13:17) (13:83)

PgmHorseCalls
5Kozem6 · 66 · 3/4 · 58 · 1/2 · 36 · 13/4
8Notiptoni5 · 56 · 1/2 · 38 · 26 · 23/4
3Mama Marge1 · 12 · 17 · 16 · 31 · 1/2
9Mean to Me7 · 78 · 1/4 · 68 · 3/4 · 410 · 43
4The Shoe Lady4 · 46 · 1/2 · 711 · 3/4 · 714 · 514 · 1/4
2Take Wings3 · 22 · 27 · 611 · 615 · 1/2
7Years Ago2 · 35 · 48 · 510 · 1/2 · 716 · 3/4
6Fortunata Italia8 · 814 · 1/4 · 819 · 3/4 · 816 · 817

KOZEM saved ground angling off the rail mid stretch surging up. NOTIPTONI raced evenly rallying down the lane surging late three deep. MAMA MARGE sent clear was hustled off on lead becoming leg weary when run down late. MEAN TO ME lost ground to upper stretch finishing well. THE SHOE LADY weakened on the turn. TAKE WINGS chased the pace tiring o the inside. YEARS AGO raced evenly fading to upper stretch. FORTUNATA ITALIA was always outrun.

2. How it was won / lost

Facts from the chart. No second story.

Winner #5 Kozem · close 1.80-1

  • KOZEM saved ground angling off the rail mid stretch surging up.
  • NOTIPTONI raced evenly rallying down the lane surging late three deep.
  • MAMA MARGE sent clear was hustled off on lead becoming leg weary when run down late.
  • MEAN TO ME lost ground to upper stretch finishing well.
  • THE SHOE LADY weakened on the turn.
  • TAKE WINGS chased the pace tiring o the inside.
  • YEARS AGO raced evenly fading to upper stretch.
  • FORTUNATA ITALIA was always outrun.
FinPgmHorseCloseBL
15Kozem1.80-10
28Notiptoni3.70-162.75
33Mama Marge1-11.5
49Mean to Me46.4-111.25
54The Shoe Lady15.8-11.25
62Take Wings31.5-11.25
77Years Ago54.4-10.3
86Fortunata Italia38.1-117
SCR—Dancing Chime——
SCR—Redwhiteandtacos——

3. How this system treated it

Card review. Isolated. No authority.

Sheet
PASS · Pass held · pass
Price model
PASS · no overlay — then-active overlay passed — noticed, not in use
Book
none

4. What we keep

  • Sheet MEMORY may cite the footnote next time. Same-day races do not leak.
  • How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. Last test of the price model stays a caption.
  • This page does not write the production file. A human test that beats the close is the only path into use.

5. Chart note

Quotes footnotes, sheet, and card review. Not a weight.

CHART — Equibase footnotes:
KOZEM saved ground angling off the rail mid stretch surging up. NOTIPTONI raced evenly rallying down the lane surging late three deep. MAMA MARGE sent clear was hustled off on lead becoming leg weary when run down late. MEAN TO ME lost ground to upper stretch finishing well. THE SHOE LADY weakened on the turn. TAKE WINGS chased the pace tiring o the inside. YEARS AGO raced evenly fading to upper stretch. FORTUNATA ITALIA was always outrun.

SHEET — stored PLAY / SHAPE / CHALK:
PLAY PASS · SHAPE Wall of early speed (#3 #2 #1) projects an honest duel; stalkers/closers get a live pace target · CHALK #3 MAMA MARGE · short · best early speed fig but has emptied when pressed, pace-map risk is real

CARD REVIEW — then-active notice:
sheet pass_correct · pass · price model PASS · 2026-09-15 MNR R8 pass_ok · winner #5 KOZEM @ 1.8 · overlay none · PLAY pass — noticed, not in use

KEEP — MEMORY may cite the chart. How hard we tilt toward the model does not change. This note is not a weight.